$UNH buy the fear or sell into narrative?- NYSE:UNH has gotten into trouble with bad headlines after bad headlines.
- Recent DOJ probe led to 12% shaving in the stock price.
- Could it be a buying opportunity or just a falling knife?
- Are you afraid that NYSE:UNH could become NYSE:HUM 2.0?
Let's talk about fundamentals!
Year | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
GAAP EPS | 15.76. | 28.22 | 32.11 | 36.80 | 41.11
EPS growth% | -33.47% | 79.08% | 13.77% | 14.61% | 11.71%
It appears that 2024/ Early 2025 was the year when EPS growth bottomed and would go from negative to positive back again.
EPS growth is healthy double digit in mid teens. A fair forward p/e multiple for mid teen EPS growth should at least be 15 ( conservatively )
Year | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Stock Price (w/ forward p/e = 15 ) | $236 | $423 | $481 | $552 | $616
However, NYSE:UNH is a blue chip company and has a moat. Therefore, Investors will be willing to pay forward p/e of 20 once negative news subside.
Year | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Stock Price (w/ forward p/e = 20 ) | $315 | $564 | $642 | $736 | $822.2
Final Take:
I'm a buyer of NYSE:UNH < 450 will add more if it dips below 400 for the long term. Good quality companies don't usually buyers to get their skin into the game. Therefore, it's better to buy the fear than selling into narrative.
Investment
SPX Target 6270 - Can It Get There?SPX Targets 6270 – But Can It Get There? | SPX Market Analysis 20 Feb 2025
The SPX is climbing like a caffeinated squirrel... ok, maybe not. It’s more like a slightly confused sloth trying to find second gear!..., while DJX and RUT are stuck in the mud.
The breakout move we’ve been waiting for has arrived, and now the question is—does it have enough fuel to hit 6270, or will it stumble and trigger my hedge at 6100? Bollinger Bands are too tight for reliable setups, so I’m sticking with my 6 money-making patterns until volatility expands.
Let’s break it all down…
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📈 SPX is Soaring (like a fat pigeon!) – But the Other Indexes Aren’t Joining the Party
While SPX is off making new highs, its friends DJX and RUT seem to have lost their invitations.
DJX is struggling to gain meaningful ground 📉
RUT can’t even catch an uptick, making it the weakest of the bunch ❌
Meanwhile, SPX is leading the way, with a clear breakout in play
A closely following NDX is nipping at SPX's heals
💡 Breakout Confirmed – But Can It Hold?
Scenario #1 from our previous discussions has unfolded—the range has broken out.
Target: 6270 🎯
Hedge trigger: 6100 in case the move fails
This is the good kind of waiting—waiting for profits to materialise
🔄 Why I’m Avoiding Tag ‘n Turn Setups Right Now
Normally, after a breakout, I’d shift back to Tag 'n Turn setups. But there’s a problem…
Bollinger Bandwidth is too tight, making moves too fast
Price is flipping from one side of the bands to the other
A Bollinger Band pinch is forming, indicating more compression before expansion
So, what’s the plan?
✅ I’ll continue to use my 6 money-making patterns
✅ I’ll wait for volatility to expand before returning to Bollinger setups
✅ No forced trades—only high-probability moves
🚀 Final Takeaway?
The breakout is here, the target is set, and the plan is clear. Now, it’s time to let the market do its thing and wait for the move to play out.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? In 2018, Amazon briefly became a $1 trillion company—but it only stayed there for a few hours before dropping back below the threshold.
💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest breakouts can be short-lived—just because a stock (or index) makes a new high doesn’t mean it will stay there forever. Always have a plan—targets and hedge triggers matter.
TONUSD Daily Price chartLooking at this Toncoin (TON/USD) chart, I see a well-defined ascending channel pattern that's been forming since early 2022, with several key technical elements worth noting:
Channel Structure & Current Position
Price is trading at $3.5686 (+0.67%)
TON is currently near the lower boundary of the ascending channel (marked as "Buy Zone" at ~$2.6)
RSI (14) is at 27.43, indicating oversold conditions
Key Price Points
Current support at the lower channel line (~$2.6-2.7 range)
Strong horizontal support around $2.7155
Resistance zone at $12-13 (marked in blue rectangle)
In mid-term this setup suggests a potential buying opportunity with:
Entry Zone: $2.6-2.8 area (where the price meets the lower channel boundary)
Stop Loss: Below $2.2 (approximately 15% below entry to account for volatility)
Profit Targets:
First target: $6.0 (previous resistance level)
Second target: $9.0 (previous high marked as point 3)
Maximum target: $12-13 zone (upper channel projection)
in long temm in 2-3 yaers later i see a bright future for TON's holder!!
Please tell me what you think about the future of TON.
All the best
SPX In Limbo - Which way will it break?SPX in Limbo – Will It Break Up or Down? | SPX Market Analysis 19 Feb 2025
Still waiting. Yep, that’s where we are.
The market is about as exciting as watching paint dry, but this is not the time to get impatient. As much as I’d love to jump into a trade just to feel productive, I know better—waiting for the right entry beats chasing the wrong one.
Let’s break it down while we sip on tea and pretend to be Zen masters of market patience.
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
Why Patience is Everything in Trading
There’s an old trading rule that never fails—the market will always move… eventually. But right now, it’s in one of those frustrating, indecisive moods where:
Nothing is confirming (so forcing a trade is a bad idea)
It’s stuck between two key levels (meaning we wait for the breakout or breakdown)
Volume is sluggish (which means false moves are more likely)
Still Watching Two Scenarios
☑ Scenario #1 – The Bullish Breakout Entry
Needs price to confirm above key resistance
No fakeouts—just clean, strong momentum
Only then do I consider a bullish trade
☑ Scenario #2 – The Bearish Reversal Entry
Needs clear rejection at resistance
No weak, choppy movements—just a solid confirmation
Only then do I take a bearish setup
Why Forcing Trades is a Losing Game
Let’s be honest—waiting is boring. But do you know what’s worse? Jumping into a trade just because you're impatient… and then watching it immediately go against you.
Every trader, at some point, has thought:
"It looks like it’s going to move, maybe I should enter early…" (Nope.)
"I don’t want to miss the move…" (You won’t—if you follow the plan.)
"Other traders are jumping in—should I?" (Nope. They’re probably wrong.)
The right trade at the wrong time is still the wrong trade.
What’s Next?
✅ Stay patient—the market will tip its hand soon enough
✅ Wait for clear confirmation—not “I think this might be it” confirmation
✅ Don’t trade out of boredom—trade because the setup is 100% valid
📌 Final Takeaway? Patience = profit. I’m still waiting, tea in hand, and when the market finally makes its move, I’ll be ready.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know?
The stock market used to take 5 months to process a trade before the 1970s. Now? It happens in milliseconds—but traders still struggle to wait a few hours for the right setup.
💡 The Lesson?
Patience has always been a trader’s best tool. Some things never change.
Fundamentals support $11-13 range- NYSE:PAGS is growing EPS high single digit to low double digits.
- I'm not expecting much from this company. Fundamentally, it's cheap enough not to ignore.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027
EPS | 1.18 | 1.32 | 1.62 |
EPS growth | 2.62% | 11.77% | 22.08%
Fair forward p/e for year 2025 -> 5
Fair stock price => 1.18 x 5 ~ $6
Fair forward p/e for year 2026 for 11.77% eps growth -> 10
Fair stock price => 1.32 x 10 ~ $13.2
Fair forward p/e for year 2027 for 22.08% eps growth -> 20
Fair stock price => 1.62 x 20 ~ $32.4
$GRAB - One of the best DCA opportunity! PT : $7-10- NASDAQ:GRAB is no brainer buy sub $5 and ride it till $7-10
- It's like NYSE:UBER of south east asia.
- If you believe that in upcoming years, income per capita in south east asia will grow then you are investing in the right company!
- This stock provide me diversification outside of US and allows me to capture the network effect of growing economy be it via inflation or actual income per capita.
- NASDAQ:GRAB is blue chip stock for south east asians. Their fund managers, public will likely add it in their retirement savings account.
- Passive inflows alone will lift the market cap of the company.
- NASDAQ:GRAB will be double digits. It's just matter of when!
- This NASDAQ:GRAB isn't a trade for me but an investment. I don't care if it crashes by 30-50% or go up by 30-50% in next 1-2 years.
- I'm looking at a multibagger investment and aim for at least 4-5x from current level.
Made in England.. FTSE 100 Triangle BreakoutFinally the long term triangle pattern in blue chip UK stocks has broken - and the weekly chart for the FTSE 100 index is looking very positive.
The breakout weekly candle is a long one with a close right near the highs - showing bulls are well in control of the market.
We can see the triangle break in more granular detail on the daily chart with the break confirmed on Thursday and a strong follow-through move on Friday.
Support is found first at the former all time high (8450-8475) then back at the broken trendline from the triangle pattern.
These support levels define our risk - the price back inside the triangle will inform us the breakout has failed - this time at least.
But if things move as we expect, using the height of the triangle pattern as a price objective from the breakout point, the UK 100 could reach 9,000.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Comments welcome :)
cheers!
Jasper
The material provided in this article is for information purposes only and should not be understood as trading or investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Trading Writers and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote investment research independence. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk.
SPX Finally Pops - But Will It Stick?SPX Finally Pops – But Will It Stick? | SPX Market Analysis 14 Feb 2025
Well, pop the champagne, sound the victory bells, and maybe slap my thigh and call me Rodger—SPX has finally broken out! The only thing missing is a trumpet fanfare and maybe a ticker-tape parade.
But before we get too carried away, the real question remains—will this breakout hold strong or collapse into another Friday sell-off?
Let’s break it down…
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
🎉 The Market Has Moved – But Will It Last?
After days of tedious range-bound trading, SPX finally decided to pick a direction. But if history is anything to go by, we can’t get too comfortable just yet.
🔻 Friday Sell-Off Risk
If the last few weeks are anything to go by, we’ve seen:
A break higher, only for it to reverse sharply by Friday
A hard and fast flush that wipes out the week’s gains
A market that keeps traders on their toes
📉 Bear Trades Expire Today
My bearish positions are expiring
We never quite got the drop to range lows
A last-minute sell-off could help—but I won’t be holding my breath
🔄 What’s Next?
✅ Option 1: Look for a fresh swing trade entry today
✅ Option 2: Sit back, relax, and enjoy a long romantic weekend 😉
📌 Final Takeaway?
The range is finally broken, but we’ve been burned before by Friday sell-offs. Patience is key—there’s always another trade, but a long weekend is also tempting.
📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day stock market gain in history happened on March 24, 2020, when the Dow surged 2,113 points.
💡 The Lesson? Even record-breaking rallies can happen after massive crashes. Markets move in cycles—so while sell-offs seem endless, breakouts eventually happen… and vice versa.
SPX Ready to pop? The pressure is buildingSPX Ready to Pop? The Pressure Is Building… | SPX Market Analysis 13 Feb 2025
The market is wound up tighter than a coiled spring, and I’m starting to wonder what will finally trigger the next move.
From a commentary standpoint, this is snooze-worthy—but from a trading standpoint, the Theta burn is quietly adding pennies to our pockets. Even if the market isn’t moving, we’re still getting paid.
Let’s break it down…
📉 SPX is Stuck – But That’s Not a Bad Thing
The market has been compressing into a tighter range, creating a pressure buildup that could snap in either direction. While traders watching for big swings are frustrated, we’re happily raking in Theta decay.
💰 Theta Burn – The Secret to Profiting in a Boring Market
In choppy or sideways conditions, directional traders get wrecked
But income traders get paid to wait, thanks to option decay
Every day that passes without a move = profits added to our pockets
📌 Overnight Futures – Still No Directional Clues
The futures market isn’t offering any strong signals 📉📈
Price compression continues, across all indexes
🚀 What Happens Next?
Eventually, this coiled spring will snap—we just don’t know when
The key is patience—we don’t need a big move to win
Whether SPX explodes up or down, we’ll be ready 💡
📌 Final Takeaway?
Sideways markets may be boring to talk about, but for income traders, they’re a steady payday. The key is knowing how to extract profits while waiting for the breakout.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The longest sideways market in history lasted nearly 17 years (1966–1982).
💡 The Lesson? Even in extended choppy periods, there are ways to profit—as long as you have the right strategy.
4 Scenarios for Anticipating The Fed's PolicyBased on prevailing economic conditions and financial pressures
Scenario #1 | The Fed’s Policy and Its Implications
High Inflation Persists & Bank Liquidity Declines
Conditions:
Bank Credit grows slowly, while Deposits grow at a slower pace than Borrowings.
Cash Assets decline significantly, indicating a reduction in liquidity within the banking system.
Interbank lending rates rise, tightening funding among banks.
Inflation remains high, but economic growth slows.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Maintain high interest rates or increase further to curb inflation.
Reduce bond holdings through Quantitative Tightening (QT) to absorb liquidity from the financial system.
Open emergency lending facilities for banks to prevent panic in financial markets.
Impacts:
USD may strengthen as higher interest rates make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to global investors.
Increased pressure on banks, especially those heavily reliant on short-term funding.
Stock markets may experience a correction, particularly in interest rate-sensitive sectors such as technology and real estate.
Scenario #2 | Recession Starts to Surface & Credit Tightens
Conditions:
Bank Credit stagnates or turns negative, indicating that banks are restricting credit due to concerns about default risks.
Deposits stagnate, as investors prefer alternative assets such as bonds or gold.
Stock markets begin showing bearish pressure due to economic uncertainty.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Gradually lower interest rates to stimulate borrowing and investment.
End Quantitative Tightening (QT) and restart Quantitative Easing (QE) to inject liquidity into the markets.
Adjust bank reserve requirements to allow more flexibility in lending.
Impacts:
USD may weaken as lower interest rates reduce the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets.
U.S. government bonds will become more attractive, causing bond yields to decline further.
Stock prices may rise, particularly in sectors that benefit from lower interest rates, such as technology and real estate.
Scenario #3 | Liquidity Crisis in the Banking System
Conditions:
Sharp declines in Cash Assets, causing some banks to struggle to meet short-term obligations.
Deposits exit the banking system, as public confidence in banks decreases.
Federal Funds Rate spikes, making interbank borrowing more difficult.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Provide emergency lending facilities for banks facing liquidity shortages, as seen during the 2008 and 2023 financial crises.
Lower interest rates in an emergency move if liquidity pressures worsen to maintain financial stability.
Collaborate with the FDIC to guarantee deposits and prevent bank runs.
Impacts:
Financial markets may experience high volatility, with potential panic selling in banking stocks.
Investors will flock to safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. government bonds, causing their prices to surge.
Confidence in the USD may temporarily weaken, especially if the Fed injects large amounts of liquidity into the system.
Scenario #4 | Soft Landing - Stable Economy & Fed Policy Adjustments
Conditions:
Inflation is under control, and the economy continues to grow positively.
Bank Credit grows steadily, and bank liquidity remains adequate.
Stock markets remain calm, with no signs of panic in financial markets.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Keep interest rates stable for an extended period, with no drastic changes.
End Quantitative Tightening (QT), but avoid immediately restarting QE.
Collaborate with financial regulators to maintain banking system stability without major interventions.
Impacts:
USD remains stable, as no major monetary policy changes occur.
Lending rates remain in a moderate range, supporting investment and consumption growth.
Stock markets may gradually recover, particularly in sectors benefiting from stable monetary policies.
Anticipating The Fed’s Policy!
If liquidity declines and inflation remains high → The Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates & tighten monetary policy.
If a recession starts to emerge → The Fed may lower interest rates & ease monetary policy to support credit and investment.
If a liquidity crisis occurs → The Fed may bail out banks, lower interest rates, and stabilize the financial system.
If the economy remains stable → The Fed may hold interest rates & make only minor adjustments.
Recommendations:
Monitor The Fed’s statements and key economic data (CPI, PCE, NFP, GDP) to anticipate upcoming policy changes.
Analyze market reactions to monetary policy to identify trends in stocks, bonds, and USD.
Use bank liquidity and Borrowings data to assess potential liquidity constraints in the banking system.
If you have additional insights or different perspectives, I’d love to discuss them in the comments!
ICEUS:DX1! ICEUS:DXY CBOE:CBOE NASDAQ:CME TVC:US10Y
Bearish Bias Locked int - Now We wait for the dropBearish Bias Locked In – Now We Wait for the Drop | SPX Market Analysis 11 Feb 2025
The bullish chapter is closed, and our focus is now entirely bearish as we eye a move toward 5980. Futures are already pointing lower, teasing a 20-point drop at the open.
Will we get the full range move, or will SPX keep stalling?
Either way, we’re locked and loaded—now, we wait for the market to tip its hand.
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Bearish Positions Locked In
SPX is now fully bearish, with bullish trades wrapped up profitably or at break-even following the bear turn signal. This continues to aligns perfectly with our 6 money-making patterns, where we expect a move from range highs to range lows.
📊 Futures Hint at a Lower Open
Overnight futures are already down 20 points, suggesting:
✅ A weaker SPX open
✅ A potential move toward 5980
✅ Confirmation that momentum is shifting lower
🔍 ADD Still Has Room to Fall
Yesterday’s ADD reading hit the upper bullish extreme
That leaves plenty of downside wiggle room
If ADD pushes lower, indexes could also follow through
⏳ For Now, It’s a Waiting Game
The bearish setup is in place
Price action will dictate the next move
A clean range move to 5980 remains the primary target
🚀 Key Takeaway? The market is aligning with expectations, but we still need follow-through to lock in profits.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? In 1987, the Dow dropped 22.6% in a single day—the biggest percentage crash in history. That’s the equivalent of the S&P 500 dropping over 1,000 points today!
💡 The Lesson? Even in structured markets, major moves can happen fast. This is why having a rule-based trading system keeps you ahead of the chaos.
$NU will be 15+ before end of FY 2025- This bank has phenomenal growth, expanding TAM in latin america.
- Numbers speaks for themselves, It's poised for success for rising middle class consumers in latin america.
- Digital Banking will provide immense value in latin america where typical banks were the only way to do banking in the past.
ISSC: A Key Investment Opportunity in Aerospace and Defense◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Innovative Solutions and Support NASDAQ:ISSC
● Buy Range - 11.5 - 11.8
● Sell Target - 14.6 - 15
● Potential Return - 25% - 30%
● Approx Holding Period - 08-12 months
◉ Company Overview
Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc., founded in 1988 and based in Exton, Pennsylvania, is a systems integrator specializing in aviation technology. The company designs, manufactures, and services flight guidance systems, autothrottles, cockpit displays, and related products, including air data computing devices, flight management systems, GPS units, and inertial reference systems. It also provides magnetic variation software and operates manufacturer system software. Serving commercial airlines, corporate aviation, the U.S. Department of Defense, government agencies, foreign militaries, and OEMs, the company delivers advanced solutions for aviation and defense sectors globally.
◉ Market Capitalization - $207 M
◉ Other Key Players in the Same Industry
1. GE Aerospace NYSE:GE - $219.6 B
GE Aerospace is a leading global provider of commercial and military aircraft engines, systems, and services. The company is a subsidiary of General Electric (GE) and has a rich history dating back to 1917.
2. Honeywell International NASDAQ:HON - $144.8 B
Honeywell is a multinational conglomerate that produces a wide range of products, including aerospace systems, industrial control systems, and consumer products. The company's aerospace division is a leading provider of avionics, engines, and other aircraft systems.
◉ Key Drivers of Future Revenue and Profit Growth
1. Growth in Military Programs: New contracts, like the U.S. Army's adoption of the ThrustSense Autothrottle and multifunction displays for foreign military platforms, signal strong future revenue potential in defense markets.
2. ISSC Next Strategy: Focused on commercial growth, this strategy includes new OEM and retrofit programs, product acquisitions, and launches like UMS2, aiming to accelerate revenue growth and improve operating margins.
3. Manufacturing Expansion: Increased in-house production and capacity enhancements are expected to boost operating margins and EBITDA by reducing reliance on external suppliers and improving scale efficiencies.
4. Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions, particularly from Honeywell, provide revenue synergies and cross-selling opportunities, diversifying offerings and expanding customer bases to drive profitability.
5. Investment in Advanced Technologies: Innovations like AI-integrated cockpit automation position the company to meet future demand in both commercial and military sectors, supporting long-term earnings growth.
◉ Key Risks to Consider
1. Margin Pressure from Military Sales: The company's reliance on military contracts, which typically have lower gross margins than commercial contracts, may negatively impact overall profitability.
2. Integration Challenges from Acquisitions: The integration of recent acquisitions, such as those from Honeywell, is uncertain and may prove difficult, potentially affecting revenue growth and operating margins.
3. Debt-Related Financial Risks: The significant debt incurred from the Honeywell acquisitions poses a financial risk, which could lead to cash flow constraints or higher interest expenses, impacting net income.
4. Operating Expense Pressures: The planned increase in manufacturing capacity and R&D investment may add pressure on operating expenses. If not managed effectively, this may not translate to proportionate revenue growth, impacting net margins.
5. Revenue Realization Risks: The long sales cycle and complexities associated with military contracts may delay revenue realization. If anticipated backlogs do not convert as scheduled, this could affect short- to mid-term revenue expectations.
◉ Technical Analysis
➖ Following a record high of $14.6, the stock plummeted by nearly 90% and entered a prolonged period of consolidation.
➖ However, a bullish reversal pattern, known as an Inverted Head & Shoulder, has formed during this phase.
➖ With a decisive breakout, the stock has also cleared its long-term trendline resistance, indicating a potential trend reversal.
➖ We expect this upward momentum to persist, driving the stock price higher.
◉ Revenue and Profit Analysis
● Year-on-year
➖ FY24 sales soared 36% to $47.2 million, up from $27.7 million in FY23.
➖ EBITDA jumped to $12.6 million, a significant increase from $8.5 million in FY22.
➖ EBITDA margin expanded to 26.7%, up from 24.32% in the same period.
● Quarter-on-quarter
➖ Q4 sales reached a record high of $15.4 million, surging 30% from $11.8 million in Q3 and 18% from $13 million in Q4 2023.
➖ Q4 EBITDA climbed to $5.9 million, up from $2.6 million in Q3.
➖ Q4 diluted EPS rose to $0.40 (LTM) from $0.37 (LTM) in Q3 2024.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ ISSC's P/E ratio stands at 29.8x, which is relatively in line with the industry average of 33.7x, indicating fair valuation.
● P/B Ratio
➖ With a P/B ratio of 3.3x, ISSC appears undervalued compared to the industry average of 4.5x.
● PEG Ratio
➖ ISSC's PEG ratio of 1.83 suggests the stock is fairly valued, considering its anticipated earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ ISSC achieves remarkable growth in operational cash flow, rising 176% to $5.8 million in FY24 from $2.1 million in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ ISSC's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, signalling that debt is not a significant concern for the company.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ The Vanguard Group holds a significant 3% stake in the company, indicating institutional confidence in its growth prospects.
◉ Conclusion
The U.S. aerospace and defense market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated $694.86 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.76%. This growth is fueled by rapid technological advancements, including innovations in artificial intelligence (AI), advanced materials, 3D printing, and autonomous systems, which are reshaping the industry landscape.
Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (ISSC) is strategically positioned to capitalize on this expanding market, leveraging its expertise in advanced aviation systems, strong military and commercial contracts, and ongoing investments in cutting-edge technologies.
For investors seeking exposure to the aerospace and defense industry, ISSC represents a compelling opportunity, supported by its solid financial performance, favorable valuation metrics, and alignment with long-term market trends.
SPX Nears All-Time Highs – Is a Breakout Imminent?The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has been following a strong upward trajectory, consistently forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating a bullish trend.
However, the price is now approaching a rising trendline that has acted as a key resistance multiple times in the past.
Bharti Airtel Trade Setup | High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityHere's an exciting analysis of Bharti Airtel Ltd based on the chart! 📊🚀
🔥 Trade Setup & Key Levels
📥 Entry Zone: 1657 - 1674 (Smart buy zone)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): 1592 (Risk protection)
🎯 Target Profits (TP):
TP1: 1737 (First milestone 🥇)
TP2: 1778 (Stronger bullish push 📈)
TP3: 1858 (Big breakout potential 💥)
📌 Observations & Strategy
Current Price: 1619.75 (-2.45%) 📉 → Price is below the entry zone, meaning a potential bounce or more downside.
