ETH - Critical Zone 👀 Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
As per my last analysis, ETH rejected the $3000 support and traded higher.
What's next?
Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation
For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the $4,000 - $4,100 is needed.
In this case, a movement towards the $4,500 resistance would be expected.
2️⃣ Bearish - Correction
Meanwhile, the bears can still kick in for a correction towards $3,500 where we will be looking for new short-term buy setups.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Investors
Bitcoin Market Analysis Post-Halving
After seven weeks of bearish sentiment, the Bitcoin market looks significantly different from the bullish euphoria experienced during the climb from $42,000 to $73,800. Now, with less than 48 hours left in the monthly candle, we stand at a critical juncture that could define Bitcoin's trajectory for May.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, commonly used to identify market direction, has entered what is known as the "red valley." This signaling suggests that we may be entering a more prolonged bearish period than initially anticipated by many analysts and crypto enthusiasts.
Currently, the BTC/USDT pair is trading around $65,500, facing significant challenges on shorter timeframes to generate the liquidity needed to break through key resistance levels. This stagnation below all-time highs could be interpreted as price consolidation before a potential significant move.
Investors and traders should closely monitor candle closes on higher timeframes and market reactions to crucial resistance levels. Patience and technical analysis will be essential tools for navigating the turbulent waters of the post-halving Bitcoin market.
THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
📖 Market Wizards: ResumePublished by Jack D. Schwager in 1989, "Market Wizards" marks the beginning of an indispensable series for traders and investors alike. Through engaging interviews, Schwager brings to light the experiences of titans such as Bruce Kovner, Richard Dennis, Paul Tudor Jones, Michael Steinhardt, Ed Seykota, Marty Schwartz, and Tom Baldwin, making learning from the best an enjoyable journey.
To keep things short, we highlighted the most important parts of the interviews and came back with these key takeaways:
There is no holy grail to trading success. The methodologies employed by the "market wizards " cover the entire spectrum from purely technical to purely fundamental and everything in between. The time they typically hold a trade ranges from minutes to years.
Although the styles of the traders are very different, many common denominators
were evident:
1. All those interviewed had a driving desire to become successful traders - in many cases, overcoming significant obstacles to reach their goal.
2. All reflected confidence that they could continue to win over the long run. Almost invariably, they considered their trading as the best and safest investment for their money.
3. Each trader had found a methodology that worked for him and remained true to that approach. Significantly, discipline was the word most frequently mentioned.
4. The top traders take their trading very seriously; most devote a substantial amount of their waking hours to market analysis and trading strategy.
5. Rigid risk control is one of the key elements in the trading strategy of virtually all those interviewed.
6. In a variety of ways, many of the traders stressed the importance of having the patience to wait for the right trading opportunity to present itself.
7. The importance of acting independently of the crowd was a frequently emphasized point.
8. All the top traders understand that losing is part of the game.
9. They all love what they are doing.
Below we've gathered a list of opinions from the traders interviewed in the book:
1. Implementation is as IMPORTANT as direction:
Getting the direction of the trade right is only part of a successful trade; putting the trade in the right way is critical.
2. You don’t get paid for being right.
Many traders fail not so much because of the trades they make when they are wrong, but rather because of the trades they don’t make when they are right.
3. Sometimes it is what you don’t do that counts.
“Music is the space between the notes.” – Claude Debussy. Analogously, the space between investments – the times one is out of the market – can be critical to successful investing.
4. Risk Control
Many market wizards interviewed in this book consider risk control even more important than the methodology.
5. Trade size can be more important than the entry point.
Traders focus almost entirely on where to enter a trade. In reality, the entry size is often more important than the entry price because if the size is too large, a trader will be more likely to exit a good trade on a meaningless adverse price move. Don’t let your greed influence position sizing beyond your comfort level.
6. Don’t try to be 100 percent right.
The market is moving against you and you are well aware of the dangers of an unconstrained loss, but you also still believe in your position and you are worried about throwing in the towel before the market turns. You are frozen in indecision.
7. Flexibility is a critical trait.
Flexibility is an essential quality to successful trading. It is important not to get attached to an idea and to always be willing to get out of a trade if the price action is inconsistent with your trade hypothesis.
8. The best remedy for a losing streak.
When you are in a losing streak, you can’t turn the situation around by trying harder. When trading is going badly, often the best solution is to stop trading for a while.
9. When everything is going great, watch out!
The worst drawdowns often come suddenly right on the heels of periods when just about everything seems to be working as well as if it had been optimistically scripted. In this case, a trader will be most susceptible to being lulled into complacency.
10. The market doesn’t care where you entered a trade.
Don’t make trading decisions based on where you bought (or sold) a stock or futures contract. The market doesn’t care where you entered your position. A common error traders make when they realize they are in a bad trade is to commit to getting out, but only after the market returns to their entry level – the proverbial “I will get out when I am even”. The linkage of liquidation to entry level is one of the major causes of turning small losses into large ones.
In conclusion , "The Market Wizards" by Jack D. Schwager serves as an illuminating guide into the minds and strategies of some of the most successful traders of our time.
Through insightful interviews and analysis, Schwager provides invaluable lessons on trading psychology, risk management, and market tactics. However, this is just the beginning of the journey into the world of market mastery.
To delve even deeper and expand your understanding, we highly encourage traders to explore the following volumes penned by Schwager: "The New Market Wizards" (1992), "Stock Market Wizards" (2001), "Hedge Fund Market Wizards" (2012), and "The Little Book of Market Wizards" (2014) . These sequels offer a rich tapestry of new interviews, anecdotes, and wisdom from a diverse array of trading luminaries, further enriching your knowledge and empowering your trading endeavors.
Whether you're a novice or a seasoned trader, these volumes are indispensable companions on your quest for trading success. Dive in, absorb the wisdom, and let it guide you on your path to becoming a true market wizard.
SILVER, This Crucial FORMATION is About to Activate the BEARS!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest analysis of SILVER from several timeframe perspectives. The recent determinations within the SILVER price are so severe that I saw no other approach besides deeply analyzing the current bearish indication within my analytics backend and approaching the most acute indications here. Especially, as SILVER is emerging with these heavily accelerated bearish pullbacks liquidating the bulls in the market and penetrating the still remaining supports the major bearish dynamics are increasing more and more and should not be underestimated.
The DXY, U.S.-Dollar Index is trending towards the upside with one new higher after the other together with the more than $100 Trillion market-cap bonds market trending towards the upside this is setting up a huge bearish sentiment for the asset of SILVER as investors open interest declines in SILVER and the bears are expecting the bulls to be roasted. In chart terms this means that SILVER on the weekly timeframe perspective is building this gigantic descending triangle foramtion that will be completed with a final breakout below the lower boundary and from there on the major bearish targets of 19.015 will be the minimum target of this gigantic descending triangle formation.
There are also many other factors that indicate the major bearish breakout and net long-liquidation scenario to emerge in the next times especially because SILVER is forming this major wave count on the lower timeframe perspectives with the bearish wave A setting the momentum of the bearish wave count. Now within this local wave-count SILVER is forming the ascending wedge as the main flag pole bearish wave B that is going to set up the origin of the bearish wave C extension once it has been completed. Together with the descending triangle, this is going to be a double confirmation, the major descending triangle on the weekly, and the bearish wave count on the local.
Taking all the factors into consideration here, SILVER is in a highly bearish condition with the major market developments decreasing the net-long open interest in SILVER as well as the grievous bearish formations that are setting up the next bearish waves to emerge within the next times. In this case, once the bearish momentum curve accelerates into the final target zones it will be important to determine how SILVER continues from there on because with a massive bearish pressure, there is also the potential that SILVER just continues beyond the target zones.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of SILVER. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Understanding the Differences between Traders and Investors
Trading and investing are two approaches to the financial markets, each with distinct characteristics and objectives. While both involve buying and selling financial instruments, understanding the differences between traders and investors is crucial for anyone looking to navigate the markets effectively. This article will provide an in-depth comparison between traders and investors, highlighting their key differences, strategies, and goals.
1. Time Horizon:
Traders: Traders aim to profit from short-term price fluctuations. They closely monitor market trends and frequently execute orders within hours, days, or weeks.
Investors: Investors focus on long-term growth and may hold their investments for years or even decades.
2. Risk Tolerance:
Traders: Traders are often comfortable with higher levels of risk, as they aim to profit from short-term market volatility.
Investors: Investors tend to have a more conservative risk appetite. They prioritize capital preservation and are willing to ride out short-term market fluctuations for potential long-term gains.
3. Trading Strategies:
Traders: Traders utilize a variety of strategies such as day trading, swing trading, and scalping. They rely on technical analysis, charts, indicators, and patterns to make rapid buy and sell decisions.
Investors: Investors typically adopt a buy-and-hold strategy, focusing on long-term trends and the fundamental analysis of companies or assets.
4. Market Focus:
Traders: Traders often concentrate on specific markets or asset classes, such as stocks, currencies, commodities, or derivatives.
Investors: Investors have a broader focus, investing in diverse asset classes such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or mutual funds. Their goal is to create a well-diversified portfolio for long-term growth and income generation.
5. Profit Objectives:
Traders: Traders aim to generate regular, short-term profits. They capitalize on market inefficiencies, fluctuations, and price movements to execute trades and make profits from both rising and falling markets.
Investors: Investors are primarily focused on long-term capital appreciation and income generation. They typically seek to benefit from the overall growth of their investment portfolio over a more extended period.
6. Emotional Factors:
Traders: Traders usually need to stay emotionally detached from their trades, as rapid decision-making and swift actions are often required. They often practice disciplined risk management and maintain strict control over emotions like fear and greed.
Investors: Investors have a more relaxed approach and can afford to take a long-term perspective. While they still need to manage emotions during market downturns, their investment decisions are less driven by short-term market fluctuations.
