Important section: 3265.0 ~ 0.618 (3543.65)Hello, traders.
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I think that the cause of the large volatility in the investment market is various political, economic, and social causes that affect the investment market.
Therefore, I look for various issues or news.
However, I think that these causes rarely directly affect the investment market.
Therefore, I think it is better to first understand the flow of funds or charts of investment products and then look at various issues or news.
Otherwise, you may interpret various issues or news from a subjective point of view and proceed with trading in the wrong direction.
I hope that you always keep this in mind and maintain objectivity when conducting trading.
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(ETHUSD 12M chart)
ETHUSD chart is an INDEX chart provided by TradingView.
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The first rising wave rose to around 0.886 (1384.76), and the second rising wave rose to around 3.14 (468.08).
The wave we should pay attention to is the second wave.
Since the third wave is in progress after the second wave, I think it needs to rise above 0.707 (3879.94), which is the downtrend point of the second wave, to eventually create a new rising wave.
The 0.707 (3879.94) point corresponds to around 2.618 (3918.46) of the first rising wave, so we can see that it is an important location.
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Also, you can see that the 0.5 (3092.49) point of the second rising wave is important because it is near the 2 (3014.40) point of the first rising wave.
Therefore, if there is an additional decline, you should check if it is supported near 0.5 (3092.49).
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If the price rises above 0.618 (3541.38) of the second rising wave and maintains, I think it is likely to rise to near 1 (4994.56).
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The INDEX chart is a chart that synthesizes charts provided by multiple exchanges, so it cannot be used directly for trading.
Therefore, you can use the INDEX chart to analyze the chart.
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(ETHUSDT 1M chart)
The ETHUSDT chart is a Binance exchange chart.
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The 3321.30 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart.
Therefore, it means that a high point section has been formed at the 3321.30 point.
Therefore, if it is supported near 3321.30, it means that a new high point, that is, a new upward trend, is likely to be formed.
If it falls without support, it will create a downward wave.
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(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
It shows a downward and re-entered pattern in the rising channel.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 0.618 (3543.65).
If not, it should check whether it is supported near 3265.0-3321.30.
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If it falls below 3265.0-3321.30, there is a possibility that it will fall near the HA-Low indicator of the 1W chart, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator of the 1W chart is formed at the 1340.12 point.
As the price falls, there is a high possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created, so it is necessary to check where the HA-Low indicator is formed.
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What we can do from the current position is to check whether it is supported near 3265.0-3321.30 or near 0.618 (3543.65).
If it is supported near these two areas, you can start trading (buying).
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The chart may look complicated, but if you understand the important points or sections I mentioned in the explanation of the 1M, 1W charts above, I think you will have no difficulty in looking at the chart.
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The section with the circle drawn is likely to play an important role as support and resistance.
So, if you look at it broadly,
1. 3014.05-3321.30
2. 0.707 (3883.16) ~ 4093.92
You can see that the above 1 and 2 are forming large support and resistance sections.
If we break this down a bit more,
1. 3014.05 ~ 0.5 (3093.51)
2. 3265.0-3321.30
3. 3503.68 ~ 0.618 (3543.65)
4. 3787.59
5. 3962.19
It can be divided into 1-5 above.
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The current position is not a good area to start trading.
The reason is that support has not been confirmed yet.
Therefore, I think it is better to wait until support is confirmed around 3265.0-3321.30 or around 3503.68 ~ 0.618 (3543.65).
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Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 3079.59, it is highly likely that the step-down trend will start when it falls below 3079.59 at the current point.
Therefore, the support around 3265.0-3321.30 is the key.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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J-ETH
Suspicions of an Ethereum correction.Hello everyone. I suspect that Ethereum might correct to the $2,800-$3,000 range. The drop could be around ±20%.
Market makers might want to execute one last shakeout of long traders before initiating alt season and a bullish run. Don't forget about projects like Hamster Kombat, which could bring 100-200 million people to crypto exchanges (rumor has it the token listing has been postponed to August 18, 2024).
#eth #ethereum
ETHEREUM → 4K Target. Waiting for SEC with ETH-ETF ↑BINANCE:ETHUSDT is ending the sell-off phase. Buyers have held a strong support area, forming an intermediate bottom. The liquidity capture led to a rebound, which can move into the phase of the uptrend continuation.
Fundamentally, the main focus is on ETH-ETFs. Earlier traders were positive about the initial rumors of approval, now the important milestone is the admission of ETFs to trading, judging by the feedback and SEC sentiment, this could happen very soon (within 1-2 weeks)
Technically, strong buyers appear in the 2800-2900 zone (judging by candlestick patterns and volume growth), restraining the market from falling and gaining momentum with the purpose of further strengthening (local price movement has a consolidation character).
The trigger area for buyers is 3200. Accordingly, further final consolidation of the price above MA-200 and breakout of 3200 may become the reason for strengthening, the target of which may be 4000-4800.
Resistance levels: 3200, 3357
Support levels: MA-200, 2868
Fundamentally, the situation is positive, traders are waiting for the news from SEC. Technically, on local timeframes there are prerequisites for a bullish mood, on D1 a rebound from strong support is forming. Accordingly, the overall tandem is signaling a possible further rise to 4K.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ♦︎ ETHEREUM ♦︎ ;)
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM ETF With the Ethereum ETF decision just days away, ETH has made a massive breakout play in an effort to front run a positive ETF outcome, the approval of VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares ETH ETFs on the 23rd & 24th May respectively.
In terms of price action and charting this is how I see it. Now that price has broken out from the downtrend and hit the Bearish OB as shown, I think many were caught of guard and expected any sort of volatility to come on the day of the decisions. Instead it seems many have decided to front run the decision and go long which opens up more challenges. I think ETH had priced in a rejection of the ETF at ~£3K , with how the SEC has viewed ETH and it's stance on insisting it's a security, Coinbase estimated a 30-40% chance of an approval last weekend. Now that price has risen almost as if we already have news of approval I think that should the ETF be denied we could fall straight back down to $3K area with support areas shown as targets on the chart. This would print a Bart Simpson style pattern and many Longs will be devastated.
On the other hand, Bloomberg have said that the chances of approval has gone from 25% to 75% and the chart shows this new level of optimism. If the ETF is approved I could see ETH using this current level as a base to target new local highs and close the gap on BTC dominance.
Jul.16-Jul.22(ETH)Weekly market recapThe rise from the excellent CPI lasted for 10 days, and Biden’s quit from the next presidential election continues the bull trend. The pricing for CPI has ended. The market has once again entered a macro cooling period. We don’t think PCE on Friday will change anything. The next important macro event will be the FOMC release at the end of the July. Although it is almost impossible for the next FOMC to cut interest rates, bulls need to find reasons to maintain strength from the FOMC statement and Powell's speech.
Also worth paying special attention to in the coming week is the Bitcoin 2024 conference. Trump will take the stage to give a speech on the last day. If he really includes BTC as a strategic reserve of the United States as he said before, then BTC will be crazy about it.
On the other hand, the ETH ETF was officially approved a few hours ago, and will officially trade in the next session. This is a bullish event for ETH in the long term, but in the short term, the market reaction is not ideal. We believe that the trend of ETH may be the same as that of BTC through ETF. Take a break and then go up.
ETH encountered bearish strength after hitting 3500. The performance over the past seven days has been weaker than that of BTC. The ME indicator continues to maintain its bullish trend. But judging from the WTA indicators, like BTC, whale participation has been low in the past seven days, and even the transaction volume has continued to decrease.
In summary, we believe that ETH may remain fluctuating this week. The probability of rising is greater than falling. The approval of ETF will benefit ETH in the long term, and the ETH/BTC rate will rise. We maintain the resistance level 4000 and support level 2800.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Ethereum ETF Approval Met With Bearish Technical PatternBINANCE:ETHUSDT managed to print a slight gain over the past 24 hours to trade at $3,497.30 at press time.
This slight uptick in the ETH price comes after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the listing of multiple spot Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds).
A Bearish Chart Pattern Forms on ETH’s Daily Chart
The Ethereum price was rejected by the major resistance level at $3,555 in the last 48 hours, resulting in a retracement to the 9 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line. If the leading altcoin falls below this technical crutch, ETH might be at risk of falling to the $3,351.15 support, which is also confluent with the 20 EMA line.
Traders and investors will want to take note of the bearish rising wedge pattern that has formed on ETH’s daily chart. This specific pattern suggests the Ethereum price might undergo a strong correction. If this pattern is validated, the crypto’s price could fall below the $3,351.15 support and possibly fall to as low as $3,094.39 in the short to medium term.
However, the Ethereum price might still bounce off of the $3,351.15 support if the rising wedge pattern plays out. This could be a pull back before the altcoin rallies above $3,555 to potentially rise to $3,677.31.
This potential price drop might not even happen if ETH manages to close a daily candle above $3,555 within the next 3 days. In this alternative scenario, the Ethereum price might attempt a challenge at the aforementioned $3,677.31 resistance.
Technicals Warn the Ethereum Price Might Pull Back
Technical indicators on ETH’s daily chart warn the Ethereum price might drop in the next 48 hours. Both the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators are on the verge of triggering major bearish flags.
Although the MACD line is currently positioned bullishly above the MACD Signal line, the narrowing gap between the two indicators warns that the positive cycle might soon come to an end. Meanwhile, the RSI is closing in on its Simple Moving Average (SMA) line on the daily chart, which could signal a bearish shift in strength if the two lines cross in the next 48-72 hours.
Ethereum Spot ETF TOMORROW! Expect a HUGE Sell-Off!The Ethereum Spot ETF launches tomorrow, July 23, 2024.
Over the 12 days following the Bitcoin Spot ETF launch on January 11th, CRYPTOCAP:BTC retraced ~20%
If Ethereum follows this pattern, it should fall to ~$2,800 around August 4th.
We know that Grayscale holds ~$9.87B CRYPTOCAP:ETH and it plans on charging its customers 10x the management fee vs competitors.
I very much expect a big sell-off because of this, possibly greater than 20%
Ethereum's Next Big Update: How This Trade Setup Scored 4% Here's a short and sweet update on our ETH trade: Remember, while this trade was profitable, always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately in future trades.
#Ethereum #ETHUpdate #CryptoTrading #DeFi #BlockchainTechnology #TradingStrategy #Cryptocurrency #ETHLong #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInvesting
Phemex Analysis #8: Will Ethereum ETF spark a Bullish Run?The news of the Ethereum Spot ETF launching next Tuesday has been circulating widely online in recent days. Will the launch trigger a bullish run for PHEMEX:ETHUSDT.P ?
Here are some key points to consider regarding the ETH price.
Impressive Rise: ETH rose from $1565 (October 20, 2023) to $4098 (March 12, 2024), a significant 161.7% increase in just five months.
Recent Price Action: The 1D chart shows ETH forming a potential Head & Shoulders pattern; 1st Top is at 12th March 2024 and 2nd Top is at 27th May 2024. However, a solid base (support level) has also formed around $2800.
Current Price Action: ETH is currently facing resistance at $3535 and consolidating between $3517 and $3230. This retracement from the resistance level is normal and could be a sign of preparation for a future bullish run.
There are two main possibilities following the launch of the ETH ETF.
Scenario 1: Bullish Run
If the ETF news ignites a bullish run, we can expect a high-volume breakout above the $3535 resistance level. This could be an opportunity to chase the highs, but remember to set a stop loss in case this become a false breakout. Volume is Key here.
Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation
The price might continue to consolidate around $3517-$3230 or even drop to create a higher low above $2800. This could be a good opportunity to buy low.
Note: If you think ETH ETF launched will have positive impact on ETH price, you can leverage our In-house Grid Bots to capture the profit on both scenarios above. Try it out at our website & join the 280k successful traders on our Trading Bots.
Bullish breakout?ETH/USD is reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance level and could potentially breakout to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,530.53
1st Support: 3,375.84
1st Resistance: 3,709.39
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Bitcoin: I Was Wrong! Learn From My MistakesIn my most recent Bitcoin analysis I talked about further bearish pressure and a bearish breakout from a bear-flag pattern.
That didn't play out as expected. Actually, BTC saw an almost 30% pump from the lows.
In this analysis I want to talk about what I did wrong and how you can learn from my mistakes.
Mistake 1: not zooming out and only focussing on one timeframe.
In the previous analysis I failed to see that BTC was actually trading at a support (bottom yellow line). Never short into a support and never long into resistance.
Mistake 2: the trend is your friend. Bitcoin has been trading in a dominantly bullish trend since January of 2023. Yes, there's been some dips here and there, but nothing crazy. It's more likely that BTC will go up that down over the next months.
Mistake 3: don't short when BTC hit's oversold on the RSI. Always keep an eye out for the oscillators (my favorite is the RSI). BTC has hit oversold on the daily for the third period since 2023, patient bulls will be buying!
In short, I was wrong. Should've done more research and follow simple trading rules. Learn from my mistakes and become a better informed trader.
For now, I'm waiting for a new all-time high to be reached. In which case, 100k is the next target. Let's hope for a great Q3 and Q4!
ETHEREUM is forming a bullish head and shouldersChart Patterns and Trendlines
1. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish)
- Left Shoulder: Formed around 3,450 USDT.
- Head: Reached a peak around 3,550 USDT.
- Right Shoulder: Formed around 3,450 USDT again.
- The neckline, which was breached, is around 3,300 USDT, indicating a bearish reversal.
2. Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bullish)
- Left Shoulder: Formed around 3,200 USDT.
- Head: Reached a low around 3,000 USDT.
- Right Shoulder: Forming around the current price level of 3,498.35 USDT.
- The neckline for this pattern is around the 3,500 USDT level. If the price breaks above this neckline, it suggests a bullish reversal.
3. Descending Channel
- Ethereum was trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel downward-sloping trendlines.
- The breakout from this channel around mid-July indicates a reversal of the previous downtrend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
1. Support Levels
- 3,248.81 USDT: A key support level marked on the chart, aligning with the breakout point from the descending channel and the potential right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.
- If the price falls below this level, the next support can be around the previous lows at 3,000 USDT.
2. Resistance Levels
- 3,976.07 USDT: The next significant resistance level, which is also a target for the potential inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Price Projections
1. Bullish Scenario
- If Ethereum holds above the 3,248.81 USDT support level and breaks above the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern (around 3,500 USDT), the projected target is around 3,976.07 USDT.
- This target aligns with a previous high and a psychological resistance level.
2. Bearish Scenario
- If Ethereum fails to hold the 3,248.81 USDT support, it might retest the lower support of around 3,000 USDT.
- A fall below 3,000 USDT could indicate further downside, potentially revisiting the lows around 2,750 USDT.
Trading Strategy
1. Long Position
- Consider entering around the 3,248.81 USDT support level, with a target of 3,976.07 USDT, especially if the price breaks the neckline around 3,500 USDT.
- Set a stop-loss below 3,200 USDT to manage risk.
2. Short Position
- If the price fails to hold the 3,248.81 USDT level, consider shorting with a target towards 3,000 USDT and below.
- A stop-loss above 3,300 USDT can be set to manage risk.
Summary
- Ethereum's price action shows the potential formation of a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern.
- Key support and resistance levels at 3,248.81 USDT and 3,976.07 USDT respectively should be closely watched.
- Trading strategies should be adaptive to the price movements around these critical levels, with proper risk management in place.
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When $ETH Money Flow Index turns green, new ATH! CRYPTOCAP:ETH has scaped the downward channel, but is still inside the horizontal channel (both in yellow)
Note the blue diamond from Detonator A Indicator forming now, indicating a possible local end of trend
Price will need to retest the support of downward channel first, as it coincides with both EMA200 (green tick line) and MA200 (red line)
After that retest, price will follow to the upper resistence level of the horizontal channel as the ATH box is a attractor for price because former trends have targets over the ATH box (those purple arrows)
When MFI (Money Flow Index, below pannel) turns green again, you know we will reach new heighs!
This will make our jobs easier if #Stablecoin Dominancewas to reach the inverse head & shoulder target :)
Almost the same % when the #crypto market topped out last cycle.
Will it?
IDK!
Should u wait to those low single digit numbers before u emabrk on profit taking?
probably not.
We shall keep an eye on this of course.
Best of Luck
OMNI GOING TO 40 DOLLAR SOO EASY!See the big pump coming soon, buy this chart!
Layer1/2 project, 100 million marketcap, will have only 8 million supply by April 2025.
I recommend you to buy this coin immediately before the big rise in the bull market, which will be the first unlock when the bull market is already over. DYOR
ETHUSDT: Descending Triangle Signals Potential Bullish BreakoutAs the crypto market buzzes with anticipation, Ethereum (ETH) finds itself at a critical juncture. Currently trading at $3,468, ETH is poised on the edge of a significant technical formation that could dictate its short-term future. Let's dive into the charts and unravel the story they're telling us.
The Hourly Dance: Descending Triangle in Focus
Over the past 48 hours, ETHUSDT has been painting a compelling picture on the hourly chart. A descending triangle has formed, with the upper boundary at $3,480 and the lower support hovering around $3,373. This pattern, often seen as a bullish formation, has traders on the edge of their seats.
The descending triangle is like a coiled spring, with price action compressing between these two levels. Each touch of the resistance and support adds tension, potentially leading to a powerful breakout.
Technical Indicators: The Plot Thickens
Let's add some color to our analysis with a few key technical indicators:
Moving Averages: The 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages are converging, suggesting a potential golden cross on the horizon. This bullish signal could provide additional fuel for an upward move.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently, the RSI is floating in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. This gives ETH room to move in either direction without immediate resistance from this indicator.
The Bigger Picture: Daily Chart Bullish Target
Zooming out to the daily chart, the outlook becomes even more exciting. A successful breakout from this descending triangle could set the stage for a significant rally. The long-term price target? A mouth-watering 10% upside from current levels.
Imagine the possibilities if ETH breaks above $3,480 with conviction. We could be looking at prices north of $3,800 in the coming weeks!
Market Sentiment: Regulatory Winds of Change
It's not just the charts that are stirring up excitement. Recent regulatory updates have been sending ripples through the crypto space. While the specifics remain hazy, there's a growing sense that clearer regulations could pave the way for increased institutional adoption of Ethereum.
This backdrop of potential regulatory clarity adds an extra layer of intrigue to our technical setup. Could positive news be the catalyst that sends ETH soaring through resistance?
Trading the Triangle: Entry Points and Risk Management
For those looking to ride this potential bullish wave, here are some key levels to watch:
Breakout Entry: A decisive move above $3,480 could signal the start of a strong uptrend. Consider setting alerts at this level.
Support Entry: For the more risk-tolerant, entries near the $3,373 support could offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.
Moving Average Crossover: Keep an eye on the 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages. A bullish crossover could provide additional confirmation of upward momentum.
Remember, always use proper risk management. Consider setting stop losses below the $3,373 support to protect your capital.
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #DescendingTriangle #ETHUSDT #BullishFormation #GoldenCross #RSI #MovingAverages #CryptoTrading #BlockchainTechnology #CryptoRegulation #InstitutionalAdoption #BullishTarget #RiskManagement #CryptoNews #MarketSentiment #TradingStrategy #CryptoPriceTarget
ETHEREUM 4800$ UNLOCKED. + 5036$ + 7000 +NovemberAs we said yesterday, we are moving forward knowing 100% correctly.
We have achieved 100% in predicting the future.
We achieved high profits with almost 0 losses.
We will see the records on all exchanges, not just Crypto.
Even below we will see the record. It's almost November.
We expect a big fake fall and a quick rally in November.
Our Expected Dates are on the List.
4h| 8h| 12h| 1d|3d|5d|6d|1w|3w|1m|3m|
Rally in Bitcoin is coming.
27.10.2021
08.11.2021
21.11.2021
28.11.2021
01.12.2021
07.12.2021
14.12.2021
21.12.2021
27.12.2021
08.01.2022
Do not forget to set Tp and Stop-loss. You'll understand when the rally comes. The media will write well. Governments will support. Banks will increase their expectations.
It is not investment advice.
Gradual entry and exit is recommended.
Volume Profiles Are Important! :)Price respects these value levels. They increase your trade potential exponentially.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.