IWM
Members Daily Analysis - May 22 2024Markets Sold off: IWM (Small caps) underperformed.
Most commodities hit on the downside: Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil
Natural Gas surging & squeezing
NVDA pumping on earnings: Our SOXL calls will print.
SemiConductors i'll be trading tomorrow. NASDAQ:ON , NASDAQ:SMCI , NASDAQ:ARM
$PYPL Higher Lows – Uptrend?NASDAQ:PYPL Clearly seems to have a lid on the upper end near $68. However, looking at the chart we have a series of Higher Lows beginning in February. There is a good chance that it will have a move to retest the $68 area. All TBD. I have an alert set just over yesterday’s high of $64.43. Should that trigger, I will open a position with a very tight stop just under 62.88, the most recent higher low. Let us see what happens.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$XBI Looking to Breakout (Again)?AMEX:XBI Firstly, I may have an unhealthy attraction to this ETF. I have been in and out of this ETF a number of times over the last few months and overall, just a few $ profit.
Having said that this has been basing Since January 2022. The longer the base the bigger the break, or so the Wall Street Axiom goes. It did breakout in February 2024 and quickly failed (I have a link below of my last idea). And there is another idiom: from failed moves come fast moves, and it did move quickly down. Now it is back to the original breakout “area” so this may have been a simple shakeout.
Here is what I like about it now: It looks to have gotten support near the 40 Week MA. It looks to be regaining the 10 Week MA (Yellow) and is solidly above the 5 Week MA. This weekly chart looks much better than the daily chart.
This is my plan, “if” the market is doing well this coming week and this moves above last week’s close of $91.18 I plan on opening a new position with a maximum stop below last week’s low of 87.68 which is about a 4% position risk. My thesis is that it can easily go back to retest the 103 – 104 area which would be about a 10% gain.
My idea, your money. If you decide you like this idea, make sure that it fits with your trading plan on your timeframe.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$TSLA Reclaims All Major Moving AveragesNASDAQ:TSLA I have taken a full sized long position pre-market on CPI news coming in at to under expectations.
I like that it has regained all major moving averages, and this gives me a very good risk reward entry. My stop will be below yesterday’s low of $174. It is even possible that I may close it out before that if it starts dropping today. All TBD.
See chart for more details.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Opening (IRA): IWM July 19th 190 Short Put... for a 2.33 credit.
Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. (This is actually at the 18 delta, but it was either the 190 or the 185 where I wanted to pitch my tent from a delta standpoint).
Starting to slowly deploy third quarter rungs here in broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) while I piddle around with shorter duration higher IV sector ETF stuff.
$FSLR Entering Stage 2 Breakout?NASDAQ:FSLR I have been watching FSLR since Feb 27th earnings. It has been whipping around in a range but in doing so it has managed to keep putting in Higher Lows. The pure definition of an uptrend. They reported earnings again on May 1st and beat expectations. Their guidance was simply in line with future estimates. However, they have gotten several upgrades to Buy or Outperform in the last 2 days, most in the $220 to $250 range.
I have started a full-sized position today with a stop just below the lower band of the current consolidation. “If” the market holds up I expect that FSLR will outperform and could easily run 20% to 30%. Only time will tell.
For a true breakout to happen it will have to get above that flat line on the current flat base. However, I like early entries closer to the 20 EMA. If you decide this trade looks good to you, please make sure it fits your trading rules. My idea but your money.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$XBI Breaks Out of DowntrendAMEX:XBI I put this trade on yesterday morning as it broke above the short term downtrend line. However, I closed it near the end of day as the whole market was giving up its gains. (I did make a small profit).
I am now back in it again as it regains the 20 EMA (green). My stop is just below today’s low which also corresponds with the 20 EMA.
It looks like there “could” be resistance in the area it is trading today. I think if it can get over yesterday’s high, we could see it test the 50 DMA in red above. That is about $4 above where it is trading currently. All to be determined.
I did have a trade idea on this back on March 17th. Link to that idea below.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Opening (IRA): IWM August 16th 170 Short Put... for a 1.78 credit.
Comments: Starting to round out my Q3 rungs here on weakness and higher IV, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Already have June and July rungs on, so going out to August here.
Opened (IRA): IWM June/July 182/180 Short PutsComments: Added at strikes better than what I currently have on in weakness, targeting the <16 delta strikes in the respective expiries paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the small cap ETF.
June 21st 182: Filled for 1.89
July 19th 180: Filled for 2.22
I also briefly looked at QQQ and SPY, but couldn't get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, so am leaving those positions alone for now.
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 175/July 19th 170 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 delta strikes paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the small caps ETF.
Adding here on weakness, better strikes than what I currently have on in those expires.
Filled the June 21st for a 1.75 credit; the July 21st 170 for 1.76.
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 185 Short Put... for a 1.87 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike in the shortest duration that pays around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
The ROC %-age isn't tremendously sexy here, so primarily doing this to keep theta on and burning while I work shorter duration, higher IV underlyings (e.g., SMH, XBI, GDX/GDXJ, etc.).
04/27/2024 - Watchlist, Stocks, Crypto - Video Idea - TA ChartsWatchlist, Stocks Indexes, Bitcoin, Crypto TA Charts by @NoFomoCharts
00:25 Watchlist and News
02:05 Stock Indexes
06:22 Crypto, Bitcoin, Altcoins
Watchlist, SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM.
TOTAL, Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Halving History, ETH/usdt, BNB/usdt, SOL/usdt, ADA/usdt, XRP/usdt.
04/27/2024, 08:00PM EST Video Idea.
Technical Analysis & Educational Chart Videos.
Follow, Comment, Boost, or Cheer to support. Thank you!
All content is Not financial advice.
$SPY Does it Need a Bigger Correction?I have zoomed out to larger timeframes on AMEX:SPY to come up with some larger / longer timeframes. Here is what I started with; the weekly chart (shown) then zoomed out to the Monthly Chart (not shown) to draw the February 2009 trendline. I came back to the weekly to find the March 2020 trend. I then looked that the latest run starting in October 2023. That trend line is almost parabolic and was unsustainable.
I am not making any prediction here, but it would be prudent to have a plan for a larger correction. I have horizontal lines near the top of the chart that were drawn using the daily chart and it is possible that one of them (or none) could be support areas. It is all to be determined. Keep an open mind. Corrections can happen in price or time or a combination of both.
I would like to point out that on any of the charts that I post I am only correct about 50% of the time. My posts are more about self-accountability than anything else. However, I do hope that you find some value in the technical aspect of the posts.
Thanks for looking.
SPY min upside 5150 and up to 5330 june 6thThe chart posted is that of the spy in which I posted back in March I have NOT changed the labeling as it was correct .We are at the end of wave A down and should see a rather sharp ABC rally back up to a min of 5150 and then a pullback followed by the last wave up I do think it can reach as high as 5330 this is the alt to my 5261. We are now one of the most over sold in a few years . Best of trades WAVETIMER
04/21/2024 - News, Stocks, Commodities, Crypto - Video IdeaNews, Stocks, Indexes, ETFs, Commodities, Bitcoin, Crypto TA Charts by @NoFomoCharts
00:22 Part 1 - News and Watchlist
03:32 Part 2 - Stock Indexes, Metals, Commodities
10:58 Part 3 - Crypto market, Bitcoin, Altcoins
Watchlist, SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM, GLD, SLV, USO.
TOTAL, Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Halving History, ETH/usdt, BNB/usdt, SOL/usdt, ADA/usdt.
04/21/2024, 09:00PM EST Video Idea.
Technical Analysis & Educational Chart Videos.
Follow, Comment, Boost, or Cheer to support. Thank you!
All content is Not financial advice.
$DIS Hanging onto the 50 DMANYSE:DIS I have taken a long position here as DIS seems to be holding the 50 DMA (red). My stop is nearby, just below the low on April 16th. This is a very early entry as it is below the 8 and 21 EMA but just reclaimed the 5 DMA (white).
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$DELL Bouncing Off 21 EMANYSE:DELL I was in this 2 weeks ago and made good $$$. I closed it out on April 8th on the second big red bar. This morning as it opened over the 21 EMA, I put ½ size position on with a stop below Fridays low of $117.61.
If the market holds up and moves higher, I expect it to test the previous highs. I am also aware that it could have been a double top, and this is simply a bounce.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.