RSI & Indicators: Oversold conditions ⚠️ → Possible buyer interest soon!
Risk-Reward Ratio: A great setup with a high reward vs. risk trade! 🔥
🚀 What’s Exciting?
If support at 1592 holds, we could see a bullish explosion 🚀🔥
A break above 1657 might trigger a rally toward 1737+ levels 📈💰
If 1592 breaks down, a deeper fall might be in play ⚠️📉
This setup is high-risk, high-reward—perfect for traders looking for a strong breakout move! 💎 What do you think? 🤔
⚠ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. Stocks and securities are subject to market risk 📉📈. Please read all levels carefully before making any trading decisions.
📊 Follow for more insights & trade setups! 🚀
Japan Aesthetics Market Set for Rapid Growth
The Japan aesthetics market is on a trajectory of significant expansion, with a projected rise from $4.15 billion in 2025 to $12.97 billion by 2034, driven by a CAGR of 13.50%. This growth is fueled by an aging population, rising demand for non-invasive cosmetic treatments, and increasing consumer interest in aesthetic enhancements. Industry leaders such as Jiyugaoka Clinic, Big Blue株式会社, and Nasdaq-listed SBC Medical are poised to benefit from this flourishing market.
Surging Demand for Non-Invasive Aesthetic Treatments
One of the most significant trends propelling the Japan aesthetics market is the increasing preference for non-invasive and minimally invasive procedures. Treatments like Botox, dermal fillers, laser therapy, and chemical peels are gaining popularity due to their ability to deliver natural-looking results with minimal downtime. This shift in consumer behaviour, particularly among millennials and middle-aged individuals, is pushing clinics and medical institutions to expand their service offerings.
Among the key players, Jiyugaoka Clinic is at the forefront of providing advanced non-surgical aesthetic solutions, leveraging cutting-edge technology to meet the growing demand. Similarly, Big Blue株式会社, a prominent player in Japan’s medical aesthetics industry, is expected to capitalise on the rise of minimally invasive procedures by integrating the latest technology into its service offerings.
Aging Population Driving Growth in Anti-Aging Aesthetics
Japan’s rapidly aging population is another key driver of market growth. As more individuals seek anti-aging solutions to maintain a youthful appearance and boost self-esteem, the demand for procedures targeting wrinkles, skin laxity, and facial volume loss is accelerating. SBC Medical, a Nasdaq-listed company, is well-positioned to cater to this demand, with a strong presence in Japan’s aesthetic industry and a portfolio of innovative anti-aging treatments.
The rising disposable income among Japan’s older demographic is further amplifying demand, leading to increased investment in cosmeceuticals, skin rejuvenation procedures, and cosmetic implants. The trend toward maintaining a youthful look is fostering continuous advancements in facial aesthetics and body contouring solutions, ensuring sustained market growth.
Technological Innovations Fueling Market Expansion
The aesthetics market in Japan is evolving rapidly due to the integration of state-of-the-art technology in aesthetic treatments. The country’s emphasis on precision, safety, and innovation has led to the development of AI-assisted skin analysis, laser resurfacing, and next-generation cosmetic implants. Jiyugaoka Clinic and Big Blue株式会社 are actively incorporating these advancements, providing highly personalised and effective treatment options to cater to diverse consumer needs.
Moreover, SBC Medical’s presence on the Nasdaq market enhances its ability to attract global investors and leverage international expertise in aesthetic dermatology and plastic surgery. With access to cutting-edge research and development, the company is expected to introduce groundbreaking treatments that further strengthen Japan’s position as a leader in the aesthetics industry.
A Booming Market with Expanding Opportunities
The Japan aesthetics market is poised for exponential growth, driven by increasing awareness, changing beauty standards, and evolving medical advancements. The rise of non-invasive procedures, combined with a strong demand for anti-aging treatments, is creating a lucrative environment for Jiyugaoka Clinic, Big Blue株式会社, and SBC Medical to thrive.
As consumer preferences shift towards customised, technology-driven aesthetic solutions, these industry leaders are well-equipped to meet demand, ensuring sustained market dominance in the years to come. Investors and industry stakeholders should closely watch Japan’s aesthetics market, as it continues to set new benchmarks for innovation, safety, and personalised beauty treatments.
Swedbank Just Did Something It Hasn't Done in 18 Years!Hi all,
A few weeks ago, at the Estonian finance conference, I pointed out that Swedbank needs a Monthly candle close above a historically significant level to confirm further upside into "open waters".
Before I dive deeper - if someone still claims that "price has no history" or "price doesn't repeat itself," just show them Swedbank’s chart. Back in 2007, Swedbank attempted to break the 215–228 SEK level for the first time. The result? A complete failure. Sellers took control and smashed the price down.
Fast forward 7–10 years: “Let’s try again a few more times!” Still nothing. The level remained unbreakable, draining all momentum. Over the past 18 years, this zone has been tested 7–9 times, and every single attempt ended in failure.
Now, today, things are changed. Today, we have that Monthly close, and the price has now entered a potential buying zone. Technically, Swedbank is ready - optimal zone 215 to 237 SEK!
Do your homework; this is just my opinion and my analysis!
Do not forget to "Boost" the idea - all the best,
Vaido
Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout BeginsMarkets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025
Ahoy there Trader! ⚓️
It’s Phil…
Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right!
With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction?
Let's dig in!
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
🔥 Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard
The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal.
SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%).
Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range.
Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce.
💰 Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side
Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened:
✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open.
✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action.
✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades.
⏳ Key Levels to Watch
📌 Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline?
📌 Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves.
📌 Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open.
For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move.
Fun Fact:
📉 The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression.
Lesson Learned?
Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen!
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
TOSHIUSD demand zone (0.00070) waiting for bullish confirmation 🚀 TOSH/USD Analysis: Fresh Demand Zone on M15 – Awaiting Bullish Confirmation
🔍 Why is this setup interesting?
✅ Fresh Demand Zone created on M15 at 0.00070 → Potential strong buy pressure 📊
✅ Trade not confirmed yet → Waiting for a bullish signal h1📈
✅ Confluence with Price Action and Market Structure 💹
📊 Key Levels & Scenarios:
🔵 Demand Zone (daily Support): 0.00070
🟢 Potential Confirmation: Wick rejection + Bullish close
🟢 Target Levels: 🎯 ATH
🛠 Supply & Demand Strategy Applied:
Fresh Demand Zone → Strong bounce potential ✅
Waiting for bullish confirmation (Engulfing candle, wick rejection, high volume) 📉
Optimized Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🎯
🔥 Follow me for more live market analysis
Is XRP Still A Good Idea To PurchaseWith this recent drop in XRP, I have been asked multiple times if I am still bullish on XRP and my comment still is YES!!!!
Why Now is the Perfect Time to Invest in XRP
I remain steadfast in my position: now is an even better time to buy and hold XRP. The reasons are compelling and numerous, reflecting the immense growth potential and strategic positioning of XRP as a global financial network.
Pilot Programs and Strategic Partnerships
The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is at the forefront of numerous pilot programs, demonstrating its utility and potential. Major financial institutions and corporations, including BlackRock, are exploring the integration of XRPL into their operations. Additionally, six upcoming ETFs and an XRP Futures market set to launch in 2025 highlight the growing interest and confidence in XRP's future.
Global Integration and Regulatory Developments
The Bank of Japan has announced that all Japanese banks will be connected to XRPL by 2025, marking a significant milestone in XRP's global adoption. Furthermore, the ongoing SEC lawsuit is expected to be resolved by April, potentially removing a significant barrier to XRP's growth. The pro-crypto stance of the Trump administration adds another layer of optimism for the future of XRP.
A Proven Track Record and Future Potential
Reflecting on my past investment in Bitcoin, where I purchased 9,099 BTC at $0.11 and sold them at $0.54, I realize the potential missed opportunity. Today, that investment would be worth $1.1 billion. Unlike Bitcoin, which had limited utility at the time, XRP is designed to move trillions of dollars globally on a daily basis, showcasing its practical applications and value.
Innovative Financial Solutions
Ripple Labs is actively working on a FOREX alternative with their stablecoins, including RLUSD, RLJPY, RLEUR, and RLGBP. These innovations further solidify XRP's position as a versatile and valuable asset in the financial ecosystem.
Recognition and Influence
The presence of Ripple Labs executives at the Presidential Inauguration balls, engaging with President Trump and Vice President JD Vance, underscores the significant influence and recognition of XRP. Notably, representatives from other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana were absent, highlighting XRP's unique standing.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the current landscape presents a prime opportunity to invest in XRP. The combination of strategic partnerships, global integration, regulatory developments, and innovative financial solutions positions XRP for substantial growth. However, the decision to invest ultimately rests with you. I encourage you to explore the insights shared on the Ripple Labs website and make an informed choice. Also, keep in mind that even with this recent pull-back XRP has still made a 25% gain since the first of the year. If you were to put your money with one of the large financial institutions, they would scoff at you if your told them that you were looking for an annualized 25% gain.
Investing in US Construction & Engineering: PWR vs FIX vs PRIM◉ Abstract
The U.S. construction and engineering sector is experiencing a significant boom, driven by infrastructure investments, rapid urbanization, and the rise of renewable energy projects. Leading companies such as Quanta Services NYSE:PWR , Comfort Systems USA NYSE:FIX , and Primoris Services Corporation NYSE:PRIM are capitalizing on these trends, each demonstrating strong performance. Among them, PRIM stands out with exceptional financial health and attractive valuation metrics, positioning it as a compelling choice for investors. PWR and FIX are also performing well, benefiting from the sector's growth momentum.
With substantial government spending and ongoing urbanization fueling demand, the sector presents promising opportunities for long-term investors. However, thorough research, clear investment goals, and effective risk management remain crucial to navigating this dynamic landscape successfully.
