SPX & NDX to SHORT TVC:DJI NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:IWM NASDAQ:NDX SP:SPX
Rising wedge pattern forming in S&P 500.....big banks price target forecast for fiscal year 2024 were $4800-$5600 ....eventually hitting all PT mid 2024......S&P500 fell last week and DJI rose last week with 4% percentage difference which means investors or big money booking profits from tech and large weighted stocks in S&P 500 and investing in small caps and value stocks because of low inflation and hoping rate cuts soon.
NASDAQ100 just witnessed bearish engulfing candle on thursday 11th july 2024....engulfing previous 4 days candles.
Read:https://www.tradingview.com/news/benzinga:1590409c1094b:0-ai-super-bulls-pay-attention-to-the-biggest-divergence-since-2001-tsla-call-buyers-crushed/
IWM
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (July 14th —>July 19th)Market Forecast (Updated 07/14/2024)
**SPX**- As we predicted last week, market was bullish, We also saw lower than expect CPI and PPI data which pushed the chance of a rate cut to 88% in September.
Due to the chance of rate cut actually happening, we are seeing rotation into small cap stocks and industrials.
Next resistance $5626 and $5655
Next support $5490 and 5385
Weekly Sentiment = Slightly Bearish
**Chart Analysis:**
()
**Dollar Index:**
DXY- As rate cut chances increase and JPY FX started to increase, we are starting to see weakness in the dollar.
Next resistance $105
Support $104
Sentiment = Oversold
**Put to call Ratio: 1.56 —> 1.31
Next FOMC date: July 31, 2024**
**Fear & Greed Index: 54—>56**
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade 7/12 - Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern should be very interesting. Do we carry over the deep selling pressure from yesterday or do we reject the downward price trend and revert back to the previous bullish trending.
I expect a reversion back to the bullish trending setting up today. If the overnight price action were to continue downward today, the emotional selling pressure from yesterday would have been more evident.
I believe the price will attempt to find support today and could move into a short squeeze later today - setting up a possible recovery rally above $565 on the SPY today.
Of course, it is almost impossible to accurately predict future price trends, so I'm doing my best as we see this massive volatility hit.
Remember, I'm trying to help you learn to become a better trader by watching prices, learning the techniques I try to teach, and applying the best techniques possible to keep you on the right side of the price trend.
Of course, if we do see a rejection of this downward price move, it will become evident before Noon ET. If not, we may be in for an even deeper downward trend.
This is why I clearly suggested traders learn to allocate funds properly. Learning to reduce trade sizes while volatility increases is critically important—unless you like blowing up your account.
So, buckle up.
$RUT FANTASTIC STRENGTH, $NDX is the opposite!WOW what a phenomenal day!
There was HUGE volume on the TVC:RUT AMEX:IWM & it closed near the highs of the day!!!
NASDAQ:NDX on the other hand had heavier than normal volume and closed near the lows of the day
Add to the misery, bearish engulfing was formed today. NASDAQ:QQQ
Did we just see the initiation of money rotation?
IWM Rally Around the Corner?Bullish divergence is spotted on the IWM/QQQ chart, IWM is being dragged down because of Fed hawkish comments and KRE underperformance. This is a weekly chart so we need time for this to play out, I remain bullish on IWM for the remainder of the year, even just 1% of inflows from QQQ into IWM could make it go up 10%.
Short QQQ, Long IWM?The long tech trade seems to be coming to an end here. If we continue to reject this trendline, then I think the Mag 7 and Nasdaq trade could be over and you'll be better off longing "value" going forward.
On an individual stock basis, there's a number of names that look to be forming bottoms in the value space and a number of stocks (META, NFLX, NVDA, etc.) that all look to be forming tops.
Time to rebalance the portfolio around value?
The chart should be the guide should it reject and fall from here.
Understanding Technical Indicators - Avoid FaultsI received a question from a member today related to Divergence on RSI or Stochastics.
I've been lucky to actually sit down with the creator of Stochastics, George C. Lane, to discuss his indicator and how he used it to trade.
I've also been luck to be able to attend multiple industry conferences over the past 20+ years where I've been able to watch and listen to dozens of the best technicians and analysts explain their techniques.
Boy, those were the days - right?
This video is going to help you understand most technical indicators are designed based on a RANGE of bars (usually 14 or so). This means they are measuring price trend/direction/strength/other over the past 14 bars - not longer.
And because of that you need to understand any trend lasting more than 14+ bars could result in FAILURE of the technical indicator.
Watch this video. I hope it helps.
Get some.
SPQ/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7/10 - Gap Up/Higher PatternToday's Gap Up/Higher pattern in Trend mode may provide a strong price rally attempt after yesterday's somewhat non-existent Momentum Rally pattern.
I believe the lack of price movement yesterday resulted from markets waiting for Powell's comments and not wanting to get too far ahead of themselves.
Today, I believe the markets will resume trending to support the continued bullish price move and possibly make up for some of the missing price trends from yesterday.
We'll see - one way or another.
We need to see a solid upward opening price gap today - leading to a moderate melt-upward type of trend. Today's price trend may be explosive - even though we have limited data/news.
Remember, if you like my research, content, and info, share, boost, like, and visit my website to learn more.
Get some.
PRTS - Penny stock about to launchPRTS is a car parts online seller. During covid boon, the company grew agressively, so is their share price and market cap.
Since then, not much dilution, 600m NR, P/S is below 0.1!!
Issue is profitability, the company does not have a debt issue, current cash and current profitibability and FCF can last years so no dilution to be expected.
In July, they started a TV commercial campaign, insider buy at 1.09 level for 100k usd. I mean for me this is an obvious play, but at 1.10 below, ride to 2 usd easily. Even then P/S will be still 0.2 and with their transformation of product portfolio, if they post a profitable quarter end of the year, easily we will x3 here.
I put enough money that I will not be sad if I lose. I think we are at the floor prices but anything can happen, this is not classic mag7, yet I see a very nice risk reward with stop loss at 0.95
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade July 7 thru July25 - 3 Weeks AheadThanks for all your comments and boosts.
Remember, it is almost impossible to predict price range/movement 3~4 weeks in advance accurately - as I'm trying to show you with this video.
What I see happening over the next 3+ weeks is a continued rally phase for about five days, then an exhaustion peak sets up (a Last Engulfing pattern), followed by a short (2~4 day) contraction in price, leading to a FLAGGING pattern (sideways), before price attempts to move higher again on July 24~25.
If my analysis is accurate, there are two or three very opportunistic trading moves over the next three weeks. Additionally, for day traders, we will see some considerable price volatility start to set up after July 15.
Many of you have asked how I'm able to do this accurately. The simple answer is that I've been training myself to use my SPY Cycle Patterns and research/TA skills to attempt to "see into the future" with some degree of accuracy. Of course, I'm not 100% accurate all the time, but I think I provide incredible value for skilled traders.
Knowing what to expect over the next two to three weeks can provide incredible insight into planning and trade decisions. That is what my SPY Cycle Patterns are all about.
Combine that with some skills related to TA and Fibonacci Price Theory, and I think anyone could attempt to do what I'm doing on this chart with some practice.
I will state this as clearly as I can... When my analysis aligns with YOUR analysis (regarding price trends/direction/range), I believe you can be more aggressive in your trading style. Otherwise, if I tell you, the price will be choppy and consolidated, cut your allocation levels to 25~50% and trade only for quick price objectives.
I fully believe in waiting for prices to develop the best opportunities and not trying to trade every day.
I'll be updating this outlook every morning with short videos.
Go get some.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Markets Will Retrace 7/15-7/20Afternoon everyone,
As I continue to prepare more research for all of you going further into July, I wanted to share my belief that the SPY/QQQ will retrace shortly. I expect this retracement to happen near 7/15~7/20 and possibly last 1~3 weeks.
Price trends don't always go straight up or straight down. That's why you must learn to take advantage of my research on these types of trends.
When the markets hand you this type of opportunity, you must be ready to pounce on these easy moves.
I try to teach everyone the hardest thing to learn is patience. You have to wait for the markets to give you these opportunities.
Watch this video to learn what to expect next week and the potential for a parabolic price trend going into the end of 2024.
I'll return with a new Plan Your Trade video for Monday and beyond.
