IQ iQIYI Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold IQ ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IQ iQIYI prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.51.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Iqiyi
IQ iQIYI Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the speculative Double Top here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IQ iQIYI prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5.50usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-29,
for a premium of approximately $0.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
IQ iQIYI Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the IQ iQIYI options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $7.00 strike price Calls with
2023-2-24 expiration date for about
$0.49 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
iQIYI - an odd ball pending breakoutJust happened to screen and find that iQIYI appears to have had a recent good run and the short term weekly TDST has been broken out of, closing above with two more weeks to end the TD Setup.
Technical indicators are bullish, MACD is post-bullish divergence indication.
On a weekly scale, the yellow box is the range, from 2-5, being near the resistance currently.
Anything near 3.6-4.0 appears to be a good deal. Else, a breakout is likely to see 8-10.
Interesting odds for an odd ball...
Anyone else have (fundamental) comments or views on iQIYI ?
Please do share...
iQIYI is apparently dropping. IQNo idea of what this company does, but here is a suggestive picture.
Goals 0.56, 0.49. Invalidation at 0.89.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Largest Layoff in iQIYI’s HistoryGong Yu, CEO of iQIYI, said, 'the focus now is to increase revenue and reduce expenditure, cut down inefficient businesses and projects, and increase and try new monetization opportunities.'
On December 1, iQIYI carried out a round of large-scale layoffs. According to many laid-off employees, almost all employees in some departments have been laid off, and even profit-making departments such as content and intelligent hardware.
According to the news, the details of iQIYI's layoffs are as follows:
1. The purpose of this layoff is said to accelerate the pace of profitability, focus on content, technology, cost management, and flat structure. Therefore, in this layoff, more middle-level (director level) were laid off.
2. Budget shrinks: Almost all employees without probation are among the layoffs. iQIYI Research Institute, iQIYI game center, and other departments have almost all been laid off. Short video products will be merged with other products, and only 40% of people can stay. Employees who are laid off will receive N+ 1 compensation and can leave after handing over their work.
3. iQIYI intelligence (including VR and other products) also has a layoff proportion, but it is relatively low compared with the spending department. The ratio of layoffs in the content department is about 30%. The principle is to retain only low-cost employees for positions with the same responsibilities.
4. Many senior employees call this layoff 'the largest layoff in iQIYI's history,' and this round of layoffs is not over. Many people will be laid off before and after the Spring Festival.
iQIYI's Q3 2021 financial report showed that the company achieved a revenue of CNY 7.6 billion during the reporting period, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6%; The net loss was CNY 1.7 billion, an increase of 42% year-on-year.
iQIYI Releases Q3 2021 Financial ResultsMr.Yu Gong, founder, director, and CEO of iQIYI, commented the Q3 performance was a 'softer than expected top-line performance'.
According to iQIYI's financial announcement for the third quarter of 2021:
- The total revenues achieved CNY 7.6 billion (USD 1.2 billion), showing a 6% increase from the same period last year.
- The operating loss was CNY 1.4 billion (USD 212.3 million) and the operating loss margin was 18%.
- The net loss attributable to iQIYI was CNY 1.7 billion (USD 268.4 million), compared to CNY 1.2 billion in the same period last year.
- As of September 30, 2021, the total number of paid subscribers of iQIYI was 103.6 million, or 103.0 million excluding individuals with trial memberships.
- Membership service business continued to be the largest business pillar with the revenue increased by 8% and accounting for 57% of the total revenue.
- Online advertising revenue decreased 10% year-over-year to CNY 1.7 billion primarily due to less premium content launched during the quarter and the challenging macroeconomic environment in China.
- The content distribution revenue achieved a 68% growth on year over year basis to CNY 627.1 billion, which was primarily driven by more content distributed to other platforms during the quarter.
- For the fourth quarter of 2021, iQIYI expects total net revenues to be between CNY 7.08 billion and CNY 7.53 billion, representing a 5% decrease to 1% increase year-over-year.
iQIYI Achieves Steady but Slow Growth in Q2 2021China's online entertainment service company iQIYI released its unaudited Q2 2021 financial results on August 12. The revenue growth was rather unimpressive, while the company has been implementing strategies around expanding market presence, diversifying content, and securing a larger user base in light of future growth.
iQiyi (IQ:NASDAQ) is an online entertainment company in China, providing a variety of video streaming services and premium content to worldwide users. The company's deep-learning-based predictive algorithms utilize third-party content to build content libraries catering to the diverse tastes of its users.
A glance at the Q2 2021 financials
According to iQIYI's unaudited financial results, the company's revenues reached CNY 7.6 billion in the second quarter of 2021, a 3% YoY increase. In contrast, Tencent's total revenue achieved a year-over-year increase of 23% during the same quarter. Total subscribing members reflected a slow growth as well, increasing 106.2 million by June 30, 2021, up only 1.2% year-over-year.
However, the company's operating loss and diluted net loss showed a decline from the previous year. Specifically, during this quarter, iQIYI's operating loss was CNY 1.1 billion and its operating loss margin was 15%, compared to CNY 1.3 billion and 17% in 2020, respectively. The decreased net loss partially resulted from iQIYI's diversified content and latest movie series, including theatrical, S-rated network, and original movies under the Premium Video On Demand (PVOD) model. For PVOD movies distributed through a paid subscription, the company earned 42% of revenue share despite other content providers.
The content distribution revenue did not have positive financials compared to the other two revenue streams, this part dragged down 20% from the same period in 2020 due to fewer barter transactions and increased cash transactions that caused offsets. Barter transactions determine the value of content revenue estimated by the company's internal management.
iQIYI's expenses also played a critical role in balancing the second quarter's financials. Specifically, the costs were flat compared with the same period in 2020. Unlike the first quarter of 2021, when the company's content costs had an 8% increase from the same period in 2020 due to the decline of licensed content cost, the second quarter returned to the flat level. The R&D and general expenses also had a slight year-over-year increase of approximately one-to-two percent in this quarter. The total other expenses were also driven higher by the increased interest expenses in various financing activities. Equipped with core competitiveness in the online entertainment industry, iQIYI is also empowered by proprietary technologies to curate captivating content for users and stimulate a large-scale paid content subscription business in China. In January 2021, iQIYI's VR division announced the completion of a Series B funding round led by Yitang Changhou Fund and Fresh Capital, setting the record for the largest single round of funding in China's VC sector since 2020.
iQIYI's disciplined strategies
Yu Gong, the Chief Executive Officer of iQIYI, explained that the second-quarter results were largely in line with the company's expectations. Although the growth was not significant, he stated that the increased number of subscribed members was driven by the hit original dramas launched during this second quarter, providing some positive operating metrics.
Meanwhile, iQIYI launched its Lite app targeting lower-tier cities in China and overseas markets, including Southeast Asia. Overviewing China's Internet demographics, the emergence of live streaming and short-to-medium video platforms, like Douyin and Kuaishou, have cut a big share of the long video market. To encounter this challenge, the long-video streaming service, iQIYI, decided to increase the penetration rate of suburban users to develop new markets. In this way, the company aims to improve user retention by securing users with low-cost phones. Since launching this app in 2019, the company has seen rapid user growth. By the second quarter of 2021, this app's peak DAU exceeded 1.3 million, with over 1 million average weekly daily active users.
The company's strategies have placed membership, online advertising, and content distribution services as three primary revenue streams. In that regard, member services revenue was CNY 4 billion, flat compared with the last year. Online advertising, on the other hand, had shown a 15% increase from the same period last year, driven by the sustained rebound of brand-advertising budgets amid the macroeconomic recovery after the coronavirus pandemic in China. With the increasing penetration rate of digital technology among Gen X and Gen Z populations in the country, the company is expected to see new consumers using its subscription services.
In a nutshell
iQIYI's 2021 Q2 financial results showed the company's ability to carry on growth momentum in attracting more users based on an expanded content portfolio and enlarging user base. The company's revenue growth and reduced year-over-year net loss have displayed a trend of slowly improving business performance.
iQIYI Earns CNY 7.6 Bn in Q2 2021Owing to the success of original TV dramas, the large Internet content company still maintains remarkable revenue in the off-season.
On August 12, 2021, iQIYI published the unaudited financial report for the second quarter of 2021. In the second quarter of 2021, its total revenue reached CNY 7.6 billion, up 3% year over year. Among them, the revenue from member services reached CNY 4 billion, accounting for 52% of the total revenue, while the revenue of online advertising services reached CNY 1.8 billion, accounting for 23%. Meanwhile, in the second quarter, iQiyi's revenue cost reached CNY 6.9 billion, of which the content cost was CNY 5.1 billion, basically the same as the same period in 2020. It is worth mentioning that the company's net loss was reduced to CNY 1.4 billion, which has narrowed year-on-year for five consecutive quarters. The company also announced that, as of June 30, 2021, the company had 106.2 million subscribers.
Yu Gong, CEO of iQIYI, said that although the second quarter was an off-season, driven by the company's continuous launch of original TV dramas, its subscription members increased significantly and continued to lead the market in a number of operational indicators. At the same time, iQIYI Extreme App for users in sub-tier cities in China and the company's overseas business have shown a strong development momentum.
IQ Apparently in Wycoffian Terminal Shake Out (compare Silver)Introduction
Bitcoin's recent markdown has put Wycoff and Distribution on a lot of new traders radar as well as investors who have not had to deal with this kind of pattern recognition. There were a lot of people that thought that it looked too picture perfect so disregarded it, Guess what? They were taken the most by surprise and I know what it is like to be there because I was there 3-4 years ago when I had problems believing in TA because so much of it so so bad.
That leads to good news on IQ as IQ appears to be in Terminal Shake out and it is looking picture perfect. I have marked out the lower end of the action and have left the top alone because I think the indicators have done a good job showing that resistance. The volume on the final stage of the shake out is lower than what took us edge to edge on the bollinger band and value VPVR value area and this low volume helps us see that sellers are approximately exhausted. Another way to confirm the fact that the selling was relatively low volume is the Value Area did not move down. Much like a slow but persistent sell off can slowly bend a bollinger band lower and lower it can also drag the value area down.
I have been watching IQ for a couple of years now and have a couple of posts. My last post was bullish and I was going to update it when I bought some calls and I never pulled the trigger. This time is a bit difference. I have the stock and I have some OTM calls already on the books. It might go lower somehow but my entry this week is pretty solid for a long term hold and I hope to trade the options like a degenerate.
Indicators
I have put the monthly bollinger band on the weekly chart to show that price actin has gone below the monthly bollinger band. That is a very solid entry point if you generally have any faith in the long term outcome of an asset. Price has also gone below the Volume Profile Value area which contains +/-1 standard deviation of volume by price. When price goes out of the Value Area to the downside when it recovers you often see price actin go coast to coast and end up at the top of the value area. If price action is as bullish as I expect price can hop out of the limits of the BB and VPVR Value area as you can see in silver. From there price would enter into a multi-month re-accumulation.
The On Balance Volume with EMAs also has a bollinger band that I often don't show in my posts because if it isn't needed it just adds visual distractions. But the circles have shown times were a green week after a massive sell off has kinked the OBV at the bollinger band and price action has recovered. If you look at the second blue circle you can see how above the Volume Profile Visible Range moved down. That means the sell off hit a tipping point and was significant to move the whole visible range down roughly $5. That VPVR has not moved down in such a serious way with this dump.
Silver
Below is silver with the bollinger band and VPVR during the "Covid crash" and we can clearly see that buying with price action below both was a fantastic entry for a trade or investment. You should have the tools from the main chart to see all the key points of Accumulation. And I roughly expect something similar to happen with IQ. A rather quick move to or above the Point of Control and then a massive spike in price. I have not used the On Balance Volume because silver futures are a different beast with a different history.
Fundamentals and Conclusion
I think IQ has a very strong chance of behaving like silver did after its dump, so I bought some. Silver sold off for no good reason, as it didn't lose its industrial or intrinsic value and it is not like you can spread a virus by contaminating a silver mine and IQ sold off because some over-leveraged hedge fund degenerate couldn't answer his margin call, his stuff got liquidated and the momentum traders took this way too low. There was earnings a couple of days ago and it seems that the company can turn a profit within like, 5 years. Look at Facebook and Netflix below and how long it took these companies to have their stock clear the high of their first month of public trading. There is going to be a shake out off the weak hands. My only concern is a rout in tech stocks could take this lower but so far it is doing well.
IQIYI flashes BUY signal with 8 ConfirmationsWatch the video for the Ultimate Stock Indicator Pro flashing a BUY
8 confirmations so possibility of a great run towards 2/25 earnings.
Happy Trading, from CJ -- aka the greatest FURU.
To find out more about The Ultimate Stock Indicator on Tradingview, please check my public profile.
IQ flipping key technical indicators for bull runIntroduction
I have been watching IQ on and off for almost its whole life and after a few initial long term entries and swing trades I have left it alone. It is beginning to flip some switches for me that suggest this is going to time to be a whole lot more attentive. IQ has a relatively short life to look for long term signals and so some of these charts have particular time frames and settings. This was part of my beginning of the month analysis I do when I sort through my watchlist so I don't have new positions on right now but I will over the next couple of days.
EMA Ribbon
The chart on the left is set to two weeks and displays the EMA ribbon. I would prefer to use the monthly time period or even the three week but the full ribbon doens't show except on the two week setting, so here we are. The main chart texts hits the high points, namely that the price action with only a day left has found strong support on the two week ribbon and the EMA ribbon is finally starting to unfurl bullishly. It takes a lot of pumps to get the 20 to cross bullishly over the 55 EMA and it finally happened this period.
Volume Profile
The right side has what I call my "volume and breadth" chart as I use it to look for price action to go coast to coast (or edge to edge) on the various indicators, and it is anchored by volume analysis. The first "edge to edge" we look for is for it to go from one value area to the point of control and if it finds support we look for price action to go the other value area. Historically we see that would be about a 2x. We can see that price action fell short on two attempts and if you were not a greedy little piggie and you took profit 5% below the value area you would have had a great exits. This sets up a key point: during an full blown bull market the price action has to mount the upper value area and find support on it repeatedly. For confirmation that we are in an uptrend I would love to see the price action move above and maintain above the upper value area and see the Point of Control move up to the node at $22 and the lower value area move up to the current point of control at $18. This may take several months to develop. When the price action goes back into the value area there is a chance that it will return to the point of control. and from there the lower value area
Ichimoku Cloud
Almost as a side show at this point is the fact the ichimoku cloud has turned green and is beginning to thicken. At this point it is just another confirmation signal and I don't think it gives us enough for full blown cloud analysis. As price action gets above the cloud we can start looking for T-K Crosses. When the volume profile upper value area and cloud are in the same vicinity it is a sign that the move has a lot of support. When the price action and cloud get high above the upper volume area we are in full blown bubble territory. It is my plan to get into the bulk of my position before or as that happens. You can see that happen on bitcoin on the daily chart here.
On Balance Volume
I often have the red fast EMA at 10, the blue medium at 20, and the slow EMA in green to 100 period but that doesn't provide any real information except that volume action is above the slow ema. As such I set the OBV EMAs to 25, 50 and 75 which has some prima facie validity as common sense settings. On these settings we see that the OBV has finally tested the slow EMA as support and after some activity, established a bullish ordering of the OBV, fast, medium and slow EMAS. This bullish ordering clears up a technical limitation that would prevent more cautious investors with a mature understanding of volume for going for long term holds.
MACD
The chart below is set to the one month and shows the default MACD EMAs. I don't bother to show the full MACD w/ histogram becausae it doesn't really exist. THere is only a couple of period on the signal line so that isn't helpful at all. We clearly see the price action is causing the EMAS to be cents away from a cross and price action has tested both EMAs as support. This still has a full month to develop though.
What I am doing
That was a whole lot of analysis to get to my personal strategy. With everything pointing to a bullish set up I can now look at buying dips with confidence for a long term holds. The places to buy are going to be any time price action has popped out the daily bollinger band (in yellow) and definitely any time it pops below the baseline of the weekly bollinger band (in blue). The weekly bollinger band doesn't have the lower limit because where we are going, we don't need it, perhaps for years. Seeing it below or finding support on the weekly baseline is also going to be a place where I buy call options, especially with bullishness on other indicators like the MACD or RSI (Not show).
Of course, I am not qualified to give financial advice and this is just me developing a more robust battle plan for myself.
IQ and the 5 point turn!!Maybe its because its: 1. the first green H.A. trend candle in the last 10 candles. 2. That all three oscillators (Stoch RSI, RSI, CCI20) are turned up showing the big bottom turn. 3. That we see the turn on a major support area. 4. That we are still well above last years high (blue line) so we can use it as a good stop at 21.70. 5. Even with the pull back and consolidation we are well over 50% up this year. Sounds like a good 5 point turn to me. Yet Laying all that aside, I just wanted to point out what a great day IQ had running up 5% today. That was a nice 5% turn indeed. Will very likely be 15-20% by next Friday easy, if IQ does its thing!