EUR/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the 1.06 level. Since the previous analysis, it has dropped over 500 pips. I anticipate that the price will soon react positively to the 1.052 to 1.058 zone, potentially leading to a recovery of 40 to 300 pips.Keep an eye on these marked levels!
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J-DXY
GBP/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the daily timeframe, we can observe that the price is experiencing a significant decline. I anticipate that this heavy drop will likely pause, at least temporarily, upon reaching the demand zone between 1.267 and 1.2735. This is a key area of interest, and I expect a potential return of 50 to 200 pips from this level. This analysis will be updated as necessary.
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GOLD → The bearish rally is intensifying. Next, 2500-2400?FX:XAUUSD accelerates its fall and updates the low, testing the zone below 2600. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around? CPI and PPI ahead, is there still hope?
Chinese authorities have played a negative role this time with their weak support for markets (traders are wary of potential trade tariffs that Trump may impose), which is generally reflected in the gold price in part.
Theoretically, any attempts to rise in gold may be limited, due to the rise of the dollar, which is feeling support from the market amid the excitement of Trump and fading expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
Ahead is the consumer price index, which could have an impact on the Fed's future rate path and the US dollar.
Technically, gold is trying to break out of a key range breaking support. If a false break of 2604 is formed, a small correction to resistance may form.
Resistance levels: 2626, 2637
Support levels: 2604, 2569, 2546
If the bears keep the price below 2605-2600, the decline may intensify, but since the price is testing strong support, a false breakdown and a correction may be formed as a primary reaction, for example to 2626-2637 (0.5 fibo) before a further decline.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A change in structure and a change in trend. CPI ahead!FX:XAUUSD is turning around. The daily session closes below 2604 and the breakdown of the global structure confirms the bearish nature of the market. The fight for the key 2600 zone continues...
Trump's tough policies could slow the Fed's easing cycle, the dollar would then continue to strengthen at the expense of gold... There is another Fed rate meeting in December and obviously the question is: either 0.25% or hold.
All eyes are on the CPI, the data will determine whether the Fed will continue its rate cut trajectory after December.
A downside surprise in CPI could reinforce dovish expectations for the Fed. Conversely, a stronger inflation report could trigger a change in the regulator's stance. Any reaction to the news could be short-lived as attention immediately shifts to Thursday, PPI and Powell's...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2626, 2637
! Key level: 2604
Support levels: 2590, 2569
The fight for 2604 continues, if the bears can keep the defense below this zone, we should expect a fall. But, there is a high probability of correction on the background of news volatility and retest of resistance 2626-2637 before the further fall
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Regards R. Linda!
eurnzd h2 long/short +200/+400 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for EURNZD today.
Rangebound trading condition recently, currently expecting a re-test
of the mirror S/R resistance overhead and then sellers will take over
from the resistance.
🔸Key levels for EURNZD traders: 7860 s/r bulls, 8050/60 s/r bears,
7659 mirror s/r bulls level will get re-tested by the bears for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURNZD traders: the sequence
is long/short so you want to buy low off the s/r bulls at 7860 SL 40
TP +200 pips, this is the bounce play / re-test of the mirror s/r bears
at 8050 then flip short at/near 8050+-10 pips SL 50 pips TP1 +200
TP2 +400 pips final exit bears at mirror s/r at 7650. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
gold 5 waves complete now abc correction in progress🔸Hello guys, today let's review 6hour price chart for gold. The 5 wave
bullish impulse is complete now we are entering ABC correction.
🔸Wave1 was 2335/2472, Wave2 2472/2372, Wave3 2371/2653,
Wave4 2653/2605, Wave5 2605/2770, now ABC correction, currently
A in progress 2770/2525.
🔸Recommended strategy for gold traders: higher risk bounce play
once A completes and transitions into B bounce, BUY/HOLD 2525
exit at 2678. Lower risk sell side setup: B completes near 2678
short sell into bounce exit at 2383 once C completes into liquidity
order block zone. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
DXY Upsides: Bullish Rebound At Key Support ZoneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 105.700 zone, DXY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 105.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DXY Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend and the
Index is locally overbought
So after it hits a horizontal
Resistance of 106.500
A local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY is facing resistance zoneAs you know, I’ve been bullish on the DXY and have anticipated a reversal since the now-confirmed bottom just above 100.
With the price now above 106, however, I believe USD bulls should start exercising caution. There’s a very strong resistance zone ahead, ranging from 106.20 to 106.50, with another important level just above 107.
