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EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Ben today! Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day. However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks. Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials. Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline. Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure. However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Short
by Bentradegold
Gold price suddenly reversed and increasedOANDA:XAUUSD surged after the US dollar paused its rally and Russia-Ukraine tensions escalated. Spot gold ended the trading session on November 18 up $48 to $2,611/ounce, ending a six-session losing streak and escaping a two-month low. Sellers held back as US President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons supplied by the United States to strike deep into Russian territory. This was clearly a major driver of strong safe-haven demand, pushing gold prices higher. This move not only marked a turning point in the gold market but also signaled that investors were looking for opportunities amid increasingly tense geopolitical conditions. However, in the medium and long term, we still think sellers still have the upper hand technically!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TomtradeFX
Sell USD/JPY Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 154.42, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 153.18 2nd Support – 152.55 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
eurnzd h2 long/short +200/+400 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for EURNZD today. Rangebound trading condition recently, currently expecting a re-test of the mirror S/R resistance overhead and then sellers will take over from the resistance. 🔸Key levels for EURNZD traders: 7860 s/r bulls, 8050/60 s/r bears, 7659 mirror s/r bulls level will get re-tested by the bears for liquidity. 🔸Recommended strategy for EURNZD traders: the sequence is long/short so you want to buy low off the s/r bulls at 7860 SL 40 TP +200 pips, this is the bounce play / re-test of the mirror s/r bears at 8050 then flip short at/near 8050+-10 pips SL 50 pips TP1 +200 TP2 +400 pips final exit bears at mirror s/r at 7650. this is a swing trade setup, patience required. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
16
XAUUSD - Buy Gold!?The US dollar gained strength again last week due to the effects of Trump being elected as the next US president. Considering that the Republican Party will control the US Congress in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, it is expected that the implementation of Trump's pre-election promises will easily become law. The new US president wants drastic cuts in corporate taxes and tariffs on goods imported from around the world, especially from China. From the point of view of the financial community, these actions could increase inflation and prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates in the future. US inflation data in October indicated the persistence of price pressures. Also, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently stated that there is no need to rush to cut interest rates. This has led some market participants to believe that interest rate cuts will stop in the near future. Mark Leboitt, publisher of VR Metals/Resource Letter, commented: "Gold's price correction is happening as expected, with a possible drop to the $2,300 level, although the long-term view remains to reach $3,700. considers "Right now, gold is oversold, so we're likely to see a correction," he continued. In such a situation, buying at weak price points for long-term positions and doing short-term transactions with a buying approach can be considered a suitable strategy. Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, said: "For the coming week, an upward trend is expected. The excitement and frenzy surrounding the recent US election is likely coming to an end, which means the market will face new uncertainties. In such a situation, gold can once again be considered as a safe asset by investors and can be bought as a hedge against the volatility of other market sectors, especially the stock market. This week for the US we have S&P Global manufacturing, services and composite PMI data to watch out for. The beginning of the easing cycle in September and the first reduction in interest rates have revived hopes for the improvement of data such as PMI, and economic activities are expected to improve, especially in the manufacturing and industrial sector, with the continued reduction in borrowing costs. Therefore, although we cannot expect a significant improvement in the short term, we can hope for the improvement of the production sector in the future and gradually. In addition, the speeches of several central bank officials are also of particular importance to traders, as they try to get indications of the speed and possible depth of interest rate cuts. Among the important speeches of the week, we can mention Goolsby's statement on Monday and his appearance again with Hamek on Thursday.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
GOLD → Are the buyers back? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is getting stronger after a false breakdown of support. The fundamental background also contributes to it. The focus is on resistance 2589 and 2618, which divide the market into two zones. The attention of the markets is shifting to the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Biden (or those above him) decided to escalate an already tense situation with his authorization of long-range missiles before leaving office. (A rather bizarre maneuver that generally characterizes Democrats as advocates of war, not peace). Gold has been reacting accordingly since the opening session. China is trying to strengthen its economy, and the dollar's consolidation after the rally gives gold fans a chance. Technically gold is in the range of 2604 - 2546. Since the opening of the session, the price has been rallying quite strongly, which increases the chances of resistance to stop this rise Resistance levels: 2589, 2604, 2618 Support levels: 2559, 2546, 2531 The situation is complicated due to the mixed fundamental background. False breakdown of 2589 and consolidation below this zone will strengthen the sales. But, there is a probability of retest of 2618 (liquidity zone). Similarly, a false breakout will trigger selling. But if the fundamental situation will strengthen in the direction of gold, the market will have a chance to change the local trend from 2618 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
NAS100 - Nasdaq will reach above 21,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for NASDAQ sell positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq's buying position is in the demand zone after the continuation of the corrective movement, and considering the downward sentiment at the end of the week, it should be saved quickly. China’s Export Restrictions and Their Impact on Global Supply Chains • China Tightens Export Controls: Starting December 1, China will implement new regulations to tighten export restrictions on critical metals and raw materials, including tungsten, graphite, magnesium, and aluminum alloys, essential for the technology sector. • China’s Objectives: These measures are part of a broader strategy to manage sensitive exports and protect national interests. • Global Market Impact: The new restrictions are expected to disrupt global technology supply chains and introduce volatility in related markets. Zelensky’s Perspective on Trump’s Presidency • Zelensky’s Comments: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the war in Ukraine could end sooner if Donald Trump returns to the White House. • Constructive Interaction with Trump: Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine successfully communicated its vision for peace to Trump, and he observed no opposition from Trump regarding Ukraine’s stance. • Implications of Zelensky’s Remarks: These comments reflect Ukraine’s hope for continued international support to expedite the resolution of the conflict. US Economic Forecasts • Q3 Earnings Reports from Major Companies: This week, companies such as NVIDIA and TARGET will release their third-quarter (Q3) earnings reports. • Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at BlackRock, predicts that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. • The current Federal Funds rate range is 4.5% to 4.75%, which Rieder considers restrictive. • Following the December cut, the Fed is expected to pause temporarily to reassess future adjustments. Jerome Powell’s Statements and Market Reactions • Powell on a Strong US Economy: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the robust performance of the US economy, stating there is no urgency to lower interest rates. • Cautious Approach to Rate Cuts: Powell stressed that decisions should be made carefully due to uncertainties surrounding the neutral rate level. • Market Reaction: These statements reduced market expectations for a rate cut in December.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
DXY: Is a Dollar Retracement on the Horizon? On Friday, the U.S. Dollar experienced a pullback after reaching yearly highs above 107.00. Market reactions to comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated a decline in the likelihood of a potential interest rate cut in December, now estimated at just 60%. In economic news, retail sales saw a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, exceeding analysts' expectations. The dollar has now approached a significant supply zone established in September 2023, suggesting the potential for a price retracement. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail investors remain strongly bullish, while other market participants appear to hold a more neutral to bearish stance. Additionally, seasonal trends indicate a bearish pattern that could persist until the end of January. With the dollar having recently rallied significantly, it is currently in an overbought state. Despite the dollar's strength, all currencies correlated with the Dollar Index (DXY) continue to face pressure. However, the emergence of a potential reversal candlestick pattern could signal an impending retracement. We will monitor the U.S. dollar index closely for opportunities to enter on the bearish side. ✅ Please share your thoughts about DXY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXY
by FOREXN1
1
GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar. However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU. Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset. Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe. A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TomtradeFX
Bullish bounce off pullback support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 106.08 1st Support: 105.16 1st Resistance: 107.33 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Gold to Correct Before PPI, Targeting $2470 As we examine the recent price action of XAU/USD, gold continues to exhibit a pronounced bearish trend amidst a robust wave of demand for the U.S. dollar. This ongoing downtrend has seen the metal consistently test and breach key support structures, recently breaking through the significant level of 2547. Traders are closely watching for signs of a potential false breakdown in this zone, which could pave the way for a temporary counter-trend correction. Such a move may set the stage for intraday opportunities, especially as we approach crucial economic events on the horizon, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s anticipated speech. This backdrop of gold’s decline is intensified by an uptick in dollar demand, which stems from a resurgence of optimism in the broader financial markets. The “Trump-led euphoria” has bolstered investor sentiment, leading to continued support for the U.S. dollar index. This dynamic persists despite mixed economic signals, such as softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and a relatively dovish tone from several Federal Reserve policymakers. In this climate, expectations have increasingly shifted toward the likelihood of a modest rate cut by the Fed at its upcoming meeting, with a 0.25% reduction considered the most probable outcome. For gold bulls, this strengthening dollar presents a formidable challenge, requiring a reassessment of medium-term targets. The recent surge in the dollar, largely propelled by renewed investor optimism and positioning around trade-related policies, has overshadowed the Fed’s relatively accommodative stance. Thus, even as the Fed hints at a softer approach, the dollar’s upward trajectory exerts pressure on gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, tilting the scales further toward a bearish outlook for XAU/USD. Today’s market focus centers squarely on Powell’s upcoming comments, along with the latest PPI data and weekly jobless claims report, which together could bring further clarity to the Fed’s policy direction and the broader economic outlook. Should Powell reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, a potential dollar pullback might provide temporary relief for gold. However, with technical indicators signaling a robust downtrend, it seems likely that any rally in XAU/USD could be short-lived, making resistance levels crucial focal points. From a technical perspective, gold is currently testing the pivotal support at 2546, where a decisive close below this level could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. This area could prompt a temporary rebound, potentially targeting resistance zones in the vicinity of 2577, 2589, and 2595. Such a move would align with a common market behavior observed during key news cycles—where a brief corrective rally emerges as traders seek to “win back” losing positions before ultimately resuming the trend in favor of the prevailing momentum. Immediate support levels to watch include 2546, 2531, and the round figure of 2500. A breakdown through these levels would reinforce the current downtrend and could attract further selling interest, with technical patterns suggesting the possibility of continued weakness in the absence of a strong fundamental catalyst. Ahead of the news, it’s plausible that XAU/USD could experience a corrective rebound toward local resistance or an imbalance zone, offering short-term trading opportunities for those anticipating a resumption of the downtrend post-correction. Market participants should be prepared for heightened volatility during Powell’s speech and the PPI release, as both events carry the potential to shift sentiment and trigger short-term price reactions. In summary, while there’s a possibility for a near-term correction in gold, the broader outlook remains bearish as dollar strength and a resilient equity market diminish gold’s appeal. For traders, closely monitoring resistance and support levels will be crucial in identifying profitable entry points amid the anticipated price swings.
FX:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0