Get started

J-DXY

DXY Will Go Lower! Short! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 104.399. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 103.504 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
The USD and US bond yields immediately decreased.The DXY index - measuring the fluctuation of the USD compared to six major currencies in the world - decreased from 104.8 points (8:00 p.m., July 30) to 103.94 points (8:00 p.m., July 31, Vietnamese time). Male). Thus, there are more positive signs for the US economy. This is a factor that may cause the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to have a plan to lift monetary policy at a faster pace to ensure the US economy does not fall into recession in the future. Accordingly, in July the number of jobs created in the US was 122,000 jobs, lower than the forecast of 147,000. The USD and US bond yields immediately decreased.
TVC:DXYLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD Breakout Imminent? Key Levels & Patterns to Watch Now!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD Overview The chart depicts the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key technical patterns and support/resistance levels. The analysis aims to provide insights into potential price actions based on historical movements and current market conditions. Key Patterns and Levels Descending Channel: The price has been moving within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). The channel is defined by two parallel trendlines (in white) that indicate a downtrend. The descending channel suggests bearish momentum as the price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. Support/Resistance Levels: Support/Resistance Inside Channel: A notable level within the channel where the price has repeatedly found support or resistance, marked by dashed horizontal lines. 4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zones): Two critical liquidity zones at 2447.5 and 2432.4, acting as major support and resistance levels. These zones are crucial as they represent areas where significant buying or selling activity has occurred. Highs and Lows: Higher High (HH): The highest point reached before the price entered the descending channel, indicating a peak in bullish momentum. Lower High (LH): The lower high within the descending channel, showing the continuation of the bearish trend. Daily Bull Flag: The price is approaching the upper boundary of a daily bull flag pattern (marked in yellow), suggesting a potential bullish breakout if the price can sustain above this level. Current Market Conditions: Support/Resistance Retest: The price recently tested the resistance level at 2474.9 within the 4HR LQZ and pulled back slightly, indicating the presence of sellers at this level. Potential Breakout: The price is attempting to break above the descending channel and the 4HR LQZ, which could signal a reversal of the downtrend if confirmed by sustained buying pressure. Additional Insights: Dollar Interaction: The inset chart shows the US Dollar index coming into a support/resistance level within its own channel, providing additional context to the gold movement. Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment and external factors such as economic data releases and geopolitical events can also influence the price movement of gold. Conclusion: The XAUUSD is currently at a critical juncture, testing key resistance levels within a descending channel. A successful breakout above the 4HR LQZ and the descending channel could signal a bullish reversal, while failure to break these levels may result in continued bearish pressure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Adlercon333
Overview of the BoJ Monetary Policy ActionsAt the start of 2024, the USDJPY was trading along the 141 price level , after it had retraced from the 2023’s high of 152. This was due to weakness in the US dollar as there was increasing speculation within the markets that the US Federal Reserve was likely to start cutting US interest rates by early 2024. But as the speculation grew that there could be less rate cuts than initially anticipated for the US. This saw a rapid strengthening of the US Dollar, which in turn, saw the USDJPY climb steadily to retest the previous high of 152 in March 2024 . Even when the BoJ ended their negative interest rate policy by hiking rates for the first time in 17 years on the 19th of March, they also abandoned their yield-curve control and ended most of their asset purchases aimed at policy easing. But, there was little to no effect on strengthening the Yen, as markets viewed that despite what was done, the policymakers lacked commitment to this path of monetary tightening. As such, the Yen continued to weaken, with the USDJPY breaking through the 152 price level in April to record a new high of 160. Which led to BoJ intervening twice in close succession, taking the USDJPY from 160 down to the 153 price point. But as what we have seen from all the previous currency interventions the USDJPY bounced back to not only reclaim the previous high but form new highs at 162. When the USDJPY got to the 162 price level, the BoJ intervened again to bring prices down to 158 . Paired with the weakness of the US dollar due to the US CPI reaching 3% and increasing speculations that the Federal Reserve was ready to start cutting rates in September, the USDJPY broke the bullish trendline to continue trading lower. This week, the BoJ hiked rates to 0.25% and indicated plans to significantly reduce its bond-buying program over the next couple of years. This led to the USDJPY breaking below the 152 price level (which is crucial as it was the level where the BoJ intervened back in October 2022, and where the price started reversing from in November 2023) we look for the USDJPY to continue trading lower down to the 147 key support level (and previous swing level). Once the price has reached the 147 level, the next move will likely depend on the volatility of the DXY and the interest rate decisions from the US Federal Reserve.
by JinDao_Tai
$USINTR - A Month of BreathThe Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed Funds Rate ECONOMICS:USINTR unchanged at 5%-5.25%, as expected, but signaled rates may go to 5.6% by Year-End if the Economy and Inflation do not Slow down more. It is the first pause in the tightening campaign following ten consecutive hikes that lifted borrowing costs by 500bps to the highest level since September 2007. Throughout Fed's announcement The Dollar Index TVC:DXY plunged to what can be said Wave C completed from A-B-C Elliot Waves Correction (attached ideas) Have the markets priced in Inflation ECONOMICS:USIRYY and Interest Rates ECONOMICS:USINTR ? TRADE SAFE *** NOTE that this is not Financial Advice ! Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea .
ECONOMICS:USINTR
by Mr_J__fx
Can the dollar's dominance be maintained?I believe everyone knows that when the dollar rises, gold falls. But this year, an abnormal thing happened. Both the dollar and gold rose. Many people thought it was due to inflation, war, and geopolitical influences. In fact, everyone overlooked an important detail, which is "U.S. debt". In 2017, the U.S. national debt was about 20 trillion U.S. dollars. By the end of 2023, the U.S. national debt was as high as 34 trillion U.S. dollars. In fact, you can calculate how much debt the United States has issued in 6 years according to the speed of the expansion of the U.S. debt? The answer is "70%". All the money in the world will depreciate if it is printed too much, but will the U.S. dollar be immune? The answer is definitely "no". The reason why everyone is seeing the rise of the US dollar now is because not only the United States but other countries are also printing a large amount of currency. At the same time, the US dollar is a leading currency. When it continues to tighten liquidity, The U.S. dollar seems to be scarce, but it is reflected in real assets: For example, in , when we go back and compare the values ​​of the two, it is not difficult to find that the U.S. dollar is actually depreciating? Why do we say that when the price of gold rose in April and May this year, the United States immediately The very strong non-farm payroll data came out and immediately pushed the price of gold back. However, in In July, the previous non-farm payroll data was significantly revised downwards. This wave of expectation management can be said to have made everyone stupid. In fact, the United States is Want to maintain the dominance of the US dollar. But now the global wave of de-dollarization and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut are about to depreciate the US dollar, which is already unstoppable.
TVC:DXYShort
by David_strategy
Israel & U.S. terrorise Lebanon!🩸For those not already aware what happened yesterday, Israel once again went back on their usual terrorism antics & attacked the country of Lebanon this time around. 🩸Israeli Intelligence have said they know Lebanon & Iran will now retaliate back to their attack, so they are preparing to attack again. 🩸American battleships are moving towards the shores of Lebanon, as the U.S. & Israel work together to carry out further terrorism in the name of ‘safety’.
TVC:DXY
by BA_Investments
1
Sell EUR/USD Bearish Channel (Fed Interest rate)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0825, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0785 2nd Support – 1.0767 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0845. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
23
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Wave 3 or C bullish scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - According to the analysis presented in the previous post , in the 1H time frame, a growth has been encountered after creating demand at the bottom of the descending channel. - At present, according to the momentum and movement after the failure of the supply zone and pullback to the broken structure, the demand has been met again, and this growth can continue in the golden zone of the previous wave up to the specified areas. - Therefore, the reversal structure in the form of wave C can continue until at least 0.78 of the previous wave of the 2420 range. 💎 In addition, if the green box is broken, the corrective view can continue until the origin of the upward movement. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alikze
DXY: Anticipating Long Opportunities Amid Fed Policy and NFP RepThe US Dollar has experienced a decline due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will deliver dovish guidance in its upcoming policy statement. Investors anticipate the Fed will recognize progress in curbing inflation and highlight growing risks to the strength of the labor market. Following the Fed's policy announcement, the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for July will become the crucial trigger for the US Dollar's movement. In our analysis, we've identified a potential demand area around $103.177. At this level, we are opening our first long position with a minimum target of 2R. Should the price continue to fall, we are prepared to shift our focus to the next demand area at $101.422 for additional long opportunities. Given the current market conditions and our analysis, we are strategically looking for long positions on the DXY, anticipating a rebound from these key demand areas. ✅ Please share your thoughts about DXY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXN1
1
DXY is heading to 103.7 maybe lower(07/31/2024)In our last analysis, our predicted zone for DXY correction played well, the DXY corrected from 103.7 to 104.8 and crashed after hitting the last resistance. We are expecting DXY to retest the 103.7 zone again at least until NFP data. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
TVC:DXYShort
by fortunamarkets
Pre-FOMC Rates Decision Analysis31st July (FOMC Decision Pending) DXY: Ranging between 104.20 and 104.55. If Fed makes no comment on rate cut, DXY could push up to 105.20. If Fed makes comment on rate cuts in Sept, DXY could push down to 103.65. NZDUSD: Buy 0.5930 SL 20 TP 50 (DXY weakness) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6450 SL 25 TP 90 (DXY strength) USDJPY: Sell 151.50 SL 70 TP 245 (DXY weakness) GBPUSD: Sell 1.28 SL 20 TP 65 (DXY strength & BoE decision tomorrow) EURUSD: Sell 1.08 SL 20 TP 55 (DXY strength) USDCHF: Sell 0.8820 SL 20 TP 70 (DXY weakness) USDCAD: Buy 1.3850 SL 20 TP 45 Gold: Needs to break 2425 to trade up to 2450 (DXY weakness)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
2
Geomarkets & Crypto (the before)Top Left: Crypto Total Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL TOTAL) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Technical Indicators: - Fibonacci retracement levels are visible, indicating key support and resistance zones. - The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator is at the bottom, showing momentum. Observations : - The total crypto market cap appears to be consolidating after a significant move. - It is trading between two Fibonacci levels, suggesting it may be at a critical point for either a breakout or breakdown. - The RSI is hovering around the neutral zone, which could indicate a lack of strong momentum either way. Strategy : - Pending Orders: Consider setting a pending buy order slightly above the current resistance level if you anticipate a breakout, with a stop loss just below the support level. - Alternatively: Set a pending sell order below the support level if you expect a breakdown, with a stop loss just above the resistance level. Top Right: Bitcoin / US Dollar ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTCUSD) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Technical Indicators: - Fibonacci extensions and retracement levels are marked, which can be used to predict future price targets or identify reversal points. - There are also trend channels drawn, indicating a potential range in which the price is trading. - The RSI is included, showing the momentum of Bitcoin. Observations : - Bitcoin is trading near a key Fibonacci extension level, suggesting it could face resistance. - The price is moving within a well-defined upward channel, but it's currently near the upper boundary, indicating potential overextension. - RSI indicates that momentum is high but not yet in overbought territory, suggesting there could be room for further gains or a potential correction. Strategy : - Pending Orders: You could place a sell order near the upper boundary of the channel if you anticipate a pullback, with a stop loss just above the recent high. - Alternatively: Place a buy order above the resistance level if you expect a breakout, with a stop loss within the channel to manage risk. - Immediate Action: If you’re aggressive and believe in the bullish trend continuation, a small buy order now with a tight stop loss could be justified, aiming for the upper Fibonacci extension levels. Bottom Left: US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY DXY) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Technical Indicators: - The chart shows horizontal support and resistance levels, likely based on historical price action or Fibonacci retracement levels. - RSI is also present, indicating the relative strength of the US dollar. Observations : - The US Dollar Index appears to be trading in a range, with clear support and resistance levels marked. - The RSI is in a neutral zone, suggesting no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. - The index seems to be in a consolidation phase, with potential for a breakout or breakdown depending on macroeconomic factors. Strategy : - Pending Orders: Set a buy order near the lower support level if you expect the dollar to rebound, with a stop loss below the support. - Alternatively: Place a sell order near the upper resistance level if you anticipate a rejection, with a stop loss just above the resistance. Bottom Right: S&P 500 Index ( FX:SPX500 SPX) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Technical Indicators: - Fibonacci extensions and retracement levels are drawn, with channels indicating potential trading ranges. - The RSI is included to show the momentum of the index. Observations : - The S&P 500 appears to be in a strong upward trend, currently near a Fibonacci extension level. - The price is within a defined upward channel, suggesting a consistent trend higher. - RSI is near the upper range, indicating strong momentum but also hinting at the possibility of overbought conditions. Strategy : - Pending Orders: You could place a sell order near the resistance level if you expect a correction, with a stop loss just above the resistance. - Alternatively: Set a buy order above the resistance level if you expect the trend to continue, with a stop loss just below the breakout point. - Immediate Action: If you believe in the strength of the current uptrend, a small buy position now might be appropriate, but with a tight stop to protect against potential reversals. Deciding whether to place orders now or set pending orders depends on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Here’s a strategy approach based on the charts: 1. Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTAL) Current Situation: The market is consolidating between Fibonacci levels, indicating uncertainty. Strategy: - Pending Orders: Consider setting a pending buy order slightly above the current resistance level if you anticipate a breakout, with a stop loss just below the support level. - Alternatively: Set a pending sell order below the support level if you expect a breakdown, with a stop loss just above the resistance level. 2. Bitcoin / US Dollar (BTCUSD) Current Situation: Bitcoin is near a key resistance within an upward channel. Strategy: - Pending Orders: You could place a sell order near the upper boundary of the channel if you anticipate a pullback, with a stop loss just above the recent high. - Alternatively: Place a buy order above the resistance level if you expect a breakout, with a stop loss within the channel to manage risk. - Immediate Action: If you’re aggressive and believe in the bullish trend continuation, a small buy order now with a tight stop loss could be justified, aiming for the upper Fibonacci extension levels. 3. US Dollar Index (DXY) Current Situation: DXY is consolidating within a defined range. Strategy: - Pending Orders: Set a buy order near the lower support level if you expect the dollar to rebound, with a stop loss below the support. - Alternatively: Place a sell order near the upper resistance level if you anticipate a rejection, with a stop loss just above the resistance. 4. S&P 500 Index (SPX) Current Situation: The S&P 500 is in a strong uptrend but close to resistance. Strategy: - Pending Orders: You could place a sell order near the resistance level if you expect a correction, with a stop loss just above the resistance. - Alternatively: Set a buy order above the resistance level if you expect the trend to continue, with a stop loss just below the breakout point. - Immediate Action: If you believe in the strength of the current uptrend, a small buy position now might be appropriate, but with a tight stop to protect against potential reversals. Key Considerations: - Risk Management: Always use stop losses to protect against unexpected market moves. - Market Conditions: Keep an eye on broader economic data or events that could impact these assets (e.g., interest rate decisions, geopolitical events). - Diversification: If you’re considering multiple positions, ensure they are diversified to manage risk better. - Capital Allocation: Only commit a portion of your capital to any single position to maintain liquidity and flexibility. If you are cautious, setting pending orders with clear triggers and defined risk parameters might be the best approach, allowing the market to come to you rather than chasing it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by armigoldman
Sell EUR/USD Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.0852 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0816 2nd Support – 1.0801 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0875. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
