GBPJPY Potential Downsides Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 187.500 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at at 187.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
J-jpy
USDJPY Bullish above the 1D MA100, bearish below it.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 08 High, giving us numerous opportunities to buy low and sell high (see chart below):
Supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) since April 17, the price is now within that and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) which has previously been the most optimal buy level within the Channel Up. Considering also the fact that the 1D CCI bottomed and bounced on November 21 on the -200.00 level, which has been the ultimate buy signal since the start of the year, the bullish sentiment is higher than ever.
As long as the 1D MA100 holds, we will be bullish, targeting 154.000, which represents a +4.83% rise from the bottom, the minimum % rise within this pattern. If the price action closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100, we will take the buy's loss and instead sell the break-out, targeting a potential contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 143.550.
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GBPJPY: Expecting further strengthPound has been in a long term downtrend, however breaking weekly highs and general sterling strength I believe we will see momentum continue to build an push this pair up to monthly highs.
I think the Yen will start to improve against the dollar due to dollar weakness, this generally means that other crosses perform well against it, and we're seeing this with the likes of the Aussie.
I'm seeing a rising dynamic trendline on the 4HR that I believe will be tested and respected, so I'll likely be going in on a LTF confirmation around the rising trendline.
USDJPY 26/11/23Unlike the other USD pairs this pair is being powered by a secondary which is the JPY of course we know we are in a bullish range here as we can see clearly from the swing high and swing low representation but we have to keep in mind even though bullish price action is probable we are getting very close to the 15O level which is the BOJ intervention level and we do not want to get caught up with any moves powered by them.
Main target for me here is to take lungs from the lower end of this range and trade to the high of the range I do not wish to try and trade outside of this range because we will be too close to the 150 level.
GBP/JPY November 26 2023 - Idea.My students, whom I have taught how to trade forex, have almost two years that they know that the price is likely to reach 200.00.
If we look at it with a naked eye, without technical analysis, just by recognizing chart patterns, we see a double bottom formation, whose neckline has been broken and retested. The next move? Towards the resistance at 192-200. (3M)
On the 1-month chart, we can observe more rejections than in the weekly view. Around the 150 zone, we broke the neckline of (3M), and then this zone has been retested several times. After the retest and subsequent rejection, the price started to rise towards 180,000 - 185, where it stayed for several months.
Now, we see that we have had four days where this candle is closing, and it's actually performing well.
On the daily chart, we notice that it's at a point where a potential higher high (HH) could be formed now.
On the chart, we see that there is a resistance that has been broken. If it stays above this resistance, which is now acting as support, upon retesting, if it reacts well, a buy could be considered up to 190-192 initially.
In case it doesn't hold above this zone, then I would prefer the price to drop to around 185 to see another opportunity for a buy.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 150.100 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 150.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY: Trend is still bullishFrom a technical point of view, the trend is bullish on intraday chart, and OANDA:GBPJPY pair could trigger another bullish leg in the short term. If we look on 1H chart, the price remains within a narrow trading range, and this means volatility compression. In this technical context, if the price remains above 184.552 a breakout on the bullish side should be logical. If this happens, we will need to look for potential Targets and in this case the formation of a Harmonic Pattern could help us. If we look at the harmonic structure (for us it's bullish) in the window, we see 2 Targets: 186.34 and 186.83 .
HARMONIC PATTERN ZOOM
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TRADING STRATEGY
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If this analysis is correct, wait for the completion of wave 1 and try to take a long position on retracement, with stop loss below wave 1 or better below 184.552
Trade with care
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USDJPY - Bullish Pullback ExpectedThe USD/JPY has been on a bit of a slide since last Thursday, hitting an eight-week low of around 147.40 during Tuesday's European session. Right now, it's eyeing the 147.00 mark as immediate support, right after a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 146.32.
The US Dollar (USD) is taking a dip, reaching a nearly three-month low due to some less optimistic outlook from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This is a big reason why the USD/JPY pair is going down. If this trend continues, it might lead to more bearish movements, possibly heading towards the psychological support around 146.00. If it breaks that level, we could see the pair going down to around 144.60.
But, on a positive note, there might be a bit of an upswing first. The major barrier is at 147.50, and if it breaks through that, we might see some support at 148.00. If things go well, the USD/JPY could explore levels around 149.00 or even 150.00.
Considering recent liquidity key levels created, we might see a bounce back to those price levels highlighted on the chart, possibly around the 62/70 fibs zone before it continues its downward movement. Since we're near the end of the year, prices might hang around in that zone for a bit before heading further down. What do you think? Please feel free to comment below!
NZDJPY to form a lower high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 90.90 (stop at 91.30)
Our profit targets will be 89.90 and 89.70
Resistance: 90.99 / 91.70 / 92.65
Support: 89.70 / 88.70 / 87.90
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USDJPY NEUTRAL TO BEARISH SCENARIOThe recent market dynamics have showcased a resurgence in the USD following signals from the Federal Reserve indicating a prolonged period of stringent interest rates despite the apparent conclusion of the rate-hike cycle. Conversely, the JPY has encountered a mixed landscape amid speculations surrounding the Bank of Japan's potential departure from negative interest rates. Notably, technical indicators are shaping the narrative for the USD/JPY pair. The MACD signaling sell positions and the RSI maintaining a neutral stance reflect a complex outlook. Analysts are eyeing support levels at 146.04, with the pivot point positioned at 148.19. These technical markers suggest the potential for the price to encounter resistance levels at 150.41.
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USDJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 149 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
CHFJPY possible expansionAfter price broke structure with momentum, it began to retrace aggressively. This was to ensure that it takes out all internal structure liquidity that accumulated during the previous expansion. Since the pair has been moving bullishly, the strong low should hold and the high should be taken out as some of the uptrend properties. Price has now approached an extreme demand that lines up with our golden zone properties for extra confirmation. Since price has now nearly cleared up all internal liquidity, it could clear the rest and precede use this demand zone to expand further up to take out the latest weak high.
EURJPY: Important Key Levels to Watch 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY started a correctional movement.
Here are the important key levels to watch.
Support 1: 160.43 - 160.85 area
Support 2: 158.90 - 159.60 area
Support 3: 157.72 - 158.14 area
Support 4: 156.52 - 157.18 area
Support 5: 154.39 - 154.90 area
Resistance 1: 164.18 - 164.30 area
Watch carefully these supports.
From one of those, a bullish trend-following movement may initiate.
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AUDJPY possible expansionAfter price broke structure with momentum, it gradually retraced back towards a demand zone that it left behind during the expansion. It then started to consolidate, forming liquidity right above this demand, which could fuel price's expansion to the upside after imbalance has been filled and the demand has been mitigated. Due to price being in a bullish trend, our latest high is weak and thus makes it a target for price as it contains liquidity.
USD/JPY Hits Six-Week Low Near 148.50, Faces Key SupportThe USD/JPY pair remains under selling pressure for the fourth consecutive day, reaching its lowest point since October 4 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. However, the spot price has slightly rebounded in the past few hours and is trading around the 148.00 level.
USD/JPY continues to trade near its lowest level in six weeks, extending losses to around 148.90 in the early European trading session on Monday. The key level of 148.50 emerges as immediate support, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement level of 23.6% at 148.49. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 50 signals a bearish sentiment, potentially inspiring bearish moves towards the support zone around 146.50, followed by the Fibonacci retracement level of 38.2% at 146.37.
Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is positioned above the centerline, showing divergence below the signal line, often indicating a downward price trend. This configuration suggests that the short-term moving average (MACD line) is moving further away from the long-term moving average (signal line) in a downward direction.
On the flip side, the psychological level at 150.00 may act as a significant barrier, corresponding with the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 150.34. A breakthrough above this level could support a USD/JPY rebound towards last week's high at 151.90.
JPY Declines on Q3 GDP Loss.Japan's GDP for Q3 2023 has absolutely crashed by -2.1%. After a very good Q1 & Q2 growth, the markets & economy caught onto what was really happening.
They unloaded the magical money printer…
They printed out a ton of new money to prop up their economy. This has been exposed by their consumer spending collapsing. With inflation high, consumers have less to spend which is affecting their GDP this quarter. So after the fake ‘demand’ presented in Q1 & Q2, the economy can no longer keep up the facade from money printing.