Apple: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to UpsideAPPLE is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
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Iphone
APPLE Dont get fooled by the short-term pull-back. $280 on trackExactly 3 months ago (May 02, see chart below), we called for a strong buy signal on Apple (AAPL) and it dully delivered as 2 days ago the stock completed three straight green months with a new All Time High (ATH):
The recent weekly pull-back shouldn't allow you to diverge from the bigger picture and on this analysis we look at it from a 1M time-frame perspective. As you can see, as long as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, Apple will continue to be on a 15-year uptrend, which shows very distinct Phases.
Right now we are on the Channel Up that followed the 2022 Inflation Crisis, which was a similar correction to 2015 - 2016 (China's slowdown). The Channel Up that followed peaked at +161% before the next correction towards the 1M MA50. Even the 2013 - 2014 rise was still +145%.
As a result, we don't believe the current Channel Up to be over either, expecting a peak closer to 300. Our Target is marginally below it at $280.00.
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APPLE formed 1st 1D Golden Cross in 15 months! Attention needed.It wasn't long ago when we called for a buy on Apple's (AAPL) absolute technical bottom (April 25 and May 02, see charts below respectively):
Needless to say that the 198.00 Target has been smashed. As the price reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 20-month (blue) Channel Up, the stock turned sideways and has been consolidating for the past 4 sessions.
This is a strong indication of a medium-term Top. If rejected, we expect a Channel Down correction to at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will again buy for the long-term. If broken though, we will buy the first 1D candle close above the (blue) Channel Up and target $250.00.
The reason for this bullish expectation is that Apple just formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 15 months (since March 22 2023). Last time it did, the price had already initiated the new Bullish Leg (in the form of a blue dotted Channel Up). It only started the medium-term correction of July 2023, when it closed a full candle below the 4H MA50 (thin red trend-line).
At the same time, the 1W RSI had to hit the 79.00 overbought level. As a result, if you do turn bullish upon a 1D candle breaking above the (blue) Channel Up, consider booking the profit earlier if 4H MA50 breaks or the 1W RSI gets rejected on its 79.00 Resistance (unless your portfolio can support the correction).
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Can AI Be the iPhone's New Ace in the Hole?Apple, the tech giant synonymous with innovation, has faced a slump in iPhone sales. A recent report showed a 10.5% year-over-year decline, raising concerns among investors and analysts. However, a glimmer of hope emerges with Apple's growing focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI). Analysts are increasingly optimistic that these "nascent" AI offerings could be the key to reigniting iPhone sales.
The smartphone market has become increasingly saturated. Consumers are holding onto their devices for longer periods, with incremental upgrades failing to excite. Apple needs a game-changer, a feature so compelling that it compels users to upgrade. AI has the potential to be that difference-maker.
Here's how AI could breathe new life into iPhone sales:
• Personalized Experiences: AI can personalize the iPhone experience to an unprecedented level. Imagine an intelligent assistant that anticipates your needs, proactively adjusts settings, and curates content based on your preferences. This level of customization could make the iPhone feel like an extension of yourself, fostering a stronger connection with the device.
• Smarter Camera Features: AI can revolutionize smartphone photography. Advanced image recognition could remove unwanted objects from photos in real-time, suggest optimal composition based on the scene, and even enhance low-light shots. Such features would not only elevate photo quality but also simplify the process, making professional-looking photos accessible to everyone.
• Enhanced Security and Privacy: Security breaches and privacy concerns are major pain points for smartphone users. AI can play a crucial role in safeguarding user data. Imagine facial recognition that adapts to changes in your appearance or voice recognition that discerns between authorized and unauthorized users. Coupled with on-device processing of sensitive data, AI could make iPhones the most secure smartphones on the market.
• Voice Assistant Revolution: Siri, Apple's current voice assistant, faces stiff competition from Google Assistant and Amazon Alexa. AI advancements could transform Siri into a truly intelligent companion. Imagine a voice assistant that understands complex questions, engages in natural conversations, and seamlessly integrates with other smart home devices. This would not only boost user convenience but also position the iPhone as the central hub of the smart home ecosystem.
