4 VS 1 / DJI, SPX, IXIC y RUT Versus TLT (BONDS 20 YRS)
Cuando las acciones suben, los bonos deberían bajar. Es simple porque los bonos son como una inversión poco rentable pero segura en tiempos difíciles. Pero cuando comparamos 4 índices con un ETF para bonos a largo plazo, me viene a la mente que en el futuro, la mayoría de los inversores están apostando al mercado a colapsar, (no ahora). Podemos ver la línea de convergencia (por ahora) entre ETF "TLT" (BONOS 20 AÑOS) y 4 índices importantes de USA.
Obviamente, si vemos la imagen macro de "US 10 Y", descartamos cualquier riesgo en el corto plazo.
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As we know about opposite, when stocks go higher, Bonds should Go Down. It is simple because Bonds are like a low profitable but safe investment in hard times. But when we compare 4 indexes against an ETF for Long period bonds, it comes to my mind that in a future mostly investors are betting market to crash, (not now). We can see the convergence line (for now) between ETF "TLT" (20 YEARS BONDS) and 4 important indexes of USA.
Obviously, if we see the macro Picture of "US 10 Y" we are very solid at this time and we discard any risk.
Nasdaq Composite Index CFD
GRADUAL MOVEMENTA gradual movement after the down fall last March due to COVID-19 outbreak. Striving to make a positive movement and today might showing lead to possible move forward soon.
NASDAQ, UN INDICE BLINDADO.Su Nuevo máximo sobre los 10500 Puntos, solo deja claro que la tecnología pesa como factor para mantener en marcha al mundo, ya no es especulación de primera como en el año 2000 que tuvo una caida del 75 por ciento aproximadamente debido a la Burbuja.com.
Debemos asimilar que toda empresa debe tener una profunda transformación hacia lo intangiblemente automatizado y versatil que ofrecen las herramientas tecnologicas.
Dos Puntos Claves en Nasdaq:
Año 2000-2001 Corrección de un 75% debido a que muchas compañías que cotizaban sobre soluciones tecnologicas, no tenían en realidad ganancias y solo fueron promesas. (Google por ejemplo, cumplió satisfactoriamente su proyecto).
Año 2008 Corrección de un 50% aproximadamente como efecto colateral de la caida de otros mercados (sector inmobiliario por ejemplo).
Estos dos son sus aspectos historicos con más peso, desde 1974.
Nasdaq vs Gold vs Dot Com Bubble FactsI only look at facts, not people's opinions. In fact my opinion doesn't matter.
The current situation is nothing compared to Dot Com Bubble.
If you only look at one data or one chart and make your investment/trading decision based on that. Good luck.
If you try to be fancy and wants to short the market top. Good luck.
The fact is, we have BOTH Nasdaq and Gold rallying at the same time, UNLIKE during Dot Com Bubble when Gold was in its bear market.
The capital flow is BROADENING, which means the capital is NOT ONLY flowing into Nasdaq. Of course the concentration is HIGHER there.
But we are not in the same situation like Dot Com. Nasdaq didn't go from 1000 to 5000 or did 5x in 5 years. We are just barely 2x from Dot Com Bubble top, not considering inflation.
That's the problems with people who think they can predict a market top. That's why none of the richest people in the world are short sellers. Short selling is just a fancy occupation, nothing more.
We already had that major corrections, major corrections will happen from time to time, but you don't want to fight against the secular trend of asset prices going up versus fiat or dollar and that may continue much longer than you can be rationale.
Just enjoy the ride and take some profit here and then, buy only essential things in your life, no need for big house or lambo or yacht, you will not bring those items with you in grave anyways.
Don't fight against the fed.
And lastly, stop wasting your time, don't reach out to me. I will never read any messages or comments.
Regards.
$IXIC Nasdaq Pullback PossibleThe $IXIC (Nasdaq Composite Index) has set a temporary top resistance price at 10500.
For the past month, $IXIC has broken out above into blue sky territory.
Trendline Support Downside Target(s): 10100, 10000, 9900.
However if the rally continues, upside resistance targets would be: 10500, 10750, 11000.
Nasdaq vs Dow Jones, Capital is flowing into Nasdaq/TechPlease, don't PM me and comments on my ideas. I don't have time. Sorry.
The nasdaq vs dow jones ratio and also versus S&P 500 is clearly telling us that capital is FLOWING into Tech and Nasdaq.
Money is scrambling to find yields and somehow Tech has been perceived as a safe haven.
Nothing goes up forever, parabola will always end.
But here is the thing about parabola, we will never know when it ends, we only know AFTER THE FACT.
Unfortunately, we are going to witness another bubble just like Dot Com and a lot of people are going to be slaughtered and left holding the bags.
But I personally believe that we are still at the early innings of this bubble. We will know that it is clear bubble when everything related to tech is going up like crazy and when crypto made a crazy comeback.