DXY TRI MONTHLY CHART -- A LONG JOURNEY OF WEAKNESS.The chart should speak for itself.
DXY long term view (tri-monthly data) is conveying shifting trend on the dollar index -- to the downside.
Expect more long term correction, as this time frame don't change mind too often.
Spotted at 102.25
TAYOR.
safeguard capital always.
J-DXY
DXY Descending Triangle PatternDXY is forming a descending triangle today signifying further downward momentum is likely. Take note of the lower highs and continued rejection at this same level of support. This shows a lower amount of buyers at each rejection. It is likely due to this, support will break unless new buyers come in to place.
GOLD → Risks are rising and so is the price. News ahead! FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2790. This is probably not the limit, but the risks, like the price, are rising ahead of strong news and the US election race.
Gold feels support for several reasons: stopping the rally in DXY (profit taking is possible), positive hints about the Chinese economy, escalating conflict in the Middle East. The dollar stops the rally and forms consolidation for the last few days, which is generally favorable for gold.
The metal is updating the highs and in the current conditions trading is quite simple: we trade either a breakdown of resistance in order to continue the movement, or search for strong support zones, where we can trade price pullbacks.
Today the Nonfarms from ADP, US GDP will be released. This is worth paying attention to. Weaker data can greatly increase volatility and provoke the continuation of metal growth. And vice versa.
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
Support levels: 2777, 2771, 2758
Gold is in a local correction. Emphasis on strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. But, we need to watch the news, there may be shake-ups, but the general background for gold is expected to remain favorable.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Dollar index on the floor of the trading rangeAccording to the weekly chart of the dollar index and since tomorrow and next week we have important data such as unemployment claims, and also these data will probably strengthen the strength of the dollar, it is expected that the dollar index will rise to the middle of the trading range in the first step. .
DXY: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 104.321
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Levels discussed on Livestream 30th October30th October
DXY: Look to break 104.20 and 61.8%, to trade down to 104 and 103.80
NZDUSD: Buy 0.5990 SL 20 TP 60 (Counter Trend)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6580 SL 20 TP 50 (Bearish Channel)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2960 SL 25 TP 50 (Break trendline0
EURUSD: Buy 1.0845 SL 20 TP 55 (Hesitation at 1.0870)
USDJPY: Ranging between 152.70 and 153.86 (looking for breakout potential)
USDCHF: Sell 0.8690 SL 15 TP 35
USDCAD: Sell 1.3875 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: Could retrace to 2770, look for rejection and buying opportunities
INDEX_DXY_4H🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
hello
Analysis of short and medium term dollar index
The analysis style is based on Elliott waves.
The indicator is in an ascending wave, which is currently the big 3rd wave, which is again a downward correction wave as wave 4 and again the continuation of the ascending wave towards wave 5.
3 wave resistance 105.000
Support wave 4 number 103.300
5 wave resistance 106.600
DXY Is Going Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 104.138.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 103.076 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Will the job data impair the US dollar gain?Macro theme:
- The dollar remained steady despite short-term volatility, reflecting mixed economic data. US Sep Retail Inventories and Oct Consumer Confidence exceeded forecasts, while Sep Job Openings fell short.
- Treasury yields reached multi-month highs early but declined following a strong seven-year auction.
- With the US job report—the last before the FOMC meeting—approaching, storms and strikes could complicate interpreting the data, introducing further uncertainty around the dollar’s direction.
Technical theme:
- DXY is consolidating in a small range at the top and looks stretched. This is vulnerable to a potential mean reversion. The price is trading away from both EMAs.
- If DXY extends its gain above the previous swing high at 104.60, the index may rise to 106.00 resistance.
- On the contrary, if DXY closes below 104.00 support, the index may decline to retest 103.45 support.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
It could be the euro's time to shineThis may not be a popular theme, but that is usually the case at turning points. Like it or not, EUR/USD bears have failed to break the August low, and the rally on the USD index and yields looks exhausted. Every trend needs a retracement, and I suspect a small one, at a minimum, is due.
MS.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 28.10.2024Gold did push up which we did say would be a possible option. Currently at a new ATH of $2,774! Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold bullish momentum now slows down & starts dropping towards $2,718.
Option 2: Gold pushes a little higher towards $2,785 next.
How does the dollar's strength endure amidst domestic turmoil?
