DXY Shorts from the daily supply at 104.200 back down.The dollar has broken significant structure to the downside, leaving a clean, unmitigated daily supply zone with an imbalance that adds validity to this point of interest. Once price reaches this level, I'll likely refine the zone and wait for a CHOCH on the lower timeframe.
If price moves down first, I’ll watch for it to enter the newly created 3-hour demand zone, which swept previous higher-timeframe structure. This could propel the dollar up to the supply zone.
Confluences for DXY Shorts:
Strong bearish momentum on the higher timeframe, breaking previous structure.
Significant liquidity to the downside.
A solid daily supply zone caused this move, with an imbalance below.
This pro-trend trade aligns with my other pairs.
P.S. I expect Monday to start slow, with consolidation before either zone is mitigated. We'll make our move from there.
J-DXY
R2F Weekly Analysis -10th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
DXY IdeaRegarding my BTC/USD and EUR/USD trades, we’re keeping a close eye on the Dollar Index (DXY). The recent price action has been confusing, but we are currently rejecting last Friday’s heavy selling area. This keeps us within a bearish range, and we’re anticipating a potential market shift to the downside.
If this bearish scenario unfolds, we plan to let our EUR/USD trades run over the weekend. Let’s keep observing how this plays out.
Stay focused, and let's see where the market takes us.
GOLD SHORT TO $1,964 (4H UPDATE)Gold is currently sitting at a very crucial point which'll determine its next big move. If price slows down now & sellers come in with an IMPULSIVE MOVE, we can be reassured that price will carry on down in the mid term. But, if buyers push price higher in the current zone, it's likely we will see $2,500+ in the coming weeks.
Either way, those who followed this analysis, had the opportunity of cashing into short term buy's🤙🏽
DXY Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 103.137.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 103.549 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD → What is the problem with a SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE ► ?FX:XAUUSD is still trading inside the flat 2420 - 2370 forming a symmetrical triangle. Traders continue to struggle for the area of 2400. News ahead...
I understand that you don't like it when there is no clear direction on the chart, but there are nuances here and in some cases you need to have both bullish and bearish scenarios. Let's break it down...
On D1 there is a rather encouraging situation indicating how the bulls continue to hold the support of the global trend.
The issue of aggressive easing of the US Fed policy is still relevant. Likewise, speculators are closely watching developments around Iran's attack on Israel. If it happens, it is likely to give additional impetus to the growth of gold prices. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims of the USA may provide short-term potential for the markets.
Technically, gold is forming a symmetrical triangle on H1. The bearish pressure is still present in the market. Gold is not technical now, but depends on fundamental nuances.
Resistance levels: 2400
Support levels: 2380
The problem with a symmetrical triangle is that no one knows where the price will go until the actual exit. Globally we have a bull market, locally there is pressure from the bears. There is a high probability of a breakout of the symmetrical triangle support and a decline to 2364-2351, but if the economic factor has a bullish effect on the market, gold may continue to test 2400 with the goal of a breakout and a rise to 2420.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
US dollar market trendYesterday, the deputy governor of the Bank of Japan said that "the market is unstable and there will be no interest rate hikes". This is a relatively "dovish" statement. In addition, the upcoming September interest rate cut conveys a good opportunity to enter the market.
That is, the US dollar will still fall. Although the market is narrow today, the US dollar continued to rise at the end of the trading day, but it should not last long.
Personal analysis: looking for high points and shorting
GOLD SHORT TO $1,964 (12H UPDATE):Pinpoint, 100% accuracy with our Gold analysis!😍 Price action has been following my arrow just as I indicated, pushed up 1,000+ PIPS from the bottom & now rejected off our supply zone as I said would happen. Down 240 PIPS in profit, after rejecting our supply zone.
If you missed this move despite me updating you all live every few days, because you were scared of taking the trade & losing money, the financial markets probably aren't the place for you to be🤷
GOLD SHORT TO $1,964 (4H VIEW)Here is my 4H view on Gold, showing my short-mid term bias;
1. Currently I am expecting a small push up into $2,420 - $2,430 so market can grab liquidity before dropping back down again.
2. Gold has bottomed here & will now make its next bull run towards the $2,500 zone, marking the formation of Wave Y & Wave 5. This'll then be followed by a corrective move down.
BoJ shows uncertainty, Yen WeakensThe BoJ indicated that it was not ready to hike rates further if the market continues with volatility
On release of the news, the Yen weakened, with the USDJPY rising to test the 148 price area
look for a potential breakout to the 149.50 price level as further yen weakness is anticipated
EURO at an interesting levelThe euro is deciding its next big move, while some upside could be likely if it breaks above the 1.0925 price level, it would be interesting if the EURUSD breaks below the 1.0890 price level
This would complete the head and shoulder pattern, breaking the neckline which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level
Seems Like Gold Getting Ready For Some Correction Gold Is Currently In Uptrend, Driven By Middle East Tensions And Its Safe-Haven Status. Nevertheless, The Chart Suggests That Gold Is Poised For A Corrective Phase. A Rising Wedge Pattern Has Formed, And A Successful Breakout Could Trigger A Bearish Rally, Potentially Pushing Gold Prices Down To $2,280 In The Coming Days
Levels discussed on livestream 7th August7th August
DXY: Expecting further upside (to retest 104), could bounce off bullish trendline, needs to stay above 102.90. Below that, 102 key support level
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6030 SL 20 TP 55
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at trendline, if broken Sell 0.6520 SL 30 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2665 SL 20 TP 40 (then watch for reaction at support level)
EURUSD: Buy 1.0945 SL 20 TP 50 or (H&S pattern) Sell 1.0880 SL 20 TP 80
USDJPY: Buy 147.50 SL 70 TP 200
USDCHF: Buy 0.8620 SL 30 TP 60
USDCAD: Sell 1.3750 SL 30 TP 70
Gold: Consolidating, if 2385 broken, could trade down to 2365
DXY Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 103.249.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 101.633.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Black Monday 2024? Discussing Current Markets and PositionsDuring Monday's open, I said this is going to be a day for the history books. Volatility expanded nearly 200% on the day (over 300% in a 3 day period), the Nikkei 225 crashed over 12% in a single day and had the largest 2 day decline ever. It leaked into the US markets with a nasty bearish futures run and massive gaps lower. Fortunately Monday's trading didn't make things much worse, but the damage was already done for many with that dramatic vol expansion. As the dust settles a bit more into Tuesday's trading, I wanted to review everything. Enjoy!!!
Sell GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2760
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2680
2nd Support – 1.2637
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2834. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bearish Yields Can Send USDollar Lower10Y US Yields are falling impulsively within wave C as expected after we noticed sharp leg down into wave A, followed by a corrective rally in wave B. So, there can be now space even down to the former wave 4 area at 3.25%. If we consider a positive correlation with USdollar Index – DXY, then USD can face more weakness. Is DXY trying to break bearish triangle?
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Reverse pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Reverse pattern
- It was mentioned in the 1H time frame according to the analysis presented before . that wave C can extend as a three-wave or five-wave to the green box range target.
- As you can see, wave C has corrected in three waves and accelerated to the green box.
- Currently, there has been a return wave after creating demand in the green box.
- Considering that it has had a three-wave correction up to the golden zone, it can be expected to have a movement cycle up to the 0.78 Fibo range.
💎 In addition, in case of failure of Fibo 0.78, it can advance to the specified supply area.
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OANDA:XAUUSD
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 104.136.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 103.427 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once.
Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy
Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future.
Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times.
Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East.
Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382
Resistance levels: 2451, 2474
Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Support retest amid falling dollarFX:GBPUSD is testing trend support for a breakout, but the situation is complicated by the difficult economic state of the Dollar... GBPUSD is going flat.
Technically, GBPUSD could have a chic bullish outlook, provided buyers hold 1.27 support.
Fundamentally, things are quite complicated, but more positive for the currency pair's growth: there is a high chance of recession in the US due to last week's unexpected data, indicating a very rapid slowdown in the economy. Rumors of the possibility of an emergency interest rate cut by the US Fed are forming. Also, in UK: Composite PMI +0.5%, Services PMI +0.4%).
Technically: it is worth paying attention to the flat 1.28000 - 1.27000. If the bulls hold the lower boundary and bring prices back beyond 1.28 with further consolidation, we should expect a positive outcome and a northward course.
Resistance levels: 1.2818, 1.2894
Support levels: 1.2707, 1.2615
Emphasis on this range, the flat boundaries play a key role for the medium-term perspective
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!