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GOLD → Correction ahead of PPI before falling to $2470FX:XAUUSD on the news continues its bearish rally. The price is breaking the structure of 2547. A false breakdown and counter-trend correction may form before PPI and Powell's speech... Demand for the dollar rises at the expense of gold. Trump-led euphoria continues to support the index despite relatively weak CPI data and the stance of Fed policymakers. In the medium term, the focus is on the next Fed rate meeting. The most likely scenario is a 0.25% rate cut. Bulls in gold are likely to have to reassess their medium-term targets as the dollar's rise caused by Trump's trade is outweighed despite the Fed's relatively dovish stance. For today, all eyes are on Powell's speech and PPI and jobless claims. Technically, gold is testing the important level of 2546 as part of a strong decline. A false breakdown and correction is possible. Resistance levels: 2577, 2589, 2595 Support levels: 2546, 2531, 2500 Before the news, a rebound to the imbalance zone or local resistance may be formed in the hope to win back the losing positions of those who have not yet managed to leave the market. I expect that after the correction the price will continue its decline. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
GBP/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the daily timeframe, we can observe that the price is experiencing a significant decline. I anticipate that this heavy drop will likely pause, at least temporarily, upon reaching the demand zone between 1.267 and 1.2735. This is a key area of interest, and I expect a potential return of 50 to 200 pips from this level. This analysis will be updated as necessary. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
33
GOLD → The bearish rally is intensifying. Next, 2500-2400?FX:XAUUSD accelerates its fall and updates the low, testing the zone below 2600. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around? CPI and PPI ahead, is there still hope? Chinese authorities have played a negative role this time with their weak support for markets (traders are wary of potential trade tariffs that Trump may impose), which is generally reflected in the gold price in part. Theoretically, any attempts to rise in gold may be limited, due to the rise of the dollar, which is feeling support from the market amid the excitement of Trump and fading expectations of future Fed rate cuts. Ahead is the consumer price index, which could have an impact on the Fed's future rate path and the US dollar. Technically, gold is trying to break out of a key range breaking support. If a false break of 2604 is formed, a small correction to resistance may form. Resistance levels: 2626, 2637 Support levels: 2604, 2569, 2546 If the bears keep the price below 2605-2600, the decline may intensify, but since the price is testing strong support, a false breakdown and a correction may be formed as a primary reaction, for example to 2626-2637 (0.5 fibo) before a further decline. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
eurnzd h2 long/short +200/+400 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for EURNZD today. Rangebound trading condition recently, currently expecting a re-test of the mirror S/R resistance overhead and then sellers will take over from the resistance. 🔸Key levels for EURNZD traders: 7860 s/r bulls, 8050/60 s/r bears, 7659 mirror s/r bulls level will get re-tested by the bears for liquidity. 🔸Recommended strategy for EURNZD traders: the sequence is long/short so you want to buy low off the s/r bulls at 7860 SL 40 TP +200 pips, this is the bounce play / re-test of the mirror s/r bears at 8050 then flip short at/near 8050+-10 pips SL 50 pips TP1 +200 TP2 +400 pips final exit bears at mirror s/r at 7650. this is a swing trade setup, patience required. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
9
XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD have been on a continuous downtrend since the beginning of the week, currently standing at 2561, with expectations to further extend its bearish trend. The critical 2550 level remains a battleground. Concerns linger over market sentiment amid developments in the United States following Donald Trump's presidential victory... These uncertainties may continue to weigh on gold prices. All eyes are now on the U.S. October Producer Price Index (PPI). Forecasts suggest an increase in the PPI by 2.3% year-over-year, significantly higher than September's rise of 1.8%. If both CPI and PPI indices continue to rise, the Federal Reserve may be compelled to hike interest rates to curb inflation. This would apply pressure on gold prices as the U.S. dollar strengthens, raising the cost of trading and holding gold. On the technical side, the battle around the 2550 level persists. However, there is a high chance of a correction amid news-driven volatility, with a potential retest of the 2600-2580 resistance zone before resuming its downward trend. For instance, an Elliott wave impulse could unfold, as suggested by the chart analysis. Gold prices are projected to reach at least 2485, which translates to over 1000 pips from the resistance level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Rakesh
2
GOLD → A change in structure and a change in trend. CPI ahead!FX:XAUUSD is turning around. The daily session closes below 2604 and the breakdown of the global structure confirms the bearish nature of the market. The fight for the key 2600 zone continues... Trump's tough policies could slow the Fed's easing cycle, the dollar would then continue to strengthen at the expense of gold... There is another Fed rate meeting in December and obviously the question is: either 0.25% or hold. All eyes are on the CPI, the data will determine whether the Fed will continue its rate cut trajectory after December. A downside surprise in CPI could reinforce dovish expectations for the Fed. Conversely, a stronger inflation report could trigger a change in the regulator's stance. Any reaction to the news could be short-lived as attention immediately shifts to Thursday, PPI and Powell's... Resistance levels: 2616, 2626, 2637 ! Key level: 2604 Support levels: 2590, 2569 The fight for 2604 continues, if the bears can keep the defense below this zone, we should expect a fall. But, there is a high probability of correction on the background of news volatility and retest of resistance 2626-2637 before the further fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
EUR/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the 1.06 level. Since the previous analysis, it has dropped over 500 pips. I anticipate that the price will soon react positively to the 1.052 to 1.058 zone, potentially leading to a recovery of 40 to 300 pips.Keep an eye on these marked levels! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
26
DXY: Highly overbought on 1D. Excellent short.The U.S. Dollar Index has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.223, MACD = 0.950, ADX = 43.535) as the current weekly candle is only a few clicks away from the top of the 2 year consolidation Rectangle pattern. Even the 1W RSI (67.108) is about to turn overbought but has already reached the top of the 1 year R1 Zone. All the above create the conditions for the perfect long term short. Our target is the 1W MA200 (TP = 101.750), which supported the price during the bearish wave of July-August. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DXYShort
by InvestingScope
This is the only Dollar chart you’ll need for 2025The current strong recovery of the US dollar is largely Trump-related, as his policies suggest that the economy could expand, potentially leading to higher inflation and rates to counteract it. It’s important to recognize that this move since the end of October is a type of euphoria or optimism surrounding Trump. However, once Trump actually takes office, we may see new flows and trend directions emerge. In Trump’s previous term, the dollar turned lower quite aggressively, topping in December 2016/ January 2017. I’m wondering if we could see a similar price action this time. In Elliott wave terms, we should definitely be aware of a potential reversal. Looking at the current chart, we see five waves down followed by an ABC recovery—the most basic and clear Elliott wave structure. The five-wave decline signals a bearish trend starting in 2022/23, and the current pause could set up for another drop in the dollar. Always when you track a correction or a counter-trend move, watch for a three-wave pattern before concluding that the dollar has reached a resistance point. Currently, wave C is still ongoing, possibly in its late stages, though it hasn’t yet reached the 108 level, which is likely an important reversal area. This zone aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, a key for the final stages of corrective retracement. To me, this suggests that the dollar could potentially sell off next year. Now, you may be wondering what this means for other markets. It depends on the catalyst behind the dollar’s turn. If a recession triggers it, stocks might also face downside pressure. Alternatively, if the dollar weakens due to extreme inflows into other assets, particularly stocks, then equities could continue pushing higher. A lot of of money is still on the sideline, and is likely waiting for new opportunities, and if stocks will keep pushing up, funds could shift from the dollar to stocks, potentially creating a blow-off top. This could mean that 2025 might be an “interesting” year for stocks, with potential for a major reversal. Grega
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
Gold to Correct Before PPI, Targeting $2470 As we examine the recent price action of XAU/USD, gold continues to exhibit a pronounced bearish trend amidst a robust wave of demand for the U.S. dollar. This ongoing downtrend has seen the metal consistently test and breach key support structures, recently breaking through the significant level of 2547. Traders are closely watching for signs of a potential false breakdown in this zone, which could pave the way for a temporary counter-trend correction. Such a move may set the stage for intraday opportunities, especially as we approach crucial economic events on the horizon, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s anticipated speech. This backdrop of gold’s decline is intensified by an uptick in dollar demand, which stems from a resurgence of optimism in the broader financial markets. The “Trump-led euphoria” has bolstered investor sentiment, leading to continued support for the U.S. dollar index. This dynamic persists despite mixed economic signals, such as softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and a relatively dovish tone from several Federal Reserve policymakers. In this climate, expectations have increasingly shifted toward the likelihood of a modest rate cut by the Fed at its upcoming meeting, with a 0.25% reduction considered the most probable outcome. For gold bulls, this strengthening dollar presents a formidable challenge, requiring a reassessment of medium-term targets. The recent surge in the dollar, largely propelled by