Ivanlabrie
GBPUSD: Long at marketWe can enter longs at market in GBPUSD, and aim for the Brexit key level at 1.36599. Stop loss at 1.28772 should be adequate.
Good Luck!
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Ivan Labrie
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We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
UAL Long play based on Key Hidden LevelsTracking and testing, the efficacy of these plays. Based on previous earnings key hidden levels. 3 x ATR stop, good risk to reward ratio at 5.00
XAUUSD Potential Shorting Opportunity This is a riskier trade as the US indexes are taking a hit lately but I think the gold safe-haven will soon die off and the dovish Fed sentiment will soon be more "accepted" by the markets. This is a simple trade idea with the use of long term resistance lines on daily chart and fibonacci levels.
Gold is hitting major resistance around 1200, it broke out of shorter term fibonacci level at around 1190 and is consolidating around there at the moment of this post. What I would like to see most ideally is a false breakout on the upside past 1200, around 1206 (which is also a long term fibonacci level) and do a short below that. Even more ideal would be a shooting star candlestick on daily with the false breakout.
If it does not hit around 1206, I will be placing smaller position shorts below the current level now and adding positions along the way. This is a riskier trade so no single big positions are recommended. Smaller positions and adding on the way down is key for this kind of trade.
Targets : If this trade goes in our favour, my first conservative target will be around 1160 where a retest of the past support may be possible. Next conservative target will be 1140 (a retest of the shorter-term resistance line). With these conservative targets I will be locking in some profits incase of a false breakdown or a retest of the resistance to resume the uptrend.
A break through below the conservative target of 1140 will be very ideal and the next target after that would be around 1107 (a long-term fib level). Most ideal target would be 1020-1030, a break below previous lows to hit the long term support.
Remember that this trade is riskier and that small positions are highly advised (we can always add positions along the way everytime it pulls back up).
This idea is just my personal opinion and analysis, please trade with consideration and care.
Happy Chinese New Year of the Monkey to all, and happy trading!
Oil: Early entry into potential weekly tradeThe oil chart has had bearish overtones for a while now, and despite feeble attempts by the bulls to drive price above the highest volume node at 46.24, it seems like bears are winning in this juncture.
I'd place a couple of entries here, looking to capture the downside move.
It's possible, once the 2nd order is triggered, that we get a 55% chance of hitting 22.03 in the coming months. Time expiration for the decline would be by March 21st, 2016, but it can reach this abysmal target sooner than that as well, as long as it trends down below the blue line on chart.
For more information and insights into managing this position, scaling in, and understanding the logic behind the technical setups contact me via pm. I'm currently hosting a skype group, where I share trade setups and also provide traders with training, as well as 2 private webinars per week, and also giving tutoring via skype calls, on a one on one basis.
Good luck if you take this trade.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
Merval: Argentina is in for a Santa Rally as well?In my previous analysis I was under the assumption that global equities were about to take a major turn south, but it got invalidated when the downtrend signal mode was breached, after a very slow trading range formed, where we saw accumulation take place.
There's still potential doom and gloom ahead, but first the Merval has to move higher to test the 3 main resistance zones on chart.
We have the Presidential Elections today, and this will be fuel for the fire that this rally needs.
Once the results are out, I'm sure that we will see a major move take place.
The direction is on chart, the first signal that I get is a daily one aiming for a rally lasting until October 31st.
I cloned the range target and extended it up, as well as adding the extreme profile balance point target, which is the highest realistic target one can aim for under my methodology.
It's interesting how connected the world economy is, globalization is a real thing, and it's fascinating how each market needs its own fundamental trigger, yet they all move in unison, despite having their own 'motivations' for it.
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Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
Analyst at Concord Bay dot com
Dollar adjusted Gold: In depth time at mode analysisIn this chart I conducted a very detailed time at mode analysis of the monthly chart in gold, adjusted by the world's investor's perception of the dollar to give us a clearer indication of its value.
Right now, the chart suggests gold might have bottomed in the intermediate to long term.
This is by no means a small claim, I know, but the technicals on chart are a powerful indication of a big paradigm shift here.
I'll look for bearish dollar setups from now on, I suggest you do it too.
Make sure to follow me at collective2, if you're interested of leveraging my technical insights.
Details are in my profile, as well as links to my track record as an analyst, forecaster and trader.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
Nikkei: Fade overbought ralliesNikkei is consolidating forming a bell curve, if you look at the profile shape from the low.
The weekly downtrend that fired in August has now expired, which means there's a possibility that price goes up to retest the downtrend mode.
I see this as improbable and would suggest looking for shorts once the targets on chart are hit, or the low volume resistance zones tested.
The last daily leg implies further upside, but rgmov is at abysmal levels and forms new lows, so, it's possible that this move fails and it heads down from here.
If that were the case, next week we will have a new mode, lower, so we could look for time at mode trend signals, which would more or less imply the Nikkei will travel down to test previous support levels.
Once we have clarity here, we will know wether to consider Yen longs or not. For the time being, I'd only try short term swing trades in the yen pairs.
Regards,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX