Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Trend Will Continue
Dollar Index is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
After the market set a new lower low lower close earlier this week,
it started a correctional movement.
Ahead, I see a solid resistance cluster.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop from the underlined
area at least to 103.75 level.
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J-DXY
DXY:Will Fed Cut Rates in September?Hey Traders,
In today's session, we're eyeing a potential selling opportunity in the DXY around the 104.600 zone. Currently, DXY is in a downtrend and is undergoing a correction phase, approaching the key support and resistance area at 104.600.
From a fundamental perspective, the downtrend in inflation and easing economic conditions in the US suggest that a rate cut might be on the horizon in September. This dovish environment could weaken the dollar further.
Stay cautious and trade safe,
Joe
GBPUSD Medium cycle GBPUSD was in the bullish channel and now its broken that and its on a supportive level.
According to my last idea,
i said if its hunt the channel sooner that we expected its show the bearish trend power.
Then the bullish channel broke.
but now the price on a supportive level and i think the trend can reversal.
also the DXY confirm that because its in a resistance level.
its show dollar will be weak.
Its just my personal comment please don't trade whit this.
I have no responsibility for your money.
DXY Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 103.836.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 104.502 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Unlocking BTC's Potential: Deciphering the Role of DXYTo truly navigate BTC's complexities, one must first grasp the intricacies of DXY's movements.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is on the brink of completing a double top pattern, possibly reaching a higher high (HH). In September 2022, when DXY last peaked, BTC simultaneously hit a low near $16,000. This historical correlation suggests a strong likelihood that DXY will break out from its current consolidation phase and ascend to a higher high, establishing a double top.
When DXY begins to retreat, BTC is poised for its next substantial upward movement. This inverse relationship underscores the critical need to closely monitor DXY to accurately forecast BTC's trajectory.
DXY Heading Lower Toward Bitcoin Rally Zone The DXY is in a downtrending channel and despite today's small bounce based on MFG data, it's still looking like it will lose this key level in the coming days.
This brief cool-off period before the 23rd when the ETH ETF is schedule to start trading would make sense and with BTC retracing from the strong sell order blocks at $66k which I've been talking about for over a week.
The big question will be -- If BTC can break above the 5th attempt at the upper trendline resistance and close back above $72k and then a new new ATH over $74k.
THEN I'll be convinced we do head hither.
Until then, I recommend cautious optimism, taking profits along the way and being ready to get out of this market. The cycle low should be later in August, but we'll see.
GOLD → Consolidation before rising to 2500...FX:XAUUSD after breaking through trend resistance is forming a consolidation, just like the dollar. Sellers start selling on indicators and MM may set a trap before further growth.
Technically and fundamentally gold has a favorable environment. The price is in the buying zone and in the ATH zone. There is a lot of support (obstacles) from below, and there is emptiness from above and nothing prevents to go up. There is consolidation on H1 and all technical conditions are favorable for the continuation of growth.
BUT!
There is an interesting pattern forming on H1-M30, which can give a small correction as a trap for sellers before further growth. Now a lot of selling is forming on indicators (overbought, rsi, macd and so on), accordingly, MM may show a reversal.
The whole emphasis is on 2461, If the price fixes below, the gold may be driven to the liquidity zone: 2450, 2440, 2430 before further growth.
Resistance levels: 2475, 2484
Support levels: 2461, 2450
If the price consolidates below 2461, a retest of the support is possible before further growth. If a rebound is formed, consolidation above 2467-2475, we should wait for a retest of resistance with a breakout attempt.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
DXY - 4H bullish soonDXY is currently consolidating under a support zone, but from my perspective, this is just a stop-hunting trap. The bottom of the channel is likely to provide strong support for the index. Historically, such setups often lead to a reversal, and the current price action suggests a similar outcome.
Additionally, with the US government likely to support their currency before the upcoming election, this could be a critical time to watch for a bounce. It's essential to consider the broader economic and political context, which may drive the dollar index higher, especially if the support holds and the consolidation phase concludes.
DXY US Dollar Dominance Long-term forecastCurrent consolidation is coming to its end in the end of July 2024.
US Dollar buying (= opening short positions) opportunity is open now.
August 2024 will mark a major breakout and fast ascend of DXY topping at no higher than 112.
Retest will follow bottoming at 105 (possible plunge down to 104) in January 2025.
Next move up will happen in the first half of 2025 making Lower high compared to previous high of 112.
Super-important month for all markets will not happen before August 2025. This time the world will decide wether it will go into the dark times of Greatest Financial Depression or it will abandon USD.
If my forecast of August 2025 - March 2026 takes place, then USD will first nuke the world in 2026-2027 and then in 2027 USD will cease to exist.
Dow Jones: Bearish DXY And Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 40800 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 40800 support area.
We would also like to consider the current bearish bias on DXY, due to the negative correlation US30 can benefit from that.
Trade safe, Joe.
Pre-ECB rates decision analysis18th July
DXY: Consolidating, could retrace to 104 resistance, test and reject to trade down to 103.50. Needs to stay below 104.20 to remain bearish
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6060 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6715 SL 20 TP 40
USDJPY: Sell 155.55 SL 40 TP 80
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3050 SL 20 TP 90 (Hesitation at 1.3090)
EURUSD: Buy 1.0930 SL 20 TP 50 (ECB decision pending)
USDCHF: Sell 0.8815 SL 25 TP 85 (hesitation at 0.8780)
USDCAD: Buy 1.3710 SL 20 TP 70
Gold: DXY weakness continues, price to trade higher, break 2480 could trade up to 2520
US stocks and bond yields increased sharplyLong-time period U.S. bond yields rose on expectancies that Trump`s rules could boom authorities debt and inflation, at the same time as cryptocurrency shares additionally rose together with Bitcoin. Trump has delivered himself as a cryptocurrency advocate.
Investors say a Trump victory may want to imply greater tax cuts and a greater comfortable regulatory environment. The S&P 500's strength region rose 1.6%.
Impact from assassination and hobby rates
On making a bet web website online PredictIt, the agreement for a Trump victory become buying and selling at sixty eight cents, up from 60 cents on Friday, with a capacity agreement of $1. Contracts for a Biden victory had been at 26 cents.
The assassination in Pennsylvania on Saturday of Trump regarded to enhance his election chances. The 20-year-antique attacker's reasons continue to be a mystery, with the suspect killed and the FBI not able to decide the intentions in the back of the attack.
“The marketing and marketing round this occasion is offering a boost,” stated Josh Wein, portfolio supervisor at Hennessy Funds. “But in latest days the inventory marketplace has increased. So that is a continuation of a sturdy rally from the second one 1/2 of of remaining week while we found out that there has been purpose to rejoice the concept that there might be one and now probably price cuts in stop of the year."
EURUSD → The bulls can take us to 1.100 ↑FX:EURUSD maintains a bullish structure. Ahead is the key resistance from which a pullback may follow before further growth.
On Saturday, there was high-profile news related to the attack on former US President Trump. The markets expected a more violent reaction from the opening, but in general only a small gap was created and it was dealt with rather quickly. Accordingly, the situation is stable. Fundamentally, everything is positive enough with the aim of continuing growth, but today at 16:30 GMT Powell speaks and it is worth to pay attention to his speech.
Technically, the key resistance at 1.0916 is ahead, from which a pullback may follow, as this strong area will not be broken at the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.0916
Support levels: 1.08522
There is a high probability of a rebound from resistance. As part of the correction, the nearest liquidity area may be tested before the subsequent retest of resistance, breakout and growth to 1.10
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!