Get started

Investing

How to PREDICT MARKETS! Tops and BottomsIn this video, I go over the following in great detail: Predicting Markets with Williams %R, RSI, and MACD Predicting market movements can be challenging, but combining the Williams %R, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicators can provide powerful insights for traders. Williams %R measures the current closing price relative to the high-low range over a specific period, helping identify overbought or oversold conditions. RSI gauges the speed and change of price movements, also indicating overbought or oversold levels. MACD analyzes the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price, identifying potential buy or sell signals. By using these three indicators together, traders can: Confirm Trends: When all three indicators align, it strengthens the signal for a potential trend continuation or reversal. Identify Entry and Exit Points: Overbought or oversold signals from these indicators can help pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Reduce False Signals: Combining multiple indicators can help filter out false signals, increasing the reliability of predictions.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by RonnieV29
4
Shorting Bitcoin at $105,000 would be an exciting play!Hello Padawans, This chart shows a Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis with several Fibonacci retracement levels marked. Here are the key points in the image: 1. Price Levels and Fibonacci Extensions: - Key Fibonacci levels are drawn across the chart, including 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, and several extension levels (such as 1.618 and 2.618). - The 2.618 level, shown in red at around 104,827, represents a significant Fibonacci extension point, possibly indicating a strong resistance level for Bitcoin. 2. Price Action: - The Bitcoin price is currently at 75,050, as shown by the green label in the middle right of the chart. - The highest recent level on this chart is around 76,420, suggesting it might be a recent high or resistance level. 3. Volume Indicator: - A volume bar is visible at the bottom of the chart, indicating the trading activity, with recent volume levels shown around 30.106K. 4. Potential Resistance Levels: - There are several dashed lines indicating possible resistance levels, such as 82,800 and 87,216, with 104,827 being a significant upper target. This chart likely represents an analysis of potential retracement or resistance zones for a Bitcoin short or long setup around these key levels, with the 104,827 area being a focal point for a potential short opportunity if reached. Enjoy!
Short
by CryptoObi
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: According to the analysis of the Bitcoin Daily Chart for October 25, the "Interim Rebound" in Bitcoin has successfully concluded the Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It has subsequently retraced to the support level of 69400. This level represents the inverse of the previously completed Inner Coin Rally at 69400. We anticipate initiating a primary rebound, which is expected to support a recovery that will retest the Key Resistance at 73200. This movement will align with the completion of the Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300 and may lead to further progression into the next phase of the bullish trend, designated as the Next Inner Coin Rally at 78500 and beyond. Conversely, we project a potential additional pullback to satisfy the criteria of the newly established Inner Coin Dip at 66200.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
TASI: HISTORICAL ANALYSIS WITH A LONG TERM STRATEGIC PLANHistorical data analysis of TASI, since its beginning in 1985, shows a peculiar pattern wherein trading TASI for only 6 months in a year for 10 consecutive years yields higher or similar returns compared to buy & hold strategy during the same period. So a profitable strategic trading plan can be made with following Key highlights: 50% capital exposure to the market: trading will be carried out only 6 months out of 12 months. Higher or similar returns when compared to buy & hold strategy for the duration of plan (10 consecutive years). Back testing results since 1985 have shown increase in returns with the rate of 8.8%, 16% & 43%. Returns for the last trading plan (2014-2024) have exceeded 100%: the capital in 2014 would have doubled in 2024 using the strategy. A balanced strategy incorporating the best of both ‘trading’ and ‘investing’ worlds. No worries about daily price action or getting out of trade due to stop loss, while also having the leisure and cash-in-hand for half of the year. A long term plan: 10 consecutive years but only 6 months in each year will be traded. If you like to access the trading plan in full details (with back testing proof in pdf & excel workbook), please reach out to me at: umairx88@gmail.com. Bear in mind that the month of November is not only included in the plan rather it is one of the crucial months of the plan.
TADAWUL:TASI
by Umair88
1
Apple(AAPL): Down 7% – Is This the Opportunity We’ve Waited For?Apple’s stock has experienced a 7% decline over the past 10 days. What’s behind this drop? The fall came despite Apple slightly beating analysts’ expectations for the September quarter, driven mainly by a rebound in iPhone sales. During the fourth-quarter earnings call, CEO Tim Cook discussed positive developments in China but declined to speculate on economic stimulus impacts, noting stable year-over-year performance, partially aided by favorable foreign exchange rates. From a technical analysis perspective, everything is lining up perfectly. Our limit order remains unchanged. The formation of an exact double top points to the possibility of a flat pattern, which typically leads to a double bottom. This anticipated double bottom would align with the volume profile’s range high, offering additional support to key Fibonacci levels. Our stop-loss placement is secure, positioned below the support zone and the Point of Control (POC). We’ve set a time horizon for the wave ((ii)) to complete, and we believe this setup could result in a promising swing long position heading into Q1 or Q2 of 2025. If the chart develops as we hope, there may even be an opportunity to open a short position to hedge our long exposure. Until then, we’re prepared for another potential 12% drop, waiting patiently to execute our plan.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
GOOGL Strong Move Post-Earnings. My AnalysisHey, guys. Not going to go into too much detail on the description here. Just wanted to get my thoughts out there on NASDAQ:GOOGL . Certainly seems to have a strong long term trend here. As always, in long term trends, there could be various counter trend moves so always be prepared in that regard. Hopefully this offers some more insight for you as you think about NASDAQ:GOOGL from an investment perspective, or even a trading perspective. Even if you are looking for short term trades in GOOGL, I find it helpful to know how your trade might fit in to the longer term trend (whether to the downside or upside). Hope you enjoy the review, and best of luck out there!
NYSE:MODGLong
by redykhouse
Diwali Pick Upto 500% Upside:HDFCBANK Could Skyrocket in 5Years!Case study: NSE:HDFCBANK |Time frame: Analysis done on a 3Month time frame |Investment term: Long term (5 Years) Targets 5100 - 10000 HDFC Bank, one of India’s largest private sector banks, has experienced a three-year consolidation phase after a stellar 20-year uptrend 📉📈. This phase followed its merger with Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) in July 2023, leading to a temporary growth slowdown and re-evaluation of financial metrics. Despite this, the bank has showcased solid financial performance 💪. FY 2020-21 • Net Profit: ₹16,624 crore • Total Deposits: ₹13,14,000 crore • NIM (Net Interest Margin): 4.0% FY 2021-22 • Net Profit: ₹18,258 crore (+9.8%) 🆙 • Total Deposits: ₹14,80,000 crore (+12.6%) 🆙 • NIM: 4.1% FY 2022-23 • Net Profit: ₹19,034 crore (+4.2%) 🆙 • Total Deposits: ₹16,34,000 crore (+10.4%) 🆙 • NIM: 4.1% The consolidation phase shows significant above-average volumes over the last 3 years as shown on the chart which might indicate accumulation (buying) , indicating strong investor interest and potential future movements. This period is expected to last another 1-2 years as HDFC Bank integrates post-merger operations and aims to restore key financial metrics. Committed to profitable growth, the bank focuses on improving return on equity (ROE) and NIM (Net Interest Margin) 🚀. Investors considering HDFC Bank may see potential benefits, as the stock could offer a 200-500% upside over the next 5 years 📈. With robust financials, consistent profit growth, and a strong market position, HDFC Bank is poised for long-term gains 🌟. Patience with this investment may yield significant rewards 💰 . ✨🎆 Happy Diwali! 🎇✨ May your portfolio be as bright as the Diwali lights and your investments as sweet as the festival treats. Here's to growing wealth and sparkling returns! 📈💰 Have an awesome and prosperous Diwali! 🪔✨ Disclaimer: All ideas are my personal views and not financial advise. I do not have any Telegram channel nor do I sell any courses. References: HDFC Bank share price: HDFC Bank sees period of consolidation as it absorbs mega merger - The Economic Times hdfcbank.com/content/bbp/repositories/723fb80a-2dde-42a3-9793-7ae1be57c87f/?path=%2FFooter%2FAbout+Us%2FInvestor+Relation%2Fannual+reports%2Fpdf%2FHDFC-Bank-IAR-FY22-21-6-22.pdf&form=MG0AV3
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by Numan_SuriyaMohammed
ROBINHOOD TO $70?! Let's break it down.NASDAQ:HOOD TO $70?! Let's break it down. 5 REASONS WHY: 1⃣ 4/5 ON THE "High Five Setup" trade strategy 2⃣ Strong fundamentals and AMAZING Sentiment 3⃣ The forming of a CUP N HANDLE pattern. Measure Move: $70 4⃣ Growth Beast! Newer generations are on board! 5⃣ Continue to grow their products and offer great deals for people to switch. Like the HOOD week, which had up to 3% match. They got me to move because the deal was too good to pass up! Stay tuned for more!🔔 Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂 When does NASDAQ:HOOD get to $70 per share?! Drop a comment below. Not financial advice. #tradingstrategy #TradingTips
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by RonnieV29
4
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited notable weakness by falling below the Mean Support level of 5818 and subsequently establishing a new Mean Support at 5798. This development will likely prompt a decline toward the Inner Index Dip at 5733, with a potential extension to Mean Support at 5700. This support level is critical for enabling a primary recovery and advancing into the next phase of the bullish trend. Furthermore, it is essential to recognize that achieving levels of 5833 and 5700 may result in a rapid upward price reaction.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
5
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has experienced persistent bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, demonstrating insufficient strength to initiate any interim rebound. The prevailing selling pressure has lowered the Eurodollar to our Mean Support level of 1.079. A temporary rebound led to the reversal of the previously established Inner Currency Dip at 1.083, which currently stands as Mean Res 1.083 and might serve as the Interim Rebound's first stage. The Euro appears poised for further decline, potentially reaching the inner currency dip of 1.075, which remains notably significant and triggers second stage Interin Rebound to Mean Sup 1.078.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: As stated in the Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of Oct 18, the Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' completed our Inner Coin Rally of 69300 and retreated to the Mean Support level of 66800 and interim squeeze extension of the Mean Support of 65300 in this week's trading session. Currently, we anticipate the onset of a primary rebound, which is expected to facilitate recovery and further advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
$INJ update: uptrend until resistance at $27-$28So far, my CRYPTOCAP:INJ forecast has been accurate—you can check my previous analysis. Let’s continue. We are currently in an uptrend. On the 1W chart, both the MACD and RSI have bottomed, signaling a weekly push that should move CRYPTOCAP:INJ up along the uptrend channel shown in this chart. The MACD and RSI are aligned, so once we break through the bearish divergence, the uptrend should continue. If you follow my other updates on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 , everything seems to align positively for October. Of course, geopolitical events, like Russia deciding to nuke Israel or Israel attacking Lebanon or Iran, could act as a black swan event and invalidate this idea. For now, I don’t think it’s time to sell; rather, it’s a time to accumulate. The $27-$28 resistance level is more concerning, and we might face a rejection there. However, that’s a different scenario, and I’ll provide another update when we approach that stage.
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
1
$NQ outlook headed into OCT. 21 WEEKMarket structure still shows us that it is bullish based on Technicals. No catalyst yet for a big bearish move/correction/pullback. Friday ended as an inside bar /1 / harami. Means an explosive move is coming. Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday. The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs. Rejection off the order blocks from April time frame and the SEPT bounce off the imbalance created in AUG. There's no real catalyst 'yet' for a big bearish move. I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Similar to my NASDAQ:QQQ post a week ago, price is still respecting the upward trendline which is now annotated with the green triangle. Watch for price for the rest of OCT attempt to take out ATH (Liquidity) at 20983.75 and potentially reverse/stall at 21,000. Why that number? Psychological level along with where many algos most likely set their orders along with those who went short at ATH set their stops ABOVE entry. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE but an OPINION. #SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SADnation
$SPY Outlook for OCT 21, 2024AMEX:SPY headed into this week is an inside bar / 1 / harami. Means an explosive move is coming. Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday. The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs. There's no real catalyst ' yet ' for a big bearish move. I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ There still a GAP downside that was not completely filled last week. #SPY is in this rising wedge pattern and been respecting the TL (Green/Red). The pivot for SPY will be 583.99 - 584.55. If the bulls hold above that, you will see 585.39 get taken and then potentially 586.12. Failure by the bears to stop the move up and 587/587.35/588 will be on the path. If the bears take control and break the pivot zone, then you will see 583.67 / 583.2 / 582.6 / 582.33 and 581.82 / 581.5 / 580.9 Market Structure starts to change with a break of 582.16. A true MSS comes at 565 break. Keep in mind, there is a divergence between NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY This is NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE! #SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
AMEX:SPY
by SADnation
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment again during this week's trading session, with the prevailing selling pressure completing our Inner Currency Dip of 1.083. A transient rebound is in progress to the Mean Res 1.090. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 and the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.075 remains substantial.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' rammed through our Mean Res 66300 and Inner Coin Rally 67000 and rested at our Mean Res 68500 in this week's trading session, and it is currently poised to hit Inner Coin Rally 69300. A breach of this critical price level will catalyze a movement towards the all-time prices marked as Key Res 73200 and the completed Main Inner Coin Rally 73300. However, on the downside, the interim bearish sentiment may lead to a decline in the coin's price value to the Mean Support level of 66800 and possibly the Mean Support of 65300. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
The Payment Card Titan: Comparing Visa, Mastercard, and Amex◉ Abstract The global credit card market is projected to grow from USD 559.18 billion in 2023 to USD 1,146.62 billion by 2033, driven by advancements in digital payment technologies, e-commerce growth, increased financial literacy, and urbanization, especially in Asia-Pacific. Visa leads the market with a 38.73% share, followed by Mastercard and American Express. Visa and Mastercard operate primarily as payment networks, while American Express both issues cards and offers unique rewards. Financially, all three companies show strong revenue growth, with American Express yielding the highest ROI but also carrying significant debt. Despite this debt, American Express appears undervalued based on financial ratios. Overall, while American Express presents an attractive investment opportunity, Visa and Mastercard also demonstrate solid fundamentals and growth potential for investors in the expanding credit card market. Read the full analysis here . . . ◉ Introduction The Global Credit Card Market Size was Valued at USD 559.18 Billion in 2023 and the Worldwide Credit Card Market Size is Expected to Reach USD 1146.62 Billion by 2033, ◉ Key Growth Drivers ● Digitalization and Technology: Advancements in payment technologies, including mobile wallets and contactless payments, enhance convenience and security. ● E-Commerce Growth: The rise of online shopping increases demand for credit card payments, as consumers prefer their ease and safety. ● Financial Literacy: Improved understanding of financial products encourages more consumers, especially in developing regions, to adopt credit cards. ● Urbanization: Growing urban populations, particularly in Asia-Pacific, lead to greater access to banking services and credit facilities. ● Emerging Markets: Rising disposable incomes in developing countries drive new credit card accounts as financial institutions expand their offerings. ● Consumer Convenience: The preference for quick and easy payment methods boosts credit card usage over cash transactions. ● Rewards Programs: Attractive loyalty programs incentivize consumers to use credit cards for everyday purchases. ● Regulatory Support: Government initiatives promoting cashless transactions foster a favourable environment for credit card adoption. ◉ Market Overview As of 2022, the global credit card market was primarily led by Visa, which held a 38.73% share of the worldwide payment volume. Mastercard followed with a 24% market share, while American Express (Amex) accounted for 4.61%. Notably, China UnionPay is also a major player in this space, surpassing Amex in terms of purchase volume ◉ Key Players in the Payment Card Industry 1. Visa NYSE:V ● Market Cap: $552 B ● Market Share: 38.73% ● Business Model: Payment network facilitating transactions between consumers, businesses, banks, and governments globally. ● Card Issuance: Does not issue cards itself. ● Global Reach: Extensive acceptance network across more than 200 countries. 2. Mastercard NYSE:MA ● Market Cap: $474 B ● Market Share: 24% ● Business Model: Payment processor and network partnering with banks to offer various card products. ● Card Issuance: Does not issue cards itself. ● Global Reach: Broad acceptance worldwide with diverse products catering to different consumer needs. 3. American Express NYSE:AXP ● Market Cap: $203 B ● Market Share: 4.61% ● Business Model: Card issuer and payment network offering unique benefits and rewards directly to cardholders. ● Card Issuance: Issues its own cards. ● Global Reach: High acceptance rate in the US (99% of merchants), lower in Europe and Asia due to higher transaction fees. ◉ Technical Aspects ● From a technical perspective, there's a notable similarity among the three stocks: each is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. ● All three stocks have formed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and after breaking out, their prices have climbed to new heights. ● While Mastercard and American Express are currently trading at their all-time highs, Visa is positioned just below its peak. ◉ Relative Strength The chart vividly demonstrates that American Express has excelled remarkably, achieving a return of nearly 85%, whereas Mastercard and Visa have delivered returns of 28% and 20%, respectively. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis 1. Visa ● Year-over-Year ➖ In FY23, Visa achieved a remarkable revenue increase of 11.4%, reaching $32.7 billion, up from $29.3 billion in FY22. ➖ The EBITDA for FY23 also saw a significant rise, totalling $22.9 billion compared to $20.6 billion in FY22. ● Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the latest June quarter, Visa's revenue rose to $8.9 billion, slightly surpassing the $8.8 billion reported in March 2024. This reflects a year-over-year growth of nearly 9.5% from $8.1 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ The EBITDA for the most recent June quarter reached $6.2 billion, indicating an almost 9% increase from $5.7 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ In June, the diluted EPS saw a modest rise, climbing to $9.35 (LTM) from $8.94 (LTM) in March 2024, which represents a notable year-over-year increase of 18.6% from $30.3 (LTM). 2. Mastercard ● Year-over-Year ➖ Mastercard's revenue for FY23 experienced a robust growth of 12.9%, reaching $25.1 billion, up from $22.2 billion in FY22. ➖ The EBITDA for FY23 also increased, reporting $22.9 billion, up from $20.6 billion in FY22. ● Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the recent June quarter, Mastercard's revenue climbed to $7.0 billion, compared to $6.3 billion in March 2024. Year-over-year, this marks an increase of nearly 11% from $6.3 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ The EBITDA for the latest June quarter was $4.4 billion, reflecting an almost 9% rise from $3.9 billion in March 2024. ➖ In June, the diluted EPS saw a slight increase, rising to $13.08 (LTM) from $12.59 (LTM) in March 2024, which is a significant year-over-year increase of 23% from $10.67 (LTM). 3. American Express ● Year-over-Year ➖ For the fiscal year 2023, the company experienced a remarkable revenue growth of 9.7%, reaching an impressive $55.6 billion, compared to $50.7 billion in fiscal year 2022. ➖ Additionally, operating income showed a positive trajectory, with fiscal year 2023 reporting $10.8 billion, an increase from $10 billion in the previous fiscal year. ● Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the latest June quarter, revenue continued its upward trend, totalling $15.1 billion, up from $14.5 billion in March 2024. This represents a significant year-over-year growth of nearly 8.7% from $13.9 billion in the June quarter of the previous year. ➖ Furthermore, operating income for the June quarter reached $3.2 billion, marking a substantial increase of almost 19% from $2.7 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ The diluted earnings per share (EPS) also saw a remarkable rise in June, climbing to $13.39 (LTM) from $12.14 (LTM) in March 2024, which is a significant jump of 36% compared to $9.83 (LTM) in the same quarter last year. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ Visa stands at a P/E ratio of 29.1x. ➖ Mastercard is at a P/E ratio of 38.7x. ➖ American Express shows a P/E ratio of 20.6x. ➖ When we analyze these figures, it becomes clear that American Express appears significantly undervalued compared to its peers. ● P/B Ratio ➖ Visa has a P/B ratio of 14.3x. ➖ Mastercard's P/B ratio is a staggering 64x. ➖ American Express, however, has a P/B ratio of just 6.8x. This further reinforces the notion that American Express is currently undervalued in the market. ● PEG Ratio ➖ Visa's PEG ratio is 1.56. ➖ Mastercard's PEG stands at 1.71. ➖ American Express shines with a PEG ratio of just 0.56. ➖ This metric also highlights American Express's superior value proposition compared to its peers. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ Visa's operating cash flow for the fiscal year 2023 has risen to $20.8 billion, marking a notable increase from $18.8 billion in fiscal year 2022. ➖ Similarly, Mastercard has experienced growth in its operating cash flow, which has reached $12 billion in fiscal year 2023, up from $11.2 billion in the previous year. ➖ In contrast, American Express has reported a significant decline in its operating cash flow, decreasing from $21.1 billion in fiscal year 2022 to $18.6 billion in fiscal year 2023. ◉ Debt Analysis 1. Visa ● Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 0.52 as of June 2024, indicating a stable financial structure with moderate leverage. ● Total Debt: About $20.6 billion. ● Total Shareholder Equity: $39.7 billion. ● Analysis: Visa's ratio reflects a cautious debt approach, balancing equity and debt financing, with net debt well-supported by operating cash flow, enhancing financial stability. 2. Mastercard ● Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 2.10, indicating a higher reliance on debt compared to Visa 5. ● Total Debt: $15.6 billion. ● Total Shareholder Equity: $7.5 billion. ● Analysis: Mastercard’s higher ratio suggests it is more aggressive in leveraging debt for growth initiatives compared to Visa. This strategy may lead to greater volatility in earnings due to interest obligations. 3. American Express ● Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 1.80, indicating a significant level of debt relative to equity 5. ● Total Debt: $53.2 billion. ● Total Shareholder Equity: $29.54 billion. ● Analysis: American Express’s ratio shows a strong reliance on debt financing, which can enhance growth but also introduces risks related to interest payments and market conditions. ◉ Top Shareholders 1. Visa ● The Vanguard Group has notably boosted its investment in Visa, now commanding a remarkable 7.52% share, reflecting a 0.62% increase since the close of the March quarter. ● In contrast, Blackrock maintains a stake of approximately 6.7% in the firm. 2. Mastercard ● When it comes to Mastercard, Vanguard has also made strides, raising its ownership to an impressive 8.27%, which is a 1.02% uptick since the end of March. ● Blackrock, on the other hand, has a substantial 7.56% stake, showing a 1.17% growth from the same period. 3. American Express ● As for American Express, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway boasts a significant 21.3% stake in the company. ● Meanwhile, Vanguard holds a 6.36% interest, while Blackrock has a 5.89% share. ◉ Conclusion After a thorough analysis of both technical and financial indicators, we find that American Express offers a compelling valuation opportunity that is likely to attract investors. Nonetheless, it is important to recognize the significant debt load the company carries, a concern that also extends to Mastercard. ● From a technical standpoint, the chart for American Express seems to be stretched thin. Investors might want to hold off for a corrective dip to secure a more advantageous entry point. ● Mastercard's financial results reflect solid performance, though it carries a high level of debt. The technical chart indicates a slight overvaluation. Savvy investors might look to build their positions during times of price stabilization. ● Visa presents a well-rounded synergy between its technical and fundamental metrics. Its chart reveals a remarkable rebound, approaching previous all-time highs after a notable decline. The company's valuation and growth potential make it a compelling investment choice.
NYSE:VLong
by NaranjCapital
7