Sell GBPJPY BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined pattern.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level, ideally around 192.80. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at key levels below the breakout point:
190.96: This represents a potential support level based on previous price action.
190.26: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support level, ideally around 193.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
J-jpy
Sell GBPJPY CPI DataThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish wedge pattern. This suggests a potential acceleration of the downtrend and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support line of the wedge, ideally around 192.80. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following points:
190.72: This represents the height of the wedge, measured from the wedge's peak to the breakout point, projected downwards from the breakout.
190.20: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the wedge, ideally around 193.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
NZDJPY: Channel Up bottom buy.NZDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.679, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 31.385) as it trades between the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA100. Despite the neutrality, the price sits at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern, having made its 2nd contact this month. The 1D MACD has been squeezed and is past a Bullish Cross, which has been a buy signal inside this pattern 2 out of 2 times it was formed. Consequently we turn bullish on the medium term aiming at +6.00% profit (TP = 95.500).
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UJDAILY
Not going to lie, there's no pattern I see. Just the assumption of the one I want to see, which is not a fact so it cannot be used as a confluence. Yet we broke 152.00 which if you zoom out will confirm that we are still in a very bullish trend. Impulse, Correction, Impulse : If you zoom in.
4H
We formed a bear flag and broke it impulsively, breaking at 152.00. This is where our resistance was very strong. Had a flat flag, which was also broken, 153.40. Now we are currently in another correction structure (also the high price UJ has ever seen.
1H
Touch of the bottom of symmetrical triangle 3 times, so we can assume the third touch of the top will be the break to continue to the upside. It has also formed a variation of an inverse H&S which shows the further strength of the demand to the upside.
Trade Idea : Wait for the break of the triangle
GJI am seeing a long sell
DAILY
We have struggled to break the high for the third time, telling us the ceiling is high and filled with sellers. An ascending channel is forming and within it we have another ascending channel which adds to the confluence.
4H
We have a bullish channel in the smaller ascending channel. Where it is also struggling to break the high. 179.80, this gives us ideas of what to do next as we wait on the market open today which will come with the supply.
1H
Impulsive bearish candles, they dragging each other. Let's stay watching 192.20 and see how the trade idea goes.
USDJPY D1 - Long SignalUSDJPY D1
A little way away here, but we have a nice confluence retest zone at 152.000. Strong area of previous resistance, now acting as support (hopefully).
Alongside D1 demand which was formed upon the volume witnessed when we broke out upside. Alerts set, waiting patiently.
CADJPY: Follow the breakout or rejection. Low risk trades.CADJPY is just above the bullish barrier on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.297, MACD = 0.230, ADX = 26.548) despite the fact that it is near the HH trendline of the Ascending Triangle and supported at the same time by the 1D MA50. Technically this calls for a decline and the minimum inside this pattern is the 1D MA200 (TP = 109.350). If it crosses over the HH trendline and closes a 1D candle over it, we will go long, aiming at the top of the Channel Up that will prevail (TP = 115.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Is BOJ's Intervention Hiding Behind Inflation Data? Is BOJ's Intervention Hiding Behind Inflation Data?
Japanese inflation data is scheduled for release on Thursday, but its impact on the market might be subdued. Investors could prefer to pay attention to next week's quarterly growth and price forecasts from the Bank of Japan, which could be the real market movers.
According to sources cited by Reuters, the Bank of Japan is transitioning towards a more flexible approach in its policy decisions, placing less emphasis on inflation targeting.
The upcoming April 25-26 policy meeting will see the release of the Bank's quarterly growth and price projections. This shift in strategy suggests that the Bank of Japan may signal a willingness to raise interest rates irrespective of inflation forecasts, which are anticipated to remain around 2.8% or possibly dip slightly to 2.7%.
On the technical side, the USDJPY pair could maintain an upward bias, with buyers potentially pushing it towards the 155.00 mark.
Recent fluctuations in the USDJPY pair have prompted speculation about possible intervention by the Bank of Japan. After hitting a new high dating back to 1990 at 154.705, the pair experienced a swift and unusual downturn. Market watchers are closely monitoring the 155.00 level, considered another more likely potential intervention threshold by the Bank of Japan.
Following a dip to 153.890, the pair rebounded towards 154.775, supported by neutral to hawkish remarks from US Federal Reserve officials. Fed Chair Powell, speaking at a panel discussion in Washington, highlighted the strength of the labor market and progress on inflation, suggesting the Bank was comfortable with allowing “restrictive policy further time to work”.
GBP/JPY road to 195(4/16/2024)With JPY weakness, GBP/JPY OANDA:GBPJPY is likely heading to the 195.00 zone.
the price made an ABC correction move in the last few days.
We believe the price will continue to move upward after a little correction.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EURJPY to see a temporary move higher?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
We look to sell rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 165.00 (stop at 165.50)
Our profit targets will be 163.80 and 163.50
Resistance: 165.35 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
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GBPJPY Supported by the 1D MA50.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since late May 2023. Recently it has been rising on a shorter term Channel Up (dotted) supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it does, we have to stay bullish short-term, targeting the top of the Channel at 195.000.
Since however the blue Channel Up has already completed a symmetrical Higher High leg at +8.24% (similar to the August 22 2023 Higher High), we face a technical necessity for a strong pull-back. We are willing to take this sell only if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50. When it does, we will take the loss on the buy and short towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), targeting 186.500.
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Usdjpy clearly up the upsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Likely this would be a trending up pair, but do keep a look out for any intervention. Frankly BOJ could be looking to intervene, and by then you should see big movement on UJ. Trade this pair carefully!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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USDJPY:Evaluating Buying Prospects Amidst Hawkish Fed indicatorsTraders,
In today's trading session, our sights are set on USDJPY, where we anticipate a potential buying opportunity around the 153.500 zone. USDJPY remains entrenched in an uptrend, presently undergoing a correction phase as it nears the pivotal support and resistance area at 153.500.
Diving deeper into our analysis, let's explore the fundamental landscape shaping USDJPY's trajectory. Recent economic indicators, notably the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, have illuminated the strength of the US economy.
The latest NFP figures showcased robust job creation, surpassing expectations and signaling economic resilience. This positive employment data has bolstered confidence in the US dollar, potentially driving USDJPY higher.
Additionally, the CPI data revealed an uptick in inflation, exceeding market forecasts and highlighting growing price pressures. Such inflationary trends may prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance in its monetary policy approach. A shift towards tightening monetary policy could further bolster the US dollar's strength, providing tailwinds for USDJPY.
Considering these fundamental factors alongside the technical uptrend, the potential buying opportunity in USDJPY around 153.500 presents an enticing prospect for traders.
Trade prudently,
Joe
How much higher can the USDJPY go?Yen weakness despite...
BoJ Exited negative rates regime
Increasing geopolitical uncertainty
Gold at historic highs of 2430
In 2022 and 2023, when the USDJPY approached the 152 price level, open/discreet intervention was in place to strengthen the Japanese Yen.
However, in 2024, the USDJPY has now surged past the 152 resistance level, with the Japanese Yen continuing to show signs of weakness.
Could 155 be the next target price level for an intervention?
FOREX Pre-Week Analysis by R2F (Monday, 15th April 2024)Hello hello, guys!
We have a new week ahead. Here is my analysis for my bias moving forward. For those who are lazy, I am basically bullish on the Dollar and bearish for XXXUSD pairs. But I suggest going through the video as I explain how I came to this bias as well as offer analysis for each of the major Forex pairs.
We are in turbulent times, so trade safe out there. Protecting your capital is your NO.1 priority. It is not the time to go turbo mode all-in kamikaze style.
- R2F
Potential bearish reversalGBP/JPY is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 191.495
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 192.562
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 190.101
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
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EURJPY possible ideaAfter price broke daily high with momentum, it retraced back down and formed liquidity above an established golden zone. It left behind a huge imbalance that it could potentially fill before pushing the the upside to take out the latest weak high since price is in an overall bullish trend.
GBPJPY just about ready for actionAfter price broke daily high with momentum, it retraced back down and formed liquidity above an established golden zone. It left behind a huge imbalance that it could potentially fill before pushing the the upside to take out the latest weak high since price is in an overall bullish trend.
GBPJPY Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 191.250 zone, GBPJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 191.250 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY Long/Short Idea for WK16I’ll closely monitor price movements at the start of the upcoming week. If the price reacts around 99.500 FVG, I’ll be on the lookout for long positions if price makes CHoCH upside.
If we dip below 98.180, I’ll consider short positions.
Additionally, there are two news events scheduled for next week: Tuesday and Thursday