• Augmented Reality (AR) Applications: AI can be the driving force behind innovative AR experiences. Imagine using your iPhone to overlay furniture virtually in your living room to see how it looks before you buy it. Or, perhaps utilizing AI-powered translations in real-time during conversations abroad. Such AR applications, powered by AI, could unlock a whole new realm of possibilities for iPhone users.
Of course, challenges remain. Integrating complex AI features requires significant processing power, which could strain battery life. Additionally, ensuring user privacy while leveraging AI capabilities is paramount. Apple must strike a delicate balance between innovation and user trust.
Despite these challenges, the potential benefits are undeniable. By harnessing the power of AI, Apple can create a truly intelligent and personalized iPhone experience. This, in turn, could reignite consumer interest and propel iPhone sales back to new heights.
The success of this strategy hinges on Apple's ability to execute. They must develop robust AI features that are not just gimmicks but genuinely enhance the user experience. If Apple can achieve this, the iPhone might just reclaim its position as the most coveted smartphone on the market, breathing life back into sales and solidifying Apple's reputation as a leader in cutting-edge technology.
Apple Stock Surges 7% After Record-Setting $110B Stock BuybackApple stock ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) rallied 7% after the company announced a record-setting $110B stock buyback program, marking the largest buyback value ever announced in US history. The move follows Apple's second-quarter earnings, which topped Wall Street's estimates by 22%. The company's board authorized $110 billion in share repurchases, a 22% increase over last year's $90 billion authorization. This marks the largest buyback value ever announced in US history. Apple also reported a revenue of $90.8 billion for the three-month period ended on March 30, despite a 4.3% drop from the year-ago period.
The results came as a relief to investors, as Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) has posted sales declines in the past five out of six quarters in the face of a tough smartphone market in China. Last month, Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) was overtaken by Samsung as the world's No.1 phone maker, according to the latest data from research firm IDC.
Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) did not provide formal guidance for the rest of its fiscal 2024, but finance chief Luca Maestri said the company expected the current quarter will deliver double-digit year-over-year percentage growth in iPad sales. The Services division is also forecast to continue growing, including subscriptions, warranties, licensing fees, and Apple Pay features.
Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) reported reported net income of $23.64 billion, or $1.53 per share, down 2% from $24.16 billion, or $1.52 per share, in the year-ago period. iPhone sales fell nearly 10% to $45.96 billion, suggesting weak demand for the latest iPhone, the 15 Pro and Pro Max models, which were released in September. Sales of other Apple products, including its Apple Watch and AirPods headphones, also dropped 10% year-over-year to $7.9 billion.
Mac sales were up 4% to $7.45 billion, attributed to the upgraded M3 chip placed in the company's new MacBook Air models as of March.
Technical Outlook
Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) stock is up 6.37% at the time of writing trading above the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 67.45 paving the way for further growth. The daily price chart indicates a gapper effect, it appears to be an up-side gap that occurred as a result of the buyback fundamental.
Apple ($AAPL) Set to Report its Second-Quarter ResultsApple is ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) facing low expectations as it prepares to report its second-quarter results, with its reputation as a market leader being refuted this year. The company's reputation for outperforming in all market conditions has been refuted, as it sharply lags peers with better growth, a clearer AI narrative, and a cheaper price tag. However, there may be less room for disappointment with a lowered bar, especially with a massive buyback announcement likely. Analysts expect Apple to add another $90 billion to its repurchase program, suggesting it will follow Alphabet Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. among the big-tech names that have announced huge buybacks this year. Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) has already spent more than $650 billion buying back its own stock since 2012.
The buybacks have been a way for Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) to support earnings, with revenue expected to fall almost 5% this quarter, representing its weakest rate in more than a year. Overall tech revenue is expected to rise 8.6% this quarter, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The growth trends largely reflect the Greater China region, which accounted for nearly 19% of Apple's 2023 revenue. The stock is down 10% this year, compared with a gain of 3.9% for the Nasdaq 100 Index.
Analysts are largely cautious, with the consensus for Apple's full-year revenue dropping 2.2% over the past quarter and the view for its net earnings being down 0.8%. Fewer than 60% of the analysts tracked by Bloomberg recommend buying the stock, a ratio well below that of another megacap tech. Google paid Apple $20 billion in 2022 alone to be the default search engine on its Safari web browser, according to unredacted documents that surfaced on the eve of closing arguments Thursday that will wrap up the Justice Department's landmark antitrust trial.
APPLE This is why you should not miss this buy opportunity.Apple (AAPL) dived by -18% from the December 14 2023 High and following yet another rejection on its 1D MA50 this week, many turned increasingly skeptical over the stocks future. On this chart however, we examine Apple's ratio against Nasdaq (NDX) and gives a very clear answer.
As you can see, the ratio is about to form a Death Cross on the 1W time-frame, with the price attempting a rebound after having been hammered below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). In the past 11 years, every time the ratio was below its 1W MA200 (green arc) and on a 1W Death Cross in particular, that was the market bottom and Apple largely outperformed the rest of the index.
In fact the minimum it rose by until the next large correction was +53.54% and the maximum +95.31%. In 1W RSI terms, this bottom is very similar to January 2013, when the RSI also got extremely oversold at 20.00.
Bottom-line: Apple is most likely expected to outperform the index in the coming years, thus presenting a very rare long-term buy opportunity.
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APPLE Bouncing off extremely strong Support Cluster.Apple (AAPL) completed yesterday 3 straight green 1D candles, the longest such bullish streak in 3 months (since January 25). The rebound has been initiated inside the Lower Highs Zone that started after Apple's former All Time High (ATH) on January 04 2022.
The are a lot of recurring patterns involved as well, with one being that the current Channel Down that started on the December 14 2023 High, was rejected on the Resistance Zone that the previous Channel Down also did on the July 19 2023 High. That one made a Double Bottom on the Former ATH Lower Highs Zone after a rejection marginally above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding.
With the 1D RSI within a Channel Down as well since that High and having rebounded from its lowest level since February 2018, we have a very strong case for buying Apple, at least on the medium-term, targeting again the Resistance Zone's bottom at $198.00.
If it follows the pattern of the 2023 rally, we can even see it hitting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at $211.00 or even higher by the end of the year since the pattern that on the January 03 2023 market bottom, is a Channel Up.
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Apple Reaches $490 Million Settlement Over China Sales CommentsApple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), the tech giant synonymous with innovation and cutting-edge products, finds itself embroiled in a significant legal saga following a $490 million settlement over allegations of shareholder deception. The lawsuit, stemming from Chief Executive Tim Cook's remarks regarding iPhone demand in China, has drawn attention to the complexities of corporate transparency and accountability in the ever-evolving global marketplace.
The Genesis of the Lawsuit:
At the heart of the controversy lies Apple's unexpected announcement on January 2, 2019, revealing a staggering cut in quarterly revenue forecasts by up to $9 billion. This abrupt disclosure, attributed to escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, sent shockwaves through the market and triggered a swift decline in Apple's share price.
Tim Cook's Statements Under Scrutiny:
Central to the lawsuit is Chief Executive Tim Cook's remarks during an analyst call on November 1, 2018, where he downplayed concerns about iPhone sales in China. Despite acknowledging sales pressures in other markets, Cook notably excluded China from the list of countries facing challenges. However, subsequent actions, including directives to suppliers to curb production, painted a starkly different picture, raising questions about the accuracy and transparency of Cook's statements.
The Legal Battle Unfolds:
Following the revelation of diminished iPhone demand and the subsequent plunge in Apple's stock price, shareholders swiftly took action, filing a class-action lawsuit against the tech behemoth. The preliminary settlement, amounting to $490 million, represents a significant milestone in the protracted legal battle, albeit subject to approval by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers.
Implications and Fallout:
While Apple ($APPL) has denied liability, opting to settle to avoid prolonged litigation, the ramifications of the lawsuit extend far beyond the courtroom. The settlement underscores the importance of corporate transparency and accountability, serving as a cautionary tale for companies navigating the complexities of global markets.
The Road Ahead:
As Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) navigates the aftermath of the settlement, stakeholders and investors are left pondering the broader implications for corporate governance and investor confidence. The tech giant's meteoric rise since the onset of the lawsuit, with its share price quadrupling and market value exceeding $2.6 trillion, adds another layer of complexity to the narrative.
APPLE Long-term buying commencing.Apple (AAPL) is exactly -15% down since the December 14 2023 High and is approaching the Support Zone of the October 26 2023 Low. We are currently on the 3rd major correction of the last 18 months and being that close to both the Support Zone and the bottom of the Channel Down, suggests that institutional buying should be initiated.
If the current overall market volatility evolves into a short-term correction towards the Fed Rate Decision later this month, then there is always the possibility of Apple experiencing another -10% decline. But the upside even from the current level is greater at almost +30% and that is a conservative target based purely on the Higher highs trend-line since the August 17 2022 High.
We recommend buying now and if the price drops more as mentioned, a final buy on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which has been untouched for almost 8 years (since June 28 2016)! Our Target for late Q2 is $215.00. Note also that the 1D RSI hasn't been that low (oversold at 23.00) since February 02 2018, which adds more to the bullish case.
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APPLE Last chance to buy before $215.We are updating our Apple (AAPL) outlook on our last analysis a month ago (January 04 2024, see chart below) as the price remains under Lower Highs:
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Rising Wedge with the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) providing a strong rebound on February 02, which on the other hand got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This opens up a short-term window, one final opportunity to buy lower, even below the 1W MA50 where the majority of short-term buyers will be out due to fear of the Rising Wedge bearish break-out.
The previous 2 Channel Down patterns made the final Lower Low on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. That is a little above 175.00. If the price hits it and at the same time the 1D RSI bounces on its Support Zone, it will most likely be the final buy opportunity. Our medium-term target is intact at the top of the Higher Highs trend-line at $215.00.
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APPLE eyeing the 1W MA50 support.Apple (AAPL) hit yesterday the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since November 06, extending the rejection on the Resistance 1 level. A rejection that is in perfect symmetry with the February 03 rejection that also caused a pull-back.
The last call we made on Apple (see chart below) was on November 12 actually signaling a buy after the Falling Wedge break-out, targeting 195.00:
The fundamentals this time are far from ideal, so a greater correction seeks the next technical Support level. That is the 1W MA5 (red trend-line), which is currently sitting at the bottom (Higher Lows trendline) of the multi-month Rising Wedge pattern, and was the level that initiated the strong rally on the October 26 bottom.
As a result we are looking for a downside range within 177.00 - 175.00 and then rebound with a $215.00 target.
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AAPL Short: Wave 1=Wave 5Well, based on my EW counts and Fibonacci extension, we have reached the target of the move up and it's time for it to go down.
Also note that the new high is NOT accompanied by an equivalent RSI(7) high. A divergence.
Also, this is all-time high. You need any reason for a better risk reward?
APPLE This rally isn't done yetApple (AAPL) is on an enormous +12.5% rally since the October 26 bottom on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Last week, the price even broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge pattern and then the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Despite the successive break-outs, this rally may not be technically over as the very same Falling Wedge break-out fractal in March 2022 extended as high as the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we can see an extension to $195.00 before any short/ medium-term pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again.
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Could Huawei device sales overtake Apple's iPhone 15 in China?Apple's (AAPL) iPhone 15 sales are reportedly slumping among Chinese consumers, down 4.5% compared to the first few weeks of the iPhone 14's sales. Huawei's Mate 60 line of foldable phones has been making waves over its new hardware features, but is it enough to overturn Apple's dominance in the Chinese market?
IDC Worldwide Tracker Team Research Director Nabila Popal comments on whether the domestic developer could truly capture Apple's market share if geopolitical tensions in the U.S.-China semiconductor race open up new opportunities for Huawei.
"It will take a lot of time for Huawei to gain back that lost share, especially... if you zone in on just the premium segment within China, Huawei at its peak had about 58% share," Popal says.
Apple’s IPhones Off to Disappointing Start in ChinaApple Inc.’s new iPhone 15 is selling far worse in China than its predecessor, according to separate analyses, reflecting stubbornly weak consumption as well as the rise of rivals like Huawei Technologies Co.
Sales of Apple’s flagship device are down 4.5% compared with the iPhone 14 over their first 17 days after release, market tracker Counterpoint Research estimated in previously unreported figures provided to Bloomberg News. Jefferies analysts led by Edison Lee reckoned sales of the iPhone 15 were down by an even sharper double-digit percentage from its predecessor after Huawei outsold Apple overall, powered by the surprising debut of the Mate 60 Pro.
The twin reports mark a potential blow to Apple at a time it’s grappling with the weakest smartphone demand in a decade and a backlash from overheating models. If the initial estimates are accurate, they represent one of the iPhone’s worst debuts in China since around 2018, when local names like Oppo and Vivo began to captivate Asian consumers.
Counterpoint blamed the iPhone’s slump in China mainly on an economy struggling to rebound from its Covid trough. And it stressed that in the US, the iPhone 15 likely posted a double-digit rise over 2022 in the first nine days of sales.
But the iPhone’s debut in China came weeks after the launch of the Mate 60 Pro, celebrated as a triumph over US sanctions because of its advanced made-in-China processor. It also coincided with a government mandate to expand a ban on iPhone use to government agencies and state companies, underscoring Apple’s growing challenges there.
Apple #Apple stock is at 178.30-180.
In 2021 this price range - act as support
In my opinion it's a good deal to invest in #Apple right now, Christmas is coming, a lot of guys will buy new #iPhone15 and #iPhone15Pro
Pushing the price down from 197.07 to current price of 178 is a corrective action that will push the price higher as long as 171 -172 will act a serious support area
#stockmarkets #StocksToBuy #StocksInFocus #StockToWatch
APPLE and the NEW IPHONE 15 seriesIn two days, the unveiling of the new series of best-selling and popular products of the Apple company will take place. iPhone series 15
According to the history, we can expect the growth of Apple shares
According to the presented chart, a growth potential of 7% can be considered.
Don't forget capital management
Adhere to the appropriate risk-to-reward ratio
Good luck and profitable
APPLE Next stop 200 after a pull-backLast time we bought APPLE (AAPL) on the short-term was on June 05 (see chart below), after a technical pull-back, and easily hit our 190 target:
The stock has maintained the Channel Up since late March with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in Support since January 25. Based on the 1D RSI, which has been within a Rectangle pattern while the stock is on the Channel Up, we are about to see a technical pull-back towards the Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line and then rebound for a Higher High. That is a short-term opportunity for buyers to target $200.
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AAPL - BULLISH SCENARIOKeyBanc raised its price target for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to $200 from $180 and maintained an Overweight rating on the stock. However, analysts expressed neutrality in the near term despite their positive long-term outlook.
They reiterated their below-consensus revenue estimates for Apple's hardware in the third quarter of 2023. The analysts highlighted two concerns. First, Key first look data (Apple direct channel) showed strong spending in June compared to historical averages, but a quarter-on-quarter decline worse than historical averages. Second, KeyBanc expected softness in Apple's indirect channel (U.S. Carriers) due to historically low upgrade rates in the United States.
The analysts concluded by stating that for Apple to achieve favorable results, international sales must compensate for underperforming U.S. sales. Their price target is set at $200, based on a multiple of 20.8x their 2024 adjusted EBITDA estimates.
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$AAPL head and shoulders? 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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APPLE Inverse Head and Shoulders give a new All Time HighApple Inc. (AAPL) has just completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, with its Head being the January 03 market Bottom. The Bear Cycle isn't technically over for Apple as the Channel Down that started back on the October 04 2021 Low hasn't yet been broken. In fact since the last two Lower Highs sequences have been +31.11% and +36.78%, the current rally is limited within the red Triangle Zone. As a result we have a short-term target at $165.00.
With the Inverse Head and Shoulders though technically aiming much higher, supported also by a 1W MACD Bullish Cross, if Apple closes a 1W candle above the Channel Down, we will re-buy and target $190.00 on the long-term, which is just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level.
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