Ipda
IPDA + Seasonality EUR/USDAnalysis as of 29/06/24
1. Seasonality Analysis + IPDA Levels:
After the quarterly shift in June, we are moving downwards.
2. Immediate Targets:
Our immediate targets are the IPDA 20 low and the Previous Month Low (PML).
3. Seasonal Trends:
According to 20-year seasonal trends, we should take out the low of the second quarter, which in our case is the IPDA 60 low.
4. July Projections:
In July, we expect a sharp upward move aiming to take out the Buy Stop Liquidity (BSL), Previous Month High (PMH), and the IPDA 20 high. This is also supported by seasonal trends.
Conclusion
Based on the seasonality analysis and IPDA levels, the market is expected to continue its downward movement in the short term, followed by a significant upward trend in July. This aligns with historical seasonal patterns, providing a solid foundation for trading strategies in the coming weeks.
Gold Basic HTF OutlookCut out all the noise, still uptrending but there's still alot of liquidity waiting to be swept over the next couple years if it doesn't happen this year.
We're at a key point on the daily now deciding if that last sweep was for the upside (ATH) or if we really are going into a few down months/years regardless of macro economics.
EURUSD CPI has confirmed the story already written!On EURUSD, we have a bullish setup with the price currently in a buying zone, within which there are two more. The price retraced to an uptrend line and is gearing up for a significant upward movement. This movement has been confirmed by the market after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, despite positive data for the dollar, showing that an algorithm is actually pulling the strings, and the story has already been written. In fact, the CPI only caused a temporary downward volatility to further validate the entire area. So, what can we say? We're awaiting the European Central Bank (ECB) tomorrow, but the setup is bullish, and there's little more to add. Target at 1.08 with a stop below 1.07. Let me know what you think. Leave a like and comment to support our work. Happy trading, everyone.
IPDA Ranges to Cast Future Price Movement for ES Familiarizing ourselves more on IPDA Ranges to help form daily bias and to work on high time frame analysis. The first idea we ever published was actually a very similar thought but now that we have a better understanding of how to use IPDA ranges we wanted to post what we hope to be a more accurate version of what is to occur in CME_MINI:ES1! price action.
We are trading down off of a weekly order block that was traded into on July 18th; we have taken out the July 10th low of 4660.25 and we have failed to make a higher swing above 4683.50. It seems like the market has shifted to bearish conditions for the intermediate term. Using the look back and cast forward train of thinking, we have been trading higher for the 60 trading days prior to August 1st which is just 3 trading days after making our current intermediate high; meaning our cast forward should have plenty of sell side liquidity to draw to in order to clear out stops below our 20-40-60 day ranges.
It just so happens that we have a +Breaker Block that contains a Fair Value Gap/Liquidity Void inside of it. This gives us a lot of confidence in our bearish outlook as the 60 day low is quite literally is the top of our Liquidity Void and also falls into a zone for Optimal Trade Entry (OTE).
The only major bounce we should see is off of the March 13th Premium/Discount range as the Equilibrium for that range falls right in a Liquidity Void. The only thing that will push us through that with ease is some red folder news. Should be a piece of cake..
We are proud to put ourselves out there with ideas. It forces us to use logic and apply concepts and ideals that we have learned. Any questions or comments leave them below!
CME_MINI:ES1! EIGHTCAP:SPX500 CBOE:SPX TVC:SPX BLACKBULL:SPX500 SKILLING:SPX500
Dow Kill zonesPlease enjoy my indicator
I made its a kill zone indicator but you trade between the zones
. The indicator directions explains it all.
Deluxo Capital
ESM2023 Possible ScenariosOld Daily Volume Imbalance (4133-4136) became as support. Break below 4133 will open the room to the 4h Breaker Block - 4115.00-4105.00.
Hold of Sunday Open Level can bring us to the 4167. There is another daily volume imbalance at 4179-4185.
Keep my eyes on 4191 - Next BSL after break of the 4167.