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IWM

$TSLA Consolidating in a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern)I traded NASDAQ:TSLA last week when it broke out of that inner wedge pattern. It went quickly and then pulled back. I made a good profit on a 2-day trade. A link is below for last week’s idea on the trade. It looks to me that Tesla is finding some support in the low $230’s area. I have an alert set just over today’s high. If it triggers and the market are doing well, I will drop to a lower timeframe it looks for a good risk reward entry. All TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by jaxdog
2
US Equities Intrinsic AverageThe yellow resistance zone is expected to be pivotal for the stock markets. Although some indices appear close to ATHs, the presented spread graph suggests the intrinsic value of the US stock market isn't even half of the previous highs. Same graph with monthly candlesticks: Fundamentally: Although rate cuts are expected, historically they mark the beginnings of bear markets The significant 7 makes up more weight than Canada, France, China, UK, and Japan combined. With de-dollarisation and world progressively relying less on US doesn't look positive for the 7 giants Timing the markets can be difficult, but with the recent deterioration in the labour market shaky elections in 2024 (likely to be priced in before) historically strong equities from January to mid-February --> I speculate a bear takeover in early 2024. For intrinsic graph sceptics, here is a simple average of the 4 indices:
SP:SPXShort
by Sanzhar_m
1
$IWM $145 before $400+?I know everyone is getting excited about IWM as it's rallied a lot over the last couple of months, but I think it'll face some pain in the coming weeks before it really starts to outperform. I am of the mindset that everything has it's cycle and I do think that going into the next bull market, that QQQ and SPY will underperform relative to IWM. That said, I think IWM will have a 25% correction before the bull market really begins. However after that happens, I think IWM will go to hit new highs and top around $400 sometime in 2025-2026. Support = $145 Resistance = ~$400
AMEX:IWM
by benjihyam
$TAN Up 17% in 2 Days!Who says you cannot make big returns on ETF's? AMEX:TAN the Solar Sector ETF Is on fire. It looks like rotation back into the beaten-up sector. Names Like NASDAQ:FSLR and NASDAQ:ENPH up even more. Rather than take the risk on an individual name I have opened a ¼ sized position in this ETF. I will be looking to bring this up to a full-sized position on any consolidation. This ETF has institutional accumulation volume going back over a month. It has regained all MAs except for the 40 Week MA in white. All shorter-term MA’s, including the 50 Day Moving Averages are turning up. My stop is set below yesterday’s low and the horizontal line of support / resistance. Ideas not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
AMEX:TANLong
by jaxdog
Opening (IRA): IWM April 19th 165 Short Put... for a 2.10 credit. Comments: Starting to erect rungs in the second quarter (April, May, June). QQQ doesn't have an April yet, and I already have a SPY rung on out in that contract, so just doing the small caps here. Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. I'll naturally look to add in shorter duration should we get a bump in IV, but may have to dabble outside the broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) box to get paid something decent in shorter duration.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
$OSK Breaking Out of Flag Formation?NYSE:OSK Here is another play on electrified specialty vehicles. Check out their website www.oshkoshcorp.com Pretty cool stuff. I have been watching this one for a good entry since earnings on Oct 23rd. I missed the pullback breakout on Nov 13th, but it has pulled back again and looks to be breaking back above that pullback. I have started ¼ sized position and I will place my stop just below today’s low of day. I do not expect this to be barn burner but a 10% to 20% gain over the next 2 months seems reasonable. I think it can get back to the double top highs from September. All TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:OSKLong
by jaxdog
$U Breaking Above 50 DMANYSE:U has been a bit of a troubled stock. However, they did beat on earnings, and they have announced 265 job cuts and office closures to boost profit. I am taking a chance here on a "turnaround play." I opened a ¼ size position just a bit ago. I’ll place my stop just under the low of the day (that’s about a 9% stop, bigger than I like but it has moved that much today, hence the smaller position size). I like the volume on earnings day along with follow-up volume the next day. It is on track today to be about 150% of the last 10 days average volume so buyers are showing up. Although it is now above its 50 DMA it has yet to cross the 40-week MA (white) and just above that in light green is the 18-month AVWAP. Those could be strong areas of resistance, TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:ULong
by jaxdog
$ONON Holding The Uptrend?I have been long NYSE:ONON for about 2 weeks and have averaged in with a cost basis of 29.20 so I am currently underwater, but it has not hit my stop. If it stays above my stop, I will continue with the trade. I have a ¾ sized position and will look to add to a full position once I am at least $1 over my average price. I am posting this idea today because I have reevaluated the position with the idea that I might close it. But as I do so, I still like what I see. The only negative on the chart is it is below a declining 40-week MA. However, on the positive side It is clearly in an uptrend (I almost got shaken out yesterday). It is above the now rising 50 DMA and is above the IPO AVWAP which means that by volume and price most buyers are in the money. There is still an overhead supply that could keep the progress slow for a while. Were I a new buyer here I would look at yesterday’s candle as being a reversal and today’s candle as confirmation. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:ONONLong
by jaxdog
$CLBT With Huge Cup with Handle Breakout.NASDAQ:CLBT Beat on earnings with an 800% surprise and earnings growth of 1,000% as reported on November 14th. Cellebrite sells software to the Police, and all government entities. They state that: Cellebrite's mission is to enable its customers to protect and save lives, accelerate justice, and preserve privacy in communities around the world. Now to the chart, I have charted this on the weekly timeframe, so the latest candle is only 2 days old. 4 weeks ago, NASDAQ:CLBT broke out of the handle formation. It is now consolidating that breakout. The formal breakout that many use would be the height of the cup before the handle was formed. The breakout price for that is $8.29. Which is very close in price to the 18-month AVWAP. As of this moment it’s trading at $8.45. I have an alert set right at 8.60. Should that trigger, I will look to go long with a stop just under this week’s low of 8.09. That seems to be a good risk reward ratio to me. I do not set price targets, but I think it is possible to go back near all-time highs of around $11.50. Should that happen that is a 33% move! I can handle that. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NASDAQ:CLBTLong
by jaxdog
$VRT Flat Base Breakout?I traded NYSE:VRT about 3 weeks ago on the break above the declining trendline shown on the chart. It had a lackluster move, so I closed it out for 1.12 profit per share over a 2-week span, too slow for me. Yesterday saw a lot of buying on big volume. I wanted to wait until this morning to see if there was going to be any follow through. Yes, it happened so I have started a new ¼ size position with the day low as my stop. With all that volume I am looking for this to be a sustainable breakout, but I have that stop in case I am wrong. If I am correct, I will look to add on any pullbacks to the moving averages. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:VRTLong
by jaxdog
A clear risk on event is taking placeI multiplied the less risky Dow and Spy while dividing it with a multiple of bio, the Russel and Ark. This shows a clear shooting star candle in development this month which should signal much greater future gains in higher risk stocks and an end to this pullback in the market. You can see that we had nice rallies the last two times that this has happened on this chart at March 2020 and Feb 2016. I also noticed some more supporting evidence that this is near the bottom from the dark orange wedge breakout. If you measure the bottom to the peak in 2015-16 you can get an ideal exit target for the wedge breakout. Typically, you would measure from the breakout point, which it hasn't reached at this time, but if you measure from the bottom, you can see that the target has interestingly been reached to an almost exact amount. We also have the yellow resistance and the peak at March 2020 as a pivot point for all of these lines. Not too critical of a point, I just found that interesting haha. We also have institutions like black rock capitulating on growth twitter.com Many institutions were bearish on the market at the bottom of the covid dip. Finally we have a heavily overbought RSI and stoch on the monthly that also signals a top. Now the short term future outlook looks bullish on risk to me but I was thinking on potential long term possibilities from there: I believe that the yellow trajectory is more likely to happen over the blue one at this point to be honest. The blue option just requires too much competence in all global leaders to pull off so it seems unlikely to me and would be frankly miraculous. But it could still happen. The yellow one would basically give investors an opportunity to exit growth at more reasonable prices before the market continues its tank fest again. And while I have this pivot point at Jan 2024, it could happen much steeper and faster and pivot later this year. The yellow support line and the blue breakout line are most important to watch and see what option it'll be.
AMEX:SPY
by Lynxys
3