$ARKK Wedging$ARKK seems to be a barometer for risk-on risk-off in this market. A month ago, I was looking at the re-test of the 30 Week MA (white line) then the break back above the flat line of resistance to be a long signal. (I took the trade long only to be stopped out 3 days later.) That turned out to be a false breakout.
We are now in a downward consolidation pattern that could break either way. I have alerts set at both sloping trendlines and I’ll look at taking a trade either long or short depending on the direction of the break. If going short, I’ll likely use $SARK an inverse ETF for the ARKK fund.
I will also be looking for other longs or shorts in the market once ARKK breaks either way. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
IWM
XLU outperforming...What you need to know. When the XLU outperforms the broad market, you better be taking note as an investor or trader.
What does it mean when Utilities outperform the S&P500?
The better question to ask is why do people buy Utilities?
We have informed our members of this important signal and why its critical to understand this price action.
A hint, most investors buy Utilities for Yield & protection .
QQQ Bullish Bias Continuation LONGQQQ has weathered federal action and the banking meltdown quite well.
It has trended upward from a double-bottom pivot March 1 to March 13.
The MACD has held steady without any bearish divergence from price action.
Sell order blocks are lurking at 325. QQQ is trending above its anchored
VWAP showing that buying pressure exceeds selling pressure.
I will trade the QQQ with call options in TQQQ expiring Friday April 6th.
Getting several of them will allow for partial position closures as the call
values rise as a form of risk management.
IWM Russell 2000 RUT affected by the SIVB collapse! Puts to buy!After the last RUT Russell 2000 Price Target was Perfectly reached:
Now you need to know that many of the Russell 2K companies will be impacted by the SIVB collapse.
Roughly 50% of the US venture capital-funded startups are clients of SVB , potentially putting 65,000 startups at risk of payroll disruptions. Such a situation could have significant consequences for the startup and tech sectors.
Silicon Valley Bank did business with FTX, plus many other formerly overvalued tech companies.
With $210 billion in assets, $SIBV was the 15th largest bank in the US in terms of deposits.
IWM puts considering buying:
2023-4-21 expiration date
$169 Strike Price
$3.65 Premium
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
RTY UpdateES and NQ MFI are creeping up because they went oversold yesterday but RTY MFI is dropping because it hi overbought this morning. Also, FDAX MFI hit overbought, so high probability of a gap down tomorrow or every index.
ES and NQ might melt up today but watch out for the gap tomorrow and I'd shy away from small caps.
Still all cash, waiting for Friday CPE numbers.
RTY UpdateThe algos are pumping money into RTY trying to hold that blue line. You can see MFI climbing.
Problem is MFI will go overbought Monday so we'll see a drop Tuesday, if not Monday afternoon. Plus Euro markets tanked so we might even see a gap down Monday. Seems to me garbage stocks are done tanking so there's really no choice but to go long here.
Crappy whipsaw market to trade.
IWM IS NOW A BUY LOOK FOR IT TO RALLY IN AN ABC FOR 1.5 WEEKS The chart posted is now ending a clear 5 waves down to end wave 1 of the CRASH OR IS 5 DOWN FOR WAVE C OF B BOTH SAY TO COVER SHORTS IN THIS ONLY INDEX AND LOOK FOR THIS INDEX TO RALLY DO NOT ATTEMPT TO THINK IT WILL BE THE OTHER INDEXS AS MUCH
Opening (IRA): IWM April 6th 168/June 16th 197 LPD*... for a 21.30 debit.
Comments: Re-erecting my short delta hedge in IWM against my long delta portfolio. Buying the June -90 delta put and selling the April 6th +30 one. This isn't greatly ideal here with small caps being at the low end of their range, so wouldn't recommend doing it as a standalone short ... .
Metrics: 21.30 cost basis with a 175.70 break even on a 29 wide.
* -- Long Put Diagonal.
Capital One....technical Breakdown loomingWith major weakness in the banking sector we are still seeing the contagion play out. Some banks are more at risk than others.
Based off of a blow out in Credit Default Swaps. The bond market is showing there is tremendous risk in this bank.
Just like Credit Suisse CD's blew out befroe the collapse, we are watching COF credit defaults blowout.
Have You Considered A Ride Down IWM 170? AMEX:IWM 50 MA crossed down the 200 MA on the daily and 4H timeframe. The daily chart shows a lot of sellers. IWM also made lower highs on the weekly timeframe. Also, the exchange traded fund is resting on a trendline that it's maintained since March 2020! If we break down below 170 and it holds, IWM should see more downside. The weekly chart shows an increase of sellers between last week and this week. Last but not least, the etf shows a shooting star candle that printed on the weekly chart (March 13-17, 2023). Therefore, my plan is to short IWM below 170!
I will ride down IWM 170 (provided price gets there of course).
*This is not financial advice
Peace & Harmony,
MrALtrades00
RTY UpdateAppears to be a complete pump and dump failure. I got bullish because of the buy volume the past couple of days, but it hit overbought on MFI and now is dropping. i think there's potential for it to stay oversold for a day or two when it gets there because it's dropping on much lower volume. Those that bought have to sell, and volume isn;t matching up yet.
Opening (IRA): IWM March 24th 175/May 19th 202 LPD*... for a 20.52 debit.
Comments: Resetting my short delta hedge against a long delta portfolio ... . You know the drill: buying the -90 put in the back and selling the +30 delta put in the front.
20.52 cost basis with a 181.48 break even on a 27 wide.
* -- Long Put Diagonal.
TZA Long, IWM Short due to weakness in XLF & SPY- Very notable drop in the last 3 days for all sectors. Most important factor to remember is always following the trend and dont try to fight against it. Even though today there was a lot of opportunity in both direction it was quite a choppy day.
- I mentioned yesterday any pop bullish on premarket data will be a good short for all sectors and i will be getting in too.
- Took a decent 6100 shares position in TZA which is leverage 3x ETF for IWM short.
- SPY and QQQ now below 200 daily MA.
- Very oversold on multiple time frames would like to play a bounce Monday when we have all time frames oversold at a same time, ideally a gap down Monday for a bonuce play.
- All trends still favor the bears expect we are still in a weekly uptrend, SPY approaching that weekly support very soon.
Pre NFP - SPX, IWM OIL GOLD TLT BTCAll in the video, we are in a critical area of support for the markets. Oil is especially leaning bearish for me as it's been winding up for months and looks ready to break down. I talk about IWM/SPY bull flag, and possible strength in both TLT and Gold. Non Farm Payrolls are tomorrow so anything is possible, including a rally to 4100 area again, if it happens, it would be a stone cold short in my opinion.
Good luck!
IWM rejection at the 18 monthlyAlthough there is support for IWM between 182-1, I think the real target will be the combination of the monthly BB and 100 ma, around 158-156. Structural trendline (purple) looks right and it's no surprise it showed up at the 18ma exactly to regect the advance.
IWM divided by SPY is a bull flag, so I expect IWM to sell off much more than spy once it breaks out - which looks to me like it could happen this month.
Good luck!