APPLE OR APPLTRIANGLE PLAYING OUT. break may happen either side. GO SHORT WHEN RED LINE TOUCHES WITH STOP LOSS. Buy when price touches Green line (one lesser degree from 2004 support line), so plan to dump when needed. Go deep short if it fails to break the ultimate red line from the 2015 top. Using options strategy carefully.
Iphone6
Potentially Fund a New Phone with 250 Apple Shares & This IdeaHi all Risk Takers,
Here's an idea written for short term traders, tech stock investors and all Apple fans.
(1) On the 1 Hourly Chart, we observed clearly that price is trading in a general uptrend line, since May 2014.
Evidence of Support are found during May 2014 and Oct 2014 (Up arrows).
There are also signs of potential support around Jan 2015 period but requires a further move on the upside to confirm. Hence the dotted lines.
In short, we establish that price is trading in a bullish environment, on the hourly chart.
(2) We note a Triple Bottom patterned with a slanted neckline formed.
This Triple Bottom is confirmed as price has traded past the slanted neckline and closed over the weekend above resistance level of 112.00.
Since Triple Bottom is a reversal pattern, therefore it indicates that the party's over for the Apple bears and price has switched back to full on bullish mode.
Psychologically, we humans are inclined to attached importance on the number "3", hence Triple Bottoms are a much more significant reversal pattern by nature.
To explain the thinking, simply put yourself in the shoes of an Apple bear.
Assumed you had went against the bullish trend and shorted heavily Apple 3 times, yet price refuses to go lower than 105.00, you will most likely stop trying for a fourth attempt to short.
This might also explain the absence of a so called "Quadruple Bottom Chart Pattern" in Technical Analysis literature.
To summarize point (2), we spotted a confirmed Triple Bottom Chart Pattern.
(Projection)
Since the trend is overall bullish (1) and we have breakout confirmation of a significant Triple Bottom Pattern (2), price is projected to trade up higher.
(Entry Condition)
Anytime from now, as long as price is trading above 112.00.
(Stop Loss)
Below 111.30.
The stop may be a bit tight.
However if this is a true to form Triple Bottom Breakout, then price should not even be thinking of going back any lower.
(Take Profit)
Take profit is set at 118.90.
The triple bottom will most likely drive the price to at least try to match previous high of 118.90.
(Risk)
There is a risk of a false break out, where price gets sharply resisted at 115.00. and fail.
From personal experience, Weighing the strength of a simple resistance line vs triple bottom breakout, I will say advantage to triple bottom.
There is also a risk that fundamental information disclosed during the upcoming Earnings Announcement, on 27 January 2015, may cause prices to move in an averse manner.
Technical Analysis simply cannot project fundamental events (Example: CHF/EUR).
(References)
Triple Bottom> thepatternsite.com
www.youtube.com
(Trivia)
If you bought 250 Apple Shares at 114.00 and managed to sell it off at 118.50, you will most likely have enough profit for a new iPhone 6 Plus without contract.
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Taking a Bite out of AppleFor detailed analysis and commentary, see original blog post published here: www.syncubate.com
Since the week of 10/13, when AAPL traded as low as $95.18, the stock is up nearly $25, having hit an all time high of $119.75 on 11/25. Yesterday, AAPL closed at $119, its highest daily close ever, and the company's market capitalization is now upwards of $700 billion USD.
The last six weeks of trading have been positive, and of the last nine weeks, we have only witnessed one red week in which selling pressure from the bears exceeded buying interest from the bulls. To put the uniqueness of this occurrence in perspective, the closest similarity we could trace goes back nearly three years.
For more analyses, see our blog here: www.syncubate.com
Buy the rumor & sell the news.Apple trend reversal signals are extremely strong now after the "buy the rumor & sell the news" today.
It might very well close below EMA 50 today, and that includes rejection of the all time high made back in 2012 fall.
If that does confirm, we are looking at correction down to 59~79 area which is a 40% correction (max).
Next week's movement is critical here, and given Apple's market cap it'll affect S&P500 a lot from this downtrend!
This also comes at a time when gold is at a make it or break it moment (20% uptrend within next few months or a big correction downwards)
With the toppish & bubblish market, anything can burst it even if its a bullish news.
P.S: (sorry for the party popper, & enjoy your new iPhone :) )