37
Dollar index in classic zigzag corrective patternGreetings, Dear friends, I hope you are well and have a week full of successful and profitable transactions. My analytical view: DXY analysis is one of the most challenging markets out there in my opinion. If we just want to see the overall structure on the daily chart, there is a bearish impulse pattern, and wave A or 1 is formed in the larger degree of the wave. Next is an impulse pattern for wave A and the continuation of a deep correction, which can also be seen as multiple zigzags, which I labeled as wave B in my aggressive idea. But what happened after wave B looks like a diagonal pattern that consists of formula 3.3.3.3, and only 3 waves are left to complete it in the bull market. A classic zigzag pattern is formed for wave B or 2 in a larger degree, and after that, we will see a drop in the dollar index. This fifth wave of the diagonal pattern after the price crossing, i.e. the price action, should be formed from the middle line of the corrective channel. Next, any corrective pattern can be a green light to enter the transaction, and then the probability of exiting the channel will increase. The point of invalidity of this analysis is based on the fourth wave of the diagonal pattern that has been completed. There is also an idea about the continuation of the downward trend, which I will share if needed Note: I am an analyst in the world of principle wave, who has entered the fourth year of my work experience, and I am developing an analytical idea. In financial markets, there is no 100% certainty due to the complexity of different patterns that can change. However, I do my best to back up every analysis I share with you guys with everything I've learned so far. A brief explanation of the three fundamental laws of the wave principle: 1. The second wave should never go beyond the beginning of the first wave. 2. The third wave should never be the shortest wave between waves 1, 3, and 5. 3. The fourth wave must never enter the territory of the first wave. Ralph Nelson Elliott was the founder of this theory, and when asked about his view of the market, he always referred to five waves in the direction of a larger trend and three waves against the direction it was taking. After completing an eight-wave cycle, a larger cycle is formed in the future, simply. May his memory be cherished, and may his soul rest in the shelter of God Almighty and the eternal world. I am attaching the analysis of this market that I shared with you earlier to this current analysis. The last word of my analysis text is repetitive, except to explain the current analysis because I also trade in the financial markets and I am active in my social networks, and I work hard to improve my skills in analysis and trading to reach my goal. I apologize for repeating the text. I welcome suggestions and criticisms, and I will respond, but a logical reason is important to me. Thank you for taking the time to review my analysis. First of all, I wish good health and success to all my dear friends and colleagues. Mr. Nobody
DLong
by mehdi47abbasi79
Levels discussed on Livestream 30th July 30th July DXY: Needs to stay above 104.50, could trade higher to retest resistance at 104.85, beyond resistance, next level at 105.20 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5920 SL 20 TP 45 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 15 TP 45 (Hesitation at 0.6545) USDJPY: Look for price to find key level, reaction at 154 or 156 (BoJ news pending) More likely at 156 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2840 SL 25 TP 60 EURUSD: Buy 1.0840 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY weakness, double bottom, low likelihood) USDCHF: No trade, but look for reaction at 0.8920 USDCAD: Sell 1.3830 SL 20 TP 45 (Massive counter trend) Gold: Likely to consolidate along 2390, with upside potential to 2400 (61.8%)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
USDJPY → Weak dollar + intervention = bearish trend ↓FX:USDJPY breaks the 157.7 zone after a small consolidation. Powell's comments about more progressive deflation favor the market, the dollar is falling on this background and the end is not seen yet... Fundamentally, the weakening dollar and the ongoing interventions of the Central Bank of Japan have quite a strong impact on the exchange rate, but it is worth being careful. Previously, this market reaction was quickly bought out by traders who still have little faith in the continued strength of the JPY. Technically, if the dollar continues to liquidate, such a strong fall could bring the currency pair down to global lows. There is a strong liquidity zone ahead. Possible activation of orders in the risk zone, which may provoke a pullback before a further fall or a strong impulse, which without a pullback will knock out all market participants and the price will fly downward Resistance levels: 157.18, 157.7 Support levels: 154.5, 151.86 At the moment everything is obvious, fundamental and technical nuances are telling about further decline. We should pay attention to the nearest zone of liquidity and price reaction. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Buy USD/CHF Triangle BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.8853 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8895 2nd Resistance – 0.8923 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 0.8790. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
28