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Bitcoin at Risk: Will Geopolitical Tensions Push BTC Below $90K?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction amid rising tensions and conflict between Iran and Israel, dropping to as low as $98,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $101,000, and if these tensions escalate further — especially if Iran decides to close the Strait of Hormuz — it could significantly impact global markets, and Bitcoin would not be an exception. If BTC fails to hold above $100,000 by the end of the week, a continuation of the drop toward $90,000 is possible. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
AI Algo Systems vs. Manual Trading: Which Delivers Real Results?AI Algo Systems vs. Manual Trading: Which Delivers Real Results? ⚖️ ________________________________________ Introduction With the explosive rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in financial markets, traders everywhere are asking the million-dollar question: Should I trust my trades to automation, or keep my hands on the wheel? 🧠🤖 This guide offers a real-world, side-by-side comparison between AI-powered algorithmic trading systems and traditional manual trading. We’ll highlight where each method dominates, when they fail, and how you can combine both to build a system that outperforms the rest. 💡 What Are AI Algo Systems? 🤖 AI trading systems use advanced machine learning models to: • Analyze huge volumes of historical and real-time data 📈 • Detect patterns and trading opportunities faster than any human • Automatically execute trades using coded logic, without emotion 🔬 Real-World Examples: • Neural networks (LSTM, CNN): Predicting EUR/USD direction based on years of tick data • Reinforcement learning agents: Managing position sizing dynamically in crypto scalping • Predictive classifiers: Spotting likely trend reversals on S&P 500 based on 20+ indicators Key Benefits: • 🔄 Emotionless execution: No fear, no greed, just rules • ⏱️ Lightning-fast trades: React to price action instantly • 📊 Pattern recognition: Finds subtle correlations people miss ________________________________________ What Is Manual Trading? 👤 Manual trading is powered by human intelligence and judgment. Traders use: • Price action and SMC/ICT techniques (e.g., order blocks, BOS) • Fundamental analysis: News, sentiment, macro reports • Intuition and experience: Reading between the lines the way only humans can 🧑‍💼 Real-World Examples: • A trader spots an untested order block on GBP/JPY and waits for liquidity sweep before entering • Reading a dovish tone in FOMC minutes and fading the initial spike on DXY • Using “market structure shifts” after a big news event to catch a reversal Key Benefits: • 🔍 Contextual awareness: Understand the full market story • 🎯 Real-time adaptability: Adjust plans on the fly • 🧠 Creative edge: Find setups no algorithm can code for ________________________________________ Side-by-Side Comparison Table 📋 Feature AI Algo Trading 🤖 Manual Trading 👤 Execution Speed Instant Slower, can lag Emotions Involved None Prone to fear/greed Adaptability Limited (needs retrain) High Learning Curve High (coding/tech) Medium (market logic) Strategy Flexibility Pre-coded only Unlimited creativity Backtesting Automated Manual/semi-auto Session Monitoring 24/5 via server Human-limited hours ________________________________________ When AI Algo Systems Work Best 💾 AI is unbeatable when you need: • Scalability: Watching 10, 20, or even 100+ pairs 24/5 • High-frequency execution: Entering/exiting trades within milliseconds • Repetitive strategies: Like mean reversion, breakout scalps, or arbitrage 📈 Example: • Strategy: EUR/USD London open breakout • Process: AI model detects volume and volatility spike, enters trade with 0.3% risk, targets FVG • Results: 60% win rate, 1.8R average reward over 3 months ________________________________________ When Manual Trading Wins 🧠 Manual skills shine when you need: • Discretionary entries: Especially with complex SMC/ICT structures • Adapting to breaking news: Sudden CPI, FOMC shocks, geopolitical headlines • Making sense of market narrative: When volatility is off the charts and AI gets confused 🗞️ Example: • News: Surprise ECB rate hike • Setup: Price sweeps liquidity and forms new order block • Action: Trader enters based on confluence of structure, sentiment, and news • Why AI fails: Model trained on normal volatility might get stopped out or miss entry entirely ________________________________________ Hybrid Strategy: The Best of Both Worlds 🌐 Elite traders combine the power of AI with human oversight. Hybrid Workflow: 1. AI scans markets: Flags setups (order blocks, FVGs, volume spikes) 2. You review: Confirm bias with news, sentiment, or higher time frame 3. Entry: o Manual (you pull the trigger) o Semi-automated (AI suggests, you approve) 🔁 You save time, avoid missing setups, but keep critical discretion and control. ________________________________________ Risk Management: Algo vs. Manual 📊 AI: • Stops, lot size, SL/TP are auto-calculated • Consistent, never emotional • Example: EA manages all USD pairs with 0.5% fixed risk per trade Manual: • Trader might override risk plan • Discipline needed—easy to “revenge trade” after a loss • Example: You up your risk size after a losing streak, breaking your rules Best Practice: 📌 Let AI calculate risk size. Manually approve or override the entry. Double safety net. ________________________________________ Trader Case Study 👤 Name: Ray – $100K funded prop trader Style: Hybrid (AI scanner + manual ICT confirmations) Process: • Sets HTF bias each morning • AI scans for OB/BOS setups during NY session • Manual review before entry Performance: • Win rate: 63% • Avg R: 2.5 • Monthly gain: 9.7% Ray’s Words: “AI catches what I can’t see. I catch what it can’t understand.” ________________________________________ Mistakes to Avoid ❌ • 🚫 Blindly trusting black-box AI: Always verify signals • 🚫 Micromanaging every tick: Let automation work, don’t over-interfere • 🚫 Running AI during high-impact news: Most bots aren’t built for chaos • 🚫 Ignoring psychology: Even if AI executes, your mindset impacts risk and management ________________________________________ Conclusion ✅ There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. The best traders in 2025 master both worlds. Here’s the winning formula: • Harness AI’s speed and pattern recognition • Lean on manual judgment for narrative and nuance • Blend them with intention and structure for a trading system that’s fast, flexible, and resilient. 💥 Don’t pick sides. Master both. That’s how the top 1% trade today—and win. 🚀⚙️📊
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
31
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders! If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets. Chart Overview: BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend. Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K Immediate Support: $102K → $100K A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs. Geopolitical Impact: Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now: 🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating. 🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets. 📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution. Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term. The Game Plan Right Now: If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term. However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs. Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts. 📊 My Bias: Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom. 📝 Key Takeaway: Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event. Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk. 👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
by CoreCrypto1
Oil panic buying after Iran Strikes?President Donald Trump has confirmed that the U.S., in coordination with Israel, has conducted three strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. Will there be panic buying of WTI and Brent at the open? In response, Iran’s parliament has approved a proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil shipping route. The final decision lies with Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. If a blockade is enforced, oil prices could rise sharply. ClearView Energy Partners estimates a short-term closure could add between $8 and $31 per barrel. JP Morgan has suggested that a full-scale conflict and complete shutdown could drive prices to $130.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀 Everything about the last week can be found here: OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈 We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶 --- ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 ### Israel / Iran Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀 **Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣 ### India / Pakistan Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢 **Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏 ### Gaza Conflict Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔 **Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️ ### Russia / Ukraine June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭 **Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️ ### U.S. - China Trade War The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻 **Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉 ### Global Trade War The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉 **Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍 ### Trump vs. Powell Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️ **Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥 ### U.S. Inflation CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥 **Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊 --- ## Technical View 📐📈 ### Market Structure: Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦 ### Key Levels: * The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪 * The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑 * Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱 ### Fair Value Gaps (FVG): There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈 ### Gann Analysis: The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles: * The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀 * Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐 * The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏 ### Fibonacci Levels: From the significant swing low to the current high: * 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉 * 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉 * 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉 * 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉 The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨ ### Institutional Levels: * **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰 * **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡 ### Cycle Timing: Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15): * We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️ * The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳 * The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️ --- ### Trading Considerations: * Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉 * Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯 * Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄 Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀 Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂 Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️ Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
2
