ETh → a high timeframe analysishello guys!
the news forced the price dump!
1. Double Top Completion:
- Description: The double top pattern projected a target of $2,100, which the price has successfully reached. This indicates that the bearish move triggered by this pattern has played out.
- Outcome: Since the target has been met, the selling pressure may decrease, and we could see consolidation or a potential reversal.
2. Current Support Zone:
- Description: The price is now hovering slightly above $2,100, at around $2,280. This area could act as a new support zone, especially since it aligns with the long-term upward trendline.
- Outcome: If this support holds, the market may enter a consolidation phase, with potential for a bullish reversal if buying pressure increases.
3. Next Potential Move:
- Bullish Scenario: If the price continues to hold above the $2,100-$2,280 support range, and if it breaks above the nearby resistance zone ($2,500-$2,700), it could signal the start of a new upward move, potentially targeting higher levels like $3,000 or beyond.
- Bearish Scenario: If the support around $2,100 breaks, the price might test lower levels. The next significant support could be around $1,800, which was previously highlighted as a strong support zone.
Summary:
- Completion of Bearish Move: The target of $2,100 being hit marks the completion of the double top pattern's bearish move.
- Critical Support Level: The $2,100-$2,280 zone is now a critical support area to watch.
- Market Direction: The next direction will likely depend on whether the price can hold this support and break above resistance, or if it will fail and move lower.
Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the market's next move.
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J-ETH
ETHBTC has bottomed Of personal belief that ETHBTC has finally bottomed out and will outperform BTC for a while moving forward. ETH proxies like ETH based memes will benefit even more.
Bullish Divergence on Weekly and 2Week Chart
Golden Pocket Support.
Sentiment in the toilet..
Time to reverse trend :)
Bitcoin Reversal After Hitting Demand AreaIn my two most recent BTC analyses I talked about an ideal area for entry in case BTC reversed from the top yellow resistance of the channel it has been trading in for 6 months at this point.
As expected, the green area on the chart has functioned as a huge area of demand, right in between the supports (yellow and purple). The drop was a bit more steep than initially anticipated due to a big sell-off in the stock markets, but the reversal is here nevertheless.
At this moment it's still unclear whether BTC will find its way up all the way towards the top of the channel yet again. The daily shooting-star wick suggests that bulls took over in the short-term, however.
As mentioned in previous analyses, BTC is currently trading in a longer term grey zone. I'm bullish above the top yellow resistance and bearish below the bottom purple support. It's not the time for long-term longs or shorts, in my view.
Remember my last ETH analysis where I talked about the initial bearish shock after the spot ETF approval (we saw the same with the BTC spot ETF). If the BTC ETF is any indication, we will enter a long-term trend from here.
ETH's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!The price felled to PRZ zone. and now price can react to PRZ zone and then rise up.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ETH looks still bearishEthereum is constantly making lower H's and L's. The larger structure is bearish as you can see.
You can look for sell/short positions in the premium range.
We are looking for sell/short positions in the supply range.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter a position without setting a stop and capital management and confirmation and trigger.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks
ETH/USDT 1-day chart update:! ETH/USDT 1-day chart update:
ETH has broken below a crucial support level, indicating potential further declines.
The price is close to a crucial ascending trendline, which could act as
a bounce back with potential resistance around $2,800 if the trendline holds.
If the trendline fails, the price could drop to around $2,000.
Monitor trading volumes to gauge the strength of the current move.
Check RSI levels for oversold conditions, which could signal a potential reversal.
Traders should remain cautious and keep an eye out for any signs of trend reversal or continuation.
Remember: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
ETHUSDT.1DIn my analysis of the Ethereum (ETH/USDT) daily chart, I've identified key technical elements that are crucial for understanding the current market dynamics. Firstly, it's important to note the failure of the Ichimoku calculation, which may necessitate reapplication or adjustment for a clearer analysis.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a strong bearish momentum, indicated by the significant separation between the MACD line and the signal line, with the histogram trending downward. This suggests that the selling pressure has been increasing, potentially leading to further declines if not reversed soon.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 37.42, which is below the midline of 50 but not yet in the oversold territory (below 30). This positioning indicates that while there is bearish momentum, there might be room for further downward movement before the market is technically considered oversold.
From the price action, we observe that ETH has recently broken below the support level at $3,043, now acting as resistance (R1). This breakdown could signal a continued bearish trend towards the next support level (S1) at $2,126.90. If this level fails to hold, the decline could extend further, potentially testing much lower supports.
For potential recovery scenarios, ETH would need to reclaim and stabilize above $3,043 to alleviate immediate bearish pressure. A move above this level could open the path towards the next resistance at $4,105.80 (R2). However, given the current market conditions indicated by the MACD and RSI, such a bullish reversal might require significant volume and positive market catalysts.
In conclusion, the current technical setup suggests caution for ETH traders, with an emphasis on monitoring the $2,126.90 support level closely. A break below this could lead to significant losses, while a recovery above $3,043 might signal a short-term bullish reversal. As always, it's crucial to consider external market factors and news that could influence price movements beyond what technical indicators alone can predict.
ETH is expected to see some stability and big price movementPrice Range and Volatility:
I see #Ethereum is predicted to trade within a range of $2,695.10 to $3,503.26 throughout August, with an average price around $3,173.50.
There is a seasonally weak period expected from August to October, which might see ETH prices dropping but still remaining within bullish support levels. If ETH maintains above the $2,555 support level, it could present a buying opportunity.
The anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts in September is expected to increase liquidity in the market, potentially benefiting cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. This could lead to increased inflows into ETH ETFs, supporting a price rebound
#ETH/USDT WEEKLY CHART ANALIYSIS !The ETH/USDT weekly update shows a bearish breakdown below a key support level, with the price currently at $2,502.09. Ethereum is approaching an ascending trendline, a crucial support level. Failure to hold this level could cause the price to drop to around $2,000. Conversely, a bounce off this trendline could face resistance at the previous support level of $2,800. Traders should keep an eye on volume and RSI signals to gauge the strength of the current downtrend and potential reversal points.
Remember: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
Next Volatility Period: Around August 14th - 18thHello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(1M Chart)
You can see that the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) section is an important section.
If it falls in this section, it is likely to turn into a downtrend in the long term, so be careful when trading.
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(1W chart)
If it falls in the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) range, it is likely to eventually touch the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, as the price falls, we need to check at what point the HA-Low indicator is generated.
If not, it is expected to fall to around 1340.12, where the HA-Low indicator is currently located.
However, we need to check for support near the 2159.00 point (the bottom point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1M chart) and the 1783.0 point (the top point of the HA-Low indicator box on the 1W chart).
If it rises, it is likely to face resistance near 3265.0-3321.30, so we need to check for support.
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(1D chart)
It is a medium-term rising channel, that is, it has entered a short-term falling channel while falling from the rising trend line (1) ~ (2) section.
This short-term falling channel is a channel made up of high-point trend lines.
Therefore, if it falls from this channel, it is thought that it is likely to record another large decline.
That is why the key is whether there is support near the 1783.0-2159.0 section.
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When making new purchases, it is recommended to check whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart if possible.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 3079.59 point.
However, since there is a high possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created depending on price fluctuations, I think it is better to wait for it to be created at some point.
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The time to buy is when StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and the StochRSI indicator is out of the oversold zone, and you can proceed by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Currently, I think it is most likely to check whether there is support above the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) range.
If it falls,
1st: 2159.0
2nd: 1783.0
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Continued decline?Ethereum is in a strong downtrend and has been unable to break through key resistance levels. This indicates continued selling pressure and decreased investor confidence.
Support and Resistance Levels:
$3110 Level: This is a key resistance level that the price has been unable to surpass and has sharply declined after hitting it.
$3000 Level: This level also acted as resistance, and after breaking below this level, the downtrend continued.
$2850 Level: This support level was also broken, and the price has reached $2677.
$2677 Level: This is an important support level that, if broken, could lead to further price declines.
$2170 Level: This is the lowest support level currently, with the price near this level. If this level is also broken, further declines in Ethereum's price may be observed.
Ichimoku Cloud and Downtrend:
As long as the price remains below the Ichimoku Cloud and key resistance levels, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing is higher. Breaking through these levels could indicate a return of buyer strength and a potential trend reversal.
SOLANA to FLIP ETHEREUM scenarioThis is the market cap of SOL divided by the market cap of ETH
It's important to look at the m-cap charts since the circulating of these coins are constantly changing.
Sol to flip Eth is a good bull market narrative that probably WON'T happen --- but could be still be very profitable.
The gap could close to where the pundits will start very talking about it. (This should be a take profit / topping signal when this noise becomes too loud)
As you can see. in the chart Solana has broken out of a ratio range
and appears to be setting up for an aggressive move after some more pressure being built up in that upward sloping channel.
Again this just a scenario that seems to be playing out .
No guarantees
watch and observe
look for good entries
no need to go all in
BUt having exsposure would not hurt.
I shared very early in the cycle that Solana would outperform ETH by multiples...
which has come to pass ... this would be the euphoric phase of the cycle where significant Hot and new money could pour into that particular #Blockchain casino.
BTC Recent Price MovementRecent Price Movement: BTC has experienced a decline from $65,000 to $50,000 and is now consolidating around $55,000.
Support and Resistance: Key support is identified at $50,000 and resistance at $52,000.
Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing oversold conditions, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating a potential bullish divergence.
Example Scenario
Range Trading:
LONG:
Entry: Buy BTC at $55,000
Stop-Loss: $53,000
Take-Profit: $58,000
Position Size: Adjust according to your risk tolerance and capital
Breakout Trading:
Entry: Buy BTC at $58,000
Stop-Loss: $50,000
Take-Profit: $65,000
Position Size: Adjust according to your risk tolerance and capital
Monitoring and Adjustment
Continuously monitor BTC's price action and adjust the strategy as necessary.
Be prepared to exit the trade early if market conditions change unfavorably.
Remember, this is a hypothetical trading idea and should be tailored to your specific financial situation, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Jul.30-Aug.5(ETH)Weekly market recapAfter the release of employment data last Friday, the Sahm rule was triggered and the FUD of recession swept through various financial assets. The stock market and BTC both suffered a very significant correction. But is this really the case?
After the employment data was released, BTC and US stocks were the first to react, with US stocks remaining volatile after opening lower on Friday. BTC dumped over the weekend and drove the Asia-Pacific stock market. But gold did not rise. Even under the dual momentum of Iran's potential attack on Israel and recession expectations, it only fluctuated and did not price recession.
Another point that has been ignored by the market is that as a leading indicator of recession, U.S. bond yields have been inverted for a long time. The market once priced in a recession in 2023 because of the inversion of U.S. bond yields, but now ignores it at this point.
We don’t deny the recession. But we may have already been in it, and the market’s reaction was too violent, at least for BTC and Asia-Pacific stock markets. The volatile upward trend of U.S. stocks after opening lower on Monday, as well as the pullback of XAUUSD, prove this view. Therefore, from a macroeconomic perspective, we do not believe that there is room for further dumping of various financial assets, or that bullish strategies are better than bearish ones.
The decline of ETH is much greater than that of BTC. This may be because a large amount of ETH is staked in the protocol, which indeed increases the liquidity but the volatility. ETH has wiped out almost all of its gains from 2024, and it’s hard to imagine this in an environment where an ETH ETF is listed. But in any case, ETH also had a long downward pin-bar, and the bulls strengthened.
Judging from the indicators, there have been signs of whales participating in transactions in the past two days, which means that whales have been bargain hunting after ETH fell. The ME indicator has turned bearish.
To sum up, we believe that ETH may mainly fluctuate this week, and the downward trend is more likely than the upward trend. We lower the support level to 2400 and the resistance level to 2800.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
We are due a 2017 style ALT season.One for the memory banks!
Now
do we actually get what we are "owed" ?? :)
We don't know
and nothing is owed to us of couurse
But
Selling too soon could be quite disastrous... as many peopleI speak to say to me 5X - 10X I am out..
Which may be prudent
If you are out. Stay out and don't FOMO back in again near the tops
So it's best to scale out in my opinion
last cycle was a quite difficult Alt season ... some bag holders actually did not get to experience any euphoria
Hence why I am leaning to an exsplosive alt season
BTC at $70k doesn't feel euphoric
so what will it take?
Chainlink Business As Usual It might seem like a shock for most that Chainlink had this big move down, but if you have spent a lot of time studying Chainlink's last cycle, you would know that this is business as usual.
The fact that Chainlink had this move has made me more bullish than ever. We are currently 64% down from March 2024. Crazy? I think not.
71%
71%
62%
44%
These are all the corrections Chainlink had during its last cycle to its all-time high.
All we are doing is a back test to this previous range. Chainlink was doing the same thing last cycle.
If we overlay the last cycle over this starting from wave 5, we can see that we have had a crash during the same time of the cycle as we did in March 2020 (Covid). Crazy.
I would not be surprised if Chainlink closed above $11 by the end of the week, just above the 1:1 Gann Fan, and started a V-shaped recovery, marking the bottom. There is a very high chance.
Once again, my time fibs hit right on the money. The blue fib marked the bottom, and the yellow marked the top!
**Next date: 18th Nov 2024**
Chainlink Business As Usual It might seem like a shock for most that Chainlink had this big move down, but if you have spent a lot of time studying Chainlink's last cycle, you would know that this is business as usual.
The fact that Chainlink had this move has made me more bullish than ever. We are currently 64% down from March 2024. Crazy? I think not.
71%
71%
62%
44%
These are all the corrections Chainlink had during its last cycle to its all-time high.
All we are doing is a back test to this previous range. Chainlink was doing the same thing last cycle.
If we overlay the last cycle over this starting from wave 5, we can see that we have had a crash during the same time of the cycle as we did in March 2020 (Covid). Crazy.
I would not be surprised if Chainlink closed above $11 by the end of the week, just above the 1:1 Gann Fan, and started a V-shaped recovery, marking the bottom. There is a very high chance.
Once again, my time fibs hit right on the money. The blue fib marked the bottom, and the yellow marked the top!
**Next date: 18th Nov 2024**
Ethereum's Revival A Prime Opportunity for a Strong Rebound Analyzing the current market conditions for ETH/USDT, there are several technical indicators suggesting that Ethereum might be poised for a significant upward movement from its current price of $2,444. The recent sharp decline in price has brought Ethereum to a crucial support level, which has historically acted as a strong foundation for upward reversals.
Firstly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the 30 level due to the recent sell-off, indicating that Ethereum is currently in oversold territory. This suggests that the selling pressure may have been overextended, providing a potential opportunity for buyers to enter the market and capitalize on the discounted price.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also starting to show signs of a bullish crossover. The MACD line is approaching the signal line from below, which often precedes a bullish trend reversal. This potential crossover, coupled with the oversold RSI, strengthens the case for a price rebound.
Additionally, the Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly during the recent price drop, reflecting increased volatility. However, the price has begun to stabilize around the lower band, suggesting that the downward momentum is waning and a reversal could be on the horizon.
Furthermore, the trading volume has spiked dramatically during the sell-off, indicating heightened market interest and participation. Historically, high volume during price declines can precede reversals as it suggests that new buyers are stepping in to absorb the selling pressure.
The Fibonacci retracement levels also align with this analysis, as the price is currently hovering around the 61.8% retracement level from the previous rally. This level is often considered a strong support area where price reversals are likely to occur.
From a fundamental perspective, Ethereum continues to see strong network activity and development progress, further supporting the potential for a rebound. The recent pullback may have been driven by broader market sentiment rather than any Ethereum-specific issues, providing an attractive entry point for long-term investors.
Given these factors, it seems like an opportune moment to consider buying ETH/USDT in anticipation of a medium-term price increase. The combination of oversold conditions, technical support levels, and strong fundamental backing suggests that Ethereum is well-positioned to recover from its recent dip and potentially target new highs in the coming weeks and months.
Ethereum : WHALES sell, RE-Accumulation Phase NOWIt's made headlines that large whale wallets have sold off large chucks, driving the price of ETH down by over 35% in only a few days.
We see a yearly low in the daily RSI, as well as an "Oversold" flash on the Technical indicator.
The good news, is that this will give buyers a few weeks to re-accumulate ETH before the next impulse wave up starts:
For the short term, the price will likely continue to trade down the lower Bollinger Bands until the sell-off is over. Retail is catching on to the sell off, so it's likely we'll see wicky price action as this kind of volume will be attractive for algo trading.
For the SHORT and NEAR term I am bearish, but for the NEAR to LONG term I remain bullish that another impulse wave up is next.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT