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Cyclical Apocalypse 2023The recession we predicted in August is almost here. Prepare for monetary meltdown. Things to look forward to next year: Mass layoffs (started in q4) and spike in unemployment rate Retail earnings miss heavily with a bad holiday season Industrial production drops sharply Used car bubble pops Mass consumer defaults on car loans Housing market collapse Credit spread blowout Zombie companies reduced to rubble Mass bankruptcies Negative real growth in all four macro sectors (income, production, consumption, employment, etc) Various crypto exchanges insolvent Mass panic and bank runs SPY -30% to -70% drop Disinflation and then deflation (not stagflation) Energy bear market Corporate rates turn into junk Municipal bond meltdown Emergency fed pivot but only after something dire breaks Massive bond rally (tail end)
SP:SPXShort
by coinhoIio
4
GOOG: AlphaBet AlphaBet With One Bound It's Free - Buy the next dip That massive triangle has finally been broken above with one giant leap across the border - incredibly bullish for Google and therefore for all world markets. A major buy with stops below 1042 line and upside at 1180. Same with SandP - pressure lifted. No war, as the chart was predicting - a nice RHS on SandP too, next chart There's resistance at 1064-5 in very near term - may get a last chance to buy from lower as it hits this level very soon now. Look to buy the dip. Upside about 118 points, downside 20 from here.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by sumastardon
DXY: Dollar Index Dollar Downtrend Finally Reaching its EndDXY Dollar Index Dollar Downtrend Coming to an End Despite the spike and noise surrounding CPI numbers yesterday DXY has been forced back down the same small parallels it was travelling down before the numbers hit the newsfeeds. As in last comment Dollar bulls still have the double bottom on their side here. The last one was one week apart, this one is 2 weeks apart. The Dollar is likely to hold here at these lower levels and then begin to rally. It's waiting on Wall St to open now but bears in London have failed to push it below the double bottom. A sign of waning downside momentum. Once it can break above the upper small parallel guiding the descent it should attract more buyers and move back up to test the 89.37 line where it will likely meet resistance again...it has to push on through here during the course of today for the bulls to gain more traction and flip DXY into more positive mode from this point. This battle may take some time to resolve - DXY has to fight its way through three lines of near term resistance at 89.37, 89.51 and then 89.62 to turn back to positive again. Look to buy dips here and on the pairs with stops under 88.40 on DXY for small loss if wrong from here. Increase longs on move above the smaller upper parallel. On downside, DXY will have to break below 88.40 today to change this view to near term negative but only back to 87.70 at lowest where DXY should find final support and begin to rally again. But so long as 88.40 holds up today the Dollar's downtrend is finally coming to an end.
TVC:DXYLong
by sumastardon
OIL structure play with some potential patterns So, fellas, the blue rectangle represents a pretty strong resistance for todays price action. The level has been tested quite lot and we have a lack of price momentum right in that exact area. Further price decline will form a gartley pattern since the .618 level is around that resistance level I was talking about. Shorting now is an option. I would personally give it a shot. Trail stop order for some pips. However if we break the level and test it again with a bounce off it as a support level that would be a long signal and possibly the end of the downtrend since we just completed the monthly bat pattern that was standing just @ 42.00. We also have the green bat pattern which would catch the retracement of the eventual break of this key structure resulting in a test of it. Thats all, folks.
FX:USOILShort
by FeelsFX
4