TSLA close analysis, 3/23/2023 -- Will it be an island?!I've been tracking a TSLA long term short from a prior idea and was greedy expecting price to trace back to 150 levels. With the bearish nature of the past couple day's moves, a gap down creating an island is just what the doctor ordered for TSLA to continue its downward path.
TLDR Open gap down I’m super bearish. Continue to range in this 190+ zone I will continue to hedge long.
Islandtopreversal
could earnings disappoint tommorow?technically the bull move in this stock has left much to be desired in terms of sustainability and stability. huge moves like this have been historically quite bearish for the stock. my estimate is that the price needs major support from a catalyst like earnings or a special response from investors while even a lackluster earnings beat could disappoint bulls. if longs want to hold this price above the $2 range they need to form a continuation pattern immediately or develop sustaining momentum to keep this move up alive. im anticipating much decline in absence of this.
SPX in EW 2 of Impulsive Shark DT after Island Top ReversalUp TL broken; DT in progress, Bear Rally = EW 2; Chart details suffice IMO; Shark Nenstar is in play, Tar 2498-2530;
Res Ipse Loquitur!
EW Projections are Estimates based on most common occurring Fibos;
This is NOT investment advice; trade at your own risk; GLTA!!
Ref: JJ Murphy, Fig 4.10A, p. 72 (TL Rejection) and EW Chapter Theory:
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Ref: EW Leg common Fibos, ref chart: "Characteristics of Waves":
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Changing trendSPY opened up euphorically, up 2.9% at it's high for the day. Strong 2 way trade ensued as expected (noted yesterday). Index closed up 1.3%, but much lower than the open.
Thursday's strong down trend day was followed by sell into strength of Friday. Rips were sold, dips were grudgingly bought. SPY was down as much as 0.6% before buyers closed up the index for the day.
For the week, SPY lost 5%. Almost an outside week.
300 held like a champ, through 2 tests.
4 day island top is big resistance.
RSI is at 51.97%. When below 50% I expect deeper sell-off.
Quad witching is coming Friday. Last quad witching was on Mar 15, a strong down week,
Indicator divergence is notable on the chart.
Force strikes back - Island TOPA-B-C Recovery
Ending diagonal
Diagonal break with a gap
Island TOP take place?
Pieces of evidence are clear for short. The protective stop could be at 2822, 2870.
Targets:
for V shape believer: 2500
for U shape believer: 2000 - 2300
W shape believer: 1700 - 2100
L shape believer: more
Ubisoft downtrend confirmation or island reversal?Ubisoft has been stuck in a downtrend for awhile now, an initial island can be observed and linked to the current downfall of this stock. Currently the price is trading within a downtrend, where a second island bottom is present, which may lead to a reversal at the immediate support zone. Overall the bearish momentum, outweighs the possible bullish factors.
Spotify diamond topSpotify is showing mixed signals with the formation of a diamond top which is indicative of a bearish reversal, evident on the chart. Also, formation of an island top which are a quite reliable bearish reversal chart pattern. The uncertainty in this chart may be evident to investors which choose to capitalise on this or sit out.
Personally I use Spotify myself..