GOLD SHORT TO $1,964 (4H VIEW)Here is my 4H view on Gold, showing my short-mid term bias;
1. Currently I am expecting a small push up into $2,420 - $2,430 so market can grab liquidity before dropping back down again.
2. Gold has bottomed here & will now make its next bull run towards the $2,500 zone, marking the formation of Wave Y & Wave 5. This'll then be followed by a corrective move down.
J-DXY
BoJ shows uncertainty, Yen WeakensThe BoJ indicated that it was not ready to hike rates further if the market continues with volatility
On release of the news, the Yen weakened, with the USDJPY rising to test the 148 price area
look for a potential breakout to the 149.50 price level as further yen weakness is anticipated
EURO at an interesting levelThe euro is deciding its next big move, while some upside could be likely if it breaks above the 1.0925 price level, it would be interesting if the EURUSD breaks below the 1.0890 price level
This would complete the head and shoulder pattern, breaking the neckline which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level
Seems Like Gold Getting Ready For Some Correction Gold Is Currently In Uptrend, Driven By Middle East Tensions And Its Safe-Haven Status. Nevertheless, The Chart Suggests That Gold Is Poised For A Corrective Phase. A Rising Wedge Pattern Has Formed, And A Successful Breakout Could Trigger A Bearish Rally, Potentially Pushing Gold Prices Down To $2,280 In The Coming Days
Levels discussed on livestream 7th August7th August
DXY: Expecting further upside (to retest 104), could bounce off bullish trendline, needs to stay above 102.90. Below that, 102 key support level
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6030 SL 20 TP 55
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at trendline, if broken Sell 0.6520 SL 30 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2665 SL 20 TP 40 (then watch for reaction at support level)
EURUSD: Buy 1.0945 SL 20 TP 50 or (H&S pattern) Sell 1.0880 SL 20 TP 80
USDJPY: Buy 147.50 SL 70 TP 200
USDCHF: Buy 0.8620 SL 30 TP 60
USDCAD: Sell 1.3750 SL 30 TP 70
Gold: Consolidating, if 2385 broken, could trade down to 2365
DXY Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 103.249.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 101.633.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Black Monday 2024? Discussing Current Markets and PositionsDuring Monday's open, I said this is going to be a day for the history books. Volatility expanded nearly 200% on the day (over 300% in a 3 day period), the Nikkei 225 crashed over 12% in a single day and had the largest 2 day decline ever. It leaked into the US markets with a nasty bearish futures run and massive gaps lower. Fortunately Monday's trading didn't make things much worse, but the damage was already done for many with that dramatic vol expansion. As the dust settles a bit more into Tuesday's trading, I wanted to review everything. Enjoy!!!
Sell GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2760
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2680
2nd Support – 1.2637
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2834. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bearish Yields Can Send USDollar Lower10Y US Yields are falling impulsively within wave C as expected after we noticed sharp leg down into wave A, followed by a corrective rally in wave B. So, there can be now space even down to the former wave 4 area at 3.25%. If we consider a positive correlation with USdollar Index – DXY, then USD can face more weakness. Is DXY trying to break bearish triangle?
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Reverse pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Reverse pattern
- It was mentioned in the 1H time frame according to the analysis presented before . that wave C can extend as a three-wave or five-wave to the green box range target.
- As you can see, wave C has corrected in three waves and accelerated to the green box.
- Currently, there has been a return wave after creating demand in the green box.
- Considering that it has had a three-wave correction up to the golden zone, it can be expected to have a movement cycle up to the 0.78 Fibo range.
💎 In addition, in case of failure of Fibo 0.78, it can advance to the specified supply area.
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OANDA:XAUUSD
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 104.136.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 103.427 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once.
Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy
Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future.
Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times.
Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East.
Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382
Resistance levels: 2451, 2474
Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Support retest amid falling dollarFX:GBPUSD is testing trend support for a breakout, but the situation is complicated by the difficult economic state of the Dollar... GBPUSD is going flat.
Technically, GBPUSD could have a chic bullish outlook, provided buyers hold 1.27 support.
Fundamentally, things are quite complicated, but more positive for the currency pair's growth: there is a high chance of recession in the US due to last week's unexpected data, indicating a very rapid slowdown in the economy. Rumors of the possibility of an emergency interest rate cut by the US Fed are forming. Also, in UK: Composite PMI +0.5%, Services PMI +0.4%).
Technically: it is worth paying attention to the flat 1.28000 - 1.27000. If the bulls hold the lower boundary and bring prices back beyond 1.28 with further consolidation, we should expect a positive outcome and a northward course.
Resistance levels: 1.2818, 1.2894
Support levels: 1.2707, 1.2615
Emphasis on this range, the flat boundaries play a key role for the medium-term perspective
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Eurusd Looks Bullish Here There Are Lots Of Things Happening Couple Of Wars Goins On Also Middle East Is On Verge Of Huge Conflict And These Events Can Impact Markets Heavily And Direction Can Change Anytime So Be Careful In These Satiations While Opening New Positions
However Eurusd Looks Bullish Here In Daily Timeframe And Testing Multiple Resistances Symmetrical Triangle And Key Horizontal Resistance At Same Time Incase Of Successful Breakout Expecting 400 Pips Bullish Wave In Coming Days
USDCAD - Short Trade IdeaHere is my short trade trade for USDCAD.
Price took out trendline liquidity and a swing high on a broader outlook. Now we have reversed, creating a Unicorn model and equal lows as a target. I am waiting for a retracement into this area to confirm a trade. I would look at the lower timeframes at that point to determine if price isn't poised to trade higher.
- R2F
DXY: Recessionary Environment And Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 102.200 zone, DXY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 102.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD → Consolidation before distribution. Target 1.100FX:EURUSD is forming a wedge, the nature of the pattern is consolidation. FOMC & FED meeting is ahead. The main issue is inflation and interest rate cuts. What should we expect?
100% probability that today the rate will remain unchanged, but Powell at the meeting may signal a Fed rate cut in the coming months amid slowing labor market growth. Eurozone consumer inflation fell from +0.2 to 0% (expected -0.3%) and core CPI rose by 0.1 to +2.9%, suggesting a generally improving environment for a stronger EUR.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the area of 1.08. A descending wedge is forming on the chart, another retest, if the fundamental background persists, may lead to a break of resistance. In this case, the market may move into the distribution phase, within which it is able to update the local maximum.
Resistance levels: 1.0852
Support levels: 1.08
Traders are in no hurry to act prematurely and will wait for the Fed and FOMC meeting. Technically everything is favorable to start the growth. Potential target is 1.100
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Wave B of corrective C🔍 Technical analysis: Wave B of corrective C
- According to the analysis presented before , in the 1H time frames, wave B has been able to have a three-wave upward correction.
- This correction has continued almost slightly above the 0.78 Fibo of the previous wave.
- It is currently broken below the 0.78 area with a selling pressure candle on the 1H time frame.
- According to the FVG gap in the 1H time frame, this return can be to fill the price gap.
- Therefore, I expect that considering that a BB occurred in the 15min time frame, the price faced selling pressure again after meeting the 0.78 fibo intersection and this correction took place in the form of a reversed wave C.
- Due to the fact that wave A from C was accelerated, wave 3 from C can move down as 3 waves or 5 waves.
💎 In addition, if the price can penetrate above Fibo 0.78, wave B can extend beyond wave A and then we have the structure of wave C correction, which will be updated in this case.
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OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD SHORT TO $1,964 (12H UPDATE):Let's start the new week off by looking at our Gold short analysis. The market is absolutely bleeding & our 'sell position' is running 800 PIPS in profit already! Today alone the Gold market has bled close to 680 PIPS😵💫
EVERYONE should be in 'sells' as I have called this move out LIVE FOR YOU ALL!
Looking for reversal in DXY under 102.2 zone(8/5/2024)In our last analysis, our prediction played well, the DXY corrected to 103.7, and after NFP data reached 102.7.
With the fear of recession and NFP data, We are expecting DXY to retest the 102 zones.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Levels discussed on livestream 5th August 5th August
DXY: Trading lower to 102.55, beyond that, could test 102 round number support level.
NZDUSD: Buy 0.5930 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: See reaction at 0.6465, RBA decision pending, Sell 0.6455 SL 20 TP 60
USDJPY: Look for retracement to complete (retest 144), Sell 143.50 SL 70 TP 250
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2870 SL 20 TP 70
EURUSD: Buy 1.1010 SL 20 TP 50
USDCHF: Sell 0.8540 SL 40 TP 85
USDCAD: Sell 1.3825 SL 20 TP 40
Gold: Needs to stay above 2410, break 2450 to retest 2480 resistance