In my view, a correction is likely soon, and I’ll be watching for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Gold has peaked at its Wave 3 low, which I can tell by the slow down in bearish momentum. This was my sign to go long in the short term & buy Wave 4, giving sellers a much needed break.
I have been holding a buy since yesterday, HEDGED against my main sell position from $2,738. Looking for some form of 3 Sub-Wave correction for major Wave 4. Potential target zone around $2,625 - $2,640.
Levels discussed during livestream 12th November12th November
DXY: Could consolidate/retrace slightly, but for continuation higher to 106.10, beyond that, could retest resistance of 106.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5950 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.65 SL 25 TP 100
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2785 SL 30 TP 100
EURUSD: Sell 1.0590 SL 40 TP 140
USDJPY: Buy 154.90 SL 35 TP 110
USDCHF: Buy 0.8845 SL 30 TP 75
USDCAD: Buy 1.40 SL 40 TP 140
Gold: Breaking 2600, below 2585 could trade down to 2570 and 2550
Shorting the Dollar: A Madman's GameI’m going to take this trade—it's close enough to the level where it would invalidate my idea. I may tighten my stops a bit, but I’m okay with taking a second shot later if I get stopped out.
The Dollar is indeed strong right now, so I’m going against the trend here. I’ll be aggressively taking profits if it dips a bit. If we push past 106.75, I might consider shorting it.
This price action is looking very similar to the July-September 2023 move.
TVC:DXY
Bitcoin on the Path to Unprecedented Success. Trade plan!Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Chart Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
A bullish reversal pattern is forming, indicating potential upward momentum if the price breaks above the resistance trendline.
Breakout scenarios typically target the previous high or a significant resistance level.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around $91,000-$92,000, visible as the upper orange zone.
Support Zone: Around $78,000-$79,000, visible as the lower orange zone.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 38.08, showing oversold conditions and a potential for upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: Indicates bullish divergence with oversold conditions, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Neutral to slightly bullish, sitting at 53.63.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing outflows (red), indicating possible selling pressure.
Volume:
Relatively low, suggesting a lack of conviction in either direction. A breakout accompanied by high volume will confirm the next major move.
Divergences:
Visible bullish divergences on the VMC Cipher B suggest a potential reversal if the falling wedge resistance is broken.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Trigger: Break and close above the falling wedge resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Entry: Place a long position at $86,500-$87,000.
Targets:
First Target: $90,000 (conservative).
Second Target: $92,000 (major resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Below the wedge breakout level at $84,500.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
Trigger: Break and close below the wedge support with strong volume.
Entry: Place a short position at $84,000-$83,500.
Targets:
First Target: $80,000 (conservative).
Second Target: $78,000 (lower support zone).
Stop Loss: Above the wedge support at $86,000.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1.
Risk Management
Allocate 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Monitor key levels and indicators, particularly volume spikes, RSI, and stochastic trends.
Keep an eye on macro news and Bitcoin-related announcements that could influence market sentiment.
If the price remains range-bound within the wedge, avoid over-trading and wait for a breakout confirmation.
Ensure all trades are backed by stop-loss orders to manage potential losses effectively.
EURUSD - markets are waiting for the CPI!The EURUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction to the release of the CPI index today, we can see the supply zone and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. The placement of this currency pair in the specified demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it.
According to sources, the United Kingdom and the European Union have decided to intensify their efforts to draft and implement a joint defense treaty in response to Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz emphasized the importance of close relations with the United States and insisted on deepening EU-U.S. cooperation, particularly in trade. He stated, “If the Trump administration decides to impose tariffs on the EU, we have both the authority and the capacity to respond accordingly.”
Robert Holzmann, Governor of the Austrian Central Bank and a member of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council, recently spoke with the newspaper Kleine Zeitung about the possibility of a rate cut in the December meeting. He noted that currently, there is no reason to avoid a rate cut, but this does not mean it will definitely happen.
Holzmann stressed that the final decision will be made after receiving the latest forecasts and economic data in December, adding, “There is currently nothing opposing a rate cut, but that does not mean it will automatically take place.”
In other developments, Japanese investors in September recorded their highest purchase of German government bonds since 2018, while continuing to avoid French bonds due to concerns over France’s financial situation. According to Japan’s balance of payments data, released on Monday, Japanese investors acquired a net 859.6 billion yen ($5.6 billion) of German bonds in September. Japanese funds also sold French government bonds for the fifth consecutive month, marking the longest selling streak since 2022.
Today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, the first key U.S. economic data post-election, has garnered market attention. While inflation data has been of lesser significance in recent months, this report may impact trading sentiment, especially if the downward inflation trend faces setbacks. The monthly core inflation rate is expected to come in at around 0.30 percent, while the overall monthly inflation is expected at approximately 0.21 percent. Additionally, core annual inflation is likely to hold steady at 3.3 percent, while the overall annual rate could rise to about 2.6 percent.
In the absence of surprises, today’s report is not expected to trigger significant market reactions; however, any upward surprises may have a larger impact. Currently, there is about a 63 percent probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
Barclays Bank now forecasts only one 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, a shift from its previous forecast of three such cuts in 2025. This adjustment follows recent developments, including Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president and the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has updated its own projections for the Fed’s monetary policies next year, expecting the U.S. central bank to initiate quarterly rate cuts starting in March 2025.
AUD/JPY Short Setup Near Key 101.000 Resistance**AUD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum After False Breakout, Key Support Levels in Focus**
Recently, the AUD/JPY currency pair exhibited a notable false breakout above the 102.00 resistance zone, triggering a bearish impulse move that has shifted the sentiment towards a possible downtrend. This initial breakout, followed by a sharp reversal, suggests that buyers may be losing strength at these higher levels. The pair faced significant resistance near the top boundary of an upward-trending channel, where it has rebounded sharply, failing to sustain momentum past this resistance.
The technical signals on the weekly timeframe add further weight to this bearish perspective. A long-tailed bar has formed, typically indicative of a possible exhaustion of bullish pressure and a reversal in direction. This long wick suggests that sellers stepped in decisively, pushing prices down after an initial rise. As a result, it implies a potential shift in sentiment, hinting at the likelihood of lower price levels in the near term.
Currently, the broader trend of AUD/JPY appears to be moving sideways, oscillating within a defined range. The price action’s inability to break out convincingly beyond this range aligns with the view that any upward moves might be short-lived. The recent false breakout near the upper boundary underscores the presence of robust selling interest at this level, further supporting the case for a potential downside continuation.
Looking ahead, I expect AUD/JPY to pull back toward the resistance zone before resuming its bearish movement. This retracement may provide an opportunity to re-evaluate entry points as the pair potentially builds momentum for a deeper decline. My primary target is the support zone around 96.170, a level that aligns with both historical support and the lower boundary of the current range.
In summary, AUD/JPY has shown clear signs of bearish pressure following a false breakout and rejection at the channel’s top boundary. The combination of technical signals—the false breakout, long-tailed weekly bar, and sideways trend—suggests a strong case for continued downside action, with the 96.170 support zone as a key target. As the pair potentially retraces, I’ll monitor for signs of renewed selling pressure, particularly in the resistance area, before a deeper move down.
USDX,DXYUSDX price is near the important support zone 100.68 - 99.89. If the price cannot break through the 99.89 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals to Keep an Eye On
👀👉 The DXY Dollar Index has shown robust bullish momentum recently—but is it overextended? A pullback at a major support level could offer a valuable entry opportunity. I’m watching this zone closely for a possible buy setup aligned with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll explore essential price action signals to watch and discuss strategies for positioning in the next potential move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.* 📊✅
DXY, Is correction on the way ?Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great.
for upcoming days and for a short period of time, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level in TVC:DXY , we also have a Divergence on 4H that confirms our theory.
so with a proper trigger we can open a short position. We will also probably find better buy positions in FX:GBPUSD And FX:AUDUSD than the FX:EURUSD .
Trade safe and have a great weekend.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
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THANKS.
DXY Update and Levelsafter good impulse move to the upside there is certainty of price going into pullback mode
because
. price recently broken the trend line which was from weekly side so the next liquidity zone is supply from monthly which is 1% away and on other hand price can try to retest the fvg which nearby 0.5% below the current price (105.998) or the round figure 105 can act as support
my take - before going to 107 zone price should retrace and get some liquidity from fvg
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Look at the charting carefully & you'll see where Wave 1 & 2 ended. We entered sells at Wave 2 correction & since then the Wave 3 has dropped down in an impulse manner😍
We are only 500 PIPS away from our Wave 3 target, where we will close out 50% of our position & leave another 50% running.
DXY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 105.886.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 104.561 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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