GOLD → Buyers stop believing in gold ... Are the bears coming? FX:XAUUSD after Powell's support reaches a local high of 2710, but buyers do not let the price near the risk zone. The price is returning to the correction phase and preparing to update the local lows
The correction started after the strengthening of interest in the dollar, which is growing at the expense of gold because of Trump's victory. The excitement has not subsided yet, it may continue for a few weeks. The 0.25% cut in interest rates was slightly taken into account by the market, but still supported the metal, but short-term. The market is also disappointed with China, especially with the actions of the authorities towards the country's economy. In general, the fundamental background is negative and it is worth considering this information in your trading. Ahead of the US CPI, which will be published on Wednesday.
Technically, the price is turning around and intends to test the liquidity zones located at the bottom...
Resistance levels: 2680, 2685, 2700
Support levels: 2665, 2652, 2637
Emphasis on 2665. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming. If the price breaks this support, selling may intensify. I do not exclude one more attempt to retest the resistance, for example 2680-2685 before further falling. In general, both fundamentally and technically, the market feels the priority towards the bears...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
J-DXY
GOLD → The bearish rally is intensifying. Next, 2500-2400?FX:XAUUSD accelerates its fall and updates the low, testing the zone below 2600. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around? CPI and PPI ahead, is there still hope?
Chinese authorities have played a negative role this time with their weak support for markets (traders are wary of potential trade tariffs that Trump may impose), which is generally reflected in the gold price in part.
Theoretically, any attempts to rise in gold may be limited, due to the rise of the dollar, which is feeling support from the market amid the excitement of Trump and fading expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
Ahead is the consumer price index, which could have an impact on the Fed's future rate path and the US dollar.
Technically, gold is trying to break out of a key range breaking support. If a false break of 2604 is formed, a small correction to resistance may form.
Resistance levels: 2626, 2637
Support levels: 2604, 2569, 2546
If the bears keep the price below 2605-2600, the decline may intensify, but since the price is testing strong support, a false breakdown and a correction may be formed as a primary reaction, for example to 2626-2637 (0.5 fibo) before a further decline.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Realization and distribution phase. Target 0.900FX:USDCHF comes out of accumulation and changes the market phase to realization phase. On the background of the dollar growth, the reason for which is mainly the excitement about the presidential election in the U.S., the currency pair also has a potential for growth
On D1, buyers are forming a bottom and a strong reversal base, indicating the potential and further interests. The zones of interest, in our case, can serve as areas of local highs, behind which there is a liquidity zone and money, to which the MM is directed....
Technically, in the European session the price is breaking the resistance of local accumulation. The emphasis is on 0.8774. If the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect a continuation of growth in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.887, 0.892
Support levels: 0.8774, 0.8748, 0.871
Accordingly, the key support at the moment is 0.8774 and it is from it we expect the continuation of growth. Formation of a false breakout is not excluded. In this case, after correction to the local 0.8748, the growth may continue
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;)
Regards R. Linda!
gold 5 waves complete now abc correction in progress🔸Hello guys, today let's review 6hour price chart for gold. The 5 wave
bullish impulse is complete now we are entering ABC correction.
🔸Wave1 was 2335/2472, Wave2 2472/2372, Wave3 2371/2653,
Wave4 2653/2605, Wave5 2605/2770, now ABC correction, currently
A in progress 2770/2525.
🔸Recommended strategy for gold traders: higher risk bounce play
once A completes and transitions into B bounce, BUY/HOLD 2525
exit at 2678. Lower risk sell side setup: B completes near 2678
short sell into bounce exit at 2383 once C completes into liquidity
order block zone. good luck traders!
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Shorting the Dollar: A Madman's GameI’m going to take this trade—it's close enough to the level where it would invalidate my idea. I may tighten my stops a bit, but I’m okay with taking a second shot later if I get stopped out.
The Dollar is indeed strong right now, so I’m going against the trend here. I’ll be aggressively taking profits if it dips a bit. If we push past 106.75, I might consider shorting it.
This price action is looking very similar to the July-September 2023 move.
TVC:DXY
Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals to Keep an Eye On
👀👉 The DXY Dollar Index has shown robust bullish momentum recently—but is it overextended? A pullback at a major support level could offer a valuable entry opportunity. I’m watching this zone closely for a possible buy setup aligned with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll explore essential price action signals to watch and discuss strategies for positioning in the next potential move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.* 📊✅
EURUSD - An In-depth Analysis (ICT Concepts)In this video I provide a more in-depth analysis for EURUSD, and how I go about analyzing the chart and coming to a conclusion if any.
The concepts I used are based on ICT's Concepts along with some of my own discoveries along the way.
I hope you find it insightful.
Happy trading.
- R2F
DXY, Is correction on the way ?Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great.
for upcoming days and for a short period of time, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level in TVC:DXY , we also have a Divergence on 4H that confirms our theory.
so with a proper trigger we can open a short position. We will also probably find better buy positions in FX:GBPUSD And FX:AUDUSD than the FX:EURUSD .
Trade safe and have a great weekend.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
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THANKS.
Levels discussed on 11th November Livestream11th November
DXY: Consolidating along 105, look for break out above 105.15 to reach high of 105.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5955 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2830 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0660 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Buy 153.80 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Buy 0.8790 SL 25 TP 80
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Could range between 2660 and 2644
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.07800 back downThis week, my analysis for EU is showing slow movement, as it isn't close to any key Points of Interest (POI). However, after the CPI release, I expect a surge in liquidity, which could lead to a retracement in EU. From there, I’ll be looking to enter sell positions at a supply zone I've marked, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside.
There are two potential supply zones to watch: the 9-hour supply zone or the 2-hour supply zone above it. If price begins to slow down and distributes upward, I’ll be cautious. However, if the price continues to drop, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look to enter buy positions from the 3-hour supply zone, as outlined in Scenario B.
Confluences supporting EU sell positions are:
- Price action has been strongly bearish, aligning with a pro-trend idea.
- The DXY has been bullish, which suggests EU could continue to move down.
- Liquidity remains focused to the downside.
- A potential supply zone is identified, providing a possible selling POI.
P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll wait for a retest and then follow the downtrend.
Look out for CPI and remain diligent!
DXY makes it to the most important resistance zone.H4 12.11.2024💸 Dollar Index DXY makes it to the most important resistance zone 📉
The dollar index still managed to break through to the most important resistance zone 105.80-106.35 from which I expect a medium-term reversal. Honestly, I didn't think it would be pushed to it, but as it is. Other currencies against the dollar have almost reached their reversal zones, lacking the final rebound. As for me, the level of 106 on the index and the area near it is strong. The situation is a copy of 2016, when the index was also pushed hard, and then a long-term reversal was made to weaken it.
TVC:DXY
Levels discussed during livestream 12th November12th November
DXY: Could consolidate/retrace slightly, but for continuation higher to 106.10, beyond that, could retest resistance of 106.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5950 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.65 SL 25 TP 100
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2785 SL 30 TP 100
EURUSD: Sell 1.0590 SL 40 TP 140
USDJPY: Buy 154.90 SL 35 TP 110
USDCHF: Buy 0.8845 SL 30 TP 75
USDCAD: Buy 1.40 SL 40 TP 140
Gold: Breaking 2600, below 2585 could trade down to 2570 and 2550
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)If you still haven't got into Gold sells yet, you haven't missed out! Still expecting price to drop 2,000+ PIPS in the mid term, which YOU ALL can capitalise on. has been absolutely dropping since yesterday, which works in our favour!
If you haven't seen my last video update on Gold, go back & watch it just so you know how the ATH of $2,790 could be manipulated.
Bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 104.42
1st Support: 103.45
1st Resistance: 106.04
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AUD/JPY Short Setup Near Key 101.000 Resistance**AUD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum After False Breakout, Key Support Levels in Focus**
Recently, the AUD/JPY currency pair exhibited a notable false breakout above the 102.00 resistance zone, triggering a bearish impulse move that has shifted the sentiment towards a possible downtrend. This initial breakout, followed by a sharp reversal, suggests that buyers may be losing strength at these higher levels. The pair faced significant resistance near the top boundary of an upward-trending channel, where it has rebounded sharply, failing to sustain momentum past this resistance.
The technical signals on the weekly timeframe add further weight to this bearish perspective. A long-tailed bar has formed, typically indicative of a possible exhaustion of bullish pressure and a reversal in direction. This long wick suggests that sellers stepped in decisively, pushing prices down after an initial rise. As a result, it implies a potential shift in sentiment, hinting at the likelihood of lower price levels in the near term.
Currently, the broader trend of AUD/JPY appears to be moving sideways, oscillating within a defined range. The price action’s inability to break out convincingly beyond this range aligns with the view that any upward moves might be short-lived. The recent false breakout near the upper boundary underscores the presence of robust selling interest at this level, further supporting the case for a potential downside continuation.
Looking ahead, I expect AUD/JPY to pull back toward the resistance zone before resuming its bearish movement. This retracement may provide an opportunity to re-evaluate entry points as the pair potentially builds momentum for a deeper decline. My primary target is the support zone around 96.170, a level that aligns with both historical support and the lower boundary of the current range.
In summary, AUD/JPY has shown clear signs of bearish pressure following a false breakout and rejection at the channel’s top boundary. The combination of technical signals—the false breakout, long-tailed weekly bar, and sideways trend—suggests a strong case for continued downside action, with the 96.170 support zone as a key target. As the pair potentially retraces, I’ll monitor for signs of renewed selling pressure, particularly in the resistance area, before a deeper move down.
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Look at the charting carefully & you'll see where Wave 1 & 2 ended. We entered sells at Wave 2 correction & since then the Wave 3 has dropped down in an impulse manner😍
We are only 500 PIPS away from our Wave 3 target, where we will close out 50% of our position & leave another 50% running.