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BUY NVDA (130-135)NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading within a well-defined channel and is approaching a strong support zone between $130 and $135, a level where buyers have historically stepped in. The recent rejection from the $155 resistance suggests a potential rebound from the lower range. This setup provides a bullish trade opportunity, with an entry around $130-$135 and a target of $170, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. A stop-loss below $125 is recommended to manage risk. Signal: Buy Zone: $130 - $135 Target Price: $170 Stop-Loss: $125 If this analysis resonates with you, please like, follow, and share your insights in the comments to support more content like this.
PYTH:NVDALong
by Quinn901
1
DJIA Index. Shake it. Bake it. Booty Quake It. Roll It AroundMarkets were shaked this Friday after the December employment report came in much stronger than expected. The economy added 256,000 jobs in December, well above the average economist estimate of 155,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 4.1% from 4.2% in November. The Nasdaq 100 immediately dropped by about 1%, while the 10-year US Treasury yield spiked nearly 10 basis points to 4.785%, representing its highest level since October 2023. The strong payroll report further strengthened the case for no more interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, at least for 2025. The moves in stocks and bonds are a continuation of what's been seen in recent weeks: Following a period of euphoric optimism, investors have started to anticipate higher inflation stemming from President Donald Trump's proposed trade and fiscal policies. If the upward move in bond yields continues, Americans will feel it in a big way. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets now expect just one 25-basis point interest rate cut this year, down from expectations late last year of as many as three. The chances that there will be no rate cuts in 2025 more than doubled Friday morning to 28%. Dollar index TVC:DXY rockets to the moon, while the 10-yr TVC:TNX strongly above 4.5%. Endogenously, the market has been preparing for such a turbulence, as it's been discussed in earlier posted idea "Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking Point" . I remember, the financial market has had a tough weeks in last December, 2024, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025, as I noted those time. The market was on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it was clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting — and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. Dow Jones Futures has ended 6th straight RED WEEK in a row - the quite rare event. The historical back test analysis over last 25 years indicates, it could lead to further (at least) 10 percent decline for Top-30 stock club. The major technical graph indicates on a bearish trend in development, where major 200-week SMA support is nearly 35'700 points in this time.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by PandorraResearch
GOLD → The market is nervous ahead of NFP. What's next?$FXCM:XAUUSD continues its strong upward movement, but along with the growth there are growing risks of a strong fall. NFP is ahead, and the situation is quite tense.... Fundamentally the situation is confusing, the main nuance is Trump's policy and the hawkish stance of the Fed, which creates pressure on the market, but gold, as we see, is rising due to the growing economic and geopolitical risks associated with Trump's policy, the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and economic problems in China. NFP is ahead, which creates additional risks: either an aggressive rise or a breakdown of strong support and the formation of a strong downward momentum. A weaker NFP may bring back expectations of an aggressive Fed rate cut, causing a broad correction in the US dollar, which could favor gold. Conversely, an upside surprise in NFP and wage inflation data could reinforce hawkish Fed rate hikes. Resistance levels: 2678, channel, 2693 Support levels: 2675, 2671, 2665 Technically, a strong bullish structure is forming. A break of resistance and favorable news could strengthen the rise to 2700. But, there is an additional scenario: Break of support of the rising structure or 2665 - 2671 may provoke capitulation and fall to 2655 - 2640. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
EUR/USD Bearish PennantThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0242 2nd Support – 1.0205 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
XAUUSD - The NFP indicator will determine the direction of gold!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. In case of weakness in the data of the employment market and increase in the unemployment rate, you can look for opportunities to buy gold. A lower-than-expected unemployment rate release and a strong NFP headline will lead to a breakout of the bullish and bearish channel in gold. While most major economies are expected to pursue expansionary monetary policies this year, the pace of these measures will likely slow. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, the overall interest rate index in advanced economies is projected to decrease by only 72 basis points in 2025, which is lower than the rate of decline in 2024. Donald Trump, with his electoral promises and economic policies, has become a source of concern for central banks worldwide.If Trump enforces his threats to impose trade tariffs, these policies could harm economic growth and, in the case of retaliatory measures, drive up consumer prices. Analysts at Bank of America (BofA) highlighted the “complex” impacts of Trump’s proposed tariffs on metal prices in a recent note. The proposed 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada—two of the main suppliers of metals to the U.S.—are expected to have both direct and indirect effects on the market. The bank identified two main concerns. First, the potential negative impact on global growth and the fundamentals of the metals market, particularly if the tariffs escalate into a full-blown trade war. However, BofA predicts that a more “measured approach to trade barriers is likely to prevail,” which would mitigate the overall damage. Second, regional metal prices will need to adjust to the potential tariffs. Bank of America warned that tariffs could strengthen the dollar, increase inflation, and lead to higher interest rates—all of which could pose challenges for the U.S. economy. Nevertheless, they concluded that metal prices are likely to stabilize after the initial volatility subsides, especially if the tariffs are targeted and investments in energy transition continue. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, downplayed expectations of continued monetary easing in 2025 during his December 18, 2024, press conference. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester’s dissenting vote against a rate cut was surprising, but the major shock to markets came from the Fed members’ projections (dot plot). The Fed members forecast only two rate cuts for 2025, signaling that the monetary easing cycle, which began in September 2024, will slow significantly in the coming year. Powell also admitted that inflation forecasts for the end of the year had been overly optimistic, suggesting that inflation is not yet fully under control. The Fed is increasingly concerned about Trump’s policies, as tools like tariffs could raise import prices and, subsequently, inflation. Forecasts for Friday’s NFP data: • Average estimate: 165K • Lowest estimate: 120K • Highest estimate: 190K The importance of the labor market for monetary policy has slightly diminished following Powell’s December 18 press conference. This indicates that the Fed has some confidence in easing price pressures stemming from the labor market. However, recent data suggests that the labor market has not fully cooled. The upcoming NFP report is expected to show a 160,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls, while the unemployment rate and hourly wage growth are likely to remain steady at 4.2% and 4%, respectively. If these expectations are unmet, especially with job growth below 50,000, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in Q1 2025 will increase. Currently, markets anticipate a 25-basis-point rate cut by June 2025, but this move could occur sooner if labor market data remains weak.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Another ratio chart : NIFTY 50 vs S&P 500Another ratio chart. Today we look at the performance of India NIFTY50 vs US S&P 500 on a weekly basis. IN this ratio chart all the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMA are below the short term 20 DMA. Prior tops can act as support as indicated by the red arrows. The estimate is that the chart will consolidate here, and the future direction will be determined by the US Dollar. Please watch out for DXY. Will it break above the recent ATH from Oct 2022 of 113 (blue arrow) or breakdown before reaching the top? This will determine the direction of Nifty 50 vs S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
GOLD → Resistance retest before falling FX:XAUUSD is consolidating and deliberately approaching the resistance 2667. The upward market structure is focused on a breakout of the resistance. But the other question is whether the breakout will happen, because the sticks in the form of economic data have been in the wheels for a long time now Based on the market behavior, we can assume that before the possible fall there may be a liquidity grab and a retest of the key resistance, as buyers became more cautious after the discouraging data on inflation in China and hawkish Fed meeting minutes. To be honest, gold's current rise is not clear to me as there is no reason for it except for Trump's tariff plans towards multiple countries. Fundamental data is negative, there is no new news from hot spots, the dollar is rising, global inflation is rising, the Fed has become hawkish, there are so many nuances providing resistance to the metal. Resistance levels: 2667, 2675 Support levels: ascending line, 2656 Technically the structure is bullish and in the short term I am waiting for an attempt to break the resistance 2667. In this case a retest of the zones of interest 2675, channel resistance or 2692 from which a correction can be formed is possible. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
DXY.GBPUSD.GOlD.Day 4 2025.No major news with today being a bank holiday in the US which affects the DXY ( Dollar Index).I do not expect sharp moves heading into the NY session with majority of the big players waiting for tomorrow's financial readings so as to understand better the current economic health in the states.Today looks like a continuation of yesterday's trend with the dollar performing fairly good. We are currently testing fresh lows in this pair which has been in a downtrend since turn of November.Looking to test the previous low which was broken @ 1.23200.Price currently at 1.22700 at time of writing. After a stellar year for Gold with the precious metal gaining more than 5000 pips it's time for a fresh year.We have been ranging in the 2600-2700 region for the past one month and if prices are to react soon then we need to breakout of the orderblock above.Waiting for NFP data tomorrow to breakout and get fresh moves for the coming week.Price @ 2665 at time of writing...break above 2670 takes us to 2686.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Muchangi
DXY.GBPUSD.GOlD.Day 4 2025.No major news with today being a bank holiday in the US which affects the DXY ( Dollar Index).I do not expect sharp moves heading into the NY session with majority of the big players waiting for tomorrow's financial readings so as to understand better the current economic health in the states.Today looks like a continuation of yesterday's trend with the dollar performing fairly good. We are currently testing fresh lows in this pair which has been in a downtrend since turn of November.Looking to test the previous low which was broken @ 1.23200.Price currently at 1.22700 at time of writing. After a stellar year for Gold with the precious metal gaining more than 5000 pips it's time for a fresh year.We have been ranging in the 2600-2700 region for the past one month and if prices are to react soon then we need to breakout of the orderblock above.Waiting for NFP data tomorrow to breakout and get fresh moves for the coming week.Price @ 2665 at time of writing...break above 2670 takes us to 2686.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Muchangi
Technical Analysis and Trade Setup for GBPNZDThe forex pair GBPNZD is currently trading at a price of 2.2000, with a target price set at 2.3000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. This suggests a bullish outlook for the pair, as it is expected to appreciate in value. The analysis highlights that the pair is showing a good bounce from a key support level, which often signals a reversal or continuation of an upward trend. However, the trader is exercising caution by waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. This confirmation could involve technical indicators, price action patterns, or fundamental factors aligning with the upward movement. Such an approach helps minimize risk and improve the probability of success. The trade setup relies on the strength of the support level and market sentiment favoring the pound over the kiwi. Proper risk management and adherence to a trading plan are essential when executing this strategy.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Gold's Shine Dims: Retesting Peaks Before the DropXAU/USD: Navigating Uncertain Currents Amid Resistance Challenges Gold (XAU/USD) has been navigating a phase of consolidation while steadily creeping toward the critical resistance level at 2667. This level stands as a psychological and technical barrier, and the market seems poised for a decisive moment. The current upward trajectory suggests a potential breakout is on the horizon. However, doubts loom large as various economic and geopolitical factors cast a shadow over this bullish move. Economic Crosswinds and Market Sentiment The lingering question remains: Will the breakout materialize? Gold’s performance has been mired in a complex web of economic data that has consistently hindered its momentum. Over the past few months, the global economy has presented a mixed bag of signals, with inflationary pressures rising across major economies, particularly in China, which recently released discouraging data on its economic growth. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, as reflected in its latest meeting minutes, continues to support the strength of the US dollar, further dampening gold’s appeal. Adding to this complexity, the lack of fresh geopolitical flashpoints or significant shifts in fundamental data leaves gold’s recent ascent somewhat puzzling. Historically, gold has thrived on uncertainty, but with no major new developments from global hotspots and a stronger dollar exerting downward pressure, its current upward move appears to lack a robust foundation. Moreover, the metal faces headwinds from an improving macroeconomic environment in the United States. The Federal Reserve’s resolute approach to inflation control, coupled with Trump-era tariff policies still casting a shadow on international trade, adds to the uncertainty surrounding gold’s price action. Liquidity Grabs and Resistance Retests From a technical perspective, the market’s structure remains bullish, though caution is warranted. Before a potential reversal or significant correction, the possibility of a liquidity grab around the key resistance level at 2667 cannot be ruled out. This move would likely attract cautious buyers and trigger stop-loss orders, temporarily pushing prices higher. A subsequent retest of key zones of interest—such as the higher resistance levels at 2675 and 2692 or the channel resistance—could follow before any meaningful correction materializes. Such behavior aligns with gold’s historical price action, where false breakouts or liquidity hunts often precede major directional shifts. Buyers, already hesitant due to the lack of strong bullish fundamentals, may adopt a wait-and-see approach as the market tests these critical thresholds. Fundamental Challenges Weighing on Gold Despite its recent climb, gold remains under pressure from a host of unfavorable factors. The following nuances continue to resist upward momentum: Stronger US Dollar: As the dollar strengthens, gold, priced in dollars, becomes more expensive for international buyers, limiting demand. Hawkish Federal Reserve: The Fed’s firm stance on controlling inflation and its willingness to maintain higher interest rates for longer reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Global Inflation: Rising inflation in key economies, coupled with central bank tightening, creates a challenging environment for gold. Lack of Geopolitical Catalysts: With no new conflicts or crises dominating headlines, gold lacks the safe-haven demand typically driven by geopolitical turmoil. Trump’s Tariff Policies: Although dated, the lingering effects of these trade policies continue to influence the broader market sentiment, adding uncertainty to gold’s performance. Resistance and Support Levels From a technical standpoint, the following levels are crucial: Resistance: 2667 (key level), 2675 (upper zone of interest), and 2692 (channel resistance). Support: The ascending trendline near 2656 acts as a critical support level, underpinning the bullish structure in the short term. Short-Term Outlook and Market Expectations In the near term, I anticipate an attempt to break through the 2667 resistance level. Should this breakout occur, gold may test higher zones of interest such as 2675 or even 2692. However, such a move would likely face stiff resistance, paving the way for a corrective phase. The interplay of technical signals and fundamental challenges makes the current price action intriguing yet uncertain. While the structure remains bullish in the short term, the broader picture suggests caution. A breakout above resistance levels might temporarily buoy sentiment, but without solid fundamental support, any gains could prove short-lived, leading to a sharp correction as the market recalibrates. In conclusion, while gold’s recent rise has sparked interest, it remains entangled in a web of conflicting signals. As traders navigate this challenging environment, all eyes will be on key resistance levels and the broader macroeconomic backdrop to determine the metal’s next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0