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Nasdaq Composite Index CFD

Did We Just Witness AI Black Monday? DeepSeek Shocks Tech StocksPanic sell, panic sell, panic sell! That’s basically how Monday went for Wall Street and those of you who hold Nvidia shares. Or just about any other tech stock — you name it, it likely fell nose first when a big and scary Chinese artificial intelligence startup unveiled its new AI model. DeepSeek. What in the world is DeepSeek and why do I hear about it now? DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup, may have just stripped Nvidia of its untouchable status as the go-to company that develops expensive chips to train AI models. DeepSeek announced it had trained its latest model, a rival of ChatGPT, for the negligible $5.6 million in computing costs. The story gets even crazier: it did it with 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs (bought before the US rolled out export restrictions). That’s a meager 5% of the $100 million OpenAI blew on training its GPT-4 model in late 2023. And, what’s even more, DeepSeek’s model, called R1, churns out responses that are scarily close to the advanced US-bred technology. Oh, and it’s open source, unlike OpenAI, which was originally open source but shut its doors to the public. It’s also free to use, unlike ChatGPT, which offers a paid tier between $240 and $2,400 a year. DeepSeek’s R1 model is quickly gaining traction among users as it made its way to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings. DeepSeek has factored in demand from corporations, too. While OpenAI hosts the model on its own platform, its Chinese rival allows you to host this beast on your own hardware, which is a big deal to lots of businesses that work with sensitive data. The stock market was so shocked by the news that you can get pretty much the same result for a fraction of the cost (and give it to users for free), it ran for the hills. The aftermath — Monday saw more than $1 trillion washed out from the valuation of the Magnificent Seven club. One company specifically took the biggest blow. Can DeepSeek deep-six Nvidia’s world dominance plans? Have companies been overpaying for Nvidia’s $30,000 chips? And have investors been overpaying for Nvidia’s shares? Nvidia NVDA pulled in a record $35 billion in Q3 , 2024 and struck a gross margin of 75% and net income of $20 billion. The Jensen Huang-led company on Monday showed it can also hit records in reverse. Closing down 17% for the cash session, it took the biggest L in history. This was the largest destruction of value for a single company ever — $589 billion . So why was Nvidia particularly hit by DeepSeek’s rise? Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the vast amounts of cash companies spent on AI. Simply because Nvidia makes the semiconductors used to train AI models. But if the same result (or just about the same) could be achieved through far less expensive means, why bother propelling Nvidia to the top echelon of the world’s biggest companies ? Nvidia has picked up roughly $131 billion over the past two years from the sale of data-center equipment, mostly AI chips. Its client list includes the biggest names in tech, such as Amazon AMZN , Microsoft MSFT , Meta META and Alphabet GOOGL . These four combined have shelled out $343 billion in AI-related capex (capital expenditures) over the past two years. Since the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia shares have surged more than 700%. Could we be looking at the good old supply and demand equation in play? If DeepSeek’s claims are true, and other companies can do the same (it’s an open-source model), then the scales could turn from undersupply to oversupply. Can we then see a market crash that’s beyond anything we’ve ever thought possible? Or is that freak-out an unjustified stretch? Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
15
Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025. Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event. Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also. The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge. A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf. The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected. As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add. Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment. In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming. Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by PandorraResearch
Market Watch Can the NASDAQ Overcome Resistance or Will It Fall?The NASDAQ has been struggling to break above the $20,059.24 resistance level, facing multiple rejections in recent sessions. This repeated failure to push higher suggests a potential shift to bearish momentum, especially with broader market weakness observed this week. If the NASDAQ fails to clear this resistance, we could see it break down from its current channel, which has been intact since September 6, 2024. If the price moves lower, the next key support levels are at $18,669.99 and $17,975.67. A breakdown below these levels could trigger further declines, and the market might follow suit with a broader selloff. These support levels are critical for any potential reversal. Keep a close eye on the resistance and support levels, as the direction here could influence the broader market sentiment in the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Important Support Zone: 17496.82-17806.08 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I published it as a NAS100USD chart, but this is the first time I published it as an IXIC chart. The reason I published it as an IXIC chart is to check the gap location. - To summarize the content below a little more, - The key is whether it can receive support near 17806.08 and rise above 18425.15. - If it rises, it is expected to determine the trend again near 19189.16-19615.36. - If it falls below 17806.08 1st: 17496.82 2nd: 16480.98-16574.39 3rd: 15491.66-15780.14 You need to check whether there is support near the 1st-3rd above. - Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, even if it continues to rise, it will eventually show a downward trend. At this time, whether there is support near 17496.82-17806.08 is important. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- It is rising with a 2.32% gap increase. It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 18425.15. Therefore, the key is whether it can rise with support above 17806.08. If it falls below 17806.08, it is likely to fall to around 17395.53. - It has risen above the left Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (17191.03) and is rising near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.886 (18171.81). Therefore, if it rises above 18425.15, it is expected to determine the trend again near the right Fibonacci ratio 1 (19189.16) ~ left Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (19615.36). - However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, it appears to be forming a high point. Whether this high will be a real high or a high to create a pull back pattern will depend on where it is supported. Therefore, if it falls to the lowest point from the current price position, the key point is whether there is support near 17496.82. However, as I mentioned earlier, the first support area is near 17806.08. - Have a nice time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:IXIC
by readCrypto
E.L.E.2Just another day at the office... Plotting the SPX median line shows something quite ordinary. No problem is apparent. All is well in the financial markets. Classic candle charts hide the truth, as I have many times explained. SPX now prints a bear 2M bar on the 3-line-break chart. This simply means that a bearish engulfing has taken place on a significantly large timeframe. These things come up rarely. They must not be ignored. ... Extinction Level Event 2 On the main chart we see a massive RSI divergence taking shape. Coupled with a massive bearish engulfing, fear is beginning to hit. Too much has accumulated in Big Tech. (Notice the bull confirmation) SPX Democracy is at a multi-year low. The XLK vs SPY ratio has reached the 2000 levels. (Notice the bear confirmation) The .com bubble burst is coming again. No big stock is safe from this event... MSFT META There is really no point showing more. If you get it, you get it. Mayday Mayday Mayday Brace for impact
SP:SPX
by akikostas
(Personal Savings vs IXIC) * Purchasing Power of USD (Personal Savings vs IXIC) * Purchasing Power of USD I noticed Personal Savings is very bearish, near 2011 levels. So I multiplied the Purchasing Power of USD by DXY and the IXIC, Composite Index. So it's a more fair comparison of value to the past. Then I adjusted the Decimal Places, so they would be in the same scale, for better comparison. As the arrows point out, when Personal Savings falls below the Andrew's Pitchfork Median, Bear markets start. With Unemployment up, and a dead housing market, this is a bad sign.
FRED:PMSAVEShort
by Nicklaus68
2
THE FREAKY SEVEN IS SET TO CONTINUE ITS CHEMICAL TRIP. SOON...US stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week. 171 companies within the S&P 500 are set to report their second-quarter earnings results this week, and expectations are high given the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) 16% year-to-date rally. Some of the biggest companies including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will report results this week. I won't sing you lullabies about expected numbers. The major technical graph indicates that 50-Day SMA already done & fully retested. The next one chase is IXIC 125-Day SMA & all the way below, as much as it possible.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by PandorraResearch
SPX | The Sleeping PilotTraders have made the ultimate mistake, they were caught sleeping on the steering wheel. And after missing the trend, they attempt to enter it again, only to realize that they have trapped themselves. A question arises: Were they sleeping or are they performing a suicide attack? SPX is like a sharp kamikaze plane. Perhaps of Japanese origin, closing in to Perl Harbor. A wise one should never cut towards them. A knife pointing upwards can only kill bulls. If they wish prices to go up, they must turn the knife down, to kill any bears that step in their way. But it seems though the markets are not wise right now. A successful kamikaze is a fearless kamikaze. All was well when the soldier was certain of their attack. SPX has been moving in perfect correlation with fearless index, aka VVIX / VIX ratio (orange line). But now they have second thoughts. And that is their weakness. SPX is heading upwards with growing fear right now. VVIX/VIX is the thought, SPX is the action. We are in a jet lag, in no mans land. The seconds before the pilot moves the joystick back instead of forward. This is not the first time we are dealing with a soldier who is having second thoughts. Once in 2018... ...another one in 2020... ...and finally in 2021. This fight is almost over for the bulls. Question is: Who will win the war? Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori P.S. Many have made jokes about the POTUS as being sleepy. Never call someone something you don't want to be called yourself.
SP:SPX
by akikostas
9
The Apple DominionThe weakest minion can terminate the Apple dominion. Apples, like all fruit, are born to serve two purposes. To spread the apple species and to feed birds, worms and humans. The life of the apple is interesting to watch. It began as a tiny seed in the fields of NASDAQ in 1980, weighing at $0.39 (or grams). Now the apple has grown to be almost 800 grams. That is record heavy for an apple. (There have been several stock splits that lowered the price of each apple) The miracle of nature is, that a tiny cell can multiply thousands upon thousands of times. In this case, our apple fruit has grown almost 2000x since its birth. We have fed off of apples for a long long time. The consumption of apples (measured in pieces) reached its peak in 2010. Most who needed to eat a single apple, have eaten it. Volume is significantly decreasing. This apple fruit is now massive in size. No sane person would eat 800 grams of apple in an evening. Of course volume has significantly weakened. Now with a single apple you can feed an entire family. To make some sense of the real need for apples, we have to consider the daily consumption of apples in grams, not in a piece-by-piece basis. This indicators makes a very simple calculation. It multiplies volume with the logarithm of price. If we wish to compare price to volume, we must convert them both in the same scale. Volume is linear, while price is logarithmic. To compare apples to apples, price must be turned into a linear number. An interesting phenomenon takes shape right in front of our eyes. Apple consumption reached its peak in 2008. From then, the market is getting progressively more saturated in apples. Think about it. Everyone who needed an apple, has eaten one. There is almost nobody left who has never eaten an apple. Up until 2008, most the majority of apples went into our mouths. Now, the majority of apples will have to evacuate through the back door. Consumers have eaten too much of everything, not just apples. Similar saturation problems occur in the wider feed (equity) market. Stepping aside from the wider eating problem, we can perform some more analysis on recent price action of apples. To further support the following analysis, I will consult some professionals. Robert D. Edwards, John Magee and W.H.C. Bassetti. In their book called "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (Eleventh Edition)", in page 62 there is an incredible chart. As it turns out, Head-and-Shoulders patterns can be non-normal. With many bumps for heads and shoulders. This chart will be used as a guideline for recent apple prices. These charts are too similar to ignore. Truth is usually hidden right under our noses. We may choose to ignore it, but it still exists. While the NL (Neck Line) trend is intact, a wider trend is at risk. Even if price tries to cloud your judgement using fakeouts, you must stay strong in your view. And if you are afraid of being wrong, you must find more ways to prove that you are not an elephant. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
NASDAQ:AAPL
by akikostas
16
The Dot-AI BubbleSpeculative bubbles excite traders and investors alike. NVDA is the absolute winner of the AI craze. Craze is the sentiment of the market cycle peak. After craze and euphoria, fear and denial will inevitably flood our minds. It is nothing more than the never-ending cycle of the economy. A simple line drawn on a chart spells the ultimate demise for speculation. NVDA is making all-time-highs. Its performance/momentum however is showing alarming signs of weakness. Beware. Not all is as it seems. The very nature of a Bubble is that it defies all measurable mathematics. NVDA wants more. It wants everything. Just like any other corporation would. For capitalism, more equals more. NVDA aims to swallow the entire money supply. Improbable as it may seem, physics theoretically allows that. Divergence is one of the most misunderstood concepts in analysis. Divergence is not describing a future weakness. It describes the current weakness. NVDA is moving so fast, that its bear market is itself growing exponentially. If NVDA is now moving slower now than it was in 2015-2018, how fast is it trying to go? NVDA remembers the explosiveness of that period, and is trying everything to repeat it. Prices and investors have memory. Both however forget the well-known saying. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. This is the Achilles' heel of prices. They promise what they cannot deliver. Price will reach as high as possible, for as long as there is a willing buyer to take the bait. For capitalism, more is better, at all costs. The ultimate cost will certainly be paid. The last buyer will be the last NVDA bear who will give-in the mania. And that will mark the end. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
NASDAQ:NVDA
by akikostas
20