renewed investor optimism and positioning around trade-related policies, has overshadowed the Fed’s relatively accommodative stance. Thus, even as the Fed hints at a softer approach, the dollar’s upward trajectory exerts pressure on gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, tilting the scales further toward a bearish outlook for XAU/USD. Today’s market focus centers squarely on Powell’s upcoming comments, along with the latest PPI data and weekly jobless claims report, which together could bring further clarity to the Fed’s policy direction and the broader economic outlook. Should Powell reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, a potential dollar pullback might provide temporary relief for gold. However, with technical indicators signaling a robust downtrend, it seems likely that any rally in XAU/USD could be short-lived, making resistance levels crucial focal points. From a technical perspective, gold is currently testing the pivotal support at 2546, where a decisive close below this level could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. This area could prompt a temporary rebound, potentially targeting resistance zones in the vicinity of 2577, 2589, and 2595. Such a move would align with a common market behavior observed during key news cycles—where a brief corrective rally emerges as traders seek to “win back” losing positions before ultimately resuming the trend in favor of the prevailing momentum. Immediate support levels to watch include 2546, 2531, and the round figure of 2500. A breakdown through these levels would reinforce the current downtrend and could attract further selling interest, with technical patterns suggesting the possibility of continued weakness in the absence of a strong fundamental catalyst. Ahead of the news, it’s plausible that XAU/USD could experience a corrective rebound toward local resistance or an imbalance zone, offering short-term trading opportunities for those anticipating a resumption of the downtrend post-correction. Market participants should be prepared for heightened volatility during Powell’s speech and the PPI release, as both events carry the potential to shift sentiment and trigger short-term price reactions. In summary, while there’s a possibility for a near-term correction in gold, the broader outlook remains bearish as dollar strength and a resilient equity market diminish gold’s appeal. For traders, closely monitoring resistance and support levels will be crucial in identifying profitable entry points amid the anticipated price swings.
FX:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
Shorting the Dollar: A Madman's GameI’m going to take this trade—it's close enough to the level where it would invalidate my idea. I may tighten my stops a bit, but I’m okay with taking a second shot later if I get stopped out. The Dollar is indeed strong right now, so I’m going against the trend here. I’ll be aggressively taking profits if it dips a bit. If we push past 106.75, I might consider shorting it. This price action is looking very similar to the July-September 2023 move. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by ZelfTrade
3
GBPUSD - Is inflation under control in America?!The GBPUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If the downward trend continues due to the release of today's economic data, we can see the demand zones and buy within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. In case of an upward correction, this currency pair can be sold within the specified supply zones. The Governor of the Bank of England noted that the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) does not accurately indicate whether underlying inflation dynamics have been suppressed. There remains a risk of rising energy prices, and inflation within the services sector is notably resilient and persistent. He anticipates greater volatility ahead, with some inflationary drivers potentially shifting upwards. Additionally, according to new data from the Cleveland Federal Reserve, the inflation trend in the U.S. continues to remain above 2 percent. The Median CPI for the previous month was reported at 4.09 percent, a slight increase from 4.08 percent in the prior month. Since June, this measure has only seen a minor decline, from 4.15 percent to the current level. Median CPI is a monthly inflation indicator that measures price changes at the midpoint of a basket of goods. Although this method may differ from the standard CPI, it focuses on items that fall within the midpoint of the distribution. Charts within this report show that other inflation indicators are relatively stabilized, while the decline in the headline CPI is primarily due to a drop in energy prices, which is considered a temporary factor. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, despite ongoing challenges, debt levels remain manageable. Although delinquency rates have risen, income growth continues to outpace household debt growth. In the third quarter, delinquency transition rates varied, with credit card delinquencies improving, while delinquency rates for auto loans and mortgages saw a decline. At the end of Q3, 3.5 percent of debt was in some stage of delinquency, up from 3.2 percent in Q2. Overall delinquency rates also increased during this period. According to the data, credit card balances in Q3 rose 8.1 percent compared to the same period last year, reaching $1.17 trillion, marking an increase of around $24 billion from Q2. Additionally, mortgage balances increased by $75 billion in this period, reaching $12.59 trillion.
Long
by Ali_PSND