ETHUSD: 12 weeks of bottom formation finally over. 4900 is next.Ethereum has just turned bullish on 1D but remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.413, MACD = -97.490, ADX = 28.674) as the price is on the 12th straight week of consolidation inside the 1W MA50-MA200 range. This sideways trading is being performed at the bottom of the Channel Up that started in June 2022 and has already seen three major bullish waves. Once the 1W MA50, we will have confirmation that the 4th one is starting. When that happens, aim for no lower than the All Time High (TP = 4,900). The 1W RSI has already crossed over its MA.
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J-ETH
Stand pat!Hey guys and girls,
Here is an updated chart from my (Nov 12, 2023) post
As you can see, this is only half of the battle!
Further targets: $ 74k, $ 84k, and $ 100k
Appendix:
Structure: 5-3-5 (Inverted)
Bitcoin halving countdown: 49 Days
Technical Section:
Wave 5 has two different relationships:
1- If wave 3 is less than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> the 5th Wave overextends itself.
2- If Wave 3 is greater than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> Wave 5 = 100% , 161.8% or 262% of wave 1
The upcoming period may be a bit painful.First of all, I should state that I expect Bitcoin dominance to rise to the 60%-62% range and Bitcoin usually falls in september.
If Bitcoin will fall and at the same time its dominance will rise that's means we may see a strong downtrend in altcoins.
Ethereum has completed its Elliot 5 wave pattern from the bottom and and still in the correction waves. And I think a second wave Elliott correction is needed in the longer term uptrend.
Afterwards, I think 2025 could be a very good year the market and there might be a chance to sell at good prices in 2026.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Trading Signal For ETHUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the ETHUSDT Ethereum (Futures) (1h)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 2591.0
⭕️SL @ 2552.2
🔵TP1 @ 2749.5
🔵TP2 @ 2907.0
🔵TP3 @ 3021.6
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Vitalik Buterin Drives New Innovations & Bullish Trends for ETHEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is undergoing a transformative journey, marked by visionary updates and community-driven momentum. With Ethereum’s recent price surge to $2,631, up 4.11% in the last 24 hours, and a broader bullish trend across the market, the Ethereum ecosystem is positioning itself as a powerhouse in blockchain technology and decentralization. This article explores both the technical and fundamental aspects influencing Ethereum’s outlook, along with new philanthropic efforts led by Vitalik Buterin.
Vitalik Buterin’s MIL:1M Donation to Ukrainian Humanitarian Aid
One of the biggest stories recently has been Vitalik Buterin’s donation of over 400 ETH (approximately $1 million) to four Ukrainian humanitarian organizations, including one helping children affected by the ongoing conflict. This philanthropic act underscores Ethereum’s commitment to community-driven initiatives and the impact of decentralized finance (DeFi). Interestingly, the ETH used in this donation came from swapped meme coins, including $MOODENG, $EBULL, and $DOG. This donation not only provides aid to those in need but also highlights the growing role that cryptocurrencies, even meme tokens, play in supporting humanitarian causes.
Ethereum’s Evolution: “The Splurge” and Upcoming Hard Fork
The Ethereum protocol is on the verge of critical updates with the upcoming hard fork, as outlined in Vitalik Buterin’s “The Splurge.” This final segment of Ethereum’s development roadmap focuses on refining the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), introducing account abstraction, optimizing transaction fees, and enhancing cryptographic functions.
1. EVM Object Format (EOF): The next upgrade will integrate the EVM Object Format, bringing a modular approach to Ethereum’s code. This update allows for better code separation and improved performance, making the network more efficient for smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps).
2. Account Abstraction: A significant focus within “The Splurge” is account abstraction, which enables greater flexibility in transaction verification. This enhancement will allow users to pay transaction fees in ERC20 tokens instead of solely in ETH, broadening accessibility across the network.
3. Transaction Fee Optimization and Cryptographic Advancements: Ethereum’s upcoming update aims to make transaction fees more predictable and cost-effective. The use of advanced cryptographic methods will also enable more robust and efficient blockchain operations, further enhancing Ethereum’s performance and scalability.
As these updates take effect, Ethereum’s potential is expanding, as evidenced by decreasing fees on decentralized exchanges (DEX) and growing developer interest.
Technical Analysis
Ethereum’s technical indicators paint a promising picture. Currently trading at $2,631, CRYPTOCAP:ETH has shown a 2.47% uptick, largely mirroring Bitcoin’s bullish rise to $71,000. Ethereum’s RSI sits at a healthy level, confirming a favorable momentum pattern that aligns with bullish technical formations.
Ethereum’s chart shows a subtle rising wedge, suggesting the possibility of a continued uptrend. The appearance of a “three white soldiers” pattern—a bullish formation where three consecutive candlesticks close progressively higher—signals an upward reversal, reinforcing the likelihood of Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) pushing towards the $3,000 mark.
Ethereum’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains stable, indicating there is room for further upward movement before hitting overbought levels. Paired with increasing volume, this setup is favorable for a bullish continuation as investor confidence grows.
If momentum continues to build and Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) maintains its trajectory, a pivot towards the $3,000 mark seems plausible, especially given the upcoming hard fork and increasing institutional interest.
A Strong Community and Visionary Leadership Drive Ethereum’s Momentum
Ethereum’s role in the crypto world goes beyond price movements and technical charts. Since its inception, Ethereum has fostered a decentralized ecosystem that enables users worldwide to create, transact, and innovate. Vitalik Buterin’s leadership has emphasized social good, community engagement, and technological advancement, allowing Ethereum to retain a strong community and global relevance.
With ongoing developments like “The Splurge” and continued network upgrades, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has deem fit to be a robust and scalable platform that can accommodate both the needs of developers and the demands of decentralized finance.
### Conclusion: Ethereum’s Path to $3,000 and Beyond
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is at a pivotal moment in its evolution, and current technical indicators and development updates signal a bullish future. With the imminent EVM upgrades, transaction fee optimizations, and the support of a vibrant community, ETH has the momentum to reach new heights. Investors should watch for a potential breakout towards the $3,000 pivot as Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) solidifies its place as a leader in the blockchain space.
Oct.22-Oct.28(ETH)Weekly market recapThe recent initiation of a new round of interest rate cuts by major Western central banks, coupled with China's extensive monetary and fiscal stimulus, may serve as key catalysts for the recent surge in Bitcoin (BTC) prices.
Additionally, the continued significant net inflow into BTC exchange-traded products (ETPs) indicates a persistent influx of traditional capital into the cryptocurrency market, reflecting confidence and optimism among investors.
As the U.S. elections approach, the high-profile campaign of Republican candidate Donald Trump, who is supportive of cryptocurrencies, has bolstered market confidence in his potential victory, with the probability of his success soaring to 66.3%. This factor may also play a role, although caution is warranted regarding the risk of a market correction following the election.
Last week, ETH experienced a decline followed by a rebound, forming a "deep V" pattern. However, the extent of the rebound was not strong, indicating a lack of upward momentum. Notably, the lows for ETH are consistently rising, and the WTA indicator has shown blue bars representing whales. The ME indicator remains in a bearish trend, although the orange wave area has slightly narrowed.
In summary, we anticipate that ETH may experience fluctuations this week. We maintain our original resistance level at 2800 and support level at 2200.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
ETH Ethereum Potential retracement soonIf you haven`t bought the recent Double Bottom on ETH:
Now Ethereum might be facing bearish pressure following the U.S. Department of Justice's (DOJ) launch of a criminal investigation into Tether, the issuer of the widely used stablecoin USDT.
According to reports from the Wall Street Journal, this investigation is led by the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan and focuses on potential violations of sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations.
As Tether’s USDT is a crucial component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, widely utilized for trading and liquidity on various platforms, any negative developments regarding its regulatory compliance could have significant ramifications for Ethereum. Tether's stability and its ability to maintain its peg to the U.S. dollar are vital for many trading pairs involving Ethereum. If the investigation reveals serious issues, it could lead to a loss of confidence in USDT, prompting traders to seek safer alternatives or even pull out of the market altogether.
The ripple effects of Tether’s troubles may extend to Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies that depend on stablecoins for liquidity. A decline in USDT’s credibility could trigger panic selling, as traders rush to liquidate their positions in Ethereum and other assets, leading to increased volatility and downward pressure on prices. This scenario could particularly impact Ethereum, given its integral role in decentralized finance (DeFi), where USDT is frequently used for collateral and trading.
The scrutiny surrounding Tether may prompt regulators to cast a wider net over the cryptocurrency market, leading to increased oversight of other stablecoins and projects operating on the Ethereum network. This heightened regulatory environment could deter new investments and innovations within the Ethereum ecosystem, hindering its growth potential.
If you see support near 2706.15, it's time to buy
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1M chart)
I think it needs to rise above 2706.15 to start an uptrend.
Therefore, when it shows support near 2706.15, it's time to buy.
If it falls below 2281.87, you need to be careful because you don't know how far it will fall.
-
(1W chart)
The point to watch is which direction it deviates from the 2281.87-2706.15 section.
If it falls below 2118.67-2281.87, it is likely to meet the HA-Low indicator.
The HA-Low indicator is currently formed at 1340.12, but it is likely to be newly created as the price falls, so you should check the movement of the HA-Low indicator.
If it rises above 2706.15 and maintains the price, it is likely to turn into an uptrend.
Therefore, if the rise starts, you should check for support near 3265.0-3321.30 or 3438.16-3644.71.
-
(1D chart)
The reason why it needs to rise above 2706.15 is because the M-Signal indicator is currently in a reverse array and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 2666.70.
In order to show a continuous upward trend, the price needs to be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart at least.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported around 2555.69, where the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing, and rise above 2706.15.
If it fails to rise, it needs to check whether there is support around 2359.35.
-
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 3787.59.
As the price rises, it would be nice if the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is newly generated, but if not, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend (stepwise uptrend) will begin only when it rises above 3787.59.
Accordingly, the point to watch is whether the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart falls and is generated.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
10/28 Confirmed yearly bull flag. Overview :
The AMEX:SPY closed the week lower, breaking a six-week winning streak that had started just before the first rate cut. NASDAQ:QQQ managed to stay green, hovering near an all-time high. Last week, the Fed reported 738,000 new home sales and 3.84 million existing home sales. Notably, while existing home sales are declining in a descending triangle pattern, new home sales have been forming an ascending triangle—signaling diverging trends in housing demand.
The job market showed resilience, with jobless claims lower than the last two readings, indicating improvement. However, this job strength could complicate rate cuts since the Fed targets stable inflation around 2%. This week brings major data releases: Tuesday’s job openings, Wednesday’s Q3 GDP, and Thursday’s and Friday’s PCE, Core PCE, and the U.S. unemployment rate. Expect a quieter start to the week but brace for potential volatility in the latter half.
According to the CME tool, the likelihood of no rate cut has dipped to 1.1%. This rate cut probability has fluctuated widely over the past two weeks, from 13% to 1%, making it crucial to understand how the CME calculates this metric:
1.Market Data: Fed Funds futures prices reflect market expectations for Fed rate changes.
2.Probability Calculation: The tool derives implied rate change probabilities from the difference between current rates and futures prices.
3.Assigning Probabilities: Each possible outcome—rate cut, hike, or no change—is assigned a probability based on the futures data.
CME Group holds a key position in financial markets, having formed from the merger of major exchanges: the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), and Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX). This vast network underscores why CME’s Fed tool is a pivotal reference for understanding rate expectations.
In the crypto world, ETFs, especially those from BlackRock, have been on a BTC buying spree, significantly outpacing their usual purchase amounts four out of five trading days last week—continuing a pattern that began on October 14. Since then, BTC has climbed from the key level of $62.8k to around $69k, although other institutional players remain less active. This is reminiscent of BlackRock’s February buying spree, which saw BTC rise from $52 k to $61k in just two weeks, with BlackRock averaging $600 million in BTC purchases daily. We’re watching this as a potential signal, though no one’s showing similar interest in ETH ETFs, not even BlackRock, who seems to have stopped DCAing into it.
BTC TA :
W : The week ended with a small red candle, a relatively calm finish considering BTC is nearing $70k. Could this set us up for a breakout ahead of election results and potential rate cuts?
D : Volatility hit hard last week, as anticipated. After a rally to $69k, Friday saw a dip, but big players defended the $66.5k level. Zooming out, BTC’s price rejected the upper bound of a year-long bullish flag, confirming the breakout on October 16 and reducing fake-out risks. However, there are currently no bullish divergences across MACD, RSI, CVD, or OBV.
4h : The recent triple divergence has been cleared, with no new divergences appearing.
1h : Overbought RSI and a shooting star at Monday's open signal a short-term correction, with support at $68.2k and $67.7k.
Alts Relative to BTC : ETH remains in a consolidation phase, still far from breaking all-time highs like BTC. SOL has been tracking BTC's moves more closely, while NEAR
is close to its yearly low of $3.8. Meanwhile, SUI, APT, and TAO saw 20%-30% corrections last week.
Bull Case : We’re breaking out of a year-long bull flag, potentially en route to $100k, with BlackRock leading the charge. Trump appears likely to win, the CME tool shows only a 1% chance of no rate cut, and gold is on the rise. Unless gold crashes, BTC might hold steady.
Bear Case : Is this just another bull trap set by market makers?
Fear and Greed Index : 54 – Neutral. We may see a shift to greed if BTC breaks above $73k.
In what world does Solana smash ETH 8.8X?Riddle me that?
It could happen in many scenarios of course.
It also could take multiple cycles
Or ETH just trends sideways from here ?
Whilst Sol keeps running to four figures as highlighted yesterday
those numbers are attainable this cycle.
Or this measured does not even come to close to happening.
We shall see...
We are just riding these speculative ways.
ANALYSIS | Crypto by MARKET CAPAs of time of posting, according to a reliable website the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap are as follow:
1) Bitcoin / BYBIT:BTCUSDT
2) Ethereum / BINANCE:ETHUSDT
3) Tether / COINBASE:USDTUSD
4) Binance Coin / BINANCE:BNBUSDT
5) Solana / BINANCE:SOLUSDT
6) US Dollar Coin / KRAKEN:USDCUSD
7) XRP / BINANCE:XRPUSDT
8) Dogecoin / BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
9) Tron / BINANCE:TRXUSDT
10) Toncoin / OKX:TONUSDT
11) Cardano / BINANCE:ADAUSDT
12) Avalanche / BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
You can find and track this easily by searching "Cryptocurrencies by market cap" or something in that line.
On the charts you will see the king - Bitcoin, as well as TOTAL (total cryptocurrency market cap) which is currently at 2.28T, and at the bottom right TOTAL3 (total cryptocurrency market cap without BTC and ETH), currently at 6.19B.
It's important to note that BTC determines the general direction of the altcoin market, but Cryptocurrencies do not necessarily move together with traditional assets such as stocks. That's why it's important to determine the macro trend before trying to analyze any individual coin. This is especially true for crypto's with a higher market cap. As you begin to look at altcoins that have smaller or micro market caps, they tend to dump/pump unexpectedly without moving together with BTC.
You'll often notice that the top 5-8 alts have similar chart patterns to BTC. Although they do still move within their unique support/resistance zones, it's safe to say that when you see a H&S on Bitcoin, you'll probably see it on the large-cap coins as well. I will say this - it's not the case for XRP and ADA. (I'm surprised to see they still hold such high positions in the ranks and I have a hard time identifying the potential reason for this other than old bag-holders/cult following).
With this info, you can conclude to a range of different outcomes, including but not limited to:
🥠 Using crypto as a hedge against traditional assets
🥠Using microcaps as a hedge against BTC
🥠 Microcaps carry more risk
That all being said - trading is risky, and crypto particularly more so. Even hedging doesn't guarantee safety when it comes to crypto.
____________________________
ETH AIMING HIGHS - ETHEREUM SWING LONG OPPURTUNITY The price ran the weekly liquidity, hit the monthly demand, and was rejected there. Afterward, it created a weekly bullish upward momentum.
Currently, the price is sitting on the bullish daily demand zone responsible for the weekly uptrend over the past few days. We are also within the Fibonacci equilibrium, indicating that the price is at a discount.
I’ll be targeting the purple levels in the coming weeks.
Bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,511.77
1st Support: 2,399.50
1st Resistance: 2,568.32
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ADA Caution!Considering cycle theories and assuming Altcoins - especially those from 2015-2017 - could be in different corrective phases than Bitcoin, investors could be in a big surprise for the next upcoming months. While Bitcoin is potentially in its last cycle (retail wave 5) before its first major correction, the older Altcoins are still in their wave 2 which results in a long exhaustive ABC phase and often corrects more than 50% of the first impulsive wave which would also coincide with the 1.618 Fib.
This would mean that alt-season - for the older big coins - is not here yet. Regarding their meteoric rises after more than 10k% the fundamentals need to catch up to overvalued prices, which takes time.
A lot of people are confused and complaining about the "blue chip coins" not going up, especially Cardano, while Market Makers play the long game and suppress Altcoin prices artificially, simply keeping them in a big trading range and in corrective mode till their first cycle ends and the next begins.
ADA e.g. shows striking resemblance to NEM (XEM) with a similar corrective structure and sits on long time life support. The more it pokes on it the more it's gonna get dangerous for the next breakdown to the 0.10-0.20$ region.
ETH/USDT 1day chart analiysis. ETH is trading at $2,471.71, showing minor declines—the green shaded area around $2,310–$2,370 is a key support zone. If price stabilizes here, this level could be critical for a bullish rebound.
ETH appears to be moving within a downward-sloping channel (yellow borders), with the upper trendline acting as resistance and the lower trendline as support.
The dotted yellow trendline and solid white support line create an intersection near the support area, suggesting a potential pivot zone. This intersection could act as a springboard if ETH finds support here.
The chart includes a red (likely short-term) and a green (likely long-term) moving average. ETH is currently close to the red line, which might act as immediate resistance. The green line is further up, suggesting that ETH would need significant buying pressure to reverse the overall trend.
The large upward arrow suggests a potential breakout scenario if ETH holds above support and gains bullish momentum. A successful breakout from this descending channel could lead to a retest of resistance levels around $2,580 and potentially higher.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Box range: 2281.87-2706.15
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
Unlike BTC, it looks so weak.
One of the reasons is that it has fallen below the long-term moving average, that is, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, I think that the uptrend is likely to start only when the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
To do that, the price needs to rise above 2629.79-2706.15 and maintain it.
If not,
1st: 2281.87-2359.35
2nd: 2118.67
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
It seems that it is forming a box section at first glance, so the point to watch is which direction it deviates from this box section.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Project Monday Strategy: Long Signal on BitcoinThis trading idea crated with Project Monday Strategy v2.0 (coming soon).
Entry Price: 67735.97 USDT
Preliminary Stop-Loss: 65282.32 USDT
Preliminary Take-Profit: 72553.24 USDT
This strategy preset generates orders with following results during 6 years:
Net Profit in %: 1954,32%;
Percent Profitable: 47%;
Profit Factor: 2,16;
Max Drawdown: 26,31%.