Bearish break-out. Strong short.IOTUSD has reversed as the price was rejected just above the 1.0195 4H Resistance (RSI = 33.534), breaking the 3rd recurring Curve pattern. This is the first strong bearish sign and if the 1D support at 0.9156 breaks today, we have confirmation of a new aggressive medium term downtrend. The oversold 4H tech (STOCHRSI = 22.631, ADX = 84.738, Williams = -83.582) may cause a short consolidation as those need to be harmonized but 1D (already on 4 straight bearish candles) should start pushing lower shortly after. Targets intact: 0.7947 and 0.6704 (Nov 24, 2017 contact point).
IOT
Market Cap: Controlled Supply vs. Gigasupply CoinsLeft chart shows market cap of top 10 coins calculated using data from coinmarketcap.com from 28 July 2018
Percentages are share of the top 10 rankings.
Right chart is market cap of same coins calculated as if they all had the same circulating supply as Bitcoin (approx 17.1 million)
This makes it clear why it is absolutely pointless to compare the market cap of gigasupply coins like XRP, EOS, XLM, ADA, IOT, TRX and ETH with controlled supply coins like BTC, BCH and LTC. In fact even Litecoin is a large supply coin with its 57 million coins, but ffs Cardano has 28 BILLION coins and Stellar has 19 BILLION !!!!
It doesn't even make sense to talk about market capitalization for these coins. At the end of the day, if these large supply coins are really cryptocurrencies, we should question why such massive amounts have been produced and of course who really holds them!
<< mean 'much less than'
Cup pattern replication. Limited sideways activity. Short.IOTA is on recurring Cup patterns on 1D (neutral RSI = 46.114, ADX = 21.167, Highs/Lows = 0) trading sideways for over a month. The 0.9132 support continues to contain this medium term consolidation and the 1.2548 Resistance to reject it. We remain bearish on the longer term as 1W is still on negative MACD = -0.184, Highs/Lows = -0.2865, B/BP = -0.5280. IOTUSD TP = 0.7947 and 0.6704 (Nov 24, 2017 contact point) on the short term.
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Once green support line is broken (with confirmation) we're jumping on a bus towards 0.047 areas. Now - all info on my profile is just and only for my own research, I simply don't care bout no one - since you simply cannot trust internet - learned it the hard way. I look at long term investment - not swing or retail trading... my strategies are safe.
Max investments 2% of overall portfolio - diversify man!
Any discussion is welcome.
Quick
buy : 0.047
sell : 0.065
Patience is bitter but it's fruit is sweet...
IOTA - Potential Reversal or Trap?1. Using Gann Fan to identify major support/resistance area, IOTA bounced at an intersecting point indicating a strong support area
2. Bullish RSI divergence is being formed on the daily chart. Price is forming a lower high while RSI is forming a higher high
3. Symmetrical triangle is being formed indicating a breakout soon
4. Using Tom DeMark Sequential on the weekly chart, last week's candle gave us a TD Red 9, forming a TDST support at $0.93
I believe right now would be a great time to open a long position due to the reasons listed above. Stop loss would be at $0.93 where the TDST support and the Gann Fan intersecting point is also located at. Please note that the TDST support is not considered broken until the weekly candle closes below it, so beware of fake outs.
IOTA/BTC possible great setupIOTA in pair with BTC shows a falling wedge pattern and huge support just here. It looks like a really good setup for a trade.
Of course there is a lot of fundametlals changing the game, like ETF supporting "only BTC" and leaving alts behind. If IOTA braks the support zone, the pattern is crashed of course. But our tasks is to find really good trades. This is one of them.
A trading opportunity to buy in IOTUSDTechnical analysis:
. IOTA/DOLLAR is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 43.
. While the RSI and the price downtrend in the Daily chart are not broken, bearish wave in price would continue .
Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (0.96 to 0.70). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (0.96)
Ending of entry zone (0.70)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to "Buy zone" then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether "Bullish Engulfing" , "Hammer" or "Valley" in other words,
NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone.
To learn more about "Entry signal" and the special version of our "Price Action" strategy FOLLOW our lessons:
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.16
TP2= @ 1.33
TP3= @ 1.62
TP4= @ 2.04
TP5= @ 2.60
TP6= @ 3.10
TP7= @ 3.92
TP8= @ 4.75
TP9= @ 5.80
TP10= Free
A trading opportunity to buy in IOTUSDTechnical analysis:
. IOTA/DOLLAR is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 43.
. While the RSI and the price downtrend in the Daily chart are not broken, bearish wave in price would continue .
Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (0.96 to 0.70). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (0.96)
Ending of entry zone (0.70)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to "Buy zone" then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether "Bullish Engulfing" , "Hammer" or "Valley" in other words,
NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone.
To learn more about "Entry signal" and the special version of our "Price Action" strategy FOLLOW our lessons:
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.16
TP2= @ 1.33
TP3= @ 1.62
TP4= @ 2.04
TP5= @ 2.60
TP6= @ 3.10
TP7= @ 3.92
TP8= @ 4.75
TP9= @ 5.80
TP10= Free
Bearish break out on IH&S. Short.IOTA was again limited below the 1.2548 Resistance on 1D, which is now neutraly biased (RSI = 48.321, Highs/Lows = 0, ADX = 18.546). We see two successive curve patterns with the latest however breaking the formation by crossing 1.0710. This is a bearish break-out signal on 4H, which is already reversing (Highs/Lows = -0.0103, B/BP = -0.0219). There is no reason to alter the targets on IOTUSD: TP = 0.7947 and (after updates and under circumstances) the contact points of Nov 24, 2017 = 0.6704, Nov 02, 2017 = 0.3199, Jul 15, 2017 = 0.1459.
IOTABTC Waveform SpeculationsMade this for a friend so thought I'd share (not financial advise). IOTA / IOT has formed a pretty convincing bottom which would indicate the beginning of the next wave cycle, though this should be confirmed by trading volume... which at this point hasn't really been confirmed. I'd keep a tight stop loss just below the previous low point as inidicated on the fibbonaci level also. There is clear resistance ahead but if the price can break through this level we could see a bull reversal formation, which would also need to be confirmed by trading volume. If the price does break above this level and hole, then I would consider adjusting the stop loss to the current resistance level in future.
Channel Down emerged. Still short.The price created the new Channel Down (RSI = 33.428) on 4H that was projected and Highs/Lows = -0.0270, B/BP = -0.0543, MACD = -0.035 already point towards the 0.888 support. 1D remains on a perfectly balanced downtrend (RSI = 39.385, ADX = 30.901) and the lack of oversold aspects indicates that the new bearish leg on IOTUSD can be sustainable and on a steady pace. The targets are intact: TP = 0.7947 and (after updates and under circumstances) the contact points of Nov 24, 2017 = 0.6704, Nov 02, 2017 = 0.3199, Jul 15, 2017 = 0.1459. IOTA remains a medium term short opportunity.
Consolidation is over. Short on a new Channel Down.IOTA broke the Rectangle pattern on a Bitcoin fueled rise on 1H but was still contained under 1.2582 of the previous High as seen on the 4H Arc shape. This neutrality (RSI = 50.167, CCI = -18.5085, Highs/Lows = 0.000) should break now as IOTUSD resumes the dominant 1D bearish trend (MACD = -0.076) on a new Channel Down. New shorts have been added with TP = 0.7947 as previously and the Nov 24, 2017 = 0.6704, Nov 02, 2017 = 0.3199, Jul 15, 2017 = 0.1459 the next supports/ target points.
IOTUSD - Evaluating Bitcoin's move with altsAlthough BTC is what drives the market ultimately, the price action in alt coins can provide clues as to how the wave structures in bitcoin is unfolding.
Here in IOTA, we have a similar 3 wave up structure as to bitcoin during the bounce from June 24th.
Unlike BTC that started to form a wedge like structure, IOTA did not.
Instead, IOTA is printing a clear 3-3-5 corrective pattern.
The question now is whether wave C is completed or not.
My opinion is that we are still in wave 4 of C (which is an irregular flat) which should form a 5 wave structure to the downside terminating at around $1.07-$1.12.
It is also a possibility that the 5 wave structure in wave C has been completed. If this is the case, we can expect to test lows beyond that of June 24th.
All in all, IOTA is printing a corrective pattern to the upside, which means an impulse to the downside is imminent.
If IOT has to fall, bitcoin must lead the pack.
Although there are high uncertainties, if you are trading with a plan you will be fine.
Possible consolidation. Still short.IOTA has broken marginally then 1D Channel Down but still remains under heavy bearish mode (RSI = 31.878, Highs/Lows = -0.0959, MACD = -0.164). As you see on the chart there may be a possible recurrence of the previous 1H Rectangle pattern (with STOCHRSI = 47.986, Ultimate Oscillator = 49.518 already neutral) based on the High Volatility (ATR @ 0.0179). This doesn't change the plan for IOTUSD as 4H will either break now lower (B/BP = -0.0586) or in 2 - 3 sessions. TP is still 0.7947, with Nov 24, 2017 = 0.6704, Nov 02, 2017 = 0.3199, Jul 15, 2017 = 0.1459 the next supports/ target points.
TP hit again. 1D Channel Down continuation. Short.TP = 0.9132 (1W Support) hit, as the 1D Channel Down (RSI = 29.366) continues to decline after a new Lower High. However IOTUSD is still above the intermediate and according to the low MACD = -0.179, Highs/Lows = -0.1789, B/BP = -0.4081, the downside gap is significant. The next obvious downside targets are on the following contact points/ intervals: Nov 24, 2017 = 0.6704, Nov 02, 2017 = 0.3199, Jul 15, 2017 = 0.1459. Our TP = 0.7947.