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Nasdaq Composite Index CFD

Fundamental & Technical | BTC📉Bitcoin is currently testing a decisive resistance line (Zone 2). Current existing factors influencing financial markets: * Decreasing investors confidence 1. The continuance of recession-indicating economic reports - A recession is expected (lastest FED + inflation rate reports) 2. Further war escalations - Russia defaulting, economic allies are changing and higher % of GDP devoted in military sector. 3. Political uncertainty - Boris Johnson resigning(UK)... 4. Natural diseases + disasters - Covid 3rd/4th waves, extreme hot weather 1. FED Interest Rate decision on to be posted @ 18:00 on 2022-07-27. Current inflation reads at 9.1 (2022-07-13), beating the consensus (expected) inflation (8.8). There is currently a lot of uncertainty over financial asset valuation. Worse economic statistics than predicted will likely imply our volatile digital assets will drop heavily once the interest rate decision is out(and if its hawkish). 2. Japan warns over Chinese and Russian increasing cooperation (economic & military). Rising concerns for investors: - Increasing number of involved countries (alliances) - Lasting severity of war donations - Rising war spending (2.5% of total GDP increase in UK) 3. Depending on the UK's new PM outcome, the country's fiscal(tax) policies may be on each extreme. The candidates: * Rishi Sunak vowing to increase taxes * Penny Mordaunt would raise income tax thresholds for basic and middle-income earners. (Lowering tax revenue) * Foreign Secretary Liz Truss mentions creating ''low tax, low regulation zones''. (Lowering tax rates) 4. Covid + Heat waves - Extreme heat waves in Europe affecting productivity, trade, currency valuations and etc. - Currently, Covid waves have a greater impact on LEDCs. Corruption, poor infrastructure, worse weather control(worsening symptoms severity) and fake vaccine passports may all contribute towards this fact. Thereby, I believe a drop will occur to satisfy the market changes within the zone 2. Risk/rewards ratio: 3.23 Open Short: 265.75M Take Profit: 173.17M Stop Loss: 293.74 Note: the graph is BTC/Gold. I will be posting an explanation for it's utility Thanks for your time! San:)
CRYPTOCAP:BTCShort
by Sanzhar_m
Nasdaq 100 - Signs of exhaustionSince the latest CPI print NQ1! rose approximately 9%, with most of the move-up being manifested right after the release. The move was accompanied by high volume; however, on Friday and Monday, the volume declined substantially. This continuous decline in volume hints at exhaustion and potential reversal. Therefore, we remain very cautious. To support our thesis, we would like to see a further slump in volume and the price going up. Then, we would like to see this followed by a spike in volume and the start of selling pressure. Contrarily, to invalidate our bearish thesis, we would like to see the price hold above 11 734$. Additionally, we would like to see the pick-up in volume accompanying a move higher. On the endnote, we still believe this is only another bear market rally, and because of that, we stay bearish beyond the short term and stick to our price target for NQ1! at 10 000$. Illustration 1.01 Since the latest CPI print, each session after the print manifested a declining volume from open to close. Yellow arrows indicate these developments on the chart. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish as well. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish, although the trend remains weak. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI and Stochastic point to the upside. MACD tries to reverse to the upside but stays in the bearish zone. DM+ and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is less bearish than the last week. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tradersweekly
18
1969, 53 years laterIt is like 1969, only exactly the same. (A quote Ashens would say) Sticky inflation begins Gold stagnating Cheap oil, and then not that cheap Space exploration And the following years after 1969, look what happened to: Inflation: Remained for 10 years Gold: After a disappointing drop in 1969-1970, it exploded 19x until 1979. Oil: Increased 10x until 1980 Space: We went on the moon several times, and then we lost the technology. PS. There may be more similarities I am not aware of. So what will happen now? Exactly the same, all over again. -- Stubborn inflation -- Gold exploding (not bitcoin, they will ban this stuff and go all-out in CBDC. CBDC is like CBD only nothing like it. It is the dream of governments. They certainly encourage both of them. I don't post an opinion on CBD, I am just posting a joke.) -- In a couple of years, we will see today's oil prices and actually want them. Now we obviously don't want them, it is like we are on sales and we just don't know it, yet... -- We have apparently "landed" on a meteorite which is like exactly the same as in 1969 when we apparently landed on the moon. They like to make history repeat itself. If we find the technology we lost all these years ago (maybe Elon with a plethora of CBDC and CBD will find it). Maybe our bodies will go to Mars. Or more probably, we will take an AR experience to space, because that will save the planet. Let's hope that in 8 years from now, we will not be in 1984. We are definitely stepping towards it. (I know 1969+15 is 1984, and 2022+8 is 2030. Things are going much faster than 50 years ago.) Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori PS. Let's also hope that we don't meet up with Father Grigori, zombies or the combine.
SP:SPX
by akikostas
2
IXIC - Long-awaited Bull signalComment : 1) IXIC has been fall more than 20% since previous peak on 16-Aug, bear signal appear next day from top. And today, it finally shows up Bull signal, indicating a short-term rebound. Short-term supporting price is lowest of 17-Oct that is 10569.69, this point must not be broke else the rebound will be ended. 2) TrendX+ indicator - candleestick moving below red trendline, mid-term downtrend underway. 3) DDX+ indicator - Bull signal shows up, looking forward a short-term long position. 4) MCDX+ indicator - weak, a little of banker bar (red), while retailer bar (turquoise) has occupy more than 50%. Support & Resistance : S : 10569.69 +/- DISCLAIMER : Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
TVC:IXICLong
by TheWinningDay
1
Nasdaq- What's Next?Been a while posting about Nasdaq composite index (or Nasdaq) so here is an update: Fundamentals are scary as we all know. Russians are preparing for a 'second round' of attacks on Kiev and no political solutions or a serious attempt is expected soon. It's a major issue for the global economy. Time will be pushing Putin as well, trust me. So we might hopefully see the end of this soon but NOT yet... 😰🙏🌐 In the meantime the Dollar is killing all other currencies and that's an ice cream nobody likes to take. Unless you are Biden (www.hindustantimes.com) 🫥💩 European economy is flirting with a recession and protests arise (twitter.com) in France🇫🇷 (twitter.com)Italy🇮🇹Belgium🇧🇪Germany🇩🇪 and other countries. Europeans are getting pissed off...🤬 In the meantime in England Liz Truss (or short term expiring trash) (twitter.com) can not have a 'pivot' so there goes everyone else's hopium of seeing lower interest rates back that soon.. Donald Trump 🎃 is attempting a rebound of his own to 'Save America' this time (he made is great again the last time?) (www.dailymail.co.uk) In the meantime we expect a new 75basis Rate hike by the Feds. Finally, something we haven't seen before: the Chinese postponed releasing their GDP (www.bloomberg.com) today. No reason offered! In other words: the Fundamentals are BAD 🙀 but regardless: we always follow the chart! Chart shows resistance at 11030-11043 and possible visit below the 10,000 mark to 9040 or even 8455 Not a good chart but things do change fast and will keep you posted. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR
NASDAQ:IXIC
by FX_Professor
8
SPX, What is going on the market ??Which Bull Cycle is market correcting? Answer to this question shows us where MAY be a good point to buy the dip with open eyes and how to be prepared for alternative scenarios. As shown and explained on the charts, there are three alternative scenarios for now and all of them are valid although they have different probabilities. : 1. Best case scenario : In this very bullish scenario , market is just correcting the bull run started after pandemic low. In this case, we are not to much far from the SPX bottom. 3195 to 3505 corresponding to 0.618 and 0.5 Retracement levels is the zone in which SPX will bottom. I give least possibility to this scenario but surely keep it in mind since it is still a valid one. 2. Moderate case scenario : In this scenario, SPX is correcting the bull cycle started at 60.96 on 1974 and ended at ATH. In this case, SPX will reach to very unpleasant and painful target zone which is 1878-2439 corresponding to 0.618 and 0.5 retracement levels respectively. I give most possibility to this scenario. Proofs and evidences for this scenario( and two others of course ) are provided on my published video idea about DJIA (See related idea for more details). 3. Worst case scenario : In this scenario, market has completed 90 years impulsive section and mother of all crashes is on the way. I prefer to pray for the market in this case instead of any explanations. May GOD Bless The Market. Maybe it is time to leave the habit of (( Buy the Dip )) with closed eyes. Good luck every body.
SP:SPX
by SaeedSajedi
27
QQQ - Is a double bottom done rising? Recently, we warned that the market was likely to bounce after making new lows. Subsequently, that occurred, and the Nasdaq continuous futures rose approximately 7% from their lows. So now, we are again turning bearish on the index in the short term. Our views, like previously, are based on a combination of fundamental and technical factors. We expect these factors to worsen as the FED continues tightening monetary conditions. Therefore, we have no reason to change our macroeconomic views and stick to the price target of 11 000 USD for NQ1!. Since our last price targets for QQQ were reached recently, we would like to set a new price target of 270 USD. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the price of QQQ retracing toward the 20-day SMA, which often coincides with the correction of a primary trend. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is neutral. MACD is also neutral. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is less bearish than a week ago. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of QQQ and simple support/resistance levels. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Tradersweekly
32
Is #Bitcoin a leading asset?JC Parets is one of the few experts I follow closely. He's been saying that "cryptos are just riskier tech stocks" and I agree. Just look how NASDAQ:IXIC , AMEX:XLK and INDEX:BTCUSD have bevahed for the las 5 years. They are highly correlated, all have bottomed almost in tandem 3 times. But if you look in daily charts you'll see that Bitcoin actually bottoms a little bit earlier. Now look at the tops. See how while the Nasdaq and the Tech ETF keeps going up while BTC diverges. As a riskier asset BTC is sold earlier than stocks, but also is buyed earlier than stocks. At least that is what I see here. Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't made new lows while SP:SPX , NASDAQ:IXIC and DJ:DJA have. As JC Parets recently said, "Is Bitcoin finally going to decouple here, or is this just a temporary bout spurred on by unique conditions?" Lets see what happens.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dpuleo19
1
SPX | Trendline violationSPX has clearly violated a trend line of this Renko chart. After a false-breakout of the channel, now we progress further downwards. This chart may suggest that even though we have had consistent growth for the last years, every time we cover less and less ground upwards. The next leg up, may lead us to the bottom of the channel and a rejection. Only then we can understand some further stuff and see if this chart made sense in the first place. Maybe the meaning of this chart is nonexistent. Do however take a look at the other main indices. DJI is performing better than the other indices this year. NDX I drew a shorter trendline, it made the most sense to do so. SPX/PPIACO We are just a 13.5% drop to get to the 2000 peak. NDX/PPIACO DJI/PPIACO I did an automatic regression trend on it to make it more "official" looking. Notice that the 2008 bottom is an outlier in the trend. In the SPX/PPIACO and NDX/PPIACO charts, I drew some trends that looked good to me at the time. Price seemed to get interested in these trends. I just added a regression on NDX/PPIACO Trust me, at the time I drew the trendlines, I drew them in a way that made sense to the price. And as you see the regression paints the same picture. PS. Maybe we will enter the trend again sometime in the future. We probably will. As for now, he may have more pain ahead of us. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. Father Grigori
SP:SPX
by akikostas
DJI | Solid landNow we are in a thick moving sand. We need to drop much further to find solid land. A way of looking at the clouds is as if they are mud. We are dropping as if we are very big, heavy and slow. I have drawn some possible support levels. The upper 3 are taken from the DJI/M2SL ratio, and the bottom one is taken after we scale appropriately the GFC. We need to mind the speed, the size and the scale of this recession, to compare it with past ones. All 3 areas taken from this chart, are in important fib retracements. The retracements are drawn with the magnet tool and are very accurate. We are moving very fast downwards, so we could very easily collapse to 2008 levels. Also take a good look at the DJI/M2SL chart. It clearly shows that: For the past 20 years we haven't grown. Right now we are in a level which is in the middle of the GFC. And it feels like we are worse than in 2007. The M2SL comparison, transforms what we see (DJI price) to what we feel (DJI/M2SL). If you take a look at the charts I made regarding the true cost of energy, you will get a similar understanding of the tough spot we are in. PS. You must pray. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
DJ:DJI
by akikostas
1
SPX | GuillotineThe anatomy of these two bodies are identical. The murderer the same. The "plateau" that was shaped in 2004-2006, is identical to 2018-2020 The chopped off head exactly the same. Traders in 2008 had no clue (?) what would happen. (I doubt it, many knew very well what was happening) Now that we have a direct counterpart, and a not so distant one, comes the question. Can we make it? Was the 2008 crash a phenomenon of bad crisis management, or was it caused by a deeply rooted problem that rendered the crash inevitable? A housing bubble then, a housing bubble now. Companies going bankrupt, and there are lots of them. And big companies close shops, change country of business etc. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
TVC:DJI
by akikostas
NDQ/NDX/IXIC | Exactly the same (except the blow-off top)Please read to the end, for a probable explanation that falsifies this one. We are living the precise events that led up to the 2000 .com bubble burst and the subsequent 2001 recession. Now however, there was no blow-off-top event to make the two events identical. Back in 1998, there was a "black swan" event, which was more apparent in DJI/SPX. This was caused by a crisis in Russia's economy. In 2019, a world-wide crisis caused the well-known crash. The progress after it is completely identical. This can be further validated if you compare fundamentals. And also analyze DJI/SPX/NYA. Much of the damage may have already occurred. But much more pain remains, perhaps immense. Germany is about to collapse (or already collapsed). Also war, food/water crisis, inflation, a destroyed production chain, are not ingredients for growth. I am also adding this chart, which shows that probably the worst is coming, since it looks like we are barely falling. PS. And now follows a conspiracy story: Let there be a very rich man, who wants to be even richer. Since he is so wealthy, he could cause an earthquake. He would shake the box of economy, up and down at the time he pleases. And he confused the people, because the box of economy has taken a shape we all have seen before. In the era of information, who can't possibly see what is in front of him? Who on earth could not have possibly remembered the shape in front of them? And as a different story said, everyone but a child could see the kings clothes (the king was nude). And everyone feared, and sold everything they had to save themselves. And the rich man shook the box again and again, until it looked like we landed. And everyone thought that they were safe because it looked like it, and they bought again. And everything went up again. And the king was happy, because everyone saw his clothes, everyone followed him, and everyone bought when he wished... And at the right time, he cracked the box and took your money. What an anticlimatic end to a story! Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
TVC:IXIC
by akikostas
Nasdaq 100 - Progressing into the 2nd stage of the bear marketOur last post on the Nasdaq index outlined our bearish stance on the general stock market. Today will be no different, and we will reiterate our grim opinions and provide more thoughts on the latest developments in the market. Since our last article, the Nasdaq index continued to drift lower; meanwhile, QQQ reached our price target of 280 USD and halted its decline slightly above the 270 USD price tag. Furthermore, since November 2021, the Nasdaq index has lost more than 33%, plunging deep into the bear market territory. Unfortunately, we do not see any reversal of the primary trend on the horizon. Contrarily, we think the FED will follow its path of demand destruction, negatively affecting the stock market and the real economy. Indeed, we would argue that the bear market is already transitioning from the 1st stage into the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage of the bear market is characterized by the decline of corporate profits and economic projections, which is currently under progress. Therefore, we voice a strong word of caution to market participants over the medium and long term. We believe the market will continue to weaken and constitute new lows over time. Regarding the short-term, major stock market indices are currently hovering near their 2022 lows. Therefore, we are looking for signs of a short-lived bounce. We reason that soon, we will start seeing market participants forecasting double bottom formations, which will once again lure weak hands into the market - ones that will later reinforce the selling pressure. Despite that, we commit to our bearish stance over the medium and long term. Accordingly, we maintain 11 000 USD price target for NQ1!; as for the QQQ, we currently choose not to set any price target. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of NQ1!. Yellow arrows indicate recent technical developments. Additionally, two simple moving averages reflect the presence of a downtrend. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.02 The image above displays support and resistance levels for NQ1!. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tradersweekly
14
SPX, Regression Channel shows bounce in the next two daysSPX daily chart with long term Regression channel, 3405 days, with +3/-3 stdev bands. The Comfort Zone is the reddish area located between +2 and 2 stdev, where at least 95% of price occurrences should occur. This chart shows that the uptrend that started on June 16 failed to break above the +1 stdev line. The mean served as support and allowed a small bounce that failed at +0.5 stdev, retraces and the mean fails to serve as support. Last Friday it closed at the -1 stdev line. This fact coupled with the extreme reading of some indicators point to an immediate rebound of the SPX. There is too much technical damage on the chart to augur a long life for any rally that starts now. However, we expect the SPX to move higher in the coming days, a trading opportunity.
SP:SPXLong
by Point-Blank-Trading
SPX, find support in a Regression ChannelSPX daily chart with long term Regression channel, 3405 days, with +3/-3 stdev bands. The Comfort Zone is the reddish area located between +2 and 2 stdev, where at least 95% of price occurrences should occur. This chart shows that the uptrend that started on June 16 failed to break above the +1 stdev line. The mean served as support and allowed a small bounce that failed at +0.5 stdev, retraces and the mean and this time the mean fails to serve as support. Last Friday it closed at the -1 stdev line. This fact coupled with the extreme reading of some indicators point to an immediate rebound of the SPX. There is too much technical damage on the chart to augur a long life for any rally that starts now. However, we expect the SPX to move higher in the coming days, a trading opportunity.
SP:SPXLong
by Point-Blank-Trading
TSLA, broke the triangle, that points to lower prices, but...315 has been a very strong resistance to break for TSLA. On the chart you can see that the top box was built from the top of the breakout gap of Oct25,21 and the pivot point high of Nov4, 21, then we cloned it to establish the bottom box whose floor was the target of the correction, which was met to perfection. Last Friday TSLA broke below an almost symmetrical triangle and although this portends further lower prices, it is possible that the rebound we are expecting from the SPX tomorrow Monday and/or Tuesday, may help TSLA to recover the inside of the triangle. There is support at 265 and 255. We remain neutral at this time, but think that 315 will stand as resistance for quite some time.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Point-Blank-Trading
IXIC, You may find this analysis helpful in future !Is this another bear market rally? or just we are at the early stages of new massive bull run? Since hitting 10565.14 low ( which was in 0.5 _ 0.618 Retracement zone of previous major rally from pandemic low to ATH ) , IXIC has started a promising rally for bulls. Is this low market's bottom? It might be, but lets review a contradictory yet valid scenario : First of all I should emphasize this proposed scenario is not a fact and is just a possibility . I have to repeat again : " when we are in world of Elliott waves we are dealing with possibilities not certainties ". As shown on the chart, Previous major decline from 16212.23 to 10565.14 can be labeled as impulsive 5 legs down going wave. Normally, we have a counter trend correction after an impulsive wave therefore, recent rally may be just a big counter trend correction bear market rally. Why I used normally ? Since there are some alternatives for this scenario which are beyond scope of this publication . Please remember : " Possibility vs Certainty " Mentioned five legs down going impulsive wave can be labeled as wave 1 or A which implies for a counter trend correction as wave 2 or B . Strong resistance zone formed by 0.5 and 0.618 Retracement levels has been shown on the chart. This zone is also a valid supply/demand zone. In addition, my private Gann Box analysis confirms this zone as a strong resistance ( I excluded Gann Box from the chart to keep it as clean as possible). 200, 100 and 50 weeks moving averages have been also shown on the chart. As we see, 200 weeks moving average which supported the market at pandemic low was market savior one more time at last major low. 100 and 50 weeks MA s are waiting for the index at our proposed resistance zone. This makes our resistance zone even stronger. If true, Worst has yet to come as wave 3 or C. If we are going to see wave 3 then may god bless the market. Please note this is not to frighten anyone especially bulls or giving hope to bears. This is just an analysis which shows a valid possible scenario and I can strongly recommend you to keep this scenario in mind. I Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by SaeedSajedi
19