Bullish continuation?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,364.01
1st Support: 2,548.35
1st Resistance: 2,788.17
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J-ETH
ETHEREUM is repeating BITCOIN's 2018-2021 Cycle!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has found itself on a very strong rally since the April 07 bottom, which resembles the V-shaped recovery of Bitcoin on the March 09 2020 bottom. In fact BTC's whole 2018 - 2021 Bull Cycle resembles ETH's 2022 - 2025 Cycle so far.
So far ETH is struggling to break above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but the most important Resistance of the Cycle is the ATH Lower Highs trend-line. When that broke for Bitcoin, a parabolic rally started. Do you think we will see such a break-out on ETH too by the end of the year?
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ETH NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Inside the red zone from the previous analysis, there was also a SWAP zone that price reacted to. The pullback trendline has also been broken. After re-evaluating the chart, the best area for a potential re-entry is the $2,165 to $2,250 range.
Do not enter a position without a proper setup and risk management | you could easily become market maker bait.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this bearish scenario.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH.D (Ethereum Dominance) Weekly TF 2025
Summary:
Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D) has likely bottomed after retracing to its 78.6% Fibonacci level (~6.59%) and is showing early signs of a structural reversal. With institutional inflows, growing staking adoption, and key upcoming Ethereum upgrades, ETH.D may reclaim significant market dominance over the next 12–18 months. Our chart anticipates a bounce-pullback-rebound structure, aiming for 3 target zones: TP1 (23.5%), TP2 (30.8%), and TP3 (39%).
Contextual Market Alignment:
This ETH.D bullish bias aligns strongly with our broader market outlook:
TOTAL Market Cap Analysis → Bullish breakout structure, indicating overall crypto expansion.
TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Ex-BTC) → Bullish retracement completion and extension targets active.
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) → Bearish confluence zone, suggesting Bitcoin may underperform versus ETH and altcoins, freeing up dominance space for ETH.D to rise.
Chart Context:
This weekly ETH.D chart uses a Fibonacci retracement from the top (~30.81%) to bottom (0%) to identify potential reversal zones. The dominance hit a key support area at the 78.6% Fib retracement (6.59%), showing a reaction that may develop into a reversal. The roadmap includes:
Rebound toward TP1 (23.54% = 23.5%)
Minor correction or consolidation
Breakout continuation toward TP2 (0.0% = 30.8%)
Extension leg targeting TP3 (–27% = 39%)
Key Technical Observations:
Support Levels:
78.60% = 6.59% (bottom support)
88.60%=3.5%
Possible Resistances:
61.80% = 11.77%
48.60% = 15.84%
38.20% = 19.04%
Resistance & TPs:
TP1: 23.54% (23.6% Fib)
TP2: 30.81% (Full retrace = 0%)
TP3: 39.13% (–27% extension)
Current level: ~9.36%
Clear bullish structure with a “bounce–pullback–rebound” sequence
Indicators:
Fibonacci retracements from ~30.81% to 0%
Structural pattern: rounded bottom / double bottom
Hidden bullish divergence forming on weekly timeframe
Fundamental Context:
Institutional Inflows & ETF Dynamics:
Since July 2024’s launch of spot Ether ETFs, inflows have been strong with a 15-day streak totaling approximately $837 million (~25% of total net inflows).
Recently, the SEC approved options trading on spot ETH ETFs (e.g., BlackRock, Grayscale), deepening liquidity and offering hedging mechanisms.
BlackRock is now pushing to add staking functionality allowing yield generation within an ETF wrapper. If approved, this could markedly increase demand.
Staking Growth & On-Chain Supply Dynamics:
27% of ETH is already staked, and ETF inflows could lift that by >10%.
A staking ETF would institutionalize ETH staking: more capital locked, less circulating supply → supply constraints could support dominance and valuation.
Ethereum Backbone in DeFi & RWA:
Ethereum still leads the Real-World Asset (RWA) space: over 50% market share and ~$5–6 billion in assets tokenized on-chain.
Its core infrastructure underlies the majority of DeFi, smart contracts, and stablecoins, reinforcing ETH.D’s structural resilience.
Network Upgrades & Tech Progress:
The Pectra upgrade (mid-2025) is on the horizon, introducing EIP-7251/7702, improving validator flexibility and network usability.
Combined with recent Dencun improvements, Ethereum is becoming cheaper and more efficient, boosting adoption in L2 ecosystems.
Price action & on-chain indicators:
ETH price has surged ~46% in the past 30 days, driven by ETF demand; some analyst forecasts target $3,000–5,000 year-end.
The withdrawal of ~$1.2 billion ETH from exchanges suggests increasing long-term holdings and less selling pressure.
Integrating with Your Technical Setup:
Level: 78.6%–61.8% bounce zones (6–11%)
Fundamental Support: Institutional re-entry via ETFs often begins with accumulation near support.
Level: TP1 at 23.6% (23.5%)
Fundamental Support: Could coincide with ETF inflows + early vesting of staking narratives.
Level: TP2 (~30.8%)
Fundamental Support: Full retrace driven by mass ETF adoption, options trading, and upgrade momentum.
