It could be the euro's time to shineThis may not be a popular theme, but that is usually the case at turning points. Like it or not, EUR/USD bears have failed to break the August low, and the rally on the USD index and yields looks exhausted. Every trend needs a retracement, and I suspect a small one, at a minimum, is due.
MS.
J-EUR
Bullish rise?EUR/NZD has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.80692
1st Support: 1.7995
1st Resistance: 1.82253
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 4hour RSI Bullish Divergence.EURUSD has been struggling to break above the 1day MA50 but that shouldn't take long to do so, as the 4hour RSI is on a Channel Up (Bullish Divergence) since 10 days already.
Once the 1day MA50 breaks, we expect a 1day MA200 test, followed by a pull back before the final rise.
Our target is the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.10400.
Previous chart:
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EURUSD confirmed the bottom. Low risk buy now.The EURUSD pair has turned sideways since it hit last week the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up and even though it hasn't broken above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet, the 1D RSI has given us the strongest buy signal possible.
That is breaking above its MA (yellow trend-line) after rebounding on oversold soil (below 30.00) last Wednesday. This is exactly what happened on the April 16 2024 Low. Even if that is a mid-correction rebound like the February 14 one, as both decline sequences have been of -4.00%, it suggests that we can target at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level until the price resumes the bearish trend.
As a result, we consider this a low risk buy, targeting 1.10000 (below the 0.618 Fib).
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EUR/USD Analysis: Range-Bound Movement with Potential ReboundThe EUR/USD currency pair remains stagnant around the 1.0800 mark after experiencing its fourth consecutive week of losses. Following a slight bullish retracement, the pair has retraced downwards again, opening the London session this morning with a bullish candle, yet still confined within a defined range.
The strength of the US Dollar (USD) has persisted as we head into the weekend, exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. This demand for the USD has been bolstered by rising US Treasury bond yields, which contributed to its strength on Friday.
Looking ahead, the economic calendar for the United States is relatively light, featuring only the Texas Manufacturing Business Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. It is unlikely that this report will induce any significant market reaction. However, market participants will closely monitor upcoming third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States. Additionally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the October employment report on Friday, which will include critical figures such as the Unemployment Rate, Nonfarm Payrolls, and wage inflation data.
From a technical standpoint, our outlook suggests a potential rebound towards the demand zone. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a consistent trend over the past two weeks, with retail traders holding short positions while institutional players appear to be building long setups. Our forecasting analysis points to a possible emergence of a new bullish trend in the near future.
As we await further developments, the key remains patience—watching to see if the price reaches our designated area of interest before committing to a bullish position. The market’s reaction to the upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining the next steps for the EUR/USD pair.
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Bullish bounce for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0774
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0719
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0837
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Buy EUR/JPY Bullish FlagThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 164.33, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 165.42
2nd Support – 166.05
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 163.70. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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Thank you.
Pullback resistance ahead?EUR/AUD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.63985
1st Support: 1.62560
1st Resistance: 1.64784
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?EUR/CAD is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 1.50019
1st Support: 1.49274
1st Resistance: 1.50795
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 27/10/24EUR/USD has shown a continuous downward movement this week, which aligns with the institutional trend we discussed last week. Although there was a brief push above the recent high, there is a chance for the price to move slightly higher before resuming its path.
We’ve highlighted key areas of interest. One is a supply zone where we expect the price to react, potentially targeting liquidity to the left. Additionally, there is a potential reaction point at the previous high, along with a liquidity target below.
Our short-term bias is bullish, but we maintain a long-term bearish outlook, as we have for the past month. Keep an eye on fundamentals, and avoid buying in this market since the overall trend is still downward.
Remember to follow the "Keep It Simple" approach, and only take trades with a clear entry signal.
Trade safe and always stick to your plan.
EURUSD Is Trading under The Pressure Of A Strong UsdHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07900 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out. If we get dips below 1.07900 support area we will be looking for a potential retrace of the trend towards further downsides.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR | USD | GBP Weekly Forecast Oct. 28: SELL EU & GU!In this video, we will view the markets through ICT Concepts, focusing on the USD, the EURO, and the GBP.
The retracement in the USD Index is overdue and pending... but not yet! There is still room to the upside, which means EURUSD and GBPUSD will likely be BEARISH, as the USD is stronger than both at this time.
Look for the FVGs to hold price or fail, and let them guide you.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD hit the MA50 (4h) after 1 month. Buy if it breaks.EURUSD hit today its MA50 (4h) for the first time since September 30th.
The pattern remains a Channel Down though, so the trend remains bearish unless a (4h) candle closes above the MA50.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy after a (4h) candle closes above the MA50.
Targets:
1. 1.09500 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is already on a bullish reversal and a Higher High. If the MA supports, it will be an extra bullish signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
HelenP. I Euro can little grow and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some days ago price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and tried to break it, but failed and fell below. But soon, the price finally broke this level and entered to consolidation, where it at once rose to the top part. After this movement, the EUR turned around and made a correction to the resistance level, after which at once bounced and started to grow. Later EURO rose back to the top part of a consolidation, which coincided with the trend line, and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the 1.1 resistance level, and broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation and continuing to move down. Later price reached the trend line and broke it, after which made retest and continued to fall. But a not long time ago it rebounded and started to grow, therefore I expect that EURUSD will rise more and then continue to fall. That's why I set my goal at 1.0750 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short-term EURUSD ideaAfter yesterday's better than expected flash PMIs from Germany, we saw EURUSD finding some buying interest. Let's see if we can get a larger correction to the upside.
EASYMARKETS:EURUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURJPY | MarketoutlookThe policy divergence between the US Fed and SNB supports the pair at lower levels.
Jobless claims dropped to 227,000 for the week ending October 19, down from 242,000 the week before, suggesting some stability in the labor market. The four-week moving average rose by 6,750, reaching 231,000, which indicates that jobless claims are still showing fluctuations despite the recent decline.
The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 47.8 in October, up from 47.3 in September. However, this still shows that manufacturing activity is contracting for the fourth month in a row. On the other hand, the Flash Services PMI rose to 51.5, indicating modest growth in the services sector, which is important since it makes up a large part of the U.S. economy.
The euro has rebounded and is awaiting further price triggers
Bank of France governor Villeroy de Galhau emphasized that the eurozone economy is in a precarious state, with the ECB continuing to impose high interest rates that further restrict economic activity. Additionally, Finland's central bank governor, Oli Rehn, stated that the prospects for economic growth have deteriorated in recent months, which is likely to elevate disinflationary pressures.
EURUSD rebounded to 1.0820 after testing the support at 1.0780. The price breached the descending channel’s upper bound and EMA21, awaiting an upward trigger for further upside. If EURUSD sustains its uptrend and surpasses EMA78, the price may gain upward momentum to 1.0940. Conversely, if EURUSD re-enters within the channel and breaks 1.0780, the price could fall further to the support at 1.0670.
Sell EUR/CAD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.4908, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.4866
2nd Support – 1.4834
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.4940. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Overlap resistance ahead?EUR/NZD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.8061
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.81364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.7949
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD on the 1 year Support!EURUSD hit today the Rising Support trend line that is in effect for 1 full year.
The 1day RSI is vastly oversold, which was the case both on the April 16th 2024 and October 3rd 2023 contacts with the Rising Support.
The last bottom rebounded to the 0.618 Fib before pulling back again.
This is a standard low risk bullish signal. Buy and target 1.10250 (Fib 0.618).
Previous chart:
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EUR/USD Extends Decline Amid USD Strength and Weak Eurozone DataThe EUR/USD pair continues its downward trajectory, trading near fresh multi-week lows around the 1.0769 mark during Wednesday’s mid-European session. This decline reflects the ongoing strength of the US Dollar, fueled by a gloomy market sentiment and growing concerns surrounding the upcoming US Presidential election. Meanwhile, the Euro faces downward pressure due to lackluster local macroeconomic indicators, suggesting that the Eurozone's economic challenges persist into the final quarter of the year.
Factors Driving the EUR/USD Decline
1. US Dollar Strength
The US Dollar remains dominant, driven by risk aversion as investors seek safe-haven assets amidst increasing political uncertainty in the US. The potential impact of the presidential election has added to market jitters, with investors favoring the Greenback for its perceived stability.
Additionally, strong US economic data has reinforced the USD's bullish sentiment, suggesting that the US economy continues to outperform its European counterpart. This divergence adds further pressure on the Euro and pushes the EUR/USD lower.
2. Weak Eurozone Macro Data
The Euro struggles to gain traction, weighed down by recent disappointing economic figures from the Eurozone. The latest data indicates ongoing challenges in manufacturing and consumer sentiment, suggesting that the region's economic recovery may be faltering.
Persistent economic sluggishness in major Eurozone economies, like Germany and France, has dampened confidence in the Euro, as investors remain cautious about the currency's short-term prospects.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Approaches Key Demand Zone
As anticipated in our previous forecast, the EUR/USD has bypassed an intermediate demand zone and is now approaching a more robust support area at the lower level. Here are the key factors at play:
Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
According to the latest COT report, retail traders remain heavily bearish on the Euro, while institutional investors (often referred to as “smart money”) have begun to move in the opposite direction, accumulating long positions. This shift in positioning hints at a potential turnaround as the EUR/USD nears significant demand levels.
DXY Overbought Condition:
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the Greenback against a basket of major currencies, is currently in overbought territory. This condition suggests that the USD rally could be losing steam, potentially paving the way for a EUR/USD rebound.
The technical overextension of the DXY aligns with the prospect of a retracement, providing additional support for the Euro at the upcoming demand area.
Buy Limit Setup:
With the EUR/USD nearing a critical demand zone, we are considering placing a buy limit order. This approach aims to capitalize on a potential reversal at the lower demand area, which is supported by both technical indicators and the shifting COT report dynamics.
Trading Strategy: Buy Limit on Demand Area
Given the current conditions, a buy limit order near the next demand area presents a favorable risk-reward setup. Here’s how we’re approaching this potential trade:
Entry: Set a buy limit order just above the upcoming demand zone, targeting a potential rebound in the EUR/USD pair.
Stop Loss: Place a tight stop loss below the demand area to manage risk in case of a continued slide.
Target: Aim for a near-term bounce back toward resistance levels, aligning with potential DXY weakness and institutional positioning.
Final Thoughts: Cautious Optimism for a EUR/USD Rebound
While the EUR/USD remains under pressure due to the prevailing USD strength and weak Eurozone data, technical factors and shifting market positioning suggest a potential short-term reversal. As the pair approaches a critical demand zone, a carefully placed buy limit order could offer a promising entry opportunity.
With political uncertainty in the US and a potentially overbought USD, traders should monitor upcoming data releases and market sentiment closely, as these factors could influence the timing and magnitude of a possible EUR/USD bounce. As always, risk management is crucial, especially in a volatile environment shaped by macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
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Potential bullish reversal?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0775
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0719
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0871
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.