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ITA40

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SKILLING:ITA40Short
by Thief_Trader
Italy FTSE MIB index analysis: Draghi out, worst yet to come? Ten years after rescuing the euro with the iconic "Whatever it takes", Mario Draghi resigns as Italian Prime Minister, as the political parties that formed his majority no longer backed him. The uncertainty surrounding the upcoming general election reigns supreme, and the political crisis in Italy risks putting further downward pressure on the Italian FTSE MIB ( IT40 ) index due to widening yield spread between Italian (BTP) and German Bunds. The BTP-Bund spread, measured as yield difference between IT10Y and DE10Y is now at 2.34 percent (or 234 basis points). Historically, the FTSE MIB index has had a strong and inverse link with the yield spread between Italy and Germany. The FTSE MIB index saw increased volatility as a result of BTP-Bund spread spikes, since they reflect a gauge of credit conditions and country risk in Italy. Draghi's departure along with the announcement of early elections with populist parties on the rise, could now push the BTP-Bund spread above 300 basis points, a level that has previously raised warning bells and resulted in significant sell-off in the FTSE MIB index. Technically, the major trend remains bearish, and the 14-day RSI has been trading below the 50 level for the previous month and a half. However, the momentum indicator is not showing oversold conditions. If the BTP-Bund spread increases beyond 300 basis points, a level that has previously raised concerns in Italy, the FTSE MIB might suffer a more serious selloff in the coming weeks, possibly breaking below the 20.000 mark.
CAPITALCOM:IT40
by Capitalcom
FTSE MIB - Looking to Short on Pullbacks!Italian markets came under strong pressure yesterday as Bloomberg ran a story that the EUCommission June 5th will consider a disciplinary procedure over Italy’s failure to rein in debt. An Excessive deficit Procedure is a lengthy process, but if the story is true, the standoff between Italy and the EU that we had expected in the autumn could start much earlier. We remain with a negative bias on FTSEMIB and BTPs. Sell short-term pullbacks today.
FOREXCOM:IT40Short
by Sam_Eder
Italy Has A ProblemLast week saw the break of a bear flag. We are now resting on downtrend support. The chart looks heavy at this point. Italian banks have major exposure to Turkey. Also, Italy threatens to drag the EU under. The Italians are not as docile as the Greeks - they do not care for whatever rules Brussels attempts to impose on them. Thus, my next target for capital flight is Italy. My first target is the 2016 lows. Should a bounce materialize, I will be confident in shorting it. For now, I'm short from within the flag.
FOREXCOM:IT40Short
by TheRealPeaches