Level: TP3 >39% (–27% ext.)
Fundamental Support: If staking ETF and yield-bearing structures go live, ETH.D could reach new dominance highs.
Summary of Fundamental Catalysts:
Spot ETH ETF inflows (~$800 M), with options exposure adding liquidity.
Upcoming staking ETF (BlackRock, Grayscale) with >10% locked-up supply implications.
Ethereum remains the DeFi and RWA backbone, sustaining structural demand.
Protocol upgrades (Pectra, Dencun) enhance scalability and adoption.
On-chain withdrawal trends show growing holder conviction.
Narrative / Bias & Strategy Implication:
ETH.D has likely completed its correction and is primed for a staged bullish reversal, mirroring prior cycles. The chart forecasts a rally toward TP1, where some short-term profit-taking and rotation to alts may occur (Alts season). Following that, a retrace may set up the next impulsive move to reclaim lost dominance and eventually challenge prior highs.
Time Horizon: Mid-2025 to late 2026
ETH New Update (4H)After being rejected from the higher levels and losing the trigger line, Ethereum now appears to have pulled back into the range zone and the trigger line.
It is expected that the price will be rejected once again from the red zone to the downside, and then turn bullish again from one of the two green zones and move upward.
This is our current outlook on Ethereum. The analysis will be updated accordingly.
Keep in mind that taking short positions in these zones is not low-risk either!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH. seed at 2400 zone today. Poised for +1000$ price growth.ETH was met with a good healthy correction back to 38.2 Fib. An ideal retracement zone for new buyers to converge.
ETH was able to tap 2800 zone before retreating back to -400 -- and everything is moving based on expectation. The current behavior just made the bull scenario much attractive now conveying some healthy metrics for the bulls.
Best to seed at the current price as 2400 levels. Based on our diagram this is replicating the same structure as the last surge from 1500 area last April 2025.
From this range hibernation, we can see some good setup forming for the BULLS -- an apparent accumulation zone in progress.
Don't miss out if you missed the last pump -- its your chance today. It does'nt come often.
Spotted at 2400
Mid Target at 3400.
* The chart above is in USDETH, an eth reverse metrics -- depicting the heavy gravity bears at the moment. Bulls are about to take over soon.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
Ethereum: No Sellers, No Bears, No Pressure; Bullish ConfirmedTo put it simple, there is absolutely no selling pressure on ETHUSDT. And this is reasonable, Ethereum is now so cheap that not many people are looking to sell.
Let's dive into this chart and see what we can find.
Spoiler alert: I am no longer bearish on ETHUSDT. "The retrace" simply isn't a thing on this pair. There is no bearish action. Let's read the chart and see what it has to say.
The low 7-April... Ok.
8-May ETHUSDT produced a very strong green candle to break above EMA55 and EMA89. Volume was also high on this date. These levels tend to work as strong resistance and the fact they broke decisively, means that the bullish bias is confirmed and Ethereum isn't likely to move back below again. Whenever there is a drop, these lines will work as support.
The peak soon happened and Ethereum went sideways, it has been sideways in a small phase of consolidation. The lowest point came 18-May. There was a failed attempt by the bears to push prices lower but this ended as a big fail. Ethereum continues strong.
Here we have again EMA55 and EMA89, magenta and blue lines on the chart. These levels remain untested as support which is a signal of strength. While some pairs went down 20%, 30%, 50%, Ethereum's maximum drop has been 14%, now, that's strength.
As seen from the diagram on the chart, we are about to enter the third wave of a bullish impulse. There can be a correction after the third wave ends followed by additional growth.
The break of EMA55/89 as resistance confirms that Ethereum is bullish mid- to long-term. This means 3-6 months of growth.
Once MA200 is broken as resistance, we have at least six months of bullish growth confirmed, this will happen later this month.
No bears means the bulls are in control.
A very small retrace means buyers are strong.
It all makes sense, who would be willing to sell their Ether when there is so much room left for prices to grow?
No one, that is why prices remain strong.
Adapt to market conditions fast and live.
Some pairs are going down while others are going up.
Some pairs are sideways; some are growing strong.
This is the early stage of the 2025 bull-market, just wait and watch... Just watch! It will get wild faster than you think and it will become so wild that you won't be able to handle the market at all. Everything will become so good, so fast, that you will feel blessed for deciding to enter the Cryptocurrency market during April's low.
It is still early though, remember, $7,000 is the minimum price for Ethereum in late 2025. $11,000 is also possible.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Ethereum Danger Zone —Protection, Correction or Continuation?Ethereum can be seen trading below EMA55 on the 4H timeframe. The biggest volume session happened 9-May and it was red. This tells us that there is correction potential after a very strong 101.1% bullish growth wave.
There are mainly three levels to consider for the correction potential after ~100% growth. 0.382, 0.618 & 0.786 Fib. retracement levels. After the test of these levels, whichever one comes last, we can read the chart again and see if Ethereum will continue lower or produce a bullish wave.
One thing is very certain though, after strong growth, there is always a correction/retrace. This is what you are seeing now in this chart. The start of the drop. Taking action is best.
The market moves in waves and will never stop this pattern, it fluctuates. To trade, one buy lows near support; sells high when resistance hit. 100% growth is very strong for the second biggest Cryptocurrency project, the #1 Altcoin.
After a strong bullish wave there is always a correction. After the correction there can be more correction but at some point the market turns. Each chart/pair needs to be considered individually on multiple timeframes to have a better understanding as to what will happen next.
In a single day, based on the news, market conditions can always change. Stay alert!
Namaste.
Ethereum, Guessing The Next Move ($1,500 or $2,000?)The million dollars question; What about Ethereum, lower or recovery?
And this is truly a million dollars question because knowing the answer can make you millions. It can either safe you lots of money or it can make you lots of money.
👉 Ethereum is going lower.
The 18-May low happened at $2,323, and this low wasn't challenged, the drop yesterday ended as a higher low. But, there is something... We lost some important support levels.
ETHUSDT lost the 0.236 Fib. retracement, when this happens, the action tends to move to the next lower-level which is below the 18-May low.
Looking at the 4H TF, ETHUSDT lost EMA55 and MA200, so these are also pointing lower.
Just a few days back I mentioned $2,000 entry LONG opportunity for Ethereum, this price might be possible but it is still really early.
The market has been sideways and this breakdown is new. It would be good to wait for the weekly session close to see what prices we will get, without this information, I can say that it is still too early to say, but I can still make my guess. My guess is that it is going lower.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
HolderStat┆ETHUSD channel climbCRYPTOCAP:ETH cruises within a steep four-hour rising channel; the latest triangle breakout paused near 2.6 k. Converging trendlines, former consolidation support and higher-low structure all aim for the 2.9 k liquidity zone. Bulls steer while the channel median holds.
ETH Weekly – Signs Aligning for a Long Setup
ETH is forming subtle higher lows above the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the 200MA—both sitting near the same key support zone.
The 50MA is currently acting as resistance, but structurally we’re seeing MLR > SMA > BB center, and the PSAR flipped bullish since the week of May 12.
We now have all the signals needed for a valid long entry on this timeframe.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
ETH Monthly – Fibonacci Structure in Play
ETH has been respecting the monthly Fibonacci levels with surprising precision.
There was a clear double top at the 0.236 Fib in May and November 2024, with a base forming at the 0.5 Fib. That same 0.5 Fib now acts as support, aligned with the 50MA.
The BB centre is currently stopping price, but for how long remains to be seen.
SMA is above MLR and rising, which supports a bullish bias.
If this structure holds, the next resistance zones may align with the higher Fib levels.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
$ETH - Short-term Outlook Ethereum is stuck in a neutral zone. Unless it breaks above the $2.8k resistance, altcoins likely won't see much movement either.
It's consolidating below the resistance, in a high-volume node after strong impulse from $1.7k
No strong seller absorption yet at resistance → suggests indecision
We have to break above the mid-range for a bullish shift or possible retest of the supply zone at $3k to $3.4k
Ethereum is still bullish! (1D)First of all, read the text carefully to avoid any misunderstandings.you should know that the market is currently at a sensitive point, and Ethereum’s bullish move does not necessarily mean other coins will follow the same path.
As marked on the chart, the START of Ethereum’s bullish move began after a lengthy and deep correction. Observing ETH's current behavior, this wave is sharp and appears to be more of a time-based correction rather than price-based. Wave B moved sideways and took significantly more time than wave A, suggesting that wave C could very well begin without a deep pullback, pushing price toward higher levels.
There’s a liquidity pool in the upper area that we’ve highlighted. In order for this momentum to slow down, price likely needs to hunt a major liquidity level.
There was a fresh order block inside the liquidity pool, and although price touched it, there wasn’t a deep reaction | lows weren’t taken out, and all the lows during the correction have remained intact, which is a bullish signal.
It seems that price intends to at least reach the red zone we've marked.
For this scenario to play out, the two green lines near the current price candles must hold. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
$ETH Broadening Wedge TargetCRYPTOCAP:ETH reached its technical target of $4K from the ascending triangle (Jul '22-Oct '23).
CRYPTOCAP:ETH appears to be back in the multi-year range between $1.9K-$4K.
If the Bull Market continues, the current macro pattern could develop into a flat top broadening wedge with a target of $11.7K.
Invalidation if it fails to break $4K, or falls to Hades.
ETH/USD gearing up for potential breakoutThe ETH/USD has been coiling inside a bullish continuation pattern for several weeks now and a breakout could be on the cards soon. The consolidation suggests ETH is gearing up for a potential breakout soon, as it chips away at resistance coming from the 200-day moving average near $2700.
Further resistance is seen between $2745 to $2855, as shaded in grey on the chart. If it gets through this area of resistance in the coming days, then a big breakout could be on the cards, with the first stop likely around $3,000, but we could go much further than that over time, given the length of the current consolidation.
However, it is essential that the ETH/USD doesn't break the support trend of the consolidation pattern and key support at $2470 now. If it does, then that would invalidate the bullish price structure.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com