Can 6 Holes in a mountain move gold this week? 23-27 June 2025Hello fellow traders of OANDA:XAUUSD All about last week here Since Israel's attack on Iran on Friday, June 13th, aimed at destroying all facilities for potential nuclear weapons production, the gold price initially rose to $3450. This surge lasted until Monday, June 16th, during the European session, but then began to fall from there. 📉🔻 Signs of potential peace talks and a swift end to the conflict largely made investors hesitant to invest. Throughout the week, the gold price mostly reacted negatively to higher prices due to investor uncertainty. This was further exacerbated by the fact that the US had not yet entered this war, which Israel initiated. 🕊️😟 However, since the US attack with bunker-busting bombs on the nuclear facilities on June 21st, they are now part of the conflict. Not least for this reason, they might become the target of retaliatory strikes, as already announced by the Iranian regime. 💣💥 If one looks at the timeline of news and announcements regarding potential US involvement in this war, and the two-week waiting period announced by President Trump, it will certainly become clear that this was nothing more than tactics. It was foreseeable that the US would become involved in the conflict, not least because the Israelis lack the appropriate weapons. The possibility of the US providing these weapons to the Israelis was also in the news; however, it then became clear that this specific bomb could only be used by the Stealth Bomber B2. This made it evident that it was only a matter of timing when it would happen, and they naturally wanted to keep that secret – anything else would be nonsensical anyway. 🤫✈️ What's to be expected next? Regarding this conflict, I hope for a swift end. 🕊️🙏 As for the gold price, well, I still believe in a new All-Time High (ATH). 🚀🌟 Will it come this week? Possibly. But the much more important question is whether the Iranian regime will truly dare to attack the US and exact revenge. 🤔⚔️ Market Structure: The chart shows a clear shift from bullish 🐂 to bearish 🐻 structure. We see a significant high around June 13th at approximately $3,451, followed by a break of structure with lower highs and lower lows forming. 📉 Key Levels: 🔑 Premium levels: The area around $3,440-$3,451 represents premium pricing where institutional selling likely occurred. 💎 Fair Value Gaps: There appear to be several imbalances/gaps that price may seek to fill, particularly around the $3,380-$3,400 zone. 🎯 Order Blocks: The consolidation areas around $3,320-$3,340 and $3,380-$3,400 represent potential institutional order blocks. 🧱 Institutional Levels: 🏦 Psychological resistance: $3,450 level acted as significant resistance. 🚧 Current support cluster: $3,320-$3,340 area showing multiple touches. 🛡️ Liquidity zones: The recent lows around $3,293 represent buy-side liquidity that institutions may target. 💧 Fibonacci Analysis: 📏 Based on the major swing from the low around June 9th ($3,300) to the high on June 13th ($3,451): 50% retracement: ~$3,375 (already tested and failed) 📉 61.8% retracement: ~$3,357 (near current price action) ✨ 78.6% retracement: ~$3,337 (aligns with support cluster) ✅ Gann Concepts: 🔢 The timing shows potential significance around the June 13th high, with subsequent price action following geometric price relationships. The current price action around $3,328 suggests we're testing important Gann square relationships from the cycle highs. 📐 Cycle Timing: ⏰ The approximately 10-day cycle from low to high to current retracement suggests we may be in a corrective phase that could extend into late June, with potential for cycle lows around the June 25-27 timeframe based on typical precious metals cycles. 🗓️ Current Assessment: Price appears to be in a corrective phase testing the $3,320-$3,340 institutional support zone. A break below could target the cycle lows, while a hold here with reclaim of $3,380 could indicate accumulation for the next leg higher. ⚖️🔍 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025 🕒 Key Events This Week: • 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone • 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows • 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations ________________________________________ 💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious. ________________________________________ 💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone. ________________________________________ 💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76. ________________________________________ 🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard. • Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range. ________________________________________ 📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions. ________________________________________ 📌 Market Outlook: • EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises. • GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key. • USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it. • Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
19
Uranium The Epic Explosion!Global uranium demand is up to rise about 28% by 2030, driven by clean-energy pushes, nuclear restarts (e.g., Japan), and advanced modular reactors Kazakhstan’s largest producer, Kazatomprom, cut its 2025 production forecast by ~17% due to logistical hurdles and resource constraints Iran signaled openness to discussions with European counterparts aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment levels. However, seasoned diplomacy and regional conflict issues complicate prospects for an agreement Bottom line: Uranium markets are tightening due to production cuts and geopolitical risk, while long-range demand is gaining momentum thanks to nuclear expansion and emerging energy technologies.
AMEX:URA
by Trading-Capital
1
Can Crude Oil Spike to 150 USD / bbl ? Scenario Analysis.With Mid East tensions rising and overall unpredictable situation around Strait of Hormuz, let's review potential scenarios for the Crude Oil Prices. I've outlined three scenarios with projected oil prices for each scenario below. 🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈 🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement 🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes 🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush) ₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k 📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500 💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000 🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption 🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes 🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800 ₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range 📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500 💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range 🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation 🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75 🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500 ₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k 📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200 💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000
TVC:USOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
38
Gold Market Update: Bulls Will target 3750 USD after 3500 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update (June 19, 2025) 📊 Price & Technical Outlook Current Spot Price: ~$3,365 Technical Setup Inverted H&S pattern forming/completed on higher timeframes — confirms bullish reversal structure. Reload (buy) zone: $3,250–$3,275 (ideal accumulation range for bulls if price pulls back). Swing trade setup: Entry: $3,250–$3,275 (reload zone) Take Profit (TP): $3,750 Support: Major at $3,250–$3,275 (break below = reassess bullish bias). Resistance: $3,450–$3,500 ; next major resistance: $3,600, then $3,750. Price consolidating above $3,250–$3,350 is technically healthy — maintaining bullish structure. 🏆 Bull Market Overview The pullback appears complete; uptrend resumes amid strong macro/geopolitical drivers (inflation, rates, safe haven flows). Key Levels: $3,000 (macro support), $3,250 (bulls must defend), $3,500 (breakout zone), $3,750 (swing TP). Short-term dips = buying opportunities — “Buy the Dip” remains favored as long as support holds. Upside targets: Immediate: $3,600 Swing target: $3,750 Summary: Gold remains in a bullish mid-term structure, with the inverted H&S pattern pointing to higher prices ahead. Bulls look to reload at $3,250–$3,275, targeting $3,750 for swing trades. As long as $3,180–$3,200 holds, buying dips is the play. A sustained breakout above $3,400–$3,600 opens the door for new all-time highs.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
45
Hold on, here is the real deal.District court ruling on the joint motion (June12) still pending—no update yet. Judge Torres’ ruling – could come any day; depends on district court docket. Appeals proceedings remain on hold until at least August 15, 2025. XRP spot ETF decisions delayed: SEC ETF decisions, comment periods suggest Franklin Templeton: very likely by late July ProShares: by June 25 Grayscale: likely October Bitwise: through June to October CPI must fall under 2.0% Oil must retrace to the $70s Fed must signal a real cut, not conditional pause DXY must fall below 103 Current War that we all are focused is going to be ended swiftly. Until then, Hold Your Horses!
CRYPTOCAP:XRPLong
by Jaeren_Gale
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275 🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies 🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750 🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload 🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade 🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275 🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750 🌍 Macro & Political Drivers U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand. Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484. EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.” Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum. 📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach. ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks. ⚡ What to Watch Next Catalyst Outlook U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD. Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD. EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro. Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure. ✅ Summary Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion. Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside. Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
31
GBPUSD H1 compression BUY/HOLD TP1 +100 TP2 +200 pips low risk🏆 GBPUSD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook Short-term: BULLS active; resistance forming mid‑1.3600s, consolidation below 1.3600s Mid-term: Neutral to slight bullish bias; bulls seek 1.3600–1.3700/1.3730 zone Status: Narrow trading range (tight band) ahead of key UK CPI, Fed & BoE meetings 🔥 Latest Forex Updates GBP/USD is consolidating in a narrow range around the mid‑1.3500s ahead of this week’s UK CPI and central bank meetings. The pair holds defensive below 1.3600, with dovish BoE bets capping gains while the Fed is expected to stand pat. GBP/USD sits near a 40‑month high (~1.3600), boosted by geopolitical risk tone, but lacking momentum to break much higher. GBP/USD hit ~1.3600 after rebounding from 1.3515 amid renewed Middle East tensions and a weaker US dollar. Live charts show a mild bullish tilt, awaiting central bank outcomes. 💡 Trade Recommendation Buy GBPUSD at 1.3530 (recommended entry near 1.3530) Take Profit at 1.3730 → +200 pips profit target Stop Loss: 50 pips (around 1.3480) This trade aligns with the current structure: shallow dip followed by rebound, positioning ahead of central bank catalysts. Momentum above resistance could propel GBP/USD toward 1.3730. 📌 Market Overview Metric Details Current Price ~1.3565–1.3600 24H Range 1.3515–1.3600 Central Event Risks UK CPI (Wed), US Retail Sales & Fed (Wed), BoE (Thu) Geopolitical Middle East tension supports USD weakness, aiding GBP 📈 Forecast Highlights Support Levels: ~1.3530 (100‑period SMA), ~1.3460, ~1.3425 Resistance Levels: 1.3600, 1.3630 static ceiling, followed by ~1.3700–1.3730 for bulls 🧭 Final Take GBP/USD sits in a tight range, awaiting central bank clarity. The recommended long trade at 1.3530 aims to capitalize on upside momentum toward 1.3730, supported by technical confluence and a softer USD. Manage risk with a 50‑pip stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
25
Markets rally as missiles fly | how long can risk be ignored? Markets may be underpricing Israel and Iran risk. Despite continued fighting—including high-impact strikes and rising casualties—global equities moved higher to start the week. U.S. indices led the advance, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.5%, followed by the S&P 500 and Dow. Earlier in the session, European and Asian markets also closed higher, with Germany’s DAX up 0.8% and Japan’s Nikkei rising 1.3%. Now Asian markets are set to open for the second trading day of the week. Tensions escalated further on Monday as Israel launched drone strikes on Iran’s state-run IRINN television headquarters in Tehran, interrupting a live broadcast. Additional Israeli attacks hit the South Pars gas field. In retaliation, Iran launched a fresh wave of missile attacks into Israel, killing at least five people.
ASX24:AP1!
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold Eyes ATH Amid Escalating Geopolitical TensionsGOLD – OVERVIEW Commodities, particularly gold, are experiencing strong bullish pressure due to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of negotiation or de-escalation, the ongoing conflict continues to fuel safe-haven demand. As long as geopolitical risks remain elevated, bullish momentum in commodities is expected to persist. Technical Outlook: Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3404. Holding above this level supports a continuation toward the ATH at 3486, with potential extensions to 3529 and 3560. A retest of the 3404 support remains possible, and an opening gap toward 3486 cannot be ruled out. Overall, the prevailing trend remains upward. A bearish scenario would only be valid if tensions in the Middle East ease significantly or if negotiations between Israel and Iran begin. Key Levels: • Pivot: 3431 • Resistance: 3486, 3529, 3560 • Support: 3404, 3381, 3347
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq must hold its line, otherwise more downsideMarkets are on edge. The Nasdaq is hovering just above its 200-day moving average and with so much angst in the market, this line must hold. If it breaks, risk sentiment could unravel quickly, and we could see a retest of recent 2025 lows. The trigger isn’t hard to find. Rising tensions in the Middle East are putting upward pressure on oil and energy. A sustained rally in crude would reignite inflation fears just as central banks begin easing. Powell was supposed to start cutting, but wars are always complicated. Higher energy costs hit consumers, slow growth and force policymakers to rethink their next moves. That’s a headwind for tech and growth names. Equities have enjoyed a solid run this year, pricing in a soft landing. But that assumption now feels shaky. Particularly for risky assets like the Nasdaq. The Dow might do better relative. The market isn’t just worried about geopolitics. It’s digesting the reality that inflation remains sticky. Bond yields are rising. Rate cuts are being pushed back. And oil isn’t helping. If the Nasdaq holds its 200-day line, the bulls stay in control. But a break below will shift the momentum. That’s why this week matters. We’re watching a simple but powerful signal. Stay above 20,500 and markets can stabilise. Break below, and volatility returns. This trade is only for the brave. The story is shifting. Stay alert. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Blueberry
3
Major Conflict (Isreal - Middleeast and Iran) on CryptoAs you can see crypto is doing its own and what general markets are doing in general. I applied the dates thanks to ChatGPT to make a summary table. you can see these issues over the past two years did not make a huge impact. The only problem is Iran's response might not be as short as the last time. therefore I am guessing a range of timeframe rather than a vertical line. Remember any higher escalation will lead the risky assets to dump and off-risk assets rise, such as Oil and Gold. Usually Summer time is not very profitable for crypto and as I stated in my last Youtube video I am expecting boring price action in June 2025. This chart can clearly shows, as long as it not become a major international issue and world wide panic, such as 2019 and 2008 it would be scary moments for few weeks at top
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MehranVa1992
Gold: silence on the charts—because the real money already movedThe gold market isn't reacting — it's confirming. The Israeli strikes on Iran? That’s the trigger. But the move started earlier. Price was already coiled, already positioned. All the market needed was a headline. And it got it. Price broke out of the accumulation channel and cleared $3,400 — a key structural level that’s acted as a battleground in past rotations. The move from $3,314 was no fluke — it was a textbook build: sweep the lows, reclaim structure, flip the highs. Volume spiked exactly where it needed to — this wasn’t emotional buying. This was smart money pulling the pin. Technicals are loaded: — Holding above $3,396–3,398 (0.618 Fibo + demand re-entry zone) — All major EMAs (including MA200) are now below price — RSI strong, no sign of exhaustion — Candles? Clean control bars — breakout, retest, drive — Volume profile above price = air pocket — resistance is thin to nonexistent up to $3,450+ Targets: — $3,447 — prior high — $3,484 — 1.272 extension — $3,530 — full 1.618 expansion — key upside target Fundamentals: Middle East is boiling. Iran is ready to retaliate. Israel is already escalating. In moments like these, gold isn't just a commodity — it's capital preservation. The dollar is rising — and gold still rallies. That means this isn’t about inflation, or rates. It’s about risk-off. Pure, institutional-level flight to safety. Tactical view: The breakout is done. Holding above $3,396 confirms the thesis. Pullbacks to that zone? Reloading points. While gold remains in the channel and momentum is clean, the only side that matters right now — is long. When price moves before the news — that’s not reaction. That’s preparation. Stay sharp.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Israel VS Iran War: Oil Spike!Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated dramatically, with both nations engaging in direct military strikes. Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, missile factories, and military personnel. In response, Iran retaliated with missile attacks on Israel, hitting Tel Aviv and wounding civilians The conflict stems from long-standing hostilities, particularly over Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel views as an existential threat. The situation has drawn international attention, with the United States distancing itself from Israel’s actions while maintaining strategic interests in the region. The escalation has raised concerns about a wider regional war, with analysts warning of unintended consequences and further retaliation. The global markets have also reacted, with oil prices surging amid uncertainty.
AMEX:XOPLong
by Trading-Capital
WW3 IS COMING?! Stop kidding me. Today in X and my PM there were a lot of people who were screaming: “Oh nooo war is coming!!!!” Guys, don’t freak out ahead of time. The same events happened a year ago (13-14th of April 2024) . I don’t speak any politics here, just facts: Israel attacked Iran, then Iran attacked Israel. Finish. Everyone was afraid that the WW3 is coming, but it ended in a couple of days. Something similar I expect to happen now too. No one need this war, what’s more - no one has spare billions&billions of dollars to fund it. As for the chart — some fluctuations above the $101,000 support won’t do any harm to the global picture. More to say, the current chart literally copies the one from 2024: pump from the horizontal support that ended up with dump, then another fake pump and quick massive dump. Expect to see some consolidation in the $101,000 - $105,000 range, then we can ride upwards. Peace ✌️
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RobertMercer
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold. A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400. At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event. Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
4