Have a safe holiday weekend. I know lots of people are already traveling and visiting family.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade July 3 ReviewThank you for all the great comments and suggestions. I love the fact that I'm helping so many traders find success with my research.
This video is really a recap of this week while we head into the 4th of July holiday and Friday's big Momentum Rally day.
Please take some time to review the other videos I have posted on TradingView to learn better techniques and refine your skills. You'll see me use these techniques over and over again on my charts.
Have a safe and fun 4th. We'll go get some more profits on Friday and into next week.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For July 3 - Early ConsolidationGood morning,
This continued video series highlights my SPY Cycle Patterns and attempts to teach you how to read these patterns and the price charts to plan your trades throughout the day.
Remember, I'm only looking for the best opportunities for trading profits. I plan to avoid any CHOP or sideways price action as it is not my style to scalp in and out of trades every 10 minutes.
I expect the upward price trend to continue, but it will happen later in the trading day (after Noon ET).
I expect the SPY/QQQ to consolidate in the early portion of the trading day - moving sideways and possibly pulling downward after yesterday's strong rally.
I believe that the price must attempt to consolidate into the channels related to momentum; then, the price may try to resume another momentum move higher.
So, I'm going to be patiently waiting out the first 2.5 hours of the trading day, looking for opportunities to buy into lower prices near 11-12 Noon ET, and expecting the markets to move into a momentum trend higher.
What I do may be different from what you decide to do as a trader. I'm just trying to help you see and plan for opportunities throughout the day.
Remember, Friday should be a very large price range day with a Momentum Rally pattern. It is not uncommon for that pattern's momentum to bleed into the end of today's trading day.
It should be a good day for traders.
Get some.
TSLA To The Moon?Tesla has had an amazinf rally in recent sessions.
We are now into major resistance. Hitting the weekly 200 MA
Hitting major downsloping trendline.
If we break this trendline a major bullish pattern is on watch. A weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern that could yield a 100% return.
If we reject here, a major bear pattern could take hold.
This level is so fascinating as it hinges on a major business milestone approaching in August.
The ROBOTAXI could be a game changer! Buy the rumour sell the news?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Review & Pre 4th ExpectationsThank you for all your comments, likes, and Boosts recently.
It's lovely to see my research helping so many traders.
I know some of you have recently been caught on the wrong side of market trends—this happens to the best of us. I've learned to wait out market activity I don't like and try to trade the bigger price swings, like the RALLY patterns yesterday and today.
You can't try to stand in front of the markets and force them to move in the direction you want. You have to stand back and catch moves that are opportunistic and present clear success opportunities.
This video reviews the past 8+ trading days, my SPY Cycle Pattern predictions, and what will likely happen over the next 7+ trading days.
In short, I expect the markets to slide into the July 4th holiday with a moderate melt-up trend and then move into a strong short squeeze on Friday (7/5).
This leads us to next week (8-12), where we'll get early Q2:2024 earnings data. I believe next week will continue the upward price trend - pushing the SPY above $560+.
The following week (15-19) is exciting. There is a very real potential for a moderately strong price correction on Wednesday/Thursday of this week, which could be a huge opportunity for skilled traders.
So, thank you again for commenting, liking, and Boosting these videos. I'll probably keep them going for a few weeks to help more traders.
Remember - focus on the facts/data and avoid the emotional side of trading. The markets always want to take your money. Find out how to wait for the markets to give you profit opportunities.
Plan Your Trade July 2 - The Big Rally Day Is Here.This continued series highlighting my SPY Cycle Patterns continues this week.
Today, the Rally pattern is in Trend mode. This usually suggests a powerful potential for a moderately large upward price bar on the SPY chart.
Although, this morning, we are seeing a moderately high pre-market price below yesterday's closing price. Does this negate the Rally pattern?
Nope. The pattern is fixed. It will either become successful or fail.
Remember, these SPY Cycle Patterns have a (roughly) 70% to 80% success rate. Thus, we can rely on them for guidance, but we must always prepare for potential failure (just like when making trading decisions).
I'm sticking to the SPY Cycle Patterns today. I'm not worried about the deep, lower opening price right now. However, this profoundly lower pre-market price could prompt a substantial"wash-out" event for the shorts when the market shifts to the regular session.
It seems that today is going to be a "make or break" day. Watch this video to see how I will play today's price action.
Go get some.
Innovation, Robots, Tech, Applied Tech Will SkyrocketI thought I would share some of my research for everyone to review.
Most of my work involves deep analysis of the markets related to shifting capital function, core fundamental dynamics, and future opportunities.
If you are following my SPY Cycle Patterns videos (the Plan Your Trade videos) - you already know how powerful my predictive models are.
Now, I'm sharing with you my belief that ignored, undervalued, and overlooked stocks/sectors are about to explode - and there are hundreds of symbols available for you to consider related to this move.
One of the most significant moves in 2025 and beyond will be the resurgence of innovation, robotics, technology, and applied functions related to the current/past technology boom. This is the 1990s (again) - leading to the second growth phase in new applications related to improved AI/tech capabilities.
You can profit from it if you take steps to prepare for the next 24+ months right now. All you have to do is watch this video, learn why I believe these will be some of the biggest movers over the next 24+ months, and then make your own decisions about what to trade.
Follow my research. My goal is to make you a better trader.
Right now, and for the next 7+ years, the markets will be the greatest opportunity of your life.
SPY Launching To $600+ - Then $730+. Get Ready.Have you been following my research?
Do you remember when I called a major base/bottom on 12-28-2022?
Do you remember when I stated, "The capitulation bottom will surprise traders" on 3-20-23?
Do you remember when I called for a "Tech-Bump" rally on 3-25-23?
Do you remember when I updated that peak potential to $425 on 4-26-23?
Do you remember when I stated, "The capital shift intensifies" on 6-25-23?
Do you remember when I warned of a China Credit Event/Crisis happening in 2024 on 8-20-23?
Do you remember when I warned, "US Markets May Double By 2029-30" on 4-21-24?
Now, almost 15+ months after all of these updates/warnings/videos, I ask you to take a look at what's happened in the markets and prepare for the biggest opportunity of your life.
Yes, I see the US indexes (SPY, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and possibly the Russell 2000) potentially doubling (or more) before 2030-31.
Yes, I see the SPY rallying to levels above $730 in 2025, then stalling into a WAVE-B correction.
Are you ready for something different - factual data reported honestly and with a proven track record? Not hype. Not doom-n-gloom (CRASH posters).
My research is designed to help guide you through the next 10+ years of your life - protecting your assets, learning to become a more skilled trader/investor, and learning to rely on proven technology/concepts.
Are you ready for what's next? Maybe you need to try something different?
KRE: Regional Bank Collapse?Financials have been demonstrating some interesting price action. We believe financials in the near term could be in for some choppy negative price action.
With yields now sitting at support during the recent selloff, banks haven't done all that well.
Were now at a point in the inflation fight where we could experience an upside move in inflation.
We just witnessed today the Canadian CPI came in much hotter.
To make matters worse, were at a time when central banks like the ECB, BOC, PBOC, BOJ are all loosening policy.
However this very laxy=daisy policy is what caused Oil to bottom on June 4th.
Oil has since moved up 13% in 2.5 weeks.
This will likely cause yields to have upward pressure since its inflationary to the economy.
If the US CPI comes in hotter expect no 2024 rate cut...banks would hate that. Im eyeing the head and shoulders breakdown.
Plan Your Trade 6/24/24 - Prepare For Rolling Price ActionThis continued video series focused on my SPY Cycle Patterns teaches you how to plan for future price swings and bigger trending days.
Today, I expect the SPY to stay relatively muted in trend—possibly moving downward overall. The Up-Down-Up (countertrend) pattern suggests that the price will want to move downward today, perhaps setting up support near $541.50 to $542.50.
I don't expect anything big to happen today as today's pattern is followed by three days of an upward price trend. That upward trend is your opportunity for profits.
Tuesday, Wednesday, & Thursday look like a bigger opportunity for long trades than Monday or Friday.
Friday's CRUSH pattern suggests a fairly strong downward price trend. I would be cautious of taking long positions on Friday until possibly the last 60-120 min of the day (if we see a short squeeze setup).
Please use this information efficiently. I'm trying to show you how to use my SPY Cycle Patterns to plan your trading and find the best opportunities.
I will have more info tomorrow as I continue this video series.