GODD XAUUSD How Gold Traders stay ahead with aid of DXY chartGold: XAUUSD 1.25% How DXY -0.25% is the gold 1.24% trader's best friend right now
So far gold 1.24% has behaved in the bear-mangling mode expected of it since the dollar broke
down below key support on DXY -0.25% at 94.26 (right hand chart) but it wasn't too smart to let
it go again at 1290. That rally on Friday was vicious for bears - the shape of price action
as gold 1.24% turned resistance at 1281 into support shows the market adjusting before gold 1.24%
powers 16 points north, a volte-face - which you would have been expecting if you've
been experienced enough, wise enough to run the two charts in tandem.
If you don't you're dealing with a blindfold over one eye...
The pin bars on the one hour chart here show strong rejection
at 1296.78 down to current levels at 1293 and a streak of
uncontested green...very rare for a space like that to remain
uncontested and it should flip back to 1288, and potentially to
1284 before it rallies again. On the other side of the street,
we can see that DXY -0.25% is flipping in a range beween 93.99 (the
high for the week was exactly 93.99 as forecast, giving a
precise point at which to sell gold 1.24% - with stops only triggered
in event that DXY -0.25% breaks above 94 and holds, in which case
DXY -0.25% is going up and Gold 1.24% is going back down. Just the best
duo/tandem trade there is in almost any market anywhere.
Use it or lose it. Probably the best companion
a gold 1.24% trader can ever have.
DXY: Dollar index 0.11%
Through all the noise of currency pairs and most commodity markets there
is a still, small, much neglected voice that can tell usually show you the
bigger picture/helicopter view of all that close combat fighting going
on below. Not always, but usually. DXY -0.25% , so far since the breakdown at
94.26, has been very helpful. It's flipping between 94 key resistance and
93.50 key near term support and this is what's causing such grief and
whipsaw in the price of gold 1.24% . Right now it's giving mixed near term signals...
believe it will break lower still eventually, but the chart is not confirming that
here....it's just double bottomed at 93.50...was Ok to bounce here for sure but
that was quite a big bounce - pins at top and botttom of move...just near
term a little confusing, at least to this writer anyway. But gold 1.24% is toppy -0.73% near
term and DXY -0.25% is showing a double bottom near term. If it can rally from here then it should push
back up to the 93.99 where it should meet profit takers. (Do same with gold 1.24% shorts
at that point). And only if DXY -0.25% can then manage to break above 94 and hold is
the tide turning back in favour of Dollar, at which point we look to short gold 1.24% again.
And on the other side, if at any point DXY -0.25% breaks 93.50 it enters a zone of uncertainty/whipsaw
between 93.50 and 93.35 where positions can sudddenly reverse - like quicksand
on a map this zone cannot be trusted - a zone to avoid if possible. However, if
at any point DXY -0.25% is driven below 93.5 for more than 2 hours it will become llikely that
support is eroding and it should start to fall away quite hard to 92.80-92.62 - and
thereby triggering aggressive gold 1.24% longs.
J-curve
BTC, the long view: 10/2011 to presentSometimes it help to take a step back. I'm not sure the long-term rising wedge concept would hold water since lower highs and higher lows are only implied at disparate points as opposed to throughout the wedge, but it's hard not to notice the shape from a wide angle view. I'm also not sure you can use the ideas of the cup and handle or round bottom concept based on the increasing slope of the upper line. Whatever the case, it says something about how things have changed over the past couple of years. I think we're in for quite a ride once we're over this correction denial phase.
Reversal on the cards for DOW Jones?Dow Jones monthly chart. We have an ascending curve (shown in blue) going through major turning points of this index. As the curve gets steeper the acceleration of this index to the upside increases. The index is now retesting the curve for the second time after trading below it from 2009. Very sharp gains as of late may be capped at 21000 which is also a cloned range resistance (shown in blue boxes), with distance between blue zones being equivalent. From the gradient of the curve lately we can see the speed of growth may not be sustainable and we now may see a pullback/reversal.
COPPER Long Term Buying OpportunityThis trade technically constitutes as calling a bottom (which I don't particularly like to do), although I have a few good reasons why I'll be taking this long trade. First and foremost, Copper is currently tuning away from the bottom of it's long term curved downtrend channel. Secondly, last week's candle was a fairly large hammer. Thirdly, Squeeze momentum is as oversold as it's ever been. The final reason is that over time, Copper has consistently gone through fairly rigid periods of increase and decrease. These periods range from about 100-150 days. Copper is nearing the end of it's current period of decline. A combination of reasons I have listed above describe why I will be long in Copper until approximately January 2016. Leave your thoughts, comments and a like if this was helpful in any way to you. Happy Trading!
WHY AUDUSD MIGHT BE A GOOD LONG-TERM SHORTALL CURRENCY PAIRS IN WHICH THE USD IS THE
DENOMINATOR HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING A SIMILAR
ARC SHAPE SINCE THE 2009 RECESSION.
AS WE CAN SEE HERE, JPYUSD, CADUSD HAVE REACHED
THEIR PREVIOUS SUPPORT AREAS. ONE CURRENCY
PAIR THAT HASNT REACHED ITS PREVIOUS LOW
IS THE AUDUSD. ALL MARKETS WORK TOGETHER,
THEREFORE I BELIEVE THIS PAIR IS LAGGING
COMPARED TO IS RELATIVES. AUDUSD COULD BE
A GOOD POTENTIAL SHORT IN THE LONG RUN
AFTER ITS CURRENT CONSOLIDATION.
NXTD Coppock Curve Turned Upwards with Bullish Heikin-Ashi ColorWhen the Coppock Curve turns around this is a good sign the chart is reversing direction. Combining this with the TrendBars indicator which add Heikin-Ashi colors to the candlesticks, both indicate a bullish direction. This is still true, even while the chart had wild premarket buying and resultant selling off during regular market open times today. The chart is providing a bargain for traders and investors currently.