LET THE BULLISH BREAKOUTS CONTINUE!!!!I tend to Thrive in a Trending market. And these are moves I have been waiting for. Looking like Gold will continue to push bullish and make new highs. Bears are trying to push price down but it is not working. Everything is balanced in the area it is in. So price and easily break out and continue with its trend.
J-DXY
GBP/USD Trendline BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a Strong Trendline . This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2390
2nd Support – 1.2332
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DXY (U.S. DOLLAR INDEX) | 1 DAY | UP AFTER THE PULLBACKHi there, dear friends,
I’m sharing my analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index - ( TVC:DXY ) with you. Key points have been carefully highlighted on the chart. Right now, we’re seeing a pullback, but I’m anticipating an upward movement following this phase.
If you’d like to see more analysis like this, don’t forget to hit the like button.🚀
Thanks a lot 🙏🏻
Copper - Markets are waiting for Trump's decisions!In the 4-hour timeframe, copper is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, you can sell copper in the next supply zone.
According to experts, commodity prices are expected to decline in 2025 due to a weak global economic outlook and the resurgence of the US dollar. Analysts at Deutsche Bank have identified three key political developments in their latest report that could shape the strategy of US President-elect Donald Trump. These developments include changes in tariff policies, Trump’s preference for introducing a large, comprehensive bill, and his plan to fund tax cuts through tariffs.
Deutsche Bank notes that the year will largely be influenced by the combination of policies Trump proposes. However, it seems unlikely that a comprehensive bill addressing both border and tax issues will be ready before April or May.
Experts believe that Trump is likely to use Section 232 investigations to impose sector-specific tariffs. These investigations allow the government to implement tariffs on the grounds of national security.
Deutsche Bank forecasts that Trump will employ multiple tariff approaches, including legislative and executive actions. Analysts suggest that Trump may attempt to enact broader tariffs through legislation, as this is the only way tariff revenues can be incorporated into the budget reconciliation process by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Two key bills in Congress related to the revocation of China’s normal trade status have been highlighted as important areas to monitor in this regard.
This multi-faceted approach and the varying timelines for imposing tariffs introduce significant complexities and risks. However, from a financial perspective, Deutsche Bank predicts that Trump’s fiscal policies may have more moderate impacts, potentially easing some of the existing tensions.
Markets are also watching for further moves by China to stimulate its economy in hopes that such measures might revive demand for commodities in the world’s second-largest economy. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has announced plans to cut interest rates and required bank reserves. However, the market is looking for more tangible actions to directly support consumers, rather than simply increasing public sector wages. In other words, the market seeks renewed confidence and vitality in the economy.
Nonetheless, the lack of transparency in China’s economy remains a pressing issue. Even within China and among government officials, there appears to be no clear understanding of the economic situation. Public sentiment remains highly negative and has not recovered since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite these challenges, China continues to excel in certain sectors. For instance, the country has achieved notable success in the automotive and artificial intelligence industries. Additionally, China is still considered the easiest place in the world to manufacture anything. However, these advantages ultimately need to translate into improved domestic consumption to create lasting positive effects.
In a note, BMI stated that potential slowdowns in the energy transition due to Trump’s policy changes could dampen the green energy sentiment that bolstered prices in 2024.
John Gross, president of John Gross Consulting, told CNBC that while copper prices peaked in May 2024 due to market pressures, they have since been in a downward trend, which is expected to continue. He added, “A complex combination of high inflation, elevated interest rates, and a strong dollar will negatively impact metal markets.”
GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture.
Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month.
Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher
A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral.
Resistance levels: 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2645, 2632.
False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing.
BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645
Regards R. Linda!
US Dollar Index (DXY) Rising Channel IntactChart Analysis:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel (green-shaded area), signaling sustained bullish momentum.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel:
The DXY is consolidating near the channel's midline, with the upper boundary around 110.00 acting as a potential resistance area.
A breakout above the channel's upper boundary would signal continued bullish momentum, while a retracement to the lower boundary around 106.00 could provide buying opportunities.
2️⃣ Key Support Levels:
The 50-day SMA (blue line) at 106.50 is providing dynamic support, aligning with the channel's lower boundary.
The 200-day SMA (red line) at 104.50 reinforces long-term support.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but shy of overbought levels.
MACD: Momentum remains positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, supporting the bullish bias.
What to Watch:
Monitor the channel's upper boundary for potential resistance or breakout opportunities.
Watch for pullbacks towards the 50-day SMA and lower trendline for potential support levels.
RSI and MACD trends will be key in confirming momentum strength or weakness.
The DXY remains firmly within its bullish structure, with the ascending channel and moving averages providing a clear technical framework for traders to follow.
-MW
DXY: Ascending Triangle topping soon. Excellent sell opportunityThe U.S. Dollar Index is on a steady bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.447, MACD = 0.640, ADX = 33.835) as with the exception of November's last week, it has been rising nonstop since September 30th 2024. The price is near the HH Zone of the Ascending Triangle, the 1W RSI has double topped and we are, or getting close to, the new long term top. Technically the 1W RSI is already similar to the October 9th 2023 top. The risk now is lower in going short. Aim for the 1W MA200 (TP = 103.000), which was the level that offered the late September support.
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GOLD → Price buyback, local bull characterFX:XAUUSD is in a narrow channel, in consolidation, which complicates intraday movement, but nevertheless traders have a chance for possible growth. There is a lot of important news ahead that may give traders a chance.
Despite the strong intraday movement in gold, we can say that the price is standing still in the range of 2600 - 2660. Quite a difficult place for the price due to the huge density of volumes, levels, tails... Traders are refraining from new directional bets ahead of the release of crucial data on ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings in the US.
After a strong fall the price was bought back and returned to resistance 2648 - 2650, most likely further struggle will be for this area. The falling dollar broke the support line, thus giving an advantage to gold.
Gold and the dollar are already starting to feel Trump's power and are reacting to his statements as quickly as they did during the last period of his presidency....
Resistance levels: 2649, 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2632, 2610
Until the price leaves the channel 2600 - 2665, most of the movements will not be very clean (nature of price movement inside consolidation). At the moment the emphasis is on 2649. If the bulls will keep the defense above this zone, then in the short term the price may show growth to the local maximum
Regards R. Linda!
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE):It's been a few months since I've done an update on my Crude Oil analysis, as Oil prices have been stagnant & consolidating. But in the past week & a half we've seen a huge push to the upside, with Oil now sitting at a 3 month high!
Currently up 700 PIPS (10.40%) in profit from our support zone. Long term I still remain bullish from a technical standpoint. Also, we already know from a fundamental standpoint, the puppet Donald Trump will be used to worsen geopolitical situations globally, weather that's in the Middle East or with China & Russia.
DXY Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.155.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 107.189 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD, swing of the year.FOREXCOM:EURUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
EURUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index DXY
broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: Yearly lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Levels discussed on livestream 6th Jan 20256th January 2025
DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level
EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 90
USDJPY: Sell 157.65 SL 50 TP 150
EURJPY: Buy 163.55 SL 40 TP 120
GBPJPY: Sell 196.40 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Look for reaction at bottom of channel 0.9060 or support level 0.9020
USDCAD: Ranging between 1.4335 and 1.4465
XAUUSD: Break 2624 to trade down to 2610 (bullish trendline)
My Current Market Sentiment Through March 2025 Hello Trader Fam,
In this video I am covering my current market sentiment through March or even April of this year. Along with this, we'll take a closer look at the dollar, the vix, the spy, NVIDIA, U.S. Oil, and Crypto - (Bitcoin, Dominance, Solana, Solana memecoins, AI genned memecoins, etc.). We'll talk a bit about my indicator and what it is showing us and why it has me leaning bullish but why I am cautious with Bitcoin in the lead.
✌️Stew
DXY Major reversal Good day traders and investors,
Well, it looks like the dollar has had a major reversal just as expected and right on time. I have been expecting for a couple months now that something big is to be expected by mid September to the latest mid October as the cycle pertains too. The DXY hit the .5 on the fib which is generally a big reversal area, and boy did it reject. It looks like gravestone doji has formed as well. This is stock and crypto positive. What was the news at same time? Surprise!!! More war, now with Israel the "holy Land"
In the seeks to follow look for the dollar to collapse as assets rise.
GBPUSD, swing of the year. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
FOREXCOM:GBPUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index TVC:DXY
broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: Yearly lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
EUR/USD on high time frame
"Hello traders,
Concerning EURUSD on the high timeframe, the price has reached a significant (FVG) on the monthly chart and sharply rejected from it. The candle formations on the daily and 4-hour charts suggest a potential increase in price, with the initial level being the mitigated 4-hour zone. It is advisable to monitor the price further for additional insights on the next level."
XAUUSD - Gold is waiting for an important week!!In the 4-hour timeframe, gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is in its short-term descending channel. The continued rise of gold towards the supply zones will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward.
The year 2024 turned out to be unprecedented for the global gold market. This precious metal witnessed a remarkable growth of nearly 30%, outperforming all other commodities and emerging as one of the most prominent financial assets of the year. Such exceptional performance has continued to gain the trust of analysts and professionals in the gold and jewelry industry, drawing the attention of many traders to this market.
Despite forecasts suggesting that gold prices could surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, the beginning of 2024 told a different story. Spot gold prices started the year at around $2,000 but fell to $1,992 by mid-February. However, Valentine’s Day marked a turning point, as gold rebounded strongly, climbing back above $2,000 and successfully maintaining this critical level.
A significant market milestone occurred at the end of February. In just two days, gold prices surged by over $60, and on the first trading day of March, the metal broke past the $2,100 threshold, setting a new record. After a period of price consolidation at higher levels, gold resumed its upward trend in the final days of the month, surpassing $2,200. By mid-April, gold approached the $2,400 mark. However, traders were not yet prepared to accept these levels, and by the end of April, spot gold prices had retreated below $2,300.
May saw renewed optimism in the precious metals market. On May 16, spot gold decisively broke through the $2,400 resistance level. Nonetheless, after reaching a peak of $2,426, prices entered the longest consolidation phase of 2024.
Finally, on June 10, gold once again broke the $2,400 resistance and managed to establish it as a support level. From that point onward, gold embarked on one of its most stable upward trends of the year, which continued through late summer and early autumn. On October 30, gold prices hit a new record of $2,788.54 per ounce.
However, the election of Donald Trump on November 5, 2024 (15th of Aban 1403), interrupted gold’s rally. Spot gold, which had reached $2,743 on November 4, dropped within 10 days to the $2,560 range.
Nevertheless, gold quickly found new support. The president-elect’s threats of tariffs and trade wars, combined with renewed inflationary concerns, pushed gold prices back above $2,700. Although the metal did not return to its October highs, it maintained strong support at $2,600 for the remainder of the year, preventing further declines.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for gold prices, stating that the metal would not reach $3,000 in 2025. However, the bank remains optimistic that gold prices will continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace than before.