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IWM

IWM - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakout resistance 179 in double bottom formation. 🔹Approaches resistance at 198 potential NEGATIVE reaction; upward break POSITIVE. 🔹Technically NEUTRAL for medium long term. Chart Pattern; 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
AMEX:IWM
by wavepoint99
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT closesHow #indices closed last week. TVC:DJI After a BEARISH ENGULFING it then closed Friday with a doji = battle for the bulls and bears which is unresolved NASDAQ:NDX Fighting back but it is still showing Negative RSI Divergence. SP:SPX Suffering from Negative Divergence. We''ll how #SPX trades over the next few days, weeks. AMEX:RSP (Equal weight) was weaker. This means that the usual big boys pulled more weight. TVC:RUT needs big move soon, lower highs. Lots of earnings this week! Have a great trading week!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
IWM Bearish Engulfing +5 CandleThe IWM ETF which tracks the Russel 2000 index put in an outside reversal, or bearish engulfing, candle today which eclipsed the 6 prior daily candles. When the body of a price candle completely engulfs the prior candle it is called a bearish engulfing candle. Since todays candle also engulfed the 5 candles prior to yesterdays it is called a bearish engulfing plus 5 candle(BE+5), for a total of 6 candles that were eclipsed by todays candle. The more candles that are engulfed by an outside reversal candle the more bearish the move and outlook. Raising your stop-losses and/or taking some short bets against the market isn't a bad move here on an outside reversal day like today was, especially if markets close down going into the weekend. If markets close red on a Friday, they tend to close red the following Monday as well.
AMEX:IWMShort
by PrepForProfit
Opening (IRA): IWM November 17th 170 Short Put... for a 1.74 credit. Comments: My weekly IWM short put in the shortest duration contract where the <16 delta is paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the market without actually being in stock. The fact that I'm having to go out to November to do this is a testament to how crappy premium is at the moment, but will look to add in shorter duration should we get an uptick in volatility and/or weakness.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
$VTR Broke Out June 29thNYSE:VTR broke out with a bullish engulfing candle on June 29. I like that breakout because of the engulfing candle, it took back the 40-week MA (White), it broke the downtrend line. NYSE:VTR was on my radar, but I missed the breakout on the 29th. I did start a ¼ sized position on the 30th on the pullback (in at 47.43). I added again today at $48.08 for a ½ size trade. This may be a little stretched for a new position here, but you may want to put this on your watchlist for any pullback / consolation entry, assuming it aligns with your trading plan. (My idea, your money). If you do wait for a pullback or a consolidation sideways, which may or may not happen, make sure you buy when it starts to move back up. I’ll look to build this to a full position on pullback or consolidation as mentioned. I don’t usually set targets, but I think this can run back to the $52 area before it hits much resistance. All TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive feedback welcome.
NYSE:VTRLong
by jaxdog
$PATH Breaking Out of Consolidation?I have a small position from July 11 on regaining all shorter-term MAs in anticipation of a new breakout. It looks as though that may be happening today. See all my notations on the chart. What I like about this is that we have a nice long base lasting about 9 months. The 18 Month AVWAP is now right at the area of resistance and price is over both. The chart shows a higher low which is indicative of an uptrend. Notice the first breakout failed. That has been happening a lot this year. Often the second or third attempt works. I will be looking to add to my position with any consolidation over the now (hopefully) support area. My stop is close below the 21 EMA (Blue). Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Constructive feedback always welcome. Thanks for looking. Hope it helps.
