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IWM

The DXY and Yields are Still Set Up for a Bullish ReversalLast night, the DXY went below the PCZ of the Bullish Alt-Bat and bottomed out at the Demand Line of the channel it has been trading within, and at the same time, it formed a Bullish Butterfly with double PPO confirmation. Now it is back above the Moving Averages and on the rise. Meanwhile, the yields have seemingly bottomed out at the 200 SMA at the PCZ of a Bullish Shark and looks to be ready to make some new highs. The QQQ has been getting pumped a lot because of money flowing into big tech, so I have opted not to focus so much on trading against the QQQ and will instead shift my focus against the IWM via the 3x Inverse ETF $TZA. TZA is at the 200 moving average, aligning with the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Crab with some PPO Confirmation, I think this will make new highs soon. if the QQQ goes back below 360 then I will cosnider jumping back on the Bearish QQQ trade.
AMEX:TZALong
by RizeSenpai
1
BOTTOM is the SP 500 A double zig zag has ended into the target Last week I talked about the alt wave structure if we failed at 4521 . I stated that if we fail to break above this we would then see a abc or 5 wave drop to 4331/4303 the ideal target 4303 in a perfect world and that the VIX would see 18.8/19.8 worst case if the bull was still within the final advance . I also want traders to review the tlt post THE MAJOR LOW DUE and the DXY . I look for the sp to march to 4666/4731 from here I am now 100 % long and margin of 5 % and fully long calls today I also took a full 100 % long in IWM target has been met . best of trades WAVETIMER
AMEX:SPY
by wavetimer
3
XLF - Looking Very WeakFinancials charts have completely been rejected by the downscoping trend line. A weekly bear flag looks like it's about to trigger and send price action much lower. Since the daily chart is getting oversold, waiting for bearish consolidation is a wise decision if you are wanting to short. With the rise in yields recently, it's clear the Banks net interest margins are being squeezed. Will we see another banking crisis? The last time we saw the XLF close below the weekly 50MA, we saw a quick 10% drop.
AMEX:XLF
by Trading-Capital
1
Market Analysis Ahead of Fed MeetingThe FOMC is set to have their 2 day meeting. Market consensus is for a pause in rate hikes. Will the Fed shock the market like the ECB just did with their rate hike? The treasury yields market is still in a very strong uptrend & inflation expectations over the last 2 CPI prints have come in hotter due to energy. the markets are in a ver y precarious spot with the small caps & equal weight indices on the verge of breaking down. Will tech save the day?
BLACKBULL:WTI
0
by Trading-Capital
The Day Ahead: IWM, QQQ, TQQQ, GDXJ, FXI, EWZIt's Friday and a Triple Witching to boot! Well, IV isn't great here pretty much across the board for us premium sellers. Nevertheless, if you must play (and some of us gotta), here's what's shakin' ... . Broad Market QQQ, .8 IVR, 17.8% 30-day IV, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1% of the strike price: December 29th. IWM, .7 IVR, 16.8% 30-day, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1% of the strike price: December 29th. SPY, .9 IVR, 12.9% 30-day, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1%: (Ugh), March (there is no February monthly yet). Exchange-Traded Funds Ideally, you want to hit these when IVR >50 and IV is >35%, but IVR is at rock bottom, with most skimming the very low end of their 52-week ranges. Sometimes, you just have to settle for what the market gives you. TQQQ, 8.5 IVR; 52.6% 30-day. GDXJ, .6 IVR; 31.6% 30-day. FXI, 7.9 IVR; 29.4% 30-day. EWZ, 2.8 IVR; 26.7% 30-day. Fortunately, all of these are <$45/share, so you will be small in terms of buying power effect with the natural exception of the leveraged TQQQ, which your broker may require be cash secured on margin (which naturally makes it less sexy in that environment from an ROC %-age perspective). Stay small and don't get all of your powder wet.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): IWM December 29th 155 Short Put... for a 1.56 credit. Comments: Rounding out rungs in the last of the available expiries in the 4th quarter, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market using short puts. If I had nothing on in IWM, I'd probably go shorter duration (e.g., November 17th) where the 165 is paying 1.75 at the moment; I already have a rung at that strike, so am going out farther in duration to keep theta on and burning. The same would probably go for my Friday stuff in the Q's and in SPY.
AMEX:IWM
by NaughtyPines
IWM looking vulnerableThe Russel 2000 closed below the daily 200 MA today. It's never a good sign for the breadth in the market when the Russel starts breaking down. I think there's a strong likelhood we continue to breakdown, based off todays IWM price action. Small caps got rejected today at the pre market high and just kept selling all day. What makes thing price action bad is the fact that we closed below the pre market low and the daily 200 MA. The volume on todays close was higher than usual which also indicates some serious selling pressure. A clear Head & shoulders pattern is apparent on the chart, if this triggers...watch out below.
AMEX:IWMShort
by Trading-Capital
Russel 2000 vs Nasdaq, important momentThis is essentially a momentum play where we're seeking a breakout in the Russell 2000 (RUT) compared to the Nasdaq, signifying relative overperformance and potentially paving the way for new highs on the S&P 500 (SPX). It's important to note that a rejection at this juncture would indicate a bearish signal. However, from a pattern probability perspective, the outlook appears bullish. Even though we're currently at all-time high (ATH) levels, this aligns with historical trends from the year 2000, and the prevailing inflationary period suggests the possibility of reaching even higher highs in the future, unless we breakout on the yield curve inversion and have the bear steepener event (see my other charts) that could very well align with the resistance we have here and failing a monthly breakout we can experience a bull trap. Only a monthly close above is a strong buy signal.
TVC:NDQ
by EdwinPus
2
$NDX $SPX $DJI forming ominous patternAs we mentioned yesterday, the TVC:NDQ is poised for a big move some time this month. After posting that, noticed this pattern. Was busy so didn't write it up. Was out all day celebrating daughter & nephew's bday🎉 Do you see it on the DJ:DJI & CBOE:SPX as well? We bring up the Head & Shoulder Pattern every so often. It signifies tops. HOWEVER, this pattern needs the confirmation of breaking the neckline (bottom line - support), especially with volume. TVC:RUT stays in channel the entire time #stocks NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA CBOE:SPX AMEX:IWM
NASDAQ:NDX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Opening (IRA): IWM Jan 19th 157 Short Put... for a 1.58 credit. Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. As I mentioned in my earlier post (See Below), shorter duration is probably paying, but I already have rungs on in the Nov 17th, Dec 15th, and Dec 29th expiries, so going out to 2024 here. Naturally, I'll sell in shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
$NDX - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakdown support of Rising Trend Channel in the medium long term. 🔹This indicates a slower rising rate at first, or the start of a more horizontal formation. 🔹Approaching resistance at 15800, which may give a NEGATIVE reaction. 🔹Once break upwards through 15800 will be a POSITIVE signal. 🔹Technically NEUTRAL for the medium long term. Chart Pattern: ◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 ◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵 ◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:NDX
by wavepoint99
IWM - the small caps get smallerBearish pennant "may be" done here. Above 203 on IWM and the idea is probably INVALID. I've pointed out the SPY/IWM monthly bull flag before (idea is linked below). If correct, it shows IWM losing considerably to the rest of the market. Why? Well I'm still wary of the Banks even though it's been a minute since anyone has really thought they are a problem. Interesting as KRE still looks completely bearish. I believe IWM will lead the correction with Tech staying stronger for a short while. IWM bear pennant is hinting at a larger correction for the market, however if it's an ABC it would also be a wonderful buying opportunity when it's finished. Good luck!
AMEX:IWMShort
by the_sunship
10
$IWM Bullish Daily Close AMEX:IWM Small Caps had a Bullish Daily Close. Tested my support level. Small caps will lead the broader market. The IWM is more sensitive to liquidity. I have been long since the blue arrow. A "double bottom" is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by two consecutive lows at a similar price level, followed by a breakout above the pattern's neckline. This pattern suggests a potential reversal from the downtrend to an uptrend. A "false breakdown" occurs when a price breaks below a support level but quickly reverses and closes back above it. This can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating that the selling pressure wasn't sustained, and buyers stepped in to push the price back up. The idea that "the best moves come from failed moves" is a common adage in trading and investing. It suggests that when a market or a security initially breaks out or breaks down and then reverses, it can lead to strong price movements in the opposite direction. This is often attributed to the idea that traders who were positioned on the wrong side of the initial move are forced to close their positions, contributing to the momentum in the opposite direction. It's important to note that while these concepts are commonly discussed in trading circles, they are not foolproof strategies. Technical analysis is just one approach to understanding price movements in financial markets, and it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management strategies. Markets can be unpredictable, and there is no guarantee that any pattern or signal will always lead to a profitable outcome.
AMEX:IWMLong
by AlgoTradeAlert
2