IOT
Iota Long TrendAfter Iota hit my hard resistance line and tanked, I looked at its long-trend history and noticed a pattern--each peak has been generally followed by a steep decline and then a rise to a new high. Within the coming week or even days I expect another uptrend here. However, the disappointing news about Bitfinex and the movement towards mainstream adaptation of blockchain technology has caused a panic sell and has probably turned people off from Iota. For anyone like me taking a long position on Iota, our best bet is to run wallets on full nodes to help Tangle grow. Additionally, while the Iota team is a brilliant bunch, they are largely lacking in social media outreach and marketing campaigns. While this is beneficial to us now, we must ask ourselves a few questions:
1. Will it be easy for companies or governments adapting Blockchain to switch over to Tangle?
2. Does the additional benefit of Tangle outweigh the time it would take to convert to it?
3. Wouldn't it be better to reach out to Iota about strengthening their marketing and social media outreach?
If we can't answer these questions, then we just look like a bunch of speculators who bought into the newest fad coin. We have to share the good name of the coin, folks.
IOTA speculation (all possible EW directions)IOTA broke the downtrend with the first motive wave to around .30. After some consolidation in the form of a triangle, wave 3 was initiated. This wave is in the 11th extension right now. You can see this because every subwave looks almost the same, and the angle of the entire wave 3 stays in the same degrees.
Possible upcoming moves:
The recent spike to .75s has broken the wave 3 structure and could signal the end of the 3rd extended wave. In combination with volume spike & overbought RSI + possibly a double top, this provides evidence for the start of wave 4.
This can:
1. double bottom at .75 (buy here) as a flat correction and then continue in wave 5 or ext 13 to atleast 1.15 (there's no limit to extensions i think)
2. Break .75 on the test and zig zag down to the big support around .60. This would be a great buying oppertunity.
It's also possible that the wick was just a shakeout and theres a lot of extensions left to this wave 3 (sigh EW). This will be the case when it doesn't reach .75 and increase in momentum breaks the .995 high.
You can trade this by buying the break out, and setting a stop loss below the recent swing low at .938, this is not a recommended strategy, but given the extended pumps in crypto could be a rewarding trade.
Be aware that it's possible it could go for a higher high first, which called a flat extended correction and then move down to .75 (evaluate momentum in the breakout)
Questions or additional views are welcome!
BlackBerry Looks Weak on Weekly ChartBlackberry reported fair to poor earnings on 6/23.
(.05) per share, but reaffirmed guidance on software.
Revenues improved in software, but lower than expected overall.
Company convinced it still needs to make phones, even though they have no traction there currently.
Software and IoT force in the near to intermediate term.
Stock hit resistance and dropped like a sack of bricks.
Bollinger band expanding into negative territory.
Target price close to 8.50, 8.00 in the next three weeks.
I'm long BBRY because it's greatly undervalued on a purely book value basis (cash on hand + patents + software business, etc. = $6B - $8B depending on valuations; current mkt cap $4.7B). While it should improve by about $2.25/share minimum, in the short term, this could drop farther.