NYSE:PATHLong
by jaxdog
IWM Russel 2000 - No Love For Small CapsI hadn't really looked at IWM until a follower asked me about it on Twitter, and after thinking about it for a few hours and comparing it against SPY and QQQ, I realized that it's not that IWM is lagging, it's that it's not going to follow the recent mania. Some wisdom I heard recently is that breadth is important in markets because it indicates a large amount of liquidity has entered or left, indicating the emergence of new bull and bear markets. Unfortunately, with the exception of Friday alone, breadth has been terrible in this debt ceiling crisis pump, which means even though Nasdaq is flirting with 15,000 and SPX with 4,300, it's a bullish impulse within bearish macro conditions. There's a lot of trouble on the horizon with the 2024 Presidential Election close enough that the game has to played and the trouble brewing in mainland China with the Communist Party being about to fall and the globalist bloc struggling to either cuckold or depose Xi Jinping. What a bullish impulse in a bearish macro framework means for small caps is that although Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Tesla, Amazon, Apple might pump, liquidity is not going to be going "risk on" on small caps and zombie corporations. Instead, prices will be driven lower because as they sell the cycle highs in the blue chips, they'll be bidding a portion of their profits with lowball asks on small caps for the purposes of pumping them, and then dumping them, on retail's head after interest in the big names has become exhausted. Those very large lowball asks will lead the algorithms to drive price towards them because the algo is designed to generate volume. But on small caps, unless the company has significantly exceptional fundamentals, your expectations on how high it can go and how long it can go for during a reversal will have to be quite reserved. In other words, if you missed the July '20 to October '22 pump on IWM then you missed the train and it's never coming back. It is what it is. Just accept it. You can make a lot of money trading puts on this thing on the way down. It just means that if it really does bounce around $125, your expectation for where it can bounce to shouldn't be a new ATH, but probably back to $170. Again, you can make a lot of money trading calls from $125 to $170. But if you want to bUy tEh bOtToM fOr thE mOaSS and think you're going to get a 50 bagger instead of a "tiny little" 5 bagger, you're going to blow your account. And if that's who you are, it's probably better you blow your account and go back to working a real job and learn the value of money again. So here's the trade. This recent breakout looks like it's just a consolidation squeeze. It's going down. But it might screw around for a while and could be as annoying as trading over $200 again. It's really hard to say. Areas you'd really like to short and/or buy puts are called $188 or $190. You'll need 4-6 months or so to get to the $127 level. But either way, the R/R on a $188 short with a $212 stop and a $130 target is almost 7 to 1. Go do sports betting for a while and enlighten to how hard it is to hit a +700 if you don't think that's a worthwhile trade. You need to quit wanting to get rich quick. Getting rich isn't important and it isn't even valuable. What you need is to wake up to what's important in life and what you're really here to do. And that question is answered in mankind's traditions and that 5,000 year old culture sitting in Mainland China after the CCP is utterly annihilated.
AMEX:IWMShort
by LordWrymouth
4
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT all pumping but giving back, what now?DJ:DJI is having hard time here, again. The RSI is much lower, negative divergence, steam running out? NASDAQ:NDX is higher but also losing steam, RSI lower. SP:SPX AMEX:RSP & AMEX:IWM all put higher highs but they're also giving back. All the #indices have low volume. Kind of normal for this time of year. TVC:VIX is lower....... Sell on news? Lots of GAINS over past few months. Hmmm, let's see what transpires by end of day. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$VIPS Retesting Breakout?Looks like NYSE:VIPS had been basing for about 5 months before breaking out of resistance on June 6 on slightly better than average volume. Since that breakout and peak on June 15th, it has been pulling back to the breakout area. I like these retest entries. Depending on the market today and the performance of NYSE:VIPS , I will be looking to enter a trade on the long side. All TBD. See notes on chart. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Constructive comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:VIPSLong
by jaxdog
2
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT Long & Short term viewsBringing indices up again, Let's look at the SHORT TERM first. (Unfortunately can only show 1 chart, see profile for more info) DJ:DJI longer term still showing an ascending triangle, current pattern is sideways channel, there's some negative divergence. NASDAQ:NDX maintains the uptrend, HOWEVER - we're seeing SEVERE negative divergence. SP:SPX also in current sideways channel, and also showing SEVERE negative divergence. TVC:RUT completes the bunch with a sideways channel and some neg divergence. ---------------------------------------------------- Longer term #indices are interesting. Using weekly. DJ:DJI showing slight negative divergence, needs to break out FAST NASDAQ:NDX Extremely overbought, last 3 times; 2 corrections, 1 major drop. SP:SPX Nothing out of the ordinary, lil overbought, see #NDX notes. TVC:RUT Severe underperformer and it looks like it wants to catch up to the others. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$Z Successful Pullback?NASDAQ:Z I was waiting for a pullback in this name as I missed the initial breakout. It looks to me that it has / is testing that today. I used a 5-minute chart to make an entry after it pulled back and then reversed higher. I have a very tight stop just under today’s low which coincides with both the resistance / support line and the 21 EMA. I posted this idea a few days ago. Link at bottom for those interested. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Constructive comments always welcome.
NASDAQ:ZLong
by jaxdog
IWM: Something is Rotten in the State of MarketsPrimary Chart: IWM on a weekly timeframe with downtrend line and major support and resistance zones Note1: IWM is an iShares ETF that represents the Russell 2000 small-cap index in the United States. Though not as widely tracked as SPX, NDX, or DJIA, the Russell 2000 ( TVC:RUT ) is one of the major US indices. It is likely the fourth most watched US index. Note2: The phrase "something is rotten in the state of Denmark" is a well-known line from Shakespeare's play Hamlet used to describe a situation where something is wrong or even corrupt within a government, institution, or system. No corruption is intended to be implied discussed. The title's allusion to this phrase is meant to suggest only that something is off / wrong in the markets, i.e., that everything is not well despite the strength of the Nasdaq 100 lately and the support seen in SPX. The Russell 2000 (IWM) is often a leading indicator in US markets. It led to the downside in early November 2021 after a false breakout out of its 2021 topping-pattern's resistance around $234. SPX topped nearly two months later on January 4, 2022. While small-caps are not necessarily always the first to make a move, it is something frequently cited by commentators and analysts. The primary chart shows how IWM has struggled below the upper blue rectangular zone, a resistance / supply zone going back to highs in March and April 2022. This zone also rejected price at the end of the impressive August 2022 rally that had everyone debating whether the bull-market had returned in earnest. Lastly, on February 2, 2023, IWM was unable to even tag the lower edge of this zone, eking out a high at $199.26. The lower edge of this blue resistance zone as drawn here is at HKEX:200 - HKEX:201 approximately. The Primary Chart above also shows an important Fibonacci support level at $170. This the 50% retracement of the entire bull market from the 2020 Covid lows to the highs in November 2021. This has also marked important support since late October 2022 (a week or two after the October 2022 lows). Notice the weekly candle wicks protruding below this line but recovering back above it. The final point about the Primary Chart is the down TL from the all-time high in magenta. This was broken to the upside, which was one of the reasons many market participants and commentators got excited about the bear being complete. That trendline was retested in late March 2023. But despite this positive development, IWM has not acted well. In fact, it has broken decisively below a multi-month upward trendline from October 2022 lows as shown on the Primary Chart as well. This trendline was also important and signifies weakness on the decisive break below it. On the larger scale, price is trapped between the blue rectangular zones of support and resistance. Until these break, not much progress is likely in either direction. Sideways action is likely for the coming weeks. The one thing that would negate the sideways action view is a clean break back below the down trendline from the all-time high. So keep an eye out for that development. Next, Supplementary Chart A.1 and A.2 below shows a hypothetical illustration of how price could move sideways for the coming weeks / months before a flush below major support (if one is bearish about equities generally) or a rally above the key resistance zone (if one is bullish about equities generally). SquishTrade gives an edge to the bears in the intermediate to longer-term time frames—as long as price stays below both (1) the uptrend line from October 2022 lows, and (2) the key Fibonacci levels of the most recent decline (shown on the Primary Chart at $183.36 and $187.11). Supplementary Chart A.1 (measured corrective move upward where the legs of the corrective move might be equal or share a 1.272 Fibonacci relationship) Supplementary Chart A.2 (choppy sideways action that retests the upward TL from the October 2022 lows that had broken down in March 2023 before heading lower again) Supplementary Chart B is a zoomed-out version of the major resistance and support level shown on the Primary Chart. This is intended to show the ranging action for months that has taken place despite periods of seemingly impressive strength and sharp weakness. Supplementary Chart B The next chart, Supplementary Chart C, illustrates what a trendline might look like if someone were considering this chart afresh, i.e., for the first time without having tracked the prior trendlines during the 2021-2022 bear market. The TL has been re-drawn to account for the recent major highs at the end of the January to February 2023 rally. Supplementary Chart C IWM's anchored VWAPs are not encouraging. Here, the only VWAPs considered are the one anchored to the all-time high in November 2021 (blue-purple line) and the 2022 low (orange line). Price made a false breakout above the VWAP from the all-time high and failed back below. That in itself is a negative especially given that this occurred on a larger time frame going back to 2021. Price has also failed below the October 2022 VWAP as well. Supplementary Chart D Finally, and most importantly, consider the ratio spread of IWM/SPY in Supplementary Chart E below . This tracks the performance of the Russell 200 relative to the S&P 500. This is why something might be rotten in the state of Denmark (markets). A healthy market should not have an index looking this bad. Let me know what you think in the comments. Supplementary Chart E The ratio spread shows that IWM's underperformance just broke below a key support level for that ratio. But bigger support lies below. However, the overall picture looks bleak for IWM with a downtrend line that has lasted for a while, and lower highs for the ratio's value on higher time frames. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
AMEX:IWM
by SquishTrade
18