Levels discussed on Livestream 28th August 28th August
DXY: Trading along 100.80, could trade lower to 100.55. If support level not broken, could range between 100.55 and 100.90
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6290 SL 20 T 70
AUDUSD: Looking for a break of resistance, Buy 0.6810 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Could trade up to 1.33, look for reaction at the strong resistance level.
EURUSD: Could range between 1.1160 and 1.12
USDJPY: Sell 144.25 SL 30 TP 75
USDCHF: Sell 0.8420 SL 30 TP 70
USDCAD: Sell 1.3445 SL 25 TP 80 (Hesitation at 1.34)
Gold: Above 2512 could trade up to 2525
J-DXY
Will EU CPI support a quick rebound of DXY?Macro theme:
- The dollar hovered near its lowest in over a year but downside momentum is fading as markets have already priced in Sep easing.
- A short-term rebound is possible if the EU CPI continues its downward trend this week.
Technical theme:
- DXY formed a small double-bottom pattern around 100.50 in the 4-hour chart and bounced up to retest its neckline, which is confluence with EMA21, indicating a potential trend shift.
- If DXY closes above its neckline around 100.90, the index may retrace further to retest the previous swing high around 101.60.
- Conversely, DXY may retest the bottoms again if it closes below 100.80.
ETH to follow the BTC Move?ETHUSD has been trading within the range of 2526 to 2826 since early August.
Currently, as BTCUSD spiked lower, it seems to have dragged ETHUSD down with it. (also likely due to the current recovery in strength on the DXY)
Similiar to the BTCUSD, there could be a brief consolidation/retracement on ETHUSD before a continuation lower to the 2300 price level.
However, if the price retraces back into the previous range, ETHUSD could again be stuck in the August range.
Could BTC Retest 55,000?BTCUSD has quickly reversed from the 65,000 resistance area, which was tested on Monday this week.
This move lower is not due to any major news but likely due to technical levels and its correlation with the DXY.
A recovery in strength on the DXY traditionally leads to downward pressure on risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Today, the reversal broke through the 62,000 price level which coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Further downside can be anticipated with BTCUSD currently trading just under the 60,000 price level.
However, it is likely that the price could consolidate/retrace briefly before the continuation lower, with the next key support level at 55,000 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level)
USD bears! Markets don't move in a straight line (forever)We stand back to admire the long-term chart of the US dollar index, and yes there could be further downside over the coming weeks. But a quick check on the daily timeframe makes us wary of jumping into an already well-established short, given potential support levels nearby and the fact everyone and their dogs seem to be bearish the dollar.
Rebound and reversal DXY. H4 27.08.2024Rebound and reversal DXY
The dollar index is moving according to the previous analysis
but it may still go lower with a false takeout and then a reversal
to a deep correction will start.
The area of 100.60-100.50 is still an important strategic support
but no one cancelled false bounces.
I expect a correction in autumn around 102 and will further refine.
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2511, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2537
2nd Support – 2551
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2499. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Levels discussed on 27th August Livestream27th August
DXY: consolidating along 100.80, needs to stay below 101.10 to maintain bearish sentiment, breaking 100.80 could trade down to 100.55
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6230 SL 20 TP 45
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.68 (CPI Pending) Sell 0.6740 SL 25 TP 45 (Tomorrow)
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3225 SL 35 TP 70
EURUSD: Buy 1.1180 SL 25 TP 70
USDJPY: Wait for retracement to complete, before looking for selling potential. could retest 146
USDCHF: Nothing for now, look for reaction at 0.8445
USDCAD: Sell 1.3450 SL 20 TP 40
Gold: Could retest 2500, look for bounce to 2515
GOLD → The bull market is testing ATH. What to prepare for?FX:XAUUSD consolidates above 2508 and flies to the key resistance - the border of the range. High probability of a false breakdown and correction before the subsequent growth.
.
The lively price growth is based on the sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar after the “dovish” remarks of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a symposium in Jackson Hole on Friday: “the Fed's easing cycle will begin in September”. The hedge asset, meanwhile, is also benefiting from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
Focus on US durable goods orders data, which will be released later on Monday.
Technically, strong resistance will be difficult to pass the first time around. MM may test the imbalance zone of 2520 - 2510 before returning for another retest of 2531, the target of which could be a breakout and rise to 2550.
Resistance levels: 2531, 2550
Support levels: 2515, 2508
The global and local trends are bullish and the overall sentiment is clear. This tone is supported by the fundamental background from last Friday. Technically, the continuation of growth should be considered, as there are no prerequisites for a reversal or change of trend at the moment
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
DXY Local Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY was falling sharply
And was locally oversold
So now that it is already
Making a bullish rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 100.520 a further
Bullish correction is
To be expected
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD 26/8/24After calling another all-time high on gold last week, we were expecting more upside from this pair. Now, the one thing that shifts us toward a sell-side bias is the fact that we broke the last significant structural low that led to the new high. This indicates that a pullback is in progress, but with liquidity building above the significant high, the probability of further upside remains the most likely scenario. With this in mind, the level below the current price, where we reacted last week, is where we expect the price to come down and interact again. We also have a demand area below. If the price drops into this area, I will look for longs back toward the highs, potentially creating another new all-time high for gold. However, if we break below the trajectory level we’ve identified and pass the demand area we've marked, we’ll anticipate a deeper pullback, similar to what we projected on EUR/USD.
Using the same principles here, we have two points of interaction for potential upside moves, but for sell-side moves, we don’t yet have any areas to reference. If the price drops lower, new areas will be left behind, and we can begin to consider them. Until then, we are focusing solely on the upside areas. This aligns with our overall bias, supported by the daily timeframe, which is showing very strong moves to the upside. We do not expect this to change abruptly.
Trade safely, follow your plan, and stick to your risk management.
#DXY 1W chartLet's update our #Dxy 1W chart;
100$ already seen.
The pattern I mentioned before continues, I was wondering if it would only go up one more round, but it did not allow it.
* Weekly close came below the trend line.
* It gave a mismatch signal.
* For the first time in 2.5 years, it closed below the 200 EMA on a weekly basis.
After OB fills the resistance zone (gray box), it may rise again for an up retest.
If it closes below the blue line, the decline may deepen.
Why is DXY important for us?
XAU/USD : Key Levels and Trading Strategies to WatchBy reviewing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that today the price climbed to higher levels, reaching the $2525 range. Currently, there has been an initial reaction to this supply zone. The price is close to its historical high of $2531, and we need to see if it will stabilize below $2520 or above $2527 in the next 4 hours. Day traders will need more confirmation before taking a SELL position, while scalpers can look for suitable SELL triggers within the $2527 to $2532 range, managing risk carefully and taking quick profits. My medium-term outlook on gold remains bullish, and I expect to see the price reaching $2550 and $2600 soon.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Recover?!
Dollar Index reached a significant daily horizontal structure support.
Its test made a bearish rally stop.
The market formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and just broke its neckline, leaving a clear bullish clue.
The price may bounce at least to 100.89
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Levels discussed on Livestream 26th August26th August
DXY: If IHS forms and break 100.80, could trade up to 101 and 101.10. If 100.80 holds as resistance, could trade down to 100 (if 100.50 is broken)
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6225 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6810 SL 20 TP 75 (Hesitation at 0.6850)
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3190 SL 40 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.1175 SL 20 TP 75
USDJPY: Sell 143.25 SL 30 TP 100
USDCHF: Nothing for now, look for reaction at 0.8445
USDCAD: Could consolidate along 1.35 for now
Gold: Currently 2521 could trade up to 2530