ITC fuelling up for launch to 300+? Bullish Fib based View This analysis is based on purely technical perspective with a Bullish bias primarily based on Fibonacci levels and support/resistance model.
ITC has been grinding up slowly on Daily since the low of 134.6 from last year and is currently forming a Bullish Ascending Triangle as shown in the chart.
Also the price has tested the broken support zone twice and last week, the test of this broken support was done with extremely bullish momentum which signals that the Bulls are ready to launch the price to 300+ and the technical view using Fib retracement and extensions is shown in the chart.
3 sets of Fib levels are drawn on the chart.
1. Downward Fib extension from 367.7 (extended from 322.95)
2. Upward Fibonacci Retracement from 134.6 to 367.7
3. Upward Fib extension from 134.6 (extended from 158)
The confluence zone of 0.618 fib of downward fib ext, 0.5 fib of upward fib retracement and 1.618 of upward fib extension will be the Critical Resistance Zone as it was the important pivot low of the downward extension and also the 0.618 of the same extension drawn as shown on chart.
Breach of this zone will potentially propel price to the Volatility exhaustion limits of the upward fib extension of 2.618 level and also the 1st weekly resistance zone.
Price breaching this zone will test the All Time High price and this is where the momentum matters for price pushing into unchartered territory and the extremely strong Fib resistance of 4.236 fib at 408.55 price level will be the exhaustion zone.
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Do Your Own Research on Company fundamentals to get a good idea and its future potential.
Itcindia
ITCITC has probably become the most hated stock in recent times, but chart is telling different story, it appears that the stock is currently in wave 3, and it has possibly completed a long complex correction in wave II of 3rd, and the stock bounced back from the support zone around 200, and finally it has given a fresh breakout of decending triangle or flag pattern with very good intensity of volume, the stock is set to start wave III of 3rd. one can go long at current level or in dips (if any), all the key levels are mentioned in chart with Stop-loss and Targets.
Wave Structure, with channel and key levels
Decending Triangle pattern Breakout
Breakout with Good intensity of Volume, Zoomed View
Weekly MACD Uptick
Daily MACD Uptick
BBC up
Very Good positive Ungali setup
RSI in daily above 60 uptick
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
ITC - Bounced from the Important LevelsITC bounced from the important level on the weekly time frame, suggesting buying still comes, whenever prices reach this zone , hence called happy zone for the buyers.
In the near term, it could move up to 213 levels and would zoom up above 215 levels 240 levels.
ITC Long term EW Wave countsThis is the EW Wave counts based on Monthly time frame log scale.
(1) See how the Magenta Trendlines are driving the prices. These are long term and solid structure contained within the trendlines. Lower Trend line provides the support and the upper trendline provides the resistance.
(2) Waves counted in in Red shows major/monthly elliott wave cycles. Waves in Blue shows sub waves within the major wave cycles. Waves in magenta shows sub waves within sub waves of the major cycles. Waves in the green shows correction waves in the major elliott wave cycle. This is preferred wave count, the alternate counts are not shown here and i will paste it later. Seeing WXY Correction as a part of Wave 2 correction. Seeing ABC correction as a part of Wave 4 correction. At this point, it most likely shows ABC correction but it may be turned in to complex corrective pattern. The structure in development right now is bit early to count it but as long as it stays above 180-185 zone, bullish structure is preserved and ABC correction pattern is complete. It we see monthly close below 180, it may turn in to complex correction and we may see dip correction.
(3) Pl note that this based on monthly chart analysis and each candle represents one month. If present structure is preserved and ITC stays above 180, then the wave 5 (Red color) counts are wave 3 (Red color) top and we will need to see the reaction from then on.
If you wanna learn Elliott wave analysis, pl have your account set up with Elliott wave international Also pl read Ellott wave book "Elliott Wave principle - Key to Market behavior by Frost and Prechter, one of the classic resource on the topic. Also, a relatively good free resource on the YouTube is Elliott Wave Tutorial Part 1 to 5 by a channel called "Wave 618"
ITC - Stock might get weak again ITC - Stock might get weak again
Recent Price Action
Bounced from the support , but couldn’t move past the immediate resistance around 173 levels.
Started forming lower low , lower highs again.
Now, any move below 163 level , can take it towards its immediate support comes that comes around 150-152 levels, below which we may see heavy selling in the stock
ITC - trend change probability on cards#ITC - Stock is in the process of a trend change, keep it on your radar. Move above 173, can see fast move towards 187 -190 levels.
Accumulation zone 163- 170.
SL few ticks below 163
Trade type: Swing, and can covert into positional as well.
**Trade at your own risk
ITC took Strong SupportITC has taken good support and rallied... buy buy buy...
if you are not willing to buy in futures take options =>buy 215 CE sell 225 CE ...
expectation is it will reach 225 so by that time expiry comes in and you can eat premium of 3200
maximum loss is 5500 if it starts falling down to 195 then sell one more 225 CE you will loose around 2k-3k which is nothing
I bought 215 ce at 2.65 and sold 225 ce at 2.65 already at 700 profit...
I think ITC is a good dividend yield company and holding it will give you 5 to 7% profit i dividend yield itself and if it rallies that is extra... so buy in stocks if you have money