◉ Introduction
The U.S. construction and engineering sector is a vital component of the nation's economy, driving infrastructure development, urbanization, and economic growth. It encompasses various activities, including residential, commercial, industrial, and infrastructure construction, as well as engineering services for design, planning, and project management. Recent trends shaping the sector include urbanization, sustainability, technological advancements, and government investments in infrastructure.
◉ Key Drivers of Growth
1. Infrastructure Investments: $1.2 trillion allocated for roads, bridges, railways, and clean energy infrastructure.
2. Renewable Energy: Funding boost for solar and wind farms driving demand for construction services.
3. Urbanization: Rapid urbanization fueling demand for residential and commercial construction.
4. Sustainability: Emphasis on green building, energy efficiency, and renewable energy projects.
5. Technological Advancements: Adoption of BIM, drones, and automation improving efficiency and reducing costs.
6. Resilience and Disaster Recovery: Demand for resilient infrastructure and disaster recovery projects due to natural disasters.
◉ Key Players in the Sector
1. Fluor Corporation NYSE:FLR : A global leader in engineering and construction, focusing on energy, chemicals, and infrastructure projects.
2. AECOM NYSE:ACM : A multinational firm providing design, consulting, and construction services for infrastructure, transportation, and environmental projects.
3. Quanta Services NYSE:PWR : A leading provider of specialized infrastructure services for the electric power, oil, and gas industries, including renewable energy projects.
4. Comfort Systems USA NYSE:FIX : A major player in mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) services for commercial and industrial buildings.
5. Primoris Services Corporation NYSE:PRIM : Provides construction services for energy, utilities, and infrastructure projects, with a growing focus on renewable energy.
This report provides a comparative analysis of Quanta Services, Comfort Systems USA, and Primoris Services Corporation, examining their competitive dynamics in the U.S. construction and engineering sector.
◉ Technical Standings
➖ The charts for PWR, FIX, and PRIM exhibit similar trends, with stock prices currently experiencing a strong uptrend.
➖ Based on this momentum, it is expected that this trend will persist, driving prices even higher in the near future.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● PWR
➖ Q3 FY24 sales: $6.493 billion, up 16% sequentially and 15.5% YoY.
➖ Q3 EBITDA: $619 million, a significant increase from $463 million in Q2 and $542 million in Q3 FY23.
● FIX
➖ Q3 sales: $1.812 billion, flat sequentially but up 30% YoY.
➖ Q3 EBITDA: $238 million, up from $223 million in Q2 and $155 million in Q3 FY23.
● PRIM
➖ Q3 sales: $1.649 billion, an 8% YoY increase and the highest quaterly sales ever.
➖ Q3 EBITDA: $123 million, up from $112 million in Q2.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ PWR stands at a P/E ratio of 54.2x.
➖ FIX is at a P/E ratio of 32.3x.
➖ PRIM shows a P/E ratio of 24.3x.
◾ These numbers indicate that PRIM is considerably undervalued when compared to its competitors.
● P/B Ratio
➖ PWR's P/B ratio stands at 6.2x.
➖ FIX's P/B ratio is 9.5x.
➖ On the other hand, PRIM's P/B ratio is significantly lower at 3x.
● PEG Ratio
➖ PWR boasts a PEG ratio of 3.54.
➖ FIX’S PEG ratio is recorded at 0.66.
➖ PRIM, meanwhile, has a PEG ratio of 0.90.
◾ Analyzing the PEG ratios reveals that FIX is currently undervalued relative to its peers.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
All three companies have reported significant improvements in operating cash flow for Q3 FY24:
➖ PWR saw an 82% increase to $740 million (LTM), up from $391 million (LTM) in Q3 FY23.
➖ FIX reported a 41% rise to $302 million (LTM), compared to $214 million (LTM) in Q3 FY23.
➖ PRIM achieved a 133% increase to $416 million (LTM), up from $178 million (LTM) in Q3 FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ PWR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.6.
➖ FIX shows a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.19.
➖ In contrast, PRIM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.73.
◾ FIX boasts the lowest debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a stronger balance sheet and reduced reliance on debt financing compared to its peers.
◉ Top Shareholders
● PWR
➖ The Vanguard Group - 11.4%
➖ BlackRock - 7.62%
● FIX
➖ The Vanguard Group - 10.5%
➖ BlackRock - 14%
● PRIM
➖ The Vanguard Group - 11.5%
➖ BlackRock - 10.4%
◉ Conclusion
After a comprehensive analysis of the major players in the U.S. Construction & Engineering sector, including an in-depth review of technical capabilities and financial performance, Primoris Services Corporation NYSE:PRIM emerges as a standout candidate. The company’s robust financial health, supported by strong cash reserves, positions it well to navigate challenges such as debt concerns.
The sector as a whole is poised for significant growth, driven by massive government spending on infrastructure and the ongoing trend of rapid urbanization. For investors, this presents a compelling opportunity. However, it is essential to conduct thorough research, establish clear investment objectives, and maintain a long-term perspective to capitalize on this growth while effectively managing risks.