DXY: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 101.162
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
J-DXY
Pre Non Farm Market Analysis6th September
DXY: Currently just below 100.90, could consolidate/retrace briefly, looking downside to 100.55 support level (NFP Pending), could bounce from support
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6245 SL 20 TP 50 (DXY Weakness)
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6755 SL 25 TP 65 (DXY Weakness)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3170 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY Strength)
EURUSD: Buy 1.1145 SL 20 TP 60 (DXY Weakness)
USDJPY: Watch out between 142 and 141 support area, possible bounce!
USDCHF: Look for reaction at 0.8345 key support level.
USDCAD: Stay out (CAD Employment pending)
Gold: Retracing, look for reaction at 2506, possible bounce, if broken, could trade down to 2480
DXY- Dive under 100?In my previous DXY analysis I said that, although the index reversed from the beginning of the year support, bulls should not get too excited as long as the index is under 102.30 zone.
In the next days, the index resumed its fall and now is trading back towards recent lows.
Today's NFP data could bring clarification and if the index falls below the recent lows, 99.50 is exposed.
For a bullish scenario, we need a reversal from this zone which could also be the beginning of a double-bottom pattern.
EURUSD → A retest of the liquidity zone. Ready to go to 1.130FX:EURUSD is testing the liquidity zone within the correction. False breakdown of the channel boundary may form another bullish potential for continuation of growth to 1.1300
The currency pair forms a false breakdown of 1.1123, after which it enters the correction phase amid a strong market. The price is testing 0.236 fibo on D1, forming a false breakdown we get a reaction in the form of a pullback. On H4 the situation is even more interesting: false breakdown of the support conglomerate: 0.5 fibo + channel boundaries, which only strengthens the bullish set-up.
Today the focus is on CPI in the Eurozone, as well as Core PCE in the US. High volatility is possible and the news may set a short-term tone in the market.
Resistance levels: 1.1099, 1.1201
Support levels: channel boundary, 1.1061, 1.1047
The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the resistance of the ascending channel, as well as above the level of 1.1099 - 1.11, in this case the price will consolidate above the lower boundary of the new bullish channel, which will open for us the potential for growth to 1.1300.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
DXY Levels to Watch Ahead of NFPLooking at the chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY), the world’s reserve currency remains in a well-defined downtrend despite last week’s bounce. The near-term reaction in the US dollar will likely follow the likelihood of a 25bps rate cut from the Fed (bullish) vs. 50bps rate cut (bearish) as outlined in the chart above, but ultimately, the dominant downtrend and potential for consistent interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve in the coming year could keep the greenback under pressure as we move through the fall regardless.
-MW
DXY: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 101.022
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Levels discussed on livestream 5th September 5th September
DXY: Currently at 101.25, needs to break 50% retracement level, to trade down to 100.90 (ADP Pending)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6165 SL 20 TP 60 (if DXY recovery)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 45 (if DXY recovery)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3080 SL 25 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.1105 SL 20 TP 55
USDJPY: Sell 143.20 SL 40 TP 120
USDCHF: Sell 0.8450 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.35 SL 20 TP 55
Gold: At 61.8%, if broken, above 2508 could trade up to 2520
DXY / US DOLLAR INDEX🔍 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe 📉
The DXY chart on a 4-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. It’s essential to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
• BUY DATE - September 12, 2024, 04:00 - Green Line: This time indicates a potential local low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating DXY or entering long positions.
• BUY DATE - September 19, 2024, 00:00 - Green Line: Another potential local low, suggesting favorable conditions for buying.
• BUY DATE - October 7, 2024, 06:00 - Green Line: This time marks another potential local low, indicating favorable conditions to enter long positions.
When working with this 4-hour timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering higher timeframes for a more global perspective.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
DXY A NEW BULL MARKET TO BEGIN from 99/98 Zone DEFLATION PHASEThe chart posted is the cash US $ based on the fib relationships we should see one last drop below 100.60 target and drop into a 98.14 to 99.60 focus on 98.88 . This should also see the PEAK in GOLD the SP 500 as Most markets around the world . The cycle of deflationary forces should VERY CLEAR come mid oct and be in force for the next 18.8 months to as long as 3.2 years Data based on ALL DATA going back to 1902 and some of which s dates back to 1626
The Beginning of DXY DeclineThe DXY (US Dollar Index) is showing strong signs of entering a downward trend. The attached chart reinforces this view, highlighting the development of Wave 4, which is likely nearing completion. A continuation of the decline in Wave 5 is expected, in line with technical analysis and external factors.
Wave Structure: The chart clearly shows the DXY in a corrective pattern, with Wave 4 approaching its peak around the 0.618 retracement level at 102.030. Once this wave concludes, we can anticipate the continuation of the downward trend towards the completion of Wave 5, likely targeting levels below 100.
Bearish Channel: The DXY remains within a well-defined descending channel, indicating sustained selling pressure. This suggests that the overall momentum is bearish, with further declines expected as the channel holds.
External Factors: Slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth, particularly in key areas such as manufacturing and employment, has weakened the dollar’s outlook. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will halt rate hikes are dampening investor confidence in the dollar.
In conclusion, both technical analysis and external economic indicators suggest the DXY is likely to continue its decline. Traders should remain cautious as Wave 5 approaches, with potential downside targets below 100 as the dollar weakens further.
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 101.675.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 102.148 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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DXY: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 101.769
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Pre-BoC interest rate decision4th September
DXY: Still in consolidation. Looking for downside, needs to break 101.50 (23.6%), could trade down to 101.15
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6165 SL 20 TP 60
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6750 SL 20 TP 70
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3160 SL 30 TP 60
EURUSD: Buy 1.1080 SL 25 TP 65
USDJPY: Sell 144.70 SL 40 TP 110
USDCHF: Sell 0.8450 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.3580 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: Watch 2480-2470 support area,
If held look for bounce, broken could trade down to 2440
Could price bounce from here?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could reverse to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 101.52
1st Support: 101.04
1st Resistance: 102.14
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DXY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 101.500 zone, DXY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 101.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD → Change of Mood (local). Correction phaseFX:XAUUSD is breaking the structure of the ascending channel amid the counter-trend correction of the dollar (fundamental reasons). Price closes in the range of 2526 - 2477, what could this mean?
On D1, the market is bullish both locally and globally. But, fundamentally and geopolitically the situation is slightly changing, which favorably affects the dollar exchange rate, against which gold goes into a local phase of correction. There is low liquidity in the market today due to the closed US market.
On H1, the focus is on the resistance 2505 - 2510, sma. False breakdown and price consolidation below these zones will confirm the absence of bullish potential, which may lead to price correction towards the lower boundary of the key range.
Support levels: 2483 (D1), 2493, 2477
Resistance levels: 2505, 2510, sma
The focus is on the global range 2526 - 2477, the price continues to trade inside and does not hint at a possible exit from this channel, accordingly, it is best to use the inturidian trading strategy. The main target is liquidity below the key support zones
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
XAU/USD : Ready for SHORT ? By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that the price has returned to the supply zone of $2524 to $2529, and I expect further correction from this area. Note that the primary scenario is bearish, and if the price breaks above $2532, this scenario will be invalidated. If the decline starts from this zone, the potential targets are $2518, $2512, and $2500, respectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban