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Ironcondor

Key points Iron Condor ES/SPX 09 May 2022Current expected movement from IV = 2.08% At the same tim we estimate with a 80.2% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 1.97% for this the market will stay within TOP 4167 BOT 4006 All of this being calculated with the opening value candle of today From the fundamental point of view we have not big volatility news today With all of this in mind, we can try a scalp entry for today with the next setup Iron Condor for 0 DTE ES Call Sell 4160 Call Buy 4185 Put Sell 4010 Put Buy 3985 This would give us an expectency of 0.41$ per each 1$ lost At the same time we have a 80.2% probability so 80.2% * 0.41$ - 20%*1$ = 12.88$ ROI after 100 trades
CME_MINI:ES1!
by exlux
Weekly Prediction 9-13 May QQQ Iron CondorQQQ 9 - 13 May The weekly VXN-> Volatility Index for S&P 100 index / Nasdaq Implied = 37.4 In this we have to standard it for weekly session 37.4 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.19% My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week E Volatility = 38.02 / sqrt(52) = 5.27% With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 86.6% chance that the market stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol So for next week this range for us is going to be TOP - 325.5 BOT - 293 Lets look into an iron condor oppotunity for trading: 325Call Sell - 328Call Buy 293Put sell - 290 Put buy This is giving us at the current moment a 0.35 expectancy So taking into account from 1109 weekly candles, that 86.6% of the times the market stay within our top/bot channel, Our profit margin would be 86.4% * 0.35 - 13.6%*1 = 16.9ROI after 100 trades
NASDAQ:QQQ
by exlux
Weekly Prediction 9-13 May SPX/ES Iron CondorSPX 9 - 13 May The weekly VIX -> Volatility Index for S&P 500 index VIX = 30.2 In this we have to standard it for weekly session 30.2 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 4.19% My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week E Volatility = 31.69 / sqrt(52) = 4.39% With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 89% chance that the market stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol So for next week this range for us is going to be TOP - 4305 BOT - 3942 Lets look into an iron condor oppotunity for trading: 4300Call Sell - 4325Call Buy 3950Put sell - 3925 Put buy This is giving us at the current moment a 0.29 expectancy So taking into account from 1166 weekly candles, that 89% of the times the market stay within our top/bot channel, Our profit margin would be 89% * 0.29 - 11%*1 = 14.81 ROI after 100 trades
SP:SPX
by exlux
Short Iron Condor QQQ 06 May 2022We can estimate with a 81% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be above 0.64% For this the market will stay above TOP 315 or below BOT 311 From the fundamental point of view for today we have 2 big volatility news: NFP Unemployment Both of them are expected to be lower values than last month -> bearish . With this in mind, I suggest a SHORT IRON CONDOR BUY CALL 315 SELL CALL 318 or other value(higher than 315) BUY PUT 311 SHORT PUT 308or other value(lower than 311)
NASDAQ:QQQ
by exlux
Short Iron Condor SPY 06 May 2022We can estimate with a 81% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be above 0.46% For this the market will stay above TOP 415 or below BOT 412 From the fundamental point of view for today we have 2 big volatility news: NFP Unemployment Both of them are expected to be lower values than last month -> bearish . With this in mind, I suggest a SHORT IRON CONDOR BUY CALL 416 SELL CALL 419 or other value(higher than 416) BUY PUT 412 SHORT PUT 409 or other value(lower than 412)
AMEX:SPY
by exlux
Short Iron Condor SPX 06 May 2022We can estimate with a 83% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be above 0.3% For this the market will stay above TOP 4160 or below BOT 4135 From the fundamental point of view for today we have 2 big volatility news: NFP Unemployment Both of them are expected to be lower values than last month -> bearish . With this in mind, I suggest a SHORT IRON CONDOR BUY CALL 4160 SELL CALL 4190 or other value(higher than 4160) BUY PUT 4135 SHORT PUT 4110 or other value(lower than 4135)
SP:SPX
by exlux
Short and Long Iron Condor QQQ 05 May 2022We can estimate with a 79% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 2.24% For this the market will stay within TOP 337 BOT 322 At the same time We can estimate with a 86% confidence that the volatility for today is going move more than 0.41% For this the market will stay above the TOP 331 BOT 328 From the fundamental point of view, yesterday we had the release of the interest rates, so I believe currently we are in a short relief moment, where we can have for some days/weeks a small bull trend For today we have no big volatility news, so we cant expect big surprises. Having said that we have 2 different ways of trading for today IRON CONDOR for the first option, with the 337sell 340buy Call / 322sell 319buy Put Reverse IRON CONDOR for the second option with 330buy 333sell Call/ 328buy 325sell Put
