CMT/BTC, is it a time for the dragon to wake up?Altcoins are going to experience a huge jump if BTC keep the momentum that gained during the last couple of weeks.
CMT is definitely experience one of the worst days ever (Bottom).
J-curve
Spread national US bund 3 and 5 years, medium signal An inverted yield curve means a market situation in which the yields offered, for longer maturities, are lower than the yields of the short-term portion of the curve (in this case the "short" is usually considered as the rates up to 2 years). This is a situation that is at first sight counter-intuitive. Those who have studied Finance will certainly remember the mantra for which 1 euro today is better than 1 euro tomorrow; an inverted curve, instead, says exactly the opposite: better 1 euro tomorrow. This means that investors, on average, are moving towards long-term investments, despite lower yields than short-term investments.
Amazon trend until yield curve inversionAmazon could stay in the uptrend (green line) until yield curve inversion (10yr - 2yr Treasuries spread becomes negative) and then crash (red line).
Current news about yield curve inversion of 5yr - 3yr Treasuries is premature. That indicator was 4 years early in 1964, 3 years early in 2005, and usually was 2 years early.
BTC last resort for CRYPTO FUTURESo before I was joking around posting my 1 support line on btc and publishing, as more of a knee jerk to all the TA I have seen in the tradingview community. I decided to publish a real TA on BTCUSD to share my thoughts. Be sure to watch the video to learn more, but I see 3k as the last support for BTCUSD and if it goes past that, I don't see a crypto future as that will be the final dump. Be very careful both ways as bitcoin has been very volatile in the past If your decision to long or short. I do feel it's safe to short after 4k if you missed the initial one from 5k.
Yield curve inversion and Morgan Stanley predictionMorgan Stanley predicted end of economic cycle in 2021. www.morganstanley.com
And it looks like a yield curve inversion will occur in 2019 or 2020. fred.stlouisfed.org
I combined the above ideas and drew a green line staying in the current bullish trend channel. I drew a red line showing a delayed bearish reaction after a yield curve inversion. Recessions usually follow 3-22 months after a yield curve inversion. The red line shows a drop to a support line by 2021 and then a rally in anticipation of a new economic cycle.
BTC 10th OCT 2018 - Signs For Bullish MoveHuge move for bitcoin expected. Those are my main TA sign for a bullish move
1. Double Dip in RSI & $ price ($5750-$6000).
2. Consolidation, BTC went almost stable.
3. Curve trend movement, correction seems done.
_________________________________________________________
Very buy, because expecting it would go much lower, might be the new wishful thinking in this.
Stay positive, buy the future, dont see it as an investment only.
_________________________________________________________
#doggonacci
BEAR WITH BITCOIN WHILE IT SEARCHES ITS SOULWe’re at the end of an eleven month pattern where Bitcoin has continued to disappoint and shed bullish sentiment.
I expect the chart is self explanatory. The lower highs and higher lows will meet each other this holiday season and, with that, cause Bitcoin to learn what it is and how it will be for the next six to twenty six months.
There is no insight I could provide that couldn’t be easily refuted but there is one thing that can be said with any certainty: the price will never move left.
Bond H&S = risk off deflationary + curve inversionMeasured moved based on H&S break has this moving approximately 10%. We're currently looking at a retest of the break, but it's fading fast. When combined with the record net-short interest here, this could be a fast move, and could even invert the yield curve in one fell-swoop. If so, this would be reminiscent of the 2000 yield curve inversion, which happened extremely quick, and occurred around the same time the bear market started.
Note that the big drop after the head that occurred around May 25th was a global collateral call. That alone is reason to realize that liquidity is not what we thought and there may be more problems in the global dollar funding system than many would know.