Ironfly
Opening (IRA): GDX Oct 18th 32/37/37/42 Iron Fly... for a 2.66 credit.
Comments: High IVR/High IV (59.8/35.2). Some more "little stuff" in that 45 DTE wheelhouse while I wait for other things to come in or require management.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.66
Buying Power Effect: 2.34
ROC at Max: 113.68%
25% Max: .67
ROC at 25% Max: 25.19%
Opening (IRA): ARKK October 18th 36/43/43/50 Iron Fly... for a 3.68 credit.
Comments: >35% IV. Doing a smidge of nondirectional here in ARKK, which is toward the top of my ETF board for 30-day IV behind BITO, TQQQ, and SMH (which I already have positions in). Structuring this as a risk one to make one, which is what I like to see out of these.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 3.32
Max Profit: 3.68
ROC at Max: 110.84%
25% Max: .92
ROC at 25% Max: 27.71%
Will look to take profit at 25% max. These generally aren't managed intraexpiry; they work or they don't ... .
Opening (IRA): TAN October 18th 33/40/40/47... for a 3.55 credit.
Comments: Another risk one to make one iron fly in an underlying I'm not currently in with fairly decent 30-day IV at 38.9%.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 3.45
Max Profit: 3.55
ROC at Max: 102.90%
25% Max: .89
ROC at 25% Max: 25.72%
Will look to take profit at 25% max.
Opening (IRA): KRE Oct 18th 49/57/57/65 Iron Fly... for a 4.14 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 67.1/39. Another small nondirectional in an underlying that I'm not currently in while I bide my time waiting on other positions .... .
Metrics:
Max Profit: 4.14
Buying Power Effect: 3.86
ROC at Max: 107.25%
25% Max: 1.04
ROC at 25% Max: 26.81%
Opening (IRA): IWM Oct 18th 192/214/214/236 Iron Fly... for an 11.61 credit.
Comments: Highest IV of broad market ETF's at 27.6%. More small stuff (relatively speaking) while I twiddle my thumbs waiting on other October setups ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 10.39
Max Profit: 11.61
ROC at Max: 111.74%
25% Max: 2.90
ROC at 25% Max: 24.98%
Will generally look to take profit at 25% max.
Opening: RIOT January 19th 8/15/15/22 Iron Fly... for a 3.60 credit.
Comments: High IV/IVR (115.3%/36.3%). Looking for this to "behave" between the 11.40 and 18.60 break evens for a few weeks ... .
Metrics:
Max Profit: 3.60 ($360)/contract
Profit at 25% Max: .90 ($90)
Buying Power Effect: 3.40 ($340)/contract
ROC as a Function of Buying Power Effect at 25% Max: 26.5%
Break Evens: 11.40/18.60
Delta/Theta: 4.17/2.05
Closed: URA December 17th 28/28/38 Iron Fly... for a 3.63 debit.
Comments: In for 4.84 (See Post Below), out of the short straddle aspect and the long call for 3.63 today, a 1.21 ($121) profit. The 18 long put was no bid, but I've entered an order to close it if someone will take it off of my hands for .05. Otherwise, I'll just let it expire worthless.
Opening (Small Account): URA December 17th 18/28/28/38 Iron Fly... for a 4.84 credit.
Comments: With a 30-day implied at 66.5%, selling premium in the uranium ETF with an iron fly, which sets up break evens around the expected move -- 23.16 on the put side, 32.84 on the call. Will look to take profit at 25% max.
LATE POST/OPENING: GPS SEPTEMBER 18TH 12/17/17/22 IRON FLY... for a 2.49 credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $249/contract
Max Loss: $251/contract
Break Evens: 14.51/19.49
Delta/Theta (Currently): -8.91/3.12
Notes: Couldn't post this yesterday due to the number of "Update" posts I did ... .
High implied at 87.5% with earnings to be announced today after the close. A classic risk one to make one iron fly which I'll look to take profit at 25% max.
OPENING: EWW SEPTEMBER 18TH 32/33 SKINNY SHORT STRANGLE... for a 2.44/contract credit.
Notes: With price trading in between the 32 and 33 strikes, went skinny short strangle in lieu of short straddle. Since it's almost a straddle, I'll look to take profit at 25% max.
I've gone ahead and shown defined risk wings for an iron fly/skinny iron condor setup on the chart -- the September 18th 28/32/33/37, which was paying 1.97 as of the writing of this post, just short of the one-half the width of the wings I look for out of an iron fly (i.e., this would be a four-wide iron fly, so would ideally look for around 2.00 in credit out of it).
TRADE IDEA: XLF AUGUST 21ST 20/23/24/27 IRON FLY... for a 1.51 credit (.38 at 25% max).
Notes: 5 out of XLF's top 10 holdings announce next week, so this is a way to get a piece of that volatility without getting into single name, with a classic risk one to make one iron fly setup. I've split the shorties across current price, but would look to take profit at 25% max, as you would with a short straddle/iron fly. Naturally, you may have to adjust the strikes, depending on what XLF does early in the week.
For those who like to trade naked, the August 21st 23/24 skinny short strangle was paying 1.90 (.48 at 25% max) as of Friday close.
CLOSING: /CL JANUARY 15TH 59/61/61/62 IRON FLY... for a 10.30 debit.
Notes: Ohhh, that's going to leave a mark. Taking a loss In the January cycle by closing this out, but scratch is still at 14.80, so will hopefully work the remainder into profit.
Iron FLY COOIV is really high on COO this could be a good play.
290/310/310/330
0.13/0.42/0.5795/0.25
Exp Jan 17
Max gain is 25% of max credit $14.62 was my credit.
My exit is GTC order for $11 max gain is $3.62
Max loss will be $362 if I lose completely.
Win% odds are around 62% from the wings delta's
$HOG Iron Fly for earningsBuy: 11/22 33p for .49
Sell: 11/22 37p for 1.61
Sell: 11/22 37c for 1.80
Buy: 11/22 41c for .40
Net Credit: $2.52 (Max profit if pinned at $37)
BP Reduction: $1.48
As seen on the chart, was able to cash in on an Iron Condor last earnings cycle in a similar range. Going to give myself a little more time to be right and look to pin $37 in the next 30 days. Not overly concerned with what happens in the morning with earnings, but the binary event gives a nice chance to cash in on IV crush if the underlying shows little movement.
PXD Iron FlyIron Fly I got a bad credit on it I should have tried for more, $7.20 credit and 280 max loss.
118/128/128/138 Dec 6th..
So the plan is to take a profit of at least 25% of the credit. Which is $180. Max loss is also $180.
Delta's on the wings were pretty good around 0.25-.26 so this should be a decent trade and PXD doesn't move all that much after earnings.
FB Iron FlyI haven't done a neutral strategy in awhile so lets go ahead and give this a shot,
180/190/190/200 Iron Fly, Credit collected was $800 max loss is $200. Max gain is $200 while max loss is $100 I plan to take a profit after 2-3 weeks if the position goes in my favor. Otherwise I'll leave the position and tax a loss at my target if it doesn't pan out.
If the position moves and stays around target of around 190 then I'll sell as IV crush will devalue the spread.
Exp Nov 29
$FIT Iron Fly$FIT Iron Fly
Buy: 11/22 3p for .13
Sell: 11/22 4p for .55
Sell: 11/22 4c for .44
Buy: 11/22 5c for .19
Net Credit: $0.67 (Max profit if pinned at $4)
BP Reduction: $0.33
$X Iron FlyHitting this one again. Worked out well last month. Only widening the strikes a bit to give more room and also increase max profit. This does add risk to the trade however, but with a greater probability of profit.
$X Iron Fly
Buy: 11/22 8p for .14
Sell: 11/22 11p for 1.08
Sell: 11/22 11c for .64
Buy: 11/22 14c for .07
Net Credit: $1.51 (Max profit if pinned at $11)
BP Reduction: $1.49