NASDAQ:QQQ
by exlux
Short and Long Iron Condor SPY 05 May 2022We can estimate with a 86.4% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 1.75% For this the market will stay within TOP 436.6 BOT 421.5 At the same time We can estimate with a 86% confidence that the volatility for today is going move more than 0.33% For this the market will stay above the TOP 430.4 BOT 427.6 From the fundamental point of view, yesterday we had the release of the interest rates, so I believe currently we are in a short relief moment, where we can have for some days/weeks a small bull trend For today we have no big volatility news, so we cant expect big surprises. Having said that we have 2 different ways of trading for today IRON CONDOR for the first option, with the 436sell 439buy Call / 421sell 418buy Put Reverse IRON CONDOR for the second option wiht 430buy 433sell Call/ 427buy 424sell PUT
AMEX:SPY
by exlux
$BABA highest IVR in this year = bullish Iron Condor #tradingAlibaba IVR is 170 without event?! No way.. I'm literally waiting these rocket IVR days in this year! Chinese stocks are dumping hard. Alibaba Group is maybe the biggest and the best to play with some bullish IC. Max profit: $230 Probability of 50%Profit: 81% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 30% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $770 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 170 (high for ) Expiry: 49 days SETUP: IC for 2.3cr, because IVR ultra high * Buy 1 BABA Jan21' 80 Put * Sell 1 BABA Jan21' 90 Put * Sell 1 BABA Jan21' 150 Call * Buy 1 BABA Jan21' 160 Call Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200. Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.92db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:BABA
by TanukiTrade
$USO IronCondor 72%PoP, 45% profit - gift of the day with 176IVRDon't miss the opportunity of the day! Highest IVR ETF today with the value of 173! Of course, -5 delta meaning bearish Iron Condor. SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, bullish trendline too. Max profit: $314 Probability of 50%Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 45% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $686 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 137-173 (ultra high for options ) Expiry: 56 days SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.14cr * Sell 1 USO Jan21' 35 Put * Buy 1 USO Jan21' 45 Put * Buy 1 USO Jan21' 55 Call * Sell 1 USO Jan21' 65 Call SETUP: IC for USO, because IVR is epic high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.1db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:USO
by TanukiTrade
$AMD IC 40% Profit and 77% PoP #amd #trading #optionsI'm waiting for this AMD corrention.... * Big red trending candle. * Reasonable safety S/R zones. * Long run and now correction. Why Iron Condor? Let the bulls/bears to choose direction, I would like to making money in any direction! Max profit: $286 Probability of 50%Profit: 77% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 40% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $770 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 94 (very high) Expiry: 49 days SETUP: IC for 1.43cr each, because IVR ultra high * Buy 2 AMD Jan21' 110 Put * Sell 2 AMD Jan21' 115 Put * Sell 2 AMD Jan21' 170 Call * Buy 2 AMD Jan21' 175 Call Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200. Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.57db each. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:AMD
by TanukiTrade
S&P500 Iron Condor 60% profit 76% PoP50, high IVR for #optionsI just can't resist the very high IVR for large ETFs, like SPY. My most common strategies these at corrections are the Iron Condors, neutral or negative delta. SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, ATH could act as resistance. Max profit: $375 Probability of 50%Profit: 76% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 60% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $625 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 49 (ultra high for S&P500) Expiry: 56 days SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.75cr * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 420 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 430 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 480 Call * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 490 Call SETUP: IC for SPY, because IVR ultra high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.88db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade