$U Early Break-out?NYSE:U is a bottom fishing play for me this morning. It has both broken the downtrend line and can be considered an undercut and rally as it undercut the low of March 19 and has risen above it. My stop will be just below that March 19 low of $25.13 Giving me a nice risk reward stop.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
IWM
$ENPH Breaking Downtrend LineI have been tracking NASDAQ:ENPH for awhile now and I like how it is behaving this morning. I went long 1/2 size and already up $4.50 a share. It is now consolidating on the 5 min chart. I may add more. TBD.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Watching for IWM to bounce off support
IWM is currently in a strong accumulation area based on the volume profile delta. The indexes were a bit oversold after yesterday's CPI report and FOMC minutes, leading to a bounce in the afternoon. I am skeptical as to whether today's PPI report and fed speakers will have the same effect so I closed my puts. Here is my reasoning:
VIX keeps rejecting above $16.25. If it does not move up sharply at market open, I expect it to reject again and move back down towards $13.00.
The 10y bonds chart looks like yields have topped out for the week after hitting the R3 fib pivot point. I see it retracing down the channel until next week.
Same situation with the Dollar.
I expect a small rally into the weekend or early next week. Timing will depend on the reaction to today's PPI report. I'd like to see a dip in the morning so I can minimize risk in case there is not enough momentum to get to $206. I expect some choppiness there so we can either continue moving up next week or head for new lows.
Also thinking this looks like another bullish wedge on NYSE..
Timing the market. IWMWhat we know? Oil is likely bullish in 2nd Half (24'). BTC leads the small caps. TNX usually works as a head wind (and has took a pause). Rate cuts are very bullish for small caps and financials benefit in this environment?
technically; the 20dma works as a driver. 50dma and 200dma just gives you context. You can add MACD to confirm things.
Im speculating that small caps breaks out in mid April.
U can fact check using IWM/SPX.
SMCI Critical level IncomingSMCI saw a nasty down move today with the market.
Semiconductors led the downside move today.
It seems massive amount of capital rotated out of the market today.
This low float volume stock can unwind in a sharp way if this support is breached.
Remember dip buyers will likely start to accumulate as semis are coming from All time high bull market.
Everyone is watching the potential head & shoulder pattern that could trigger with more weakness.
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 180 Short Put... for a 1.82 credit.
Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. There is no July contract yet, but June is still paying at <16 delta ... .
$RTX Ready for Flat Base Breakout?NYSE:RTX Well Fargo upgraded RTX yesterday and give it a $120 price target. I used this morning’s early pullback to get an early start on this one. It will not be a technical breakout until it moves over 92.81. My plan is to build an oversized position after it breaks out of this flat base. I will be patient but have a stop of no more than 3% loss.
On another note, in the first 20 minutes of trading the volume was already 28% of the daily average.
See notes on the chart for more detail. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
QQQ (Nasdaq etf) - Potential Bearish Momentum - WeeklyQQQ (nasdaq etf) has been uptrending for over a year (2023 to 2024).
However, signs of a potential pullback in the long-term charts are showing with the price and rsi oscillator.
In the long-term, a potential pullback may occur in the price, and the price could fall down to $426, $419, $400, $394 support levels.
Long-term resistance levels are: $460, $470, $480, $500.
QQQ etf volatility and trend can be affected by FOMC Interest Rates, Corporate Earnings, Consumer Sentiment, and Global Event Catalysts.
A major bearish catalyst or a series of bearish events would be needed to reverse the price back down.
Note: Without bearish events, the price of QQQ could continue rallying to new all-time highs.
$OKTA PEG (Power Earnings Gap) CandidateNASDAQ:OKTA jumped over 22% at the open from earnings reported on February 29th. It had a wide range of trading that day and closed just under the open about midway through the candle. It has been digesting that big move on lower volume for sixteen “trading” days (3 weeks). I went long this yesterday on the break of the downtrend line (blue). It pulled back by the end of the day but has not triggered my stop which is under the low of March 19th (103.61). It is recovering today but it really needs to get up and over yesterday’s high before I would now consider it a breakout.
I do have a one-half size position and if it can get up and over 107.30, I plan to bring it up to a full-sized position. As mentioned above, I do have a stop in place just in case it continues to the downside.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$GTLS PEG (Power Earnings Gap) CandidateNYSE:GTLS is in the energy space as an equipment manufacturer. One that may not come on your radar. The average price target on this is $197.68. USB just gave it a new “BUY” rating and a price target of $170. At the current price that implies a 16% move. At the average price target the implied move would be over 34%.
Now the technical that I trade. This had over an 11% Gap move on earnings. It has been digesting that for fifteen trading days now. I have an alert set just over today’s high of 150.50. Should that trigger, I will look to go long with a stop on a decisive close under the 10 DMA (Bluish) which would be a nice risk reward trade. All TBD.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Chart Industries, Inc. is a leading independent global manufacturer of highly engineered equipment servicing multiple market applications in Energy and Industrial Gas. Our unique product portfolio is used throughout the liquid gas supply chain in the production, storage, distribution and end-use of atmospheric, hydrocarbon, and industrial gases. Chart has domestic operations located across the United States and an international presence in Asia, Australia, Europe and Latin America.
$ARKK - VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern)AMEX:ARKK Mark Minervini made famous the VCP as a set-up. It is also simply a wedging pattern that can break either way. However, where there was a previous uptrend, like in this chart, the direction of the break is usually to the upside. The path of least resistance is a continuation of the previous trend.
ARKK had a move of over 60% from the Oct 30th low to the Dec 27th high. It pulled back about 18% from that high and has been digesting since and is now down less than 8% from that most recent high.
As in life there are no guarantees on this. But here is my plan, I have an alert set on the upper downtrend line. Should that trigger, I will look to go long with a stop either below that day’s low or a close below the 20 EMA (White). All TBD.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$XBI Pulling Back – Retesting Flat Base Breakout?AMEX:XBI Formed a flat base from early January to late February before breaking out. You can see on this chart it is either a failed break-out (with more downside to go) or it is retesting that breakout area and will soon resume its upward trend. All TBD.
In addition to coming down to the breakout area it looks like it “may” be getting support at the 50 DMA (red). My plan is that if it breaks back above the blue downtrend line, I will go long with a stop just below that days low. Should it drop below the 50 DMA I would reconsider it as a short candidate.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$PLTR Pulling Back to Pivot / Breakout AreaNYSE:PLTR Here is a strong one for your watch list. This is perfectly normal action (so far) for a stock to pull back to its breakout area. It is pulling back on declining volume. All this is textbook action.
I will be looking for the resumption of uptrend before I get involved. That could take a day, a week, or more. Patience will be key. I will update this idea if / when it looks to me to get involved. All TBD.
For those interested, the chart set-up I am using is the LevelUp All-in-One Charting Tool here on TV.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$DOCN Base on Base Ready to Breakout?I got into this one on Mar 6th when it re-took the 20 EMA (green) where it also found support at the 50 DMA (red). My plan was to bring up to a full-sized position on a breakout over 41.07. However, on the 13th when it did break above that it promptly pulled back. Fast forward to today once it moved back over Friday’s high (which again found support at the 20 EMA) I did make it a full-sized position.
The true breakout is yet to come. It needs to close over 41.07 for that to happen. From the low in November to today this stock is up over 100%. I think it can double again. My plan is to add anytime it bounces back off the 20 EMA. My stop will be on a “decisive” close under the 20 EMA but not more than 5% loss, whichever is less.
This may be one you want to look at. If so, make it your own trade and follow your own rules.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$SCHW Cup with Handle FormationIf you look at this chart of Schwab, you can easily see the cup w/ handle formation. It has broken the blue downtrend line and is taking on good volume this morning. I have started a one-half size position here as the risk reward is exceptionally good. My stop will be below the most recent low which also corresponds with the 20 EMA (green). This could easily move to upper band of resistance around 71.40. All TBD.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$QQQE & $RUT show breadth is not as bad as they're saying$QQQW is the equal weight NASDAQ:NDX and it is at an all time high, forming a cup. The question is, "Will it form the handle & breakout"?
TVC:RUT is in an uptrend but facing trouble at resistance.
This shows that breadth is not as bad as they paint it to be. However, it could be a lot better.
AMEX:IWM
$Z Regains 50 DMANASDAQ:Z has had a nice move off its recent bottom of around 76%. Sorry to say I missed it. However, it has now been consolidating those gains for about 80 days now. It recently dipped below the 50 DMA (Red) and has now recovered for the last three trading days. I like that the 5 DMA (White) is now above all the Moving Averages. I have started an early entry here in anticipation of a breakout above the blue horizontal line above. All TBD. I will place my stop on a close below the 50 DMA which makes for a good risk reward trade.
See Notes on chart for more details. The chart I am using is LevelUp All-In-One available here on TV. It has a lot of information at a glance all built in.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.