Conclusion:
Understanding the differences between traders and investors is crucial when deciding which approach aligns best with your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time commitment. Both trading and investing have their merits, and individuals may choose to adopt either approach or a combination of both. By considering factors such as time horizons, risk tolerance, strategies, and goals, individuals can effectively navigate the financial markets and work towards achieving their desired outcomes.
What do you want to learn in the next post?
DAILY CHART - RELIANCE INFRAThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Gold buys till 20000Hey guys it been a while on here ,I miss posting daily analyses , but we back and currently we looking at gold for the past two weeks price been on a downtrend and so the trend id over and buyers are taking the new lead , i will be looking to buy gold till 20k,we could see gold
reach this point
1956.3 if gold
breaks through
1900..
XAUUSD SELLS TP 1740Hello guys it really been a while on here ,but we backkkk...So let me give you a quick
breakdown on gold
this year market openin started with a bullish
move to 1960 with great
momentum making 1960 the highest high
price could ever reach
this year ,technically we know that when price
reach a high
a low is expected to
happen price is currently at 1823 ,
and if price breaks 1818 we for sure reaching 1760...LIKE and follow me for daily signals
audjpy sells till 88 guys Hey guys , I bring you greeting from this side of the world lol... looking at audjpy notice how price been breaking new lows and refuse to break any high I gave out gbpjpy sells analyses and price dropped over 2000 point ,this week I am holding my audjpy sells till 87.4 .like and follow me for more daily free signals guys.. Good luck guys
us30 guy analyses till 35000Hey guys , it a new week to print , looking at us30 we see price breaking new highs and as we know that when price is breaking highs we look for buys , price made a buy at 34750 area and after the high , a new low was formed @33000 area and so price took off from from support area ,currently price is going to break 34750 and my target area its 35000. like and follow me for free daily signals and analyses
Reasons why Bitcoin shot up above $21k.The value of bitcoin has changed since the start of 2022 and now stands at fresh lows.
The market value of BTC has just grown as it surpassed $21.8K.
Washington's concentration on cryptocurrencies is one factor that has contributed to the advancement.
The price of bitcoin dropped to new lows in November and December 2022 as a result of increased vulnerability. The continuous lows, both long-term and short-term, worried investors. Its value was constant in the last week of December, although there had been no discernible rise.
The most recent changes show that Bitcoin's value has increased since crossing $21,000 and is probably going to rise even further. Here is a quick overview of recent Bitcoin developments and the elements that have led to its current rise. Because of the current trend, it is time to buy Bitcoin once more. For a week, the trend has been good, and now is the perfect time for investors to capitalize on it. It is conceivable that Bitcoin's price will retest its all-time high, which might be a sign of good things to come. The preferred course of action for interested investors is to go on a spending binge. The value of Bitcoin has persevered through numerous setbacks, and the current trend may mark the end of the crypto winter.
An improvement in client security may create a beneficial climate for investors. When big brands crumbled and there was no way to stop it, investors felt in the dark. When a result, anxieties grew as the global market cap value fell below the $1 trillion threshold. There is a possibility that its worth will increase further if the market continues favourable.
POTENTIAL SELLS FOR AUDJPYHello everyone ,happy new year and welcome to the new trading week , here is a great setup for audjpy sells ,before the festive period there was a news release which caused a great fall in price of all jpy pairs making audjpy reach a new low at price 87.06 ,after the low we noticed how price came to form a new lower high at price 91.2 , this week we expect price to hit back support area 87.06 , with that been said all we should look out for is sells at market opening is sells with take profit 1 @ 88.3 and Tp 2 @ 86 . like and follow me for more daily signals .Thank me later .Goodluck
POTENTIAL SELLS FOR AUDJPY Hello everyone ,happy new year and welcome to the new trading week , here is a great setup for audjpy sells ,before the festive period there was a news release which caused a great fall in price of all jpy pairs making audjpy reach a new low at price 87.06 ,after the low we noticed how price came to form a new lower high at price 91.2 , this week we expect price to hit back support area 87.06 , with that been said all we should look out for is sells at market opening is sells with take profit 1 @ 88.3 and Tp 2 @ 86 . like and follow me for more daily signals .Thank me later .Goodluck
BTCUSD BUYS TO 17K2022 has been a rough year for investors and retail traders holding BTCUSD while it was at 63k. 2023 would be a great year we currently at support area 16400 , there is currently a change in trend and so we expect price to hit Resistance area 17000 . Buy and hold Bitcoin till 17000, like and follow me for more daily signals.Shalom
Market Exposure after FTDIBD Market School indicator suggest we have a clear sky to start testing waters. Here is what the methodology has flagged after the recent Rally Day.
Annotations
1 = Most recent unbroken Rally Day
2 = Follow Through Day
3 = Confirming Buy signal (named B3)
4 = Additional Follow Through Day + Confirming Buy Signal (B8)
5 = Permitable Market Exposure as per the methodology
My approach!
I do not have an exposure of 90% currently as 5 suggests. This is only guidence. I am more conservative and rather have taken a few tiny pilot positions. I want to see that the action is confirming. We are reaching the 21EMA on SP500 and hence I expect some stalling here. We also have an important earnings in the recent days, which means that there could be abrupt failure.