Investor
EURO: Can we push into 1.11640's? Hey guys, just got done doing some dissecting on the Euro here.
Really incredible movement we saw this morning during ECB Press Conference release, and CPI.
Monitoring the Euro on the fifteen minute - it literally rallied 300 pips both downside and upside combined.
Looking ahead into tomorrow, there is high impact news on the Dollar. Core & Retail sales specifically at 8:30am - looking for upside continuation on the Euro,
I believe we can reach for 1.11640's potentially by tomorrow afternoon or mid day, or maybe we can reach for the downside I truly all depends on the marketplace.
My bias is going to remain bullish, it can change going into the morning depending what Price does. If my bias change, I'll most likely re-upload an analysis.
Had some pretty successful trades these past few weeks, check them out.
Downward Momentum - 1 Hr Interval - EURUSDAppearing to be a significant and subtle sell off here. Be diligent and stick to your trading plan.
-LionGate
Potential Bullish Break Out - Daily Interval - AMRHHello Successful Traders,
As the time is approaching, for some of us we have been anticipating the announcement of the Earnings Report. Tomorrow at 8:00 A.M. EST, the company will release it's report. Await confirmation prior to entering the market.
Resistance Level 2 - (0.40 - 0.50) 10 cent interval
Resistance Level 1 - (0.33 - 0.40) 7 cent interval
Key Price Zone (KPZ) - (0.25 - 32) 7 cent interval
Support Level 1 - (0.20 - 0.25) 5 cent interval
Support Level 2 - (0.10 - 0.20) 10 cent interval
Furthermore, the company has released a number of promising PRs that can truly assist its revenue stream within the upcoming quarters.
Not Investment Advice. For Educational and Analytical Purposes Only. (Be Conscientious and Stick To Your Trading Plan)***
- LionGate
DPW ShortI share this idea to help educate those trying to learn how to trade stocks. Many will throw tomatoes at me, but hopefully one of you can find this post valuable in your journey. I will keep this relatively brief.
Let's start with the most recent DPW 10-Q found here: www.bamsec.com
First, check the date and shares outstanding, then proceed to the balance sheet. The balance sheet is a snapshot of the companies health. I want you guys to take a look at the current asset section and compare it to the current liabilities section.
The current assets are all items to which the business can turn to cash within a year.
In DPW's case, we are looking at a total of $9.96 million.
If we go down and look at the current liabilities of the business, we see that DPW has accounts payable of $13.5 million. This means that DPW has to somehow figure out how to turn all of its current assets into cash to pay those which it owes money to, or generate enough cash from its business. It is also important to note that DPW only had $876k in cash at this time. This leaves a lot of pressure on the business to perform so it can pay its bills.
If we go to the income statement, we will find that DPW's business is experiencing difficulties in profitability as the business's operating income is -$3.9 million. This leaves management in a difficult situation. They must attempt to raise capital; there are a few ways in which a business can raise cash. Without going into too much detail, you can issue debt or equity. Given the struggle of DPW, debt doesn't seem to be a current option. Thus the company elects to raise capital by selling ownership to investors. When the company does this, they issue new shares; this increases the supply. If you have never taken an economics course when supply increases, demand must also increase in order for the price to stay the same. Considering the desperate need for cash so the business can pay its upcoming bills, the company must try to create demand for shares in order to offset the incoming supply of stock. They seem to be doing this by issuing PRs which you must evaluate for yourself.
Note I only touched briefly on the current liabilities and accounts payable is only 1 line of many. The business has $26 million in current liabilities, which must be addressed. Given the current asset position and the performance of the business, It is important to evaluate the business for yourself and follow the moves the management team makes as your investment depends greatly on their ability to manage the situation successfully. Generally, in cases of this kind, shareholders are sacrificed in order to keep the business alive.
For a bonus check out DPW's additional paid-in capital and accumulated deficit. Perhaps even go back and research the companies past and some of the management team to ensure this is the right investment for you.
H&M - Short term. Hoping to break roofH&M will soon release their new collection of clothes, a collaboration with ''Menwithclass'' who has nearly 5 million instagram followers. This means a lot of marketing on social media for their webshop, and also a lot of more sales. I expect they'll break the trend-roof in the near future.
INVESTOR B Short term prediction VOL 2 (a closer look)A closer look at the short run, we see that the 20 EMA Crossed the 50 EMA once and even the 200 once and then dipped, and it is close to cross it again. The upper trendline is a strong roof, and the trend is pointing down.
INVESTOR B Short term predictionThe 20 EMA is close to crossing the 50 EMA. Previous trends (yellow vertical lines) with the same crossing the stock fell beteen 5-10%. I think at the start of 2019-08-12, the cadles will test the floor of the lower trendline or pitchfork, worst case scenario will be it going down to Fibonacci 23,6%-line, before bouncing back up. It is still a positive trend on the long term, but it looks like a small drop on the short term prediction.
Further Bearish Momentum? - Daily Interval - XBIOHello Successful Investors,
The stock (XBIO) has endured quite a concerning amount of negative (bearish) PA within the last few weeks... what is even more worrisome is there might even be greater south-side movement.. be diligent and plan accordingly prior to entering this volatile stock.
Resistance Level 3 - (13.00 - 14.15) 1.15 cent interval
Resistance Level 2 - (10.30 - 11.45) 1.15 cent interval
Resistance Level 1 - (8.75 - 9.90) 1.15 cent interval
Key Price Zone (KPZ) - (7.00 - 8.30) 1.30 cent interval
Support Level 1 - (2.90 - 4.05) 1.15 cent interval
Furthermore, the current catalyst that derived such behavior is the "$15 million of under-written stock"
Not Investment Advice. For Educational and Analytical Purposes Only. (Be Conscientious and Stick To Your Trading Plan)***
-LionGate
Black Hole-#SPX Just Starting VideoHello Sentiment Timing Traders,
We saw a big drop Friday, but so far the downside has not gone viral-YET! We are in the beginning stages of the move down and once we start seeing 0% sentiment readings from the Dorsey Sentiment Charts, then we can start looking for where a low may hit. That is the beauty of having Time, Sentiment and Technicals as our guidance, it will let us know when to start covering shorts, as the majority piles on the short side.
I go over in today video below, what pivots both bulls/bears have to work through in the coming days. G
Ultimate LONG 2019-2021
I see no recession coming.
Get over with Trade wars, it is no longer irrelevant. It is only the headlines that make you drop your stocks so BlackRock and Vanguard can accumulate more.
I see a lot of fear. we don't fall on fear. we fall on greed and too much confidence.
Getting some entry around here and in one months. Try not to pick stocks, use ETFs to diversify, but first read the holdings structure and commisions.
If you like to pick stocks, watch the ones who are:
1. looking strong on drawdowns
2. gaining more on market growth.
3. have great guidance and nice forward P/E vs current.
4. don't play earnings. just hold, otherwise you'll end up messing up
5. try to diversify, but do it truly. don't buy all tech, or all semiconductors, or all biotech or all banks. if you buy QQQ, you buy a lot of Apple, FB etc. so, no need to add more of it.
p.s. please see the previous related ideas, to see how it ends up
Amazing what will happed to the stock to signal this move.It will be brutal but whats goes up must come down its the law of the fysiks...
INVESTOR SEEMS LIKE IT ALL IS FINE BUT I CAN SEE A DANGER COMINGHave no idee what will trgger this but feels legit to reetest 300!
XRPUSD New Yearly Lows?Ripple has broken out of the wedge we analyzed on Tuesdays Technical Analysis livestream by capturing liquidity at the 0.4 major quarter and then aggressively shifting down below 0.35
As of right now, we are on track to continue moving down towards 0.325 (the next quarter level) based on the price action and how the intraday candles are looking.
We can expect the possibility of seeing a test of the yearly lows prior to any further significant bullish movement.
Of course these trades DO take time to play out!
Always remember team... there is opportunity to trade the intraday movements but if you are looking at the bigger picture - be CAREFUL with any margin trades that are buying right now because there is no clear indication price will go up.
Investors also be mindful that you may have the ability to purchase at better prices than where we are right now by simply being patient
GLAD - Gladstone Capital (Debt Investor)This ones going down with some bad debts on short. Enjoy the slide, chutes and ladders game today.
Technical versus Fundamental Analysis 101SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Technical versus Fundamental Analysis 101
a) Popularity
Fundamental analysis deals with the studies of basic financial information in order to forecast the
supply and demand, profit, strength of the industry, the ability of the management and some
other intrinsic factors, which influence the value, and the growth potential of the FOREX market.
In the fundamental analysis, various economic and global factors are also considered. This
analysis is also helpful for the forecasting of financial statements as it provides an insight into the
revenues, expenses, assets and liabilities.
Technical analysis is a method of forecasting the prices that tend to move in the trend form and
can be easily determined by altering the behaviour of the individual investor. It can be further
elaborated that this movement in the behaviour can be caused by the variety of factors including
the fluctuation in the economic, political as well as the psychological forces. This type of
analysis is also referred to as the internal analysis and is regarded as an art, in order to identify
the trend changes for maintaining the posture of investment until the weights of the trend are
reversed.
b) Fundamental Analysis
For the purpose of finding the intrinsic value of the currency, economic analysis, country
analysis and industry, the analysis is included in the fundamental analysis. The intrinsic value,
which is resulted from these three analysed figures, is considered as the true value as it possesses
the impact of all the three factors. If the computed intrinsic value is higher than the market price
of the shares, it is recommended that the shares should be bought by the investors. There are
different forecasting techniques, which are used in each of the above-discussed analysis. In the
case of economic analysis, the factors, which can be considered for the forecasting, are National
income growth rates, interest rates, inflation, the balance of payment, and budget of the country,
infrastructure, monsoon and economic and political stability. The economic forecasting can be
done with the help of,
1. Anticipatory surveys
2. Barometric or Economic Indicator Approach
3. Economic Model Building
4. Opportunistic Model Building
The forecasting in the industry analysis will be based upon the growth level of the industry,
profitability and the cost structure, nature of the product, policies of the government, labour and
research and development. Industry analysis can be carried out with the help of porters five
forces analysis. Other forecasting tools can include life cycle analysis of the industry, the profit
potential of the industry and characteristics prevailing in the industry. The fundamental analysis
of the currency will be based upon the macroeconomic arena of the country and the past
behaviour of the monetary institutions. The country analysis can be done with the help of
marketing success, accounting policies and profitability. Accounting policies include the pricing
strategies, depreciation methods, non-operating income and provisions for taxation. Profitability
analysis of the currency includes the various elements of financial statements and the technique
of ratio analysis also.
c) Technical Analysis
Technical analysis utilises different forecasting tools for the purpose of valuation of the FOREX
prices. These tools are mostly graphical in nature, which makes it easier for the investors to
analyse the currencies. The demographic shift will have a relevant effect on the forecasting tools
and techniques, which are identified in the technical analysis. For example, if the age of the
investor is below 25 years, the technical analysis will be preferred as it is less complicated as
compared to the fundamental analysis. The bar chart will be preferred also as it is the easiest
amongst all the graphs. However, if the investor is more than 25 years old, then the results will
be in the favour of fundamental analysis and if in case technical analysis is adapted, candlestick
will be preferred. Occupation and education will also take similar turns in case the investor has a
financial background or possesses non-financial background. It means that if an investor knows
the trading environment and dealings of the currencies, he can easily perform complicated
operations, which can provide effective results. However, the individuals having no or little
knowledge regarding the currency valuation will depend upon simple computations and graphs
identified in the technical analysis for forecasting purpose.
Happy Trading :)
"The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary" Alexander Elder
UPDATED. Economic cycle of bitcoinDeveloping on an idea from yesterday where i explain the economic cycle of an investor via bitcoin chart, i have elaborated on this by running the same process across the chart from 2014 to 2018.
The chart speaks for itself. All points needed to know/note are clearly marked on the chart.
The cycle is clear and the trend is clear.
The point of which the next expansion/pre-recession will end? That's not something i could say for sure yet, although, based on averages, 78K looks good.
SPX500 S&P500Basic cycles on chart along with key support and resistance levels
Is the next crash coming sooner than we anticipated?
