J-DXY
FOREX Forecast UPDATES! Monday Mar 3rdIn this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts for the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
DXY Analysis: Rejection from Resistance – More Downside AheadWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's start the week with a DXY analysis.
This is a crucial period for the dollar index, with many significant events unfolding—one of the most important being Trump’s tariff war. Now, let’s break down the technical outlook on DXY.
1D Timeframe
Looking at the daily chart, we can see that DXY has been rejected from a key resistance zone. Additionally, since it has formed a lower high, I still maintain my previous analysis that DXY is currently undergoing a correction within its previous uptrend. This means we could see further declines. The key support level to watch here is the 35% Fibonacci retracement zone at 105.720.
4H Timeframe – Finding a Trigger
On the 4H chart, we had a daily resistance zone that was briefly broken but turned out to be a fake breakout. This suggests that liquidity has been swept above the resistance, liquidating long positions, and now the market has more momentum to push downward.
The main short trigger is at 106.188, but depending on momentum, we could potentially enter even earlier on lower timeframes.
Key Risk Factor: While we are currently in a correction phase, the major trend is still an uptrend. That means risk should be managed carefully, and trades should be closed sooner than usual.
Final Thoughts
Thanks for sticking around until the end of the analysis. From now on, I’ve decided to publish separate analyses for indices, forex pairs, and BTC instead of grouping them into one post. Let me know what you think about this new format— do you prefer everything in one post, or is this better?
See you in the next analysis! 🚀
GBP/USD 15-Minute Chart: Bearish Reversal at Harmonic CompletionThe chart showcases a well-defined harmonic pattern, the Shark, with the price reaching the terminal zone at 1.2670 , marked by a red downward triangle. This suggests a potential reversal zone where selling pressure may emerge.
Key observations:
The price has reacted strongly at the completion point, aligning with Fibonacci extensions.
Overbought conditions are evident in the RSI and other momentum indicators, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish trend.
Target levels:
T1: 1.26241
T2: 1.25741
Suggests a possible downside move if the reversal confirms.
Traders should watch for bearish confirmation before entering short positions, while bulls may seek a break above 1.2670 for further upside.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is still struggling with the identified resistance zone and has been rejected multiple times from this level. Given the current market structure and the formed pattern, a corrective move toward the identified support area is expected. After completing the correction, the price is likely to resume its upward movement toward higher resistance levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
BTC , road map
"Hello traders, when considering BTC, the decision-making process should align with your strategy as either a holder or trader. In high time frames, based on the (FVG) concept, BTC's price could potentially reach $180,000. However, for short-term traders, the price might dip to the $70,000 zone initially. I anticipate a pullback to $92,000, after which I will evaluate candle formations to determine a selling position.
Please note that this analysis is subject to updates over time."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
DXY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in an uptrend
And the index is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Reaction and move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Weekly FOREX Forecast Mar 3-7th: USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is an FOREX major pairs outlook for the week of Mar 3-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets:
USD Index*
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
The USD took a bullish turn at the end of last week. It's currency counterparts will likely see some downside this week.
The JPY will be the exception. It tends to out perform the USD in uncertain geo-political environments. If there is a flight to safety, the JPY edges out the USD on the list of safe havens. Look for a strengthening Yen to continue to make gains.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R ShortEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R Short Opportunity
Current Market Structure
The EUR/USD is displaying a clear bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with price action showing lower highs and lower lows since late 2024. Analysis of the charts reveals:
Daily timeframe: Sustained downtrend since October 2024, with price currently testing resistance near 1.0380
4-hour timeframe: "Confirmed" bearish alignment with both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA positioned below the 55 EMA
1-hour timeframe: Similar bearish configuration, reinforcing the short bias
EMA System Confirmation
The proprietary EMA System Status indicator demonstrates strong bearish conviction:
240 Signal: Bearish
240 Trend: Bearish
Alignment: Confirmed
This triple confirmation suggests high-probability conditions for short entries.
Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
1.0300: Psychological round number
1.0230: Recent swing low and profit target
1.0200: Major psychological support
Resistance Levels:
1.0400: Key resistance zone with 200 EMA confluence
1.0430: Stop placement zone above recent swing high
1.0500: Major psychological resistance
Correlation Analysis
Supporting the bearish thesis, the DXY (Dollar Index) shows a complementary bullish structure with:
Confirmed bullish alignment on the 4-hour timeframe
Recent break above the 107.00 resistance level
Bullish momentum in MACD
This inverse correlation adds significant weight to the EUR/USD short setup.
Trade Parameters
Entry Strategy:
Short at 1.03632
Stop Loss at 1.04287 (65.5 pips)
Profit Target at 1.02296 (133.6 pips)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.04
Risk Management:
1% account risk allocation
0.5 lot position size
$500 risk per trade (on $50,000 account)
Potential profit: $1,019.85
Technical Confluence Factors
Several factors align to support this trade setup:
Price rejecting at 55 EMA resistance on multiple timeframes
MACD showing bearish momentum and alignment
Weekly and daily session boundaries reinforcing resistance zones
Recent higher timeframe rejection of the 200 EMA
Market Timing Considerations
The European and US economic calendars should be monitored for:
ECB monetary policy statements
Federal Reserve commentary
US dollar-impacting economic data releases
Conclusion
The EUR/USD presents a high-probability short opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.04. All key technical indicators align bearishly across multiple timeframes, with strong correlation confirmation from the DXY. This setup fits the criteria for a "Confirmed" signal within our trading system, meeting our standards for trade execution.
Trade management will follow our established protocol with potential scaling out at interim support levels and trailing stops implemented once price moves beyond the 1:1 risk-reward ratio point.
DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 107.566.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 108.420 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair has been moving within an ascending channel, but after reaching the channel’s upper boundary, we saw a bearish reaction and price reversal.
Currently, the price has also broken below the support zone.
We expect that after a pullback to the broken level, the price will drop further, at least to the next identified support level.
What’s your outlook on this pair’s next move? Do you expect further downside?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2425
2nd Support – 1.2316
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USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 153.90
2nd Resistance – 155.60
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USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.9138
2nd Resistance – 0.9221
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