A Resilient Currency
Despite a tumultuous political climate and growing social divisions, the U.S. dollar has shown remarkable strength, particularly in recent months. As measured by Bloomberg's Dollar Spot Index, the greenback has surged approximately 3.1% in October alone. This resilience is surprising, given the erosion of trust in American institutions and the increasing polarization of the country.
Why is the Dollar So Strong?
Several factors contribute to the dollar's enduring strength:
1. Safe-Haven Status: The U.S. dollar has long been considered a safe-haven asset. In times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical turmoil, investors often flock to the dollar as a reliable store of value. The current global landscape, marked by geopolitical tensions and economic volatility, has solidified the dollar's status as a safe haven.
2. Interest Rate Differentials: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy plays a crucial role in influencing the dollar's value. By raising interest rates, the Fed makes it more attractive for investors to hold dollar-denominated assets. As a result, the demand for the dollar increases, leading to appreciation.
3. Global Economic Disparity: The U.S. economy, while facing its own challenges, remains relatively strong compared to many other major economies. This economic disparity can lead to capital inflows into the U.S., further boosting the dollar's value.
4. Global Currency Reserve: The U.S. dollar is widely used as a global reserve currency. Central banks around the world hold significant amounts of U.S. dollars, which helps to maintain demand for the currency.
The Disconnect Between Currency and Country
The dollar's strength can be seen as a paradox, given the growing political polarization and social unrest in the U.S. However, it is important to distinguish between the country's political and social climate and its economic fundamentals. While the former may impact investor sentiment in the long run, the latter has a more immediate impact on the currency.
As long as the U.S. economy remains relatively stable and the Federal Reserve continues to pursue sound monetary policies, the dollar is likely to maintain its strength. However, it is essential to monitor geopolitical risks, global economic conditions, and domestic political developments that could potentially impact the dollar's value.
A Word of Caution
While the dollar's current strength is impressive, it is important to remember that market conditions can change rapidly. A sudden shift in investor sentiment, a change in Federal Reserve policy, or a significant geopolitical event could lead to a decline in the dollar's value.
It is crucial for investors to stay informed about global economic and political developments and to diversify their portfolios to mitigate risk. By understanding the factors that influence the dollar's value and making informed investment decisions, individuals can navigate the complex and ever-changing global financial landscape.
EUR/USD Selloff CaseGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
EUR/USD FACING SELLING PRESSURE. $DXY MULTIPLE PIVOTS POINTSGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
DXY: Local Correction Ahead! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 104.323
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
King Dollar Reigns Supreme: DXY Strategic Outlook🔸Hello guys, today let's review D1 price chart for DXY. We are trading
inside well-defined multi year range, currently closing in on range highs.
🔸Every EURUSD trader need to study this chart and bookmark it in
order to time his entries/exits for EURUSD. Dollar still reigns supreme.
🔸Range lows defined at 100.00 , range highs set at 106.75.
This is the active trading range for DXY since early 2023 it's
well-defined and it's very unlikely that price will exit this range
any time soon so traders should focus on trading based on key s/r
levels on the DXY price chart.
🔸Key Zones: S 100.25 / 101.25 / 102.75 R 105.25 / 106.50
🔸Currently I'm expecting pullback from overhead resistance 105.25
is the critical level where we can expect pullback in DXY, so that's
when you want to also go LONG EURUSD, when DXY maxes out / enters
pullback stage of the cycle.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: when DXY hits resistance
at 105.25, BUY/HOLD EURUSD, target is 200/300 pips on BUY side for EURUSD. Once the pullback in DXY is over/complete at 102.70, short EURUSD, final target on sell side for EURUSD is 1.0500. Good luck traders!
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GOLD → Consolidation amid a bull run. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range of 2758 - 2713. Relatively strong support is forming to confirm the buyer's intentions, and the fundamental background is still favorable for the ATH retest
The dollar continues to rise on the back of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed, as well as the upcoming US election. In general, this is a negative leverage against gold.
BUT. The decline in the gold price remains limited due to renewed expectations of additional stimulus measures in China, as the largest gold consumer in the world, and the situation in the Middle East, where there is no hint of de-escalation of the situation.
The situation, technically, is simple. Trade inside the range and exclusively from strong levels. A possible retest of the range boundary, post facto, will determine the future prospects.
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2728-2724, 2713
Bounces or false breakdowns may be formed against the boundaries, as gold is flat. Another retest of resistance may lead to a breakout and growth towards ATH. It can